Current WXSIM Forecast

Thursday, 28-Mar-2024 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Clear
Clear
High: 64°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 46°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 82°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 55°
Saturday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 70°
Saturday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 42°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 57°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 40°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 54°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 28-Mar-2024 12:03pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 68 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 47 °F ↑
Friday

Friday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 69 °F ↓
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 35 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 58 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
Partly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain

Lo 37 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Hi 61 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Lo 42 °F
Monday

Monday: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Hi 52 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-28-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-28-24 28 ↑   33 68   64 44   42 68   74 34   49 58   67 37   39 61   54
03-27-24 19 39.8°F 18 47 49.6 °F 47 28   25 63   65 42   47 69   73 36   40 59   60
03-26-24 23 ↑ 22.8°F 24 36 36.5 °F 33 17 39.8°F 17 48 49.6 °F 45 27   27 64   63 44   45 69   72
03-25-24 46 29.5°F 46 52 ↓ 49.4 °F 60 23 ↑ 22.8°F 29 37 36.5 °F 33 17 39.8°F 17 49 49.6 °F 43 28   25 65   60
03-24-24 30 ↑ 47.1°F 31 56 52.7 °F 45 43 ↑ 29.5°F 43 52 49.4 °F 63 21 22.8°F 33 37 36.5 °F 34 15 39.8°F 19 51 49.6 °F 46
03-23-24 25 30.9°F 27 42 35.9 °F 46 36 47.1°F 33 55 52.7 °F 38 40 29.5°F 36 52 49.4 °F 60 21 22.8°F 26 36 36.5 °F 30
03-22-24 38 ↑ 29.3°F 38 51 ↓ 44.8 °F 50 24 30.9°F 28 44 35.9 °F 46 34 47.1°F 32 57 52.7 °F 50 32 29.5°F 49 44 49.4 °F 53
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 16.7   0.0 20.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 11.5   11.4 3.6   6.6 10.9   11.9 3.0   9.3 12.1   13.7 2.0   5.6 9.7   14.5 2.4   4.6
Net Error -3.1   -2.6 2.5   2.0 -5.4   -4.0 2.4   0.2 -6.8   -5.3 1.7   -0.3 -8.0   0.6 -1.5   -2.2
Std Dev 8.5   8.6 2.2   4.1 10.0   9.3 2.3   7.0 11.7   12.7 1.9   4.9 9.7   14.5 2.4   4.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-28-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-28-24 28 ↑   64 68   43 44   81 68   54 34   69 58   40 37   56 61   41
03-27-24 19 37.7°F 48 46 49.6 °F 27 28   65 64   46 42   72 69   40 36   59 57   35
03-25-24 46 ↑ 21.4°F 59 53 ↓ 36.5 °F 27 23 ↑ 37.7°F 30 36 49.6 °F 14 16   42 48   25 28   60 64   46
03-24-24 30 ↑ 46.6°F 47 54 52.7 °F 44 42 ↑ 21.4°F 65 56 36.5 °F 33 22 37.7°F 35 36 49.6 °F 18 15   45 50   31
03-23-24 25 30.9°F 45 43 35.9 °F 32 34 ↑ 46.6°F 38 54 52.7 °F 35 38 21.4°F 60 51 36.5 °F 26 20 37.7°F 29 37 49.6 °F 20
03-22-24 38 ↑ 28.1°F 47 49 ↓ 44.8 °F 26 24 ↑ 30.9°F 45 45 35.9 °F 32 35 46.6°F 50 54 52.7 °F 49 36 21.4°F 53 50 36.5 °F 23
03-21-24 28 ↑ 41.7°F 53 56 57.8 °F 39 39 ↑ 28.1°F 51 52 44.8 °F 26 24 30.9°F 40 45 35.9 °F 31 35 46.6°F 40 56 52.7 °F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7 33.3   0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 14.9   15.4 5.8   13.7 13.1   19.4 10.1   15.9 12.7   13.5 9.6   12.7 14.6   15.6 9.8   19.3
Net Error -3.4   15.4 4.0   -13.7 -0.5   12.9 4.7   -15.9 -4.4   12.1 2.8   -12.7 -4.9   5.4 1.4   -19.3
Std Dev 8.6   12.9 5.4   8.5 9.0   17.8 8.8   14.5 11.1   12.8 8.6   14.5 14.6   15.6 9.8   19.3

