SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 07-Oct-2022 8:34 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

100°F at Winter Haven Gilbert Ap, FL

Low Temp

18°F at Oscar (antler), ND
18°F at Glen Ullin Regional, ND
18°F at Mercer County Regional Airport, ND

Precipitation

0.98in at Chillicothe Agri-science Center, MO

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Thursday,
October 6, 2022

High Temp

80°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

36°F at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE

Precipitation

0.41in at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 07-Oct-2022 08:00 am

Today

Mostly Cloudy
High: 58°

Tonight

Clear
Low: 32°

Saturday

Sunny
High: 64°

Saturday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 43°

Sunday

Mostly Sunny
High: 74°

Sunday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 43°

Monday

Sunny
High: 78°

Monday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 55°

Tuesday

Sunny
High: 84°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 07-Oct-2022 8:16am CDT

Today

Sunny

Hi 58 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Clear then Widespread Frost

Clear then Widespread Frost

Lo 31 °F ↑

Saturday

Saturday: Widespread Frost then Sunny

Widespread Frost then Sunny

Hi 67 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Clear

Clear

Lo 44 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 77 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 46 °F

Columbus
Day
Columbus Day: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 77 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 53 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 82 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-07-22 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-07-22	42 ↑		42	56 ↓		57	30		32	67		64	44		38	76		73	44		43	75		77
10-06-22	53 ↑	47.5°F	49	72 ↓	73.0 °F	72	42 ↑		45	56		60	34		37	66		69	45		46	75		75
10-05-22	54 ↑	53.5°F	53	77	78.3 °F	75	54	47.5°F	53	72	73.0 °F	74	40		48	58		62	36		39	66		71
10-04-22	55 ↑	57.3°F	58	80 ↓	82.5 °F	84	55	53.5°F	57	77	78.3 °F	78	54	47.5°F	53	70	73.0 °F	71	38		45	56		64
10-03-22	54 ↑	63.6°F	56	83 ↓	84.0 °F	83	55 ↑	57.3°F	57	79	82.5 °F	83	54	53.5°F	54	78	78.3 °F	79	54	47.5°F	54	69	73.0 °F	75
10-02-22	52 ↑	62.6°F	56	82 ↓	82.2 °F	83	52 ↑	63.6°F	54	84	84.0 °F	79	56	57.3°F	55	80	82.5 °F	79	55	53.5°F	54	77	78.3 °F	78
10-01-22	55 ↑	60.8°F	57	80 ↓	81.5 °F	84	51 ↑	62.6°F	55	81	82.2 °F	82	53	63.6°F	52	83	84.0 °F	79	56	57.3°F	55	77	82.5 °F	81
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		3	5		4	1		1	4		4	2		1	2		2	2		1	1		3
% Succ	16.7		50.0	83.3		66.7	20.0		20.0	80.0		80.0	50.0		25.0	50.0		50.0	66.7		33.3	33.3		100.0
Ave Error	5.7		3.5	1.3		1.7	6.7		5.3	1.4		1.4	4.7		5.0	1.7		2.8	3.1		3.1	3.6		1.3
Net Error	-3.7		-2.7	-1.3		-0.1	-3.5		-1.7	-1.4		-0.8	-1.2		-2.0	-1.7		-2.5	2.2		1.6	-3.6		0.1
Std Dev	4.3		3.1	0.9		1.1	5.2		4.1	1.3		1.1	4.2		4.3	1.6		2.5	3.1		3.1	3.6		1.3

