Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 25-Nov-2025 05:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Clear
Cold!
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Low: 26°
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 39°
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 21°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 40°
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 20°
Friday

Cloudy
Cold!
Cloudy
Cold!
High: 37°
Friday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 36°
Saturday

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
High: 39°
Saturday
night
Fog late
Cold!
Fog late
Cold!
Low: 15°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 25-Nov-2025 3:35pm CST

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 50 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 41 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 20 °F
Thanksgiving
Day
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 41 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 23 °F
Friday

Friday: Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Snow
Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Snow

Hi 37 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Rain And Snow
Chance Rain And Snow

Lo 26 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Light Snow
Chance Light Snow

Hi 33 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-25-25 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-25-25 43   45 50   54 27   30 41   43 21   21 41   40 24   21 37   33
11-24-25 45 50.7°F 48 56 53.3 °F 57 42   45 50   58 27   31 41   45 21   21 40   40
11-23-25 33 50.4°F 32 60 65.2 °F 62 44 50.7°F 44 55 53.3 °F 58 41   42 49   58 26   36 42   49
11-22-25 34 35.2°F 33 64 66.4 °F 65 34 50.4°F 37 61 65.2 °F 64 45 50.7°F 42 56 53.3 °F 62 38   47 48   54
11-21-25 40 34.9°F 42 46 45.9 °F 47 34 35.2°F 36 61 66.4 °F 62 36 50.4°F 35 61 65.2 °F 61 45 50.7°F 44 56 53.3 °F 54
11-20-25 34 42.7°F 35 54 45.6 °F 61 42 34.9°F 40 49 45.9 °F 49 34 35.2°F 36 60 66.4 °F 62 38 50.4°F 37 61 65.2 °F 65
11-19-25 36 37.2°F 39 58 54.3 °F 60 42 42.7°F 37 60 45.6 °F 61 38 34.9°F 40 52 45.9 °F 49 34 35.2°F 35 61 66.4 °F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 2
% Succ 33.3   16.7 16.7   33.3 40.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3     66.7
Ave Error 6.6   6.7 3.8   5.1 6.4   6.3 5.8   5.8 6.1   7.5 4.9   5.1 6.4   6.8 4.1   2.1
Net Error -4.9   -3.7 1.2   3.6 -3.6   -4.0 1.9   3.5 -4.6   -4.6 -0.5   0.8 -6.4   -6.8 -2.3   -1.6
Std Dev 5.7   6.0 3.0   5.3 6.5   5.7 4.1   4.2 5.3   6.5 4.3   4.8 6.4   6.8 4.1   2.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-25-25 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-25-25 43   54 50   29 26   43 42   20 21   40 41   23 23   34 36   31
11-24-25 45 49.6°F 52 56 53.3 °F 44 42   58 50   30 27   43 41   23 21   41 40   23
11-23-25 33 49.3°F 61 62 65.2 °F 44 45 49.6°F 59 56 53.3 °F 45 42   57 51   31 26   45 42   24
11-22-25 34 32.5°F 66 65 66.4 °F 37 33 49.3°F 64 60 65.2 °F 45 44 49.6°F 60 56 53.3 °F 47 40   60 48   37
11-21-25 40 34.7°F 47 47 45.9 °F 35 34 32.5°F 63 63 66.4 °F 35 37 49.3°F 61 62 65.2 °F 42 46 49.6°F 51 57 53.3 °F 41
11-20-25 35 42.7°F 61 53 45.6 °F 44 42 34.7°F 52 49 45.9 °F 40 34 32.5°F 62 60 66.4 °F 38 38 49.3°F 62 61 65.2 °F 48
11-19-25 37 34.6°F 58 54 54.3 °F 37 41 42.7°F 61 60 45.6 °F 45 41 34.7°F 54 52 45.9 °F 45 37 32.5°F 55 60 66.4 °F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 3 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 50.0   16.7 40.0   0.0     20.0 25.0   0.0     25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 6.3   16.9 2.7   15.0 6.3   18.0 5.8   13.3 6.4   17.7 4.6   14.7 6.5   12.2 4.8   19.3
Net Error -3.2   16.9 1.1   -15.0 -2.8   18.0 2.3   -13.3 -2.5   17.7 -0.2   -14.7 -3.5   12.2 -2.3   -19.3
Std Dev 5.3   11.7 2.4   10.8 6.4   13.4 4.0   12.3 5.6   15.8 4.1   13.4 6.5   12.2 4.8   19.3

