Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 19-Sep-2025 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 81°
Tonight

Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 63°
Saturday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 78°
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 62°
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 82°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 65°
Monday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 88°
Monday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 67°
Tuesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 79°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 19-Sep-2025 1:44pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 76 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Chance Showers And TStorms then Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 60 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 75 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 58 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 81 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 63 °F
Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 82 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 63 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 75 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-19-25 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-19-25 57   58 77   78 60   59 77   73 61   62 79   82 62   66 82   81
09-18-25 61 63.0°F 61 74 72.2 °F 79 58   59 78   77 61   61 79   79 63   65 82   80
09-17-25 65 63.4°F 66 81 79.7 °F 81 63 63.0°F 67 77 72.2 °F 81 60   66 79   79 60   63 82   82
09-16-25 66 72.6°F 68 91 93.0 °F 93 65 63.4°F 67 80 79.7 °F 85 64 63.0°F 67 75 72.2 °F 79 60   63 75   82
09-15-25 65 75.4°F 65 89 91.5 °F 90 66 72.6°F 68 90 93.0 °F 93 65 63.4°F 68 81 79.7 °F 81 63 63.0°F 68 74 72.2 °F 80
09-14-25 69 67.3°F 72 87 89.8 °F 90 66 75.4°F 67 90 91.5 °F 89 67 72.6°F 66 89 93.0 °F 90 64 63.4°F 67 77 79.7 °F 78
09-13-25 72 77.0°F 72 94 96.5 °F 96 72 67.3°F 73 87 89.8 °F 90 66 75.4°F 67 89 91.5 °F 91 67 72.6°F 68 87 93.0 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 1 3 5 2 0 2 2 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 2
% Succ 50.0   16.7 50.0   83.3 40.0   0.0 40.0   40.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   50.0 66.7   0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 4.6   4.9 2.2   1.7 4.5   5.3 2.5   3.4 4.4   5.9 2.7   2.9 2.1   4.4 3.5   3.2
Net Error -3.5   -2.5 -1.1   1.1 -1.9   0.1 -0.4   2.4 -3.1   -1.6 -0.6   1.2 -1.7   1.3 -2.3   2.0
Std Dev 3.7   3.4 1.0   2.4 3.8   3.5 2.1   3.7 4.2   5.2 2.3   3.2 2.1   4.4 3.5   3.2

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-19-25 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-19-25 57   80 75   59 60   75 75   61 58   82 80   66 63   81 83   66
09-18-25 61 58.7°F 76 74 72.2 °F 57 58   77 78   59 61   78 79   65 63   80 82   66