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-07-22 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-07-22	41 ↑		58	58		32	31 ↑		64	67		38	44		73	77		43	46		77	77		50
10-06-22	52	46.1°F	71	72 ↓	73.0 °F	46	43 ↑		60	57		37	34		69	67		46	45		75	75		42
10-05-22	54	50.9°F	77	76	78.3 °F	54	53	46.1°F	76	73	73.0 °F	48	43		62	58		39	36		71	66		46
10-04-22	>75	54.5°F	84	<55	82.5 °F	57	75	50.9°F	78	<55	78.3 °F	53	70	46.1°F	71	>35	73.0 °F	45	55		64	35		44
10-03-22	53 ↑	58.9°F	82	84	84.0 °F	55	55 ↑	54.5°F	81	80	82.5 °F	53	54	50.9°F	78	78	78.3 °F	53	54	46.1°F	75	69	73.0 °F	43
10-02-22	52 ↑	59.9°F	84	82	82.2 °F	54	52 ↑	58.9°F	81	84	84.0 °F	53	56	54.5°F	75	80	82.5 °F	53	54	50.9°F	77	75	78.3 °F	49
10-01-22	55 ↑	57.2°F	83	83	81.5 °F	54	51 ↑	59.9°F	82	84	82.2 °F	52	53	58.9°F	80	84	84.0 °F	55	56	54.5°F	82	78	82.5 °F	56
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	4		0	1		0	3		0	1		0	2		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	66.7		0.0	20.0		0.0	60.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	13.3		25.6	14.6		26.9	9.5		25.5	16.5		28.2	8.6		23.4	19.0		28.0	4.2		27.5	3.9		28.6
Net Error	-10.3		25.6	-14.1		-26.9	3.1		25.5	-15.8		-28.2	5.7		23.4	-19.0		-28.0	4.2		27.5	-3.9		-28.6
Std Dev	18.8		10.6	30.5		11.1	9.8		16.3	31.1		17.9	10.7		20.3	31.6		24.2	4.2		27.5	3.9		28.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-07-22 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-07-22	58		58	31 ↑		32	67		64	44		43	77		74	46		43	77		78	53		55
10-06-22	72 ↓	73.0 °F	71	43 ↑	43.1°F	46	57 ↓		60	34		37	67		69	45		46	75		75	45		42
10-05-22	76	49.5°F	75	53	78.3 °F	54	73 ↓	73.0 °F	75	43	43.1°F	47	58		59	36		39	66		69	46		45
10-04-22	80 ↓	82.5 °F	85	54 ↑	52.7°F	58	76 ↓	49.5°F	81	54	78.3 °F	56	70	73.0 °F	78	38	43.1°F	46	57		64	37		44
10-03-22	84	84.0 °F	79	55 ↑	58.3°F	53	80 ↓	82.5 °F	80	54	52.7°F	54	78	49.5°F	78	54	78.3 °F	52	69	73.0 °F	71	39	43.1°F	42
10-02-22	82	82.2 °F	84	52 ↑	55.5°F	57	84	84.0 °F	83	56	58.3°F	55	80	82.5 °F	81	54	52.7°F	54	75	49.5°F	77	53	78.3 °F	50
10-01-22	83	81.5 °F	83	51 ↑	56.9°F	54	84	82.2 °F	82	53	55.5°F	52	84	84.0 °F	80	56	58.3°F	55	78	82.5 °F	82	53	52.7°F	56
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		3	2		1	3		3	2		1	1		1	1		1	0		2	1		1
% Succ	66.7		50.0	33.3		16.7	60.0		60.0	40.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0			66.7	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	5.3		6.4	6.6		7.0	6.2		7.4	6.1		6.9	8.5		9.8	8.3		8.5	11.3		10.0	9.9		10.9
Net Error	4.1		4.1	-6.1		-3.8	5.2		6.0	-5.6		-4.8	5.8		7.0	-7.6		-6.4	5.7		8.3	-9.7		-8.7
Std Dev	9.6		8.8	9.0		8.2	10.4		12.2	9.6		8.6	7.9		8.8	7.3		7.8	11.3		10.0	9.9		10.9

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-06-22	72 ↓		71	43 ↑		46	57 ↓		60	34		37	67		69	45		46	75		75	45		42
10-05-22	76	49.5°F	74	53	78.3 °F	52	73 ↓		73	43		47	58		59	36		39	66		69	46		45
10-04-22	81 ↓	82.5 °F	82	54 ↑	52.7°F	56	76 ↓	49.5°F	79	54	78.3 °F	54	70		76	38		46	57		63	37		44
10-03-22	84	84.0 °F	82	55 ↑	58.3°F	57	80 ↓	82.5 °F	83	54	52.7°F	55	78	49.5°F	79	54	78.3 °F	52	69		72	39		41
10-02-22	82	82.2 °F	81	52 ↑	55.5°F	55	84	84.0 °F	82	56	58.3°F	55	80	82.5 °F	81	54	52.7°F	54	75	49.5°F	77	53	78.3 °F	50
10-01-22	83	81.5 °F	81	54 ↑	56.8°F	53	84	82.2 °F	80	53	55.5°F	54	84	84.0 °F	80	58	58.3°F	54	78	82.5 °F	81	53	52.7°F	55
09-30-22	82 ↓	81.5 °F	79	55 ↑	55.0°F	52	80 ↓	81.5 °F	81	51	56.8°F	53	81	82.2 °F	81	53	55.5°F	53	82	84.0 °F	78	56	58.3°F	57
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		4	2		2	3		3	1		1	2		2	2		1	1		1	1		1
% Succ	83.3		66.7	33.3		33.3	60.0		60.0	20.0		20.0	50.0		50.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	5.0		5.2	6.0		6.4	6.5		6.9	7.2		7.0	8.1		9.1	7.1		8.6	10.7		11.7	9.3		10.6
Net Error	4.5		3.0	-5.6		-5.3	4.9		5.1	-6.7		-6.1	6.2		5.7	-6.5		-8.0	6.3		6.7	-9.1		-9.1
Std Dev	9.7		8.9	8.7		9.3	10.4		11.6	9.5		9.3	12.4		12.9	10.6		11.6	10.7		11.7	9.3		10.6