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-25-25 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-25-25 50   57 26   36 42   49 21   24 41   43 23   25 36   39 25   37
11-24-25 56 53.3 °F 52 42 43.9°F 43 50   58 27   29 41   43 21   23 40   42 24   23
11-23-25 62 65.2 °F 58 45 48.9°F 44 56 53.3 °F 61 42 43.9°F 46 51   57 26   31 42   45 22   24
11-22-25 65 66.4 °F 64 33 30.5°F 36 60 65.2 °F 62 44 48.9°F 43 56 53.3 °F 58 40 43.9°F 46 48   59 26   37
11-21-25 47 45.9 °F 46 34 34.7°F 34 63 66.4 °F 63 37 30.5°F 34 62 65.2 °F 61 46 48.9°F 42 57 53.3 °F 51 39 43.9°F 41
11-20-25 53 45.6 °F 58 42 42.7°F 42 49 45.9 °F 49 34 34.7°F 37 60 66.4 °F 61 38 30.5°F 38 61 65.2 °F 62 42 48.9°F 48
11-19-25 54 54.3 °F 60 41 33.1°F 39 60 45.6 °F 63 41 42.7°F 45 52 45.9 °F 55 37 34.7°F 45 60 66.4 °F 55 37 30.5°F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 3 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ 50.0   33.3 50.0   50.0     0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 2.7   4.9 2.9   3.1 5.8   7.0 3.1   3.2 4.6   5.9 4.2   6.7 4.8   5.6 6.1   3.1
Net Error 1.1   1.2 0.5   0.7 2.3   4.3 -0.5   0.9 -0.2   1.1 0.8   3.3 -2.3   -5.6 -1.8   0.6
Std Dev 2.4   4.6 1.9   2.4 4.0   5.0 2.7   2.4 4.1   5.1 3.6   6.2 4.8   5.6 6.1   3.1

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-25-25 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-25-25 50   52 26   27 42   40 21   19 41   39 23   21 36   34 25   31
11-24-25 56 53.3 °F 55 42 43.9°F 41 50   52 27   29 41   43 21   22 40   40 24   21
11-23-25 62 65.2 °F 62 45 48.9°F 45 55 53.3 °F 55 42 43.9°F 43 51   57 26   37 42   50 22   25
11-22-25 65 66.4 °F 62 33 30.5°F 35 60 65.2 °F 63 44 48.9°F 43 56 53.3 °F 56 40 43.9°F 39 48   58 26   36
11-21-25 47 45.9 °F 47 34 34.7°F 32 63 66.4 °F 61 37 30.5°F 31 62 65.2 °F 61 46 48.9°F 41 57 53.3 °F 57 39 43.9°F 43
11-20-25 50 45.6 °F 48 40 42.4°F 39 46 45.9 °F 46 34 34.7°F 34 60 66.4 °F 59 38 30.5°F 34 61 65.2 °F 61 42 48.9°F 44
11-19-25 55 54.3 °F 53 39 33.1°F 36 60 45.6 °F 60 42 42.4°F 40 52 45.9 °F 46 37 34.7°F 38 60 66.4 °F 59 37 30.5°F 37
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 2 0 2 2 3 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ 50.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 40.0   40.0 60.0   60.0     25.0     0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 2.3   2.4 2.9   3.4 5.0   4.8 2.9   2.1 4.6   3.6 4.2   4.9 4.8   5.1 6.1   4.1
Net Error 0.7   -0.6 -0.1   -0.9 1.5   1.7 -0.3   -1.9 -0.2   -2.2 0.8   -1.5 -2.3   -2.6 -1.8   0.2
Std Dev 1.5   1.4 1.6   1.5 3.5   3.5 2.6   2.3 4.1   3.2 3.6   4.2 4.8   5.1 6.1   4.1

