Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 18-Aug-2026 08:00 am

Today

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 81°
Tonight

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 68°
Wednesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 85°
Wednesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 68°
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 86°
Thursday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 70°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 90°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 69°
Saturday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 89°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 18-Aug-2026 10:35am CDT

Today

Today: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms Likely then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 84 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 67 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers

Hi 80 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 65 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 84 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 67 °F
Friday

Friday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 88 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 68 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 86 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-18-26 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-18-26 68   72 84   85 67   71 80   84 65   68 84   85 67   69 88   90
08-17-26 63 75.3°F 64 84 88.5 °F 87 68   69 86   87 67   70 79   87 64   69 81   83
08-16-26 69 65.7°F 73 81 84.1 °F 85 63 75.3°F 66 85 88.5 °F 89 68   69 87   89 67   71 79   78
08-15-26 72 75.6°F 76 89 89.6 °F 89 70 65.7°F 72 82 84.1 °F 86 64 75.3°F 71 84 88.5 °F 89 68   70 89   91
08-14-26 72 77.1°F 72 88 86.3 °F 87 71 75.6°F 71 90 89.6 °F 89 69 65.7°F 69 81 84.1 °F 87 64 75.3°F 67 81 88.5 °F 89
08-13-26 72 75.1°F 77 92 89.4 °F 90 71 77.1°F 73 89 86.3 °F 92 72 75.6°F 75 89 89.6 °F 90 70 65.7°F 72 81 84.1 °F 80
08-12-26 73 78.6°F 78 93 94.6 °F 102 72 75.1°F 73 88 89.4 °F 90 71 77.1°F 73 90 86.3 °F 94 72 75.6°F 74 88 89.6 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 3 5 0 0 2 4 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 1
% Succ     50.0 50.0   83.3     0.0 40.0   80.0     25.0 25.0   50.0     33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 5.5   4.4 2.4   2.0 6.1   5.3 2.0   1.9 6.1   3.1 3.0   2.9 6.4   5.4 4.1   3.0
Net Error -4.4   -1.2 -0.9   1.3 -4.4   -2.8 -0.8   1.6 -4.4   -1.4 -1.1   2.9 -3.5   -1.2 -4.1   0.3
Std Dev 3.9   4.0 1.5   1.3 4.9   3.8 1.6   1.4 5.9   2.7 2.7   2.8 6.4   5.4 4.1   3.0