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-28-24 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-28-24 68   63 44   42 68   74 34   49 58   67 37   40 61   54 42   39
03-27-24 46 49.6 °F 46 28 36.3°F 26 64   65 42   43 69   70 36   37 57   59 35   36
03-26-24 35 ↓ 36.5 °F 32 19 20.1°F 15 48 49.6 °F 45 28 36.3°F 25 64   64 44   44 68   71 34   37
03-25-24 53 ↓ 49.4 °F 53 23 ↑ 26.1°F 28 36 36.5 °F 32 16 20.1°F 16 48 49.6 °F 43 28 36.3°F 27 64   60 43   44
03-24-24 54 52.7 °F 48 42 ↑ 46.4°F 46 56 ↓ 49.4 °F 62 22 26.1°F 31 36 36.5 °F 33 15 20.1°F 20 50 49.6 °F 48 28 36.3°F 31
03-23-24 43 35.9 °F 45 34 ↑ 30.9°F 32 54 52.7 °F 38 38 46.4°F 35 51 49.4 °F 62 20 26.1°F 30 37 36.5 °F 32 15 20.1°F 19
03-22-24 49 ↓ 44.8 °F 45 24 ↑ 27.5°F 25 45 35.9 °F 45 35 30.9°F 33 54 52.7 °F 41 36 46.4°F 39 50 49.4 °F 62 19 26.1°F 20
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 1 3 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 3 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7 16.7   50.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 100.0   0.0     25.0 100.0   33.3     33.3
Ave Error 3.6   4.3 3.9   3.6 3.8   9.1 5.8   6.8 1.3   8.6 7.5   5.2 0.5   6.2 6.8   4.2
Net Error 1.9   0.0 -2.9   -2.6 3.0   -0.4 -4.2   -4.0 0.2   -2.3 -7.5   -3.2 0.5   2.2 -6.8   -4.2
Std Dev 2.4   2.7 2.7   3.6 3.3   6.6 4.0   5.0 1.1   7.5 6.5   4.9 0.5   6.2 6.8   4.2