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-25-25 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-25-25 50   49 27   25 41   39 20   19 41   39 23   21 36   34 25   31
11-24-25 56 53.3 °F 54 43 43.9°F 41 50   52 27   29 41   43 21   22 41   40 24   21
11-23-25 62 65.2 °F 63 45 48.9°F 42 55 53.3 °F 51 42 43.9°F 41 51   56 26   38 42   50 22   25
11-22-25 65 66.4 °F 67 33 30.5°F 36 60 65.2 °F 63 44 48.9°F 44 56 53.3 °F 57 40 43.9°F 40 48   58 26   36
11-21-25 47 45.9 °F 46 34 34.7°F 32 63 66.4 °F 60 37 30.5°F 32 62 65.2 °F 61 46 48.9°F 41 57 53.3 °F 57 39 43.9°F 43
11-20-25 50 45.6 °F 47 40 42.4°F 40 46 45.9 °F 47 34 34.7°F 34 61 66.4 °F 60 36 30.5°F 34 61 65.2 °F 62 45 48.9°F 44
11-19-25 54 54.3 °F 54 39 33.1°F 37 57 45.6 °F 59 42 42.4°F 40 50 45.9 °F 46 34 34.7°F 38 58 66.4 °F 59 38 30.5°F 37
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 2 0 2 1 3 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ 50.0   83.3 33.3   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   40.0     25.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 2.2   0.9 2.7   4.1 4.4   5.1 2.9   2.5 3.9   3.6 3.3   4.7 5.4   4.8 5.4   4.1
Net Error 0.6   0.0 0.1   -0.9 0.9   0.7 -0.3   -1.9 -0.5   -1.7 -0.5   -1.3 -3.0   -2.3 -0.4   0.2
Std Dev 1.5   0.8 1.6   2.3 3.1   3.7 2.6   2.0 3.4   3.1 2.8   4.0 5.4   4.8 5.4   4.1