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-18-26 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-18-26 68   82 84   69 67   82 80   67 65   84 84   68 67   89 88   67
08-17-26 63 66.9°F 87 84 88.5 °F 68 68   89 86   70 67   86 79   69 64   83 81   66
08-16-26 69 63.9°F 85 81 84.1 °F 66 63 66.9°F 90 85 88.5 °F 69 68   90 87   71 67   78 79   66
08-15-26 72 73.9°F 87 89 89.6 °F 72 70 63.9°F 84 82 84.1 °F 70 64 66.9°F 88 84 88.5 °F 71 68   90 89   70
08-14-26 72 76.4°F 93 88 86.3 °F 71 71 73.9°F 90 90 89.6 °F 69 69 63.9°F 87 81 84.1 °F 68 64 66.9°F 90 81 88.5 °F 70
08-13-26 72 72.6°F 89 92 89.4 °F 73 71 76.4°F 92 89 86.3 °F 75 72 73.9°F 90 89 89.6 °F 72 70 63.9°F 80 81 84.1 °F 69
08-12-26 73 77.4°F 99 93 94.6 °F 76 72 72.6°F 91 88 89.4 °F 72 71 76.4°F 94 90 86.3 °F 74 72 73.9°F 94 88 89.6 °F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 50.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.4   18.2 2.4   17.8 3.8   18.7 2.0   16.6 3.8   19.5 3.0   15.9 3.6   19.8 4.1   18.1
Net Error -1.7   18.2 -0.9   -17.8 -1.3   18.7 -0.8   -16.6 -1.3   19.5 -1.1   -15.9 0.4   19.8 -4.1   -18.1
Std Dev 2.1   7.9 1.5   7.4 2.6   12.0 1.6   10.8 3.3   16.9 2.7   13.8 3.6   19.8 4.1   18.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-18-26 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-18-26 84   81 67   68 80   85 65   68 84   86 67   70 88   90 68   69
08-17-26 84 88.5 °F 86 68 66.6°F 67 86   87 67   69 79   86 64   69 81   85 65   68
08-16-26 81 84.1 °F 83 63 63.0°F 64 85 88.5 °F 88 68 66.6°F 69 87   93 67   68 79   83 64   65
08-15-26 89 89.6 °F 86 70 68.9°F 70 82 84.1 °F 77 64 63.0°F 65 84 88.5 °F 86 68 66.6°F 69 89   91 68   72
08-14-26 88 86.3 °F 91 71 75.0°F 71 90 89.6 °F 89 69 68.9°F 71 81 84.1 °F 85 64 63.0°F 70 81 88.5 °F 87 66 66.6°F 72
08-13-26 91 89.4 °F 90 71 70.5°F 73 89 86.3 °F 94 72 75.0°F 74 89 89.6 °F 88 70 68.9°F 70 81 84.1 °F 78 66 63.0°F 67
08-12-26 93 94.6 °F 96 72 71.6°F 76 88 89.4 °F 90 71 70.5°F 75 90 86.3 °F 96 72 75.0°F 74 88 89.6 °F 95 69 68.9°F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 3 5 3 2 3 4 2 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 1
% Succ 66.7   50.0 83.3   50.0 40.0   60.0 80.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 75.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 2.2   2.3 1.2   2.2 2.0   3.3 1.2   2.4 3.0   3.7 1.6   2.9 4.1   4.3 1.2   3.2
Net Error -1.1   -0.1 -0.1   0.9 -0.8   0.0 0.0   2.0 -1.1   1.6 0.1   2.4 -4.1   -0.7 0.8   3.2
Std Dev 1.5   1.7 1.4   1.5 1.6   3.2 0.9   1.5 2.7   3.2 1.4   2.5 4.1   4.3 1.2   3.2