09-17-25 66 61.1°F 77 81 79.7 °F 65 63 58.7°F 80 77 72.2 °F 65 60   78 79   63 60   82 82   65
09-16-25 66 67.8°F 95 90 93.0 °F 68 65 61.1°F 86 80 79.7 °F 68 63 58.7°F 80 77 72.2 °F 63 60   82 76   64
09-15-25 65 72.0°F 92 89 91.5 °F 71 66 67.8°F 95 90 93.0 °F 70 65 61.1°F 82 81 79.7 °F 69 63 58.7°F 80 74 72.2 °F 65
09-14-25 71 66.2°F 89 87 89.8 °F 66 66 72.0°F 88 89 91.5 °F 66 66 67.8°F 90 90 93.0 °F 67 63 61.1°F 78 76 79.7 °F 67
09-13-25 72 73.5°F 96 94 96.5 °F 73 72 66.2°F 91 87 89.8 °F 66 66 72.0°F 88 89 91.5 °F 65 67 67.8°F 90 87 93.0 °F 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.7   21.0 2.3   20.5 4.4   22.8 2.7   18.2 4.0   20.1 2.9   18.1 2.3   20.1 3.8   15.3
Net Error 0.3   21.0 -1.3   -20.5 1.2   22.8 -0.6   -18.2 0.1   20.1 0.1   -18.1 1.8   20.1 -2.6   -15.3
Std Dev 2.3   9.3 1.1   9.2 3.0   14.6 2.2   13.1 3.5   17.4 2.7   16.3 2.3   20.1 3.8   15.3

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-19-25 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-19-25 75   76 60   56 75   75 58   58 80   82 63   65 83   83 64   68
09-18-25 74 72.2 °F 75 58 55.8°F 54 78   79 61   62 79   82 63   63 82   82 62   65
09-17-25 81 79.7 °F 74 63 61.0°F 63 77 72.2 °F 71 60 55.8°F 61 79   81 60   63 82   80 63   64
09-16-25 90 93.0 °F 94 65 65.1°F 68 80 79.7 °F 86 63 61.0°F 69 77 72.2 °F 81 60 55.8°F 63 76   82 60   64
09-15-25 89 91.5 °F 91 66 69.1°F 68 90 93.0 °F 93 65 65.1°F 67 81 79.7 °F 77 63 61.0°F 66 74 72.2 °F 76 61 55.8°F 61
09-14-25 87 89.8 °F 85 66 66.2°F 67 89 91.5 °F 88 66 69.1°F 66 90 93.0 °F 92 63 65.1°F 67 76 79.7 °F 83 61 61.0°F 65
09-13-25 94 96.5 °F 92 72 72.2°F 72 87 89.8 °F 91 66 66.2°F 68 89 91.5 °F 91 67 69.1°F 69 87 93.0 °F 93 64 65.1°F 68
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 5 1 3 3 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   83.3 20.0   60.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 2.3   3.2 1.3   1.5 2.7   2.4 1.9   4.0 2.9   3.3 2.6   3.6 3.8   2.4 2.1   4.0
Net Error -1.3   -2.0 0.1   0.4 -0.6   0.6 0.6   2.8 0.1   1.2 0.5   3.5 -2.6   2.4 1.4   4.0
Std Dev 1.1   2.3 1.2   0.9 2.2   2.6 1.8   3.3 2.7   4.0 2.4   3.6 3.8   2.4 2.1   4.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-19-25 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-19-25 75   77 60   59 75   76 58   60 80   83 63   66 83   83 64   68
09-18-25 74 72.2 °F 76 58 55.8°F 58 78   79 61   62 79   80 63   64 82   81 62   66
09-17-25 81 79.7 °F 75 63 61.0°F 61 77 72.2 °F 70 60 55.8°F 61 79   81 60   63 82   80 63   64
09-16-25 90 93.0 °F 92 65 65.1°F 70 80 79.7 °F 85 63 61.0°F 69 77 72.2 °F 81 60 55.8°F 64 76   82 60   65
09-15-25 89 91.5 °F 87 66 69.1°F 64 91 93.0 °F 90 65 65.1°F 67 81 79.7 °F 76 63 61.0°F 67 74 72.2 °F 76 61 55.8°F 61
09-14-25 88 89.8 °F 90 65 66.2°F 69 89 91.5 °F 89 66 69.1°F 67 90 93.0 °F 93 63 65.1°F 67 76 79.7 °F 84 61 61.0°F 65
09-13-25 95 96.5 °F 93 69 72.1°F 72 87 89.8 °F 91 66 66.2°F 68 89 91.5 °F 91 67 69.1°F 68 87 93.0 °F 93 64 65.1°F 68