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-28-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-28-24 68   64 44   46 68   82 34   55 58   70 37   42 61   57 42   40
03-27-24 46 49.6 °F 47 28 36.3°F 26 64   64 42   43 69   70 36   37 57   59 35   36
03-26-24 35 ↓ 36.5 °F 33 19 20.1°F 16 48 49.6 °F 45 28 36.3°F 24 64   63 44   44 68   71 34   37
03-25-24 52 ↓ 49.4 °F 50 23 ↑ 26.1°F 30 36 36.5 °F 38 16 20.1°F 19 48 49.6 °F 47 28 36.3°F 27 64   63 43   43
03-24-24 54 52.7 °F 48 42 ↑ 46.4°F 42 56 ↓ 49.4 °F 61 22 26.1°F 28 36 36.5 °F 32 15 20.1°F 19 50 49.6 °F 49 28 36.3°F 31
03-23-24 43 35.9 °F 43 34 ↑ 30.9°F 31 54 52.7 °F 45 38 46.4°F 44 51 49.4 °F 63 20 26.1°F 30 37 36.5 °F 32 15 20.1°F 20
03-22-24 49 ↓ 44.8 °F 45 24 ↑ 27.5°F 25 45 35.9 °F 46 35 30.9°F 37 54 52.7 °F 46 36 46.4°F 45 50 49.4 °F 62 19 26.1°F 21
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 1 1 3 1 0 2 4 0 0 2 3 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   33.3 16.7   16.7 60.0   20.0     40.0 100.0   0.0     50.0 100.0   33.3     33.3
Ave Error 3.4   3.1 3.9   4.2 3.8   7.1 5.8   4.8 1.3   6.9 7.5   3.9 0.5   5.9 6.8   3.5
Net Error 1.7   -0.5 -2.9   -2.9 3.0   2.2 -4.2   -1.6 0.2   -0.1 -7.5   -2.0 0.5   2.5 -6.8   -3.5
Std Dev 2.4   2.4 2.7   3.5 3.3   5.6 4.0   5.0 1.1   6.3 6.5   4.3 0.5   5.9 6.8   3.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-27-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-27-24 46   47 28   29 64   72 42   55 69   81 36   60 57   76 35   49
03-26-24 36 ↓ 36.5 °F 34 19 20.1°F 18 48   46 28   25 64   64 44   45 68   73 34   39
03-25-24 52 ↓ 49.4 °F 42 23 ↑ 26.1°F 32 36 36.5 °F 38 16 20.1°F 22 48   48 28   27 64   64 43   45
03-24-24 54 52.7 °F 53 42 ↑ 46.4°F 45 56 ↓ 49.4 °F 62 22 26.1°F 30 36 36.5 °F 32 15 20.1°F 19 50   46 28   31
03-23-24 43 35.9 °F 37 34 ↑ 30.9°F 31 54 52.7 °F 45 38 46.4°F 44 51 49.4 °F 66 20 26.1°F 30 37 36.5 °F 32 15 20.1°F 16
03-22-24 49 ↓ 44.8 °F 42 25 27.5°F 25 42 35.9 °F 46 36 30.9°F 37 55 52.7 °F 47 40 46.4°F 45 52 49.4 °F 59 21 26.1°F 21
03-21-24 57 57.8 °F 58 38 ↑ 35.0°F 38 51 ↓ 44.8 °F 51 24 27.5°F 27 45 35.9 °F 43 35 30.9°F 37 56 52.7 °F 46 37 46.4°F 44
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 1 2 2 1 0 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   50.0 16.7   33.3 40.0   20.0     40.0 50.0   0.0     50.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.8   2.4 2.9   2.5 4.1   7.6 5.0   3.0 3.4   8.5 5.4   3.1 2.1   6.9 6.5   3.9
Net Error 2.3   -1.9 -0.8   0.5 3.9   4.5 -3.0   1.8 3.1   3.4 -3.4   1.9 2.1   -0.5 -6.5   -3.9
Std Dev 2.4   2.5 1.5   2.0 3.5   6.0 3.6   2.0 3.3   7.6 4.7   2.9 2.1   6.9 6.5   3.9

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-27-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-27-24 46 ↓   30 28   64 65   43 43   71 69   38 35   60 57   37 37   56
03-26-24 34 36.5 °F 17 19 20.1°F 46 47   27 28   64 63   45 42   72 69   38 36   59
03-25-24 52 ↓ 49.4 °F 30 23 ↑ 26.1°F 38 36 36.5 °F 24 17 20.1°F 48 48   27 27   64 64   45 44   73
03-24-24 56 ↓ 52.7 °F 46 47 ↑ 46.4°F 62 56 ↓ 49.4 °F 31 23 26.1°F 33 37 36.5 °F 19 17 20.1°F 47 49   31 28   62
03-23-24 40 ↓ 35.9 °F 29 33 ↑ 30.9°F 45 56 52.7 °F 44 43 46.4°F 64 52 49.4 °F 30 21 26.1°F 32 37 36.5 °F 16 15 20.1°F 47
03-22-24 44 ↓ 44.8 °F 24 25 27.5°F 45 42 35.9 °F 36 36 30.9°F 45 55 52.7 °F 43 40 46.4°F 58 52 49.4 °F 21 21 26.1°F 26
03-21-24 57 57.8 °F 39 38 ↑ 35.0°F 50 51 ↓ 44.8 °F 27 24 27.5°F 45 44 35.9 °F 38 34 30.9°F 46 57 52.7 °F 45 32 46.4°F 49
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
% Succ 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 2.4   15.4 2.1   16.7 4.5   11.5 3.6   16.8 3.4   12.2 4.4   14.9 2.5   18.9 8.2   9.9
Net Error 1.0   -15.4 -0.2   16.7 4.3   -11.5 -1.6   16.8 3.4   -11.1 -2.9   14.9 2.5   -18.9 -8.2   9.8
Std Dev 1.4   8.6 1.2   8.1 3.6   8.0 2.3   12.5 3.3   10.9 3.9   14.2 2.5   18.9 8.2   9.9