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-26 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-26 86   87 68   68 85   87 67   69 79   86 64   69 81   85 65   68
08-16-26 81 84.1 °F 78 63 63.0°F 63 85   86 68   68 87   93 67   68 79   82 64   65
08-15-26 89 89.6 °F 86 70 68.8°F 71 82 84.1 °F 79 64 63.0°F 65 84   86 68   69 89   92 68   72
08-14-26 88 86.3 °F 89 71 75.0°F 73 90 89.6 °F 89 69 68.8°F 71 81 84.1 °F 85 64 63.0°F 71 81   87 66   72
08-13-26 91 89.4 °F 91 71 70.5°F 74 89 86.3 °F 93 72 75.0°F 75 89 89.6 °F 88 70 68.8°F 71 81 84.1 °F 78 66 63.0°F 67
08-12-26 93 94.6 °F 98 72 71.6°F 77 88 89.4 °F 91 71 70.5°F 74 90 86.3 °F 96 72 75.0°F 74 88 89.6 °F 95 69 68.8°F 69
08-11-26 95 96.4 °F 99 72 75.4°F 79 92 94.6 °F 98 71 71.6°F 72 84 89.4 °F 87 68 70.5°F 71 86 86.3 °F 97 71 75.0°F 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 1 4 2 2 2 4 3 1 2 2 2 2 0 1 2
% Succ 83.3   16.7 66.7   33.3 40.0   40.0 80.0   60.0 25.0   50.0 50.0   50.0 66.7   0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 1.7   3.3 1.6   2.8 1.8   3.5 1.1   1.6 3.2   3.7 1.9   2.9 1.7   7.4 2.4   1.7
Net Error -0.6   0.1 -0.9   2.1 -0.6   1.2 -0.4   1.6 -1.4   1.7 -0.8   2.4 -1.7   3.3 -0.3   1.7
Std Dev 1.0   1.9 1.5   2.0 1.4   3.0 1.2   1.3 2.8   3.4 1.7   3.6 1.7   7.4 2.4   1.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-26 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-26 86   87 68   68 84   87 67   70 80   86 65   69 83   84 67   67
08-16-26 81 84.1 °F 81 63 63.0°F 64 87   86 68   69 86   93 66   70 78   84 63   67
08-15-26 88 89.6 °F 89 69 68.8°F 73 83 84.1 °F 78 63 63.0°F 66 84   85 68   69 88   86 67   70
08-14-26 87 86.3 °F 85 72 75.0°F 72 89 89.6 °F 90 69 68.8°F 71 82 84.1 °F 86 64 63.0°F 67 84   85 68   69
08-13-26 91 89.4 °F 91 72 70.5°F 75 90 86.3 °F 93 71 75.0°F 76 90 89.6 °F 91 70 68.8°F 69 82 84.1 °F 77 65 63.0°F 67
08-12-26 94 94.6 °F 91 73 71.6°F 76 92 89.4 °F 93 71 70.5°F 75 89 86.3 °F 95 71 75.0°F 75 91 89.6 °F 94 70 68.8°F 68
08-11-26 95 96.4 °F 99 73 75.4°F 82 91 94.6 °F 101 72 71.6°F 72 86 89.4 °F 89 70 70.5°F 73 89 86.3 °F 96 71 75.0°F 74
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 3 4 1 2 1 4 2 1 3 3 2 1 0 2 2
% Succ 83.3   50.0 66.7   16.7 40.0   20.0 80.0   40.0 25.0   75.0 75.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 1.5   2.1 1.4   4.0 2.3   4.6 1.0   2.2 2.2   3.1 1.7   1.7 2.1   7.1 2.4   1.9
Net Error -0.7   -0.7 -0.4   3.0 0.2   2.2 -0.6   2.2 -0.6   2.9 -0.6   1.7 0.7   2.3 -0.3   0.7
Std Dev 1.0   1.4 1.2   2.1 1.9   3.7 1.6   1.5 1.9   2.8 1.5   1.9 2.1   7.1 2.4   1.9