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 3 2 2 1 3 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 0
% Succ 66.7   33.3 50.0   33.3 40.0   20.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 2.0   3.0 2.0   2.5 2.5   2.8 1.9   3.8 2.9   3.3 2.6   4.3 3.8   2.7 2.1   4.0
Net Error -1.0   -1.6 -0.5   0.8 -0.4   -0.2 0.6   3.0 0.1   1.2 0.5   3.8 -2.6   2.7 1.4   4.0
Std Dev 1.0   2.1 1.2   2.0 2.1   2.1 1.8   3.2 2.7   4.0 2.4   4.2 3.8   2.7 2.1   4.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-25 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-25 74   73 57   59 78   77 61   60 79   75 63   63 82   80 62   65
09-17-25 81 79.7 °F 80 63 61.0°F 62 75   76 57   61 79   81 60   63 82   83 63   66
09-16-25 90 93.0 °F 93 65 65.1°F 70 81 79.7 °F 84 64 61.0°F 68 77   82 60   66 76   82 60   63
09-15-25 89 91.5 °F 90 66 69.1°F 68 91 93.0 °F 92 65 65.1°F 67 80 79.7 °F 87 64 61.0°F 69 75   81 60   67
09-14-25 88 89.8 °F 89 65 66.2°F 68 89 91.5 °F 89 66 69.1°F 66 91 93.0 °F 90 65 65.1°F 67 78 79.7 °F 82 62 61.0°F 69
09-13-25 95 96.5 °F 95 69 72.1°F 71 87 89.8 °F 90 66 66.2°F 68 89 91.5 °F 91 67 69.1°F 66 87 93.0 °F 92 64 65.1°F 68
09-12-25 93 94.6 °F 89 71 70.7°F 71 94 96.5 °F 94 72 72.1°F 74 85 89.8 °F 88 65 66.2°F 66 89 91.5 °F 92 67 69.1°F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 5 4 5 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 0
% Succ 66.7   83.3 66.7   83.3 40.0   40.0 60.0   60.0 50.0   50.0 50.0   50.0 33.3   66.7 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.6 1.6   1.7 2.2   2.1 1.3   3.1 2.4   3.2 1.6   3.3 3.4   1.3 1.4   4.7
Net Error -1.5   -1.5 -0.9   1.0 -1.7   -0.3 -0.1   1.9 -2.3   0.5 -0.1   1.7 -3.4   0.6 -0.7   2.6
Std Dev 1.0   1.1 1.3   1.5 1.5   1.7 1.5   2.7 2.3   3.4 1.6   3.7 3.4   1.3 1.4   4.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-25 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-25 74   57 57   77 77   59 60   75 77   63 61   80 79   64 62   82
09-17-25 79 79.7 °F 63 61 61.0°F 75 75   61 57   80 79   64 60   82 82   66 63   87
09-16-25 92 93.0 °F 72 65 65.1°F 81 81 79.7 °F 69 64 61.0°F 82 78   66 60   82 78   63 60   85
09-15-25 89 91.5 °F 70 66 69.1°F 92 91 93.0 °F 69 65 65.1°F 84 80 79.7 °F 69 64 61.0°F 81 75   67 60   83
09-14-25 88 89.8 °F 67 65 66.2°F 90 89 91.5 °F 68 66 69.1°F 92 91 93.0 °F 68 65 65.1°F 83 78 79.7 °F 70 62 61.0°F 75
09-13-25 95 96.5 °F 72 69 72.1°F 87 87 89.8 °F 67 66 66.2°F 90 90 91.5 °F 66 67 69.1°F 91 89 93.0 °F 68 64 65.1°F 83
09-12-25 93 94.6 °F 72 71 70.7°F 93 94 96.5 °F 73 72 72.1°F 88 85 89.8 °F 66 65 66.2°F 92 89 91.5 °F 66 67 69.1°F 90
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 4 0 2 0 3 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 2 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 66.7   0.0 40.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 1.5   21.5 1.3   19.0 2.2   20.9 1.3   20.5 2.2   21.3 1.6   21.4 2.7   20.1 1.4   17.6