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-25-25 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-25-25 50   26 27   39 41   21 20   40 41   20 23   37 37   36 26   39
11-24-25 56 53.3 °F 42 43 43.9°F 55 50   30 27   44 41   22 21   40 41   18 24   37
11-23-25 65 65.2 °F 48 45 48.9°F 59 55 53.3 °F 43 42 43.9°F 57 50   33 26   46 41   22 22   40
11-22-25 65 66.4 °F 36 33 30.5°F 65 60 65.2 °F 45 44 48.9°F 59 55 53.3 °F 45 41 43.9°F 60 49   39 26   48
11-21-25 48 45.9 °F 35 34 34.7°F 62 64 66.4 °F 34 34 30.5°F 62 61 65.2 °F 43 45 48.9°F 55 56 53.3 °F 42 38 43.9°F 55
11-20-25 50 45.6 °F 41 40 42.4°F 48 46 45.9 °F 38 34 34.7°F 61 61 66.4 °F 37 36 30.5°F 62 61 65.2 °F 45 45 48.9°F 54
11-19-25 54 54.3 °F 38 39 33.1°F 63 57 45.6 °F 40 42 42.4°F 46 50 45.9 °F 36 34 34.7°F 59 58 66.4 °F 36 38 30.5°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 2 0 2 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 40.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.9   15.1 2.7   19.8 4.2   15.3 2.3   16.9 3.9   17.5 3.3   19.5 5.1   20.6 5.8   16.6
Net Error 1.2   -15.1 0.1   19.8 1.1   -15.3 -0.9   16.9 -1.0   -17.5 -0.5   19.5 -3.3   -20.6 -0.8   16.6
Std Dev 1.5   10.1 1.6   13.1 3.0   12.7 1.9   13.0 3.5   15.8 2.8   17.0 5.1   20.6 5.8   16.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-24-25 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-24-25 43   45 50   54 27   31 41   44 21   22 41   40 24   19 37   39
11-23-25 45 48.9°F 49 55 65.2 °F 59 42   42 50   57 26   33 41   46 22   22 40   40
11-22-25 33 30.5°F 37 60 66.4 °F 63 44 48.9°F 44 55 65.2 °F 58 41   44 49   60 26   39 42   48
11-21-25 34 34.7°F 37 64 45.9 °F 63 34 30.5°F 35 61 66.4 °F 64 45 48.9°F 44 56 65.2 °F 57 38   43 48   56
11-20-25 40 42.4°F 43 46 45.6 °F 50 34 34.7°F 38 61 45.9 °F 61 36 30.5°F 37 61 66.4 °F 62 45 48.9°F 45 56 65.2 °F 54
11-19-25 39 33.1°F 40 57 54.3 °F 64 42 42.4°F 41 50 45.6 °F 47 34 34.7°F 37 58 45.9 °F 59 38 30.5°F 36 63 66.4 °F 64
11-18-25 36 42.0°F 39 58 48.6 °F 59 42 33.1°F 40 60 54.3 °F 62 38 42.4°F 38 52 45.6 °F 50 34 34.7°F 34 61 45.9 °F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   33.3 16.7   0.0 40.0   20.0     20.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 3.6   3.2 7.9   8.5 3.7   4.2 8.2   6.8 3.6   4.5 8.3   7.5 4.0   3.4 9.2   10.9
Net Error -0.8   2.2 2.3   5.3 1.3   1.7 1.9   2.9 -0.9   -0.1 1.0   1.2 1.0   0.3 0.8   1.8
Std Dev 2.2   2.9 6.5   5.7 2.7   2.7 6.2   6.0 3.1   3.9 7.2   6.5 4.0   3.4 9.2   10.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-24-25 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-24-25 43   45 50   52 27   30 41   44 21   21 41   39 24   23 37   33
11-23-25 45 51.3°F 51 55 65.2 °F 58 42   46 50   58 26   31 41   45 22   21 40   41
11-22-25 33 53.1°F 34 60 66.4 °F 63 44 51.3°F 45 55 65.2 °F 58 41   43 49   58 26   36 42   49
11-21-25 34 40.2°F 36 64 45.9 °F 64 34 53.1°F 36 61 66.4 °F 64 45 51.3°F 42 56 65.2 °F 62 38   47 48   54
11-20-25 40 38.8°F 42 46 45.6 °F 48 34 40.2°F 38 61 45.9 °F 63 36 53.1°F 36 61 66.4 °F 61 45 51.3°F 45 56 65.2 °F 54
11-19-25 39 42.9°F 36 57 54.3 °F 62 42 38.8°F 40 50 45.6 °F 49 34 40.2°F 36 58 45.9 °F 63 38 53.1°F 37 63 66.4 °F 65
11-18-25 36 40.1°F 39 58 48.6 °F 59 42 42.9°F 37 60 54.3 °F 61 38 38.8°F 40 52 45.6 °F 49 34 40.2°F 35 61 45.9 °F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 16.7   0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 7.0   5.8 7.9   8.2 7.3   6.5 8.2   7.4 7.6   8.0 8.3   7.3 9.2   9.2 9.2   9.2
Net Error -6.6   -4.7 2.3   4.7 -6.1   -6.1 1.9   3.5 -7.6   -7.4 1.0   3.0 -9.2   -9.2 0.8   0.8
Std Dev 6.6   6.5 6.5   6.1 7.0   6.6 6.2   6.8 6.6   6.9 7.2   6.6 9.2   9.2 9.2   9.2

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.