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-26 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-26 86   69 68   86 84   71 67   87 80   69 65   84 83   67 67   88
08-16-26 81 84.1 °F 66 63 63.0°F 87 87   70 68   85 86   71 66   83 78   67 63   81
08-15-26 88 89.6 °F 73 69 68.8°F 77 83 84.1 °F 65 63 63.0°F 85 84   69 68   86 88   70 67   81
08-14-26 87 86.3 °F 74 72 75.0°F 90 89 89.6 °F 72 69 68.8°F 86 82 84.1 °F 67 64 63.0°F 85 84   69 68   92
08-13-26 91 89.4 °F 75 72 70.5°F 92 90 86.3 °F 75 71 75.0°F 90 90 89.6 °F 69 70 68.8°F 77 82 84.1 °F 67 65 63.0°F 84
08-12-26 94 94.6 °F 76 73 71.6°F 93 92 89.4 °F 75 71 70.5°F 95 89 86.3 °F 75 71 75.0°F 94 91 89.6 °F 68 70 68.8°F 80
08-11-26 95 96.4 °F 84 73 75.4°F 100 91 94.6 °F 73 72 71.6°F 90 86 89.4 °F 73 70 70.5°F 96 89 86.3 °F 74 71 75.0°F 95
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 4 0 2 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 2 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 66.7   0.0 40.0   0.0 80.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 1.5   15.4 1.4   19.1 2.3   16.8 1.0   19.4 2.2   16.4 1.7   18.7 2.1   17.0 2.4   17.4
Net Error -0.7   -15.4 -0.4   19.1 0.2   -16.8 -0.6   19.4 -0.6   -16.4 -0.6   18.7 0.7   -17.0 -0.3   17.4
Std Dev 1.0   6.7 1.2   9.5 1.9   11.0 1.6   12.5 1.9   14.2 1.5   16.3 2.1   17.0 2.4   17.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-26 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-26 68   73 84   83 67   72 80   88 65   70 83   86 67   69 88   90
08-16-26 63 63.0°F 65 87 84.1 °F 87 68   70 86   83 66   70 78   84 63   65 81   79
08-15-26 69 68.8°F 72 83 89.6 °F 81 63 63.0°F 67 84 84.1 °F 88 68   70 88   94 67   71 79   84
08-14-26 72 75.0°F 72 89 86.3 °F 87 69 68.8°F 69 82 89.6 °F 87 64 63.0°F 68 84 84.1 °F 88 68   69 90   93
08-13-26 72 70.5°F 73 90 89.4 °F 88 71 75.0°F 71 90 86.3 °F 88 70 68.8°F 70 82 89.6 °F 83 65 63.0°F 65 81 84.1 °F 85
08-12-26 73 71.6°F 76 92 94.6 °F 93 71 70.5°F 74 89 89.4 °F 92 71 75.0°F 74 91 86.3 °F 94 70 68.8°F 70 82 89.6 °F 75
08-11-26 73 75.4°F 83 91 96.4 °F 100 72 71.6°F 78 86 94.6 °F 94 70 70.5°F 76 89 89.4 °F 96 71 75.0°F 75 88 86.3 °F 95
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 1 3 4 1 2 2 3 2 2 0 2 3 1 1
% Succ 66.7   16.7 16.7   50.0 80.0   20.0 40.0   40.0 75.0   50.0 50.0   0.0 66.7   100.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 1.4   3.8 3.5   3.1 1.0   3.6 4.1   2.3 1.7   3.2 3.2   6.2 2.4   1.1 4.1   8.1
Net Error -0.4   2.8 -1.4   -0.7 -0.6   2.0 -2.6   1.0 -0.6   2.7 -0.8   2.9 -0.3   1.1 -3.0   -1.7
Std Dev 1.2   1.8 2.3   2.9 1.6   2.8 3.5   1.6 1.5   2.9 3.2   5.5 2.4   1.1 4.1   8.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-17-26 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-26 68   74 84   85 67   72 80   88 65   69 84   86 67   69 88   90
08-16-26 63 77.3°F 64 87 84.1 °F 87 68   69 86   85 66   70 78   85 63   65 81   79
08-15-26 69 68.5°F 74 81 89.6 °F 81 63 77.3°F 67 85 84.1 °F 87 68   71 87   93 67   71 79   84
08-14-26 72 77.7°F 75 89 86.3 °F 87 70 68.5°F 70 82 89.6 °F 87 64 77.3°F 69 84 84.1 °F 88 68   69 89   93
08-13-26 72 77.4°F 74 88 89.4 °F 85 71 77.7°F 71 90 86.3 °F 87 69 68.5°F 71 81 89.6 °F 83 64 77.3°F 66 81 84.1 °F 85
08-12-26 72 75.9°F 77 92 94.6 °F 91 71 77.4°F 74 89 89.4 °F 94 71 77.7°F 74 91 86.3 °F 94 70 68.5°F 69 82 89.6 °F 75
08-11-26 73 80.1°F 81 91 96.4 °F 97 72 75.9°F 76 86 94.6 °F 93 70 77.4°F 75 89 89.4 °F 96 71 77.7°F 74 88 86.3 °F 95
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 16.7   33.3 20.0   40.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 6.2   4.5 3.9   3.5 6.6   4.4 4.2   2.5 7.0   4.2 3.5   6.2 7.2   5.2 4.1   8.1
Net Error -6.0   -2.0 -2.1   -2.1 -6.0   -3.8 -2.4   0.8 -6.7   -3.0 -1.1   2.9 -6.2   -4.8 -3.0   -1.7
Std Dev 4.9   4.4 2.8   2.8 5.9   4.2 3.4   1.8 6.8   4.2 3.4   5.5 7.2   5.2 4.1   8.1

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.