Net Error -1.5   -21.5 -1.2   19.0 -1.7   -20.9 -0.1   20.5 -2.0   -21.3 -0.1   21.4 -2.7   -20.1 -0.7   17.6
Std Dev 0.8   9.1 1.4   8.7 1.5   14.1 1.5   13.0 2.1   19.1 1.6   18.5 2.7   20.1 1.4   17.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-25 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-25 57   58 77   78 60   58 77   72 61   61 79   82 62   64 82   86
09-17-25 61 61.0°F 63 75 79.7 °F 77 57   61 79   80 60   64 82   82 63   66 83   81
09-16-25 65 65.1°F 72 81 93.0 °F 84 64 61.0°F 70 78 79.7 °F 81 60   66 78   81 60   65 81   85
09-15-25 66 69.1°F 72 91 91.5 °F 93 65 65.1°F 71 80 93.0 °F 86 64 61.0°F 70 75 79.7 °F 82 60   66 75   83
09-14-25 65 66.2°F 68 89 89.8 °F 90 66 69.1°F 67 91 91.5 °F 93 65 65.1°F 68 78 93.0 °F 81 62 61.0°F 69 75 79.7 °F 78
09-13-25 69 72.1°F 72 87 96.5 °F 87 66 66.2°F 68 90 89.8 °F 90 67 69.1°F 69 89 91.5 °F 92 64 65.1°F 69 77 93.0 °F 80
09-12-25 71 70.7°F 73 94 94.6 °F 96 72 72.1°F 75 85 96.5 °F 90 65 66.2°F 68 89 89.8 °F 89 67 69.1°F 66 85 91.5 °F 90
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 0 0 2
% Succ 66.7   50.0 50.0   50.0 60.0   20.0 60.0   60.0 50.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 66.7   0.0     66.7
Ave Error 1.3   2.7 4.7   4.1 1.3   4.3 5.4   3.3 1.6   3.5 5.8   3.9 1.4   5.0 9.1   5.4
Net Error -1.2   2.6 -4.7   -3.0 -0.1   3.5 -5.3   -2.1 -0.1   3.4 -5.8   -2.5 -0.7   2.9 -9.1   -5.4
Std Dev 1.4   2.3 4.7   4.0 1.5   3.7 5.5   2.9 1.6   4.1 5.0   3.5 1.4   5.0 9.1   5.4

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-25 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-25 57   59 77   79 60   59 77   72 61   61 79   81 62   65 82   85
09-17-25 61 64.4°F 63 75 79.7 °F 77 57   60 79   80 60   63 82   81 63   66 83   81
09-16-25 65 66.7°F 70 81 93.0 °F 85 64 64.4°F 70 78 79.7 °F 82 60   66 78   81 60   65 81   85
09-15-25 66 78.9°F 70 91 91.5 °F 92 65 66.7°F 68 80 93.0 °F 87 64 64.4°F 69 75 79.7 °F 81 60   65 75   83
09-14-25 65 78.6°F 68 89 89.8 °F 90 66 78.9°F 67 91 91.5 °F 94 65 66.7°F 68 78 93.0 °F 82 62 64.4°F 69 75 79.7 °F 78
09-13-25 69 74.1°F 72 87 96.5 °F 89 66 78.6°F 70 90 89.8 °F 91 67 78.9°F 68 89 91.5 °F 91 64 66.7°F 68 77 93.0 °F 80
09-12-25 71 79.3°F 71 94 94.6 °F 95 72 74.1°F 74 85 96.5 °F 91 65 78.6°F 67 89 89.8 °F 88 67 78.9°F 66 85 91.5 °F 90
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 3 2 2 3 1 2 1 1 3 0 1 0 2
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   50.0 40.0   40.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   75.0     33.3     66.7
Ave Error 7.5   5.8 4.7   3.2 5.9   5.5 5.4   3.5 6.9   7.1 5.8   3.7 5.7   6.3 9.1   5.4
Net Error -7.5   -4.7 -4.7   -2.9 -5.9   -2.7 -5.3   -1.1 -6.9   -4.2 -5.8   -3.0 -5.7   -2.3 -9.1   -5.4
Std Dev 5.5   4.2 4.7   3.4 5.8   4.9 5.5   2.6 6.8   6.3 5.0   3.4 5.7   6.3 9.1   5.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.