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-27-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-27-24 28   31 65   63 43 ↑   43 69   83 35   55 57   74 37   42 58   59
03-26-24 19 20.1°F 17 47 36.5 °F 46 28   28 63   64 42   46 69   72 36   39 59   60
03-25-24 23 ↑ 26.1°F 28 36 49.4 °F 37 17 20.1°F 24 48 36.5 °F 47 27   30 64   62 44   45 69   72
03-24-24 46 46.4°F 47 52 ↓ 52.7 °F 61 23 ↑ 26.1°F 30 37 49.4 °F 36 17 20.1°F 18 49 36.5 °F 46 28   30 65   61
03-23-24 33 ↑ 30.9°F 29 56 35.9 °F 43 43 ↑ 46.4°F 42 52 52.7 °F 62 21 26.1°F 31 37 49.4 °F 33 15 20.1°F 20 51 36.5 °F 49
03-22-24 25 27.5°F 23 42 44.8 °F 43 36 30.9°F 35 55 35.9 °F 44 40 46.4°F 43 52 52.7 °F 58 21 26.1°F 27 36 49.4 °F 31
03-21-24 38 ↑ 35.0°F 38 51 ↓ 57.8 °F 50 24 27.5°F 28 44 44.8 °F 44 34 30.9°F 37 57 35.9 °F 47 32 46.4°F 45 44 52.7 °F 47
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 0
% Succ 33.3   50.0 16.7   16.7     20.0 40.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     100.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.5 9.1   7.8 3.6   3.4 8.9   8.4 4.4   4.1 11.7   10.6 8.2   0.8 12.2   12.2
Net Error -0.3   -0.7 1.2   0.5 -1.6   1.6 3.3   2.7 -2.9   1.4 5.1   2.4 -8.2   -0.2 -2.5   -3.9
Std Dev 1.2   1.6 7.5   4.5 2.3   2.2 7.0   5.9 3.9   3.7 10.1   9.2 8.2   0.8 12.2   12.2

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-27-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-27-24 28   32 65   63 43 ↑   43 69   83 35   55 57   74 37   42 58   59
03-26-24 19 39.8°F 21 47 36.5 °F 48 28   27 63   65 42   46 69   72 36   39 59   59
03-25-24 23 ↑ 25.8°F 27 36 49.4 °F 36 17 39.8°F 21 48 36.5 °F 47 27   30 64   63 44   45 69   72
03-24-24 46 31.4°F 45 52 ↓ 52.7 °F 63 23 ↑ 25.8°F 30 37 49.4 °F 36 17 39.8°F 18 49 36.5 °F 46 28   29 65   62
03-23-24 30 ↑ 47.6°F 31 56 35.9 °F 44 43 ↑ 31.4°F 43 52 52.7 °F 62 21 25.8°F 30 37 49.4 °F 32 15 39.8°F 19 51 36.5 °F 49
03-22-24 25 31.3°F 25 42 44.8 °F 43 36 47.6°F 35 55 35.9 °F 44 40 31.4°F 42 52 52.7 °F 58 21 25.8°F 27 36 49.4 °F 31
03-21-24 38 ↑ 31.5°F 40 51 ↓ 57.8 °F 51 24 31.3°F 28 44 44.8 °F 46 34 47.6°F 37 57 35.9 °F 47 32 31.4°F 45 44 52.7 °F 47
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0
% Succ     16.7 16.7   16.7     0.0 40.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 11.4   10.8 9.1   8.7 11.2   10.1 8.9   8.5 12.5   11.8 11.7   10.8 10.1   11.9 12.2   12.2
Net Error -4.4   -3.1 1.2   1.3 -6.6   -3.8 3.3   3.1 -8.2   -4.4 5.1   2.1 -9.7   -2.0 -2.5   -3.9
Std Dev 7.8   7.5 7.5   5.1 9.6   8.0 7.0   5.9 12.0   11.4 10.1   9.4 10.1   11.9 12.2   12.2

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.