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-06-22	73 ↓		73	43 ↑		44	57 ↓		59	34		35	67		67	45		44	75		75	45		46
10-05-22	75	78.3 °F	79	<55	49.5°F	53	<75		75	<45		47	55		59	35		37	65		66	<55		44
10-04-22	81	82.5 °F	83	54 ↑	52.7°F	55	77	78.3 °F	78	54	49.5°F	53	70		74	38		46	57		63	37		42
10-03-22	84	84.0 °F	83	55 ↑	58.3°F	56	80 ↓	82.5 °F	80	54	52.7°F	56	78	78.3 °F	78	54	49.5°F	55	69		72	39		42
10-02-22	82	82.2 °F	81	52 ↑	55.5°F	53	84	84.0 °F	79	56	58.3°F	54	80	82.5 °F	80	54	52.7°F	53	75	78.3 °F	77	53	49.5°F	49
10-01-22	83	81.5 °F	80	54 ↑	56.8°F	53	84	82.2 °F	80	53	55.5°F	54	84	84.0 °F	79	58	58.3°F	56	78	82.5 °F	81	53	52.7°F	58
09-30-22	82 ↓	81.5 °F	79	55 ↑	55.0°F	53	80 ↓	81.5 °F	80	51	56.8°F	53	81	82.2 °F	80	53	55.5°F	51	82	84.0 °F	79	56	58.3°F	55
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		5	2		1	4		2	1		1	3		1	2		1	1		2	1		1
% Succ	83.3		83.3	33.3		16.7	80.0		40.0	20.0		20.0	75.0		25.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		66.7	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	1.2		1.2	10.1		2.7	1.4		2.3	3.3		3.3	1.0		2.5	2.2		3.2	3.3		2.6	2.0		3.0
Net Error	-0.5		-0.8	-9.6		-0.8	-0.7		-2.3	-1.0		-0.6	-1.0		-2.5	0.8		-0.3	-3.3		-2.6	0.5		0.5
Std Dev	1.2		0.6	17.7		1.3	1.2		2.1	2.4		2.1	0.9		2.4	2.2		3.0	3.3		2.6	2.0		3.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-06-22	73 ↓		45	42 ↑		59	56 ↓		35	30		67	67		44	44		75	76		47	44		77
10-05-22	76 ↓	78.3 °F	52	53 ↑	49.5°F	75	72 ↓		48	42		58	56		38	34		65	66		44	45		72
10-04-22	83 ↓	82.5 °F	56	54 ↑	52.7°F	77	77	78.3 °F	52	54	49.5°F	73	72		45	40		62	58		42	36		69
10-03-22	86 ↓	84.0 °F	56	56 ↑	58.3°F	81	80 ↓	82.5 °F	56	55	52.7°F	78	77	78.3 °F	55	54	49.5°F	72	70		42	38		63
10-02-22	82	82.2 °F	55	54 ↑	55.5°F	80	83	84.0 °F	56	56	58.3°F	81	80	82.5 °F	54	54	52.7°F	77	78	78.3 °F	49	54	49.5°F	71
10-01-22	82	81.5 °F	54	52 ↑	56.8°F	81	82 ↓	82.2 °F	54	52	55.5°F	80	84	84.0 °F	55	56	58.3°F	80	80	82.5 °F	57	55	52.7°F	78
09-30-22	84 ↓	81.5 °F	54	55 ↑	55.0°F	80	80 ↓	81.5 °F	53	51	56.8°F	80	81	82.2 °F	50	53	55.5°F	79	83	84.0 °F	55	56	58.3°F	79
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		0	3		0	4		0	0		0	3		0	1		0	2		0	0		0
% Succ	66.7		0.0	50.0		0.0	80.0		0.0			0.0	75.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	66.7		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	1.3		27.2	2.2		24.4	1.3		27.5	3.7		23.8	1.3		28.3	2.7		23.0	1.3		27.9	3.0		22.5
Net Error	0.5		-27.2	-0.6		24.4	-1.3		-27.5	-1.0		23.8	-1.3		-28.3	0.3		23.0	-1.3		-27.9	1.5		22.5
Std Dev	1.0		11.1	1.6		10.0	1.0		17.4	2.5		15.1	1.1		24.6	2.5		19.9	1.3		27.9	3.0		22.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-06-22	42 ↑		46	56 ↓		59	30		35	67		67	44		46	76		75	44		46	75		79
10-05-22	53 ↑	49.5°F	54	72 ↓	78.3 °F	74	42 ↑		48	56		60	34		38	66		69	45		46	75		75
10-04-22	54 ↑	52.7°F	57	77	82.5 °F	76	54	49.5°F	51	72	78.3 °F	72	40		47	58		61	36		38	66		69
10-03-22	56 ↑	58.3°F	57	80 ↓	84.0 °F	83	55	52.7°F	58	77	82.5 °F	78	54	49.5°F	54	70	78.3 °F	76	38		44	56		63
10-02-22	54 ↑	55.5°F	56	83	82.2 °F	83	56 ↑	58.3°F	58	80	84.0 °F	82	54	52.7°F	54	78	82.5 °F	79	54	49.5°F	52	69	78.3 °F	74
10-01-22	52 ↑	56.8°F	54	82 ↓	81.5 °F	84	52 ↑	55.5°F	54	84	82.2 °F	81	56	58.3°F	56	80	84.0 °F	81	55	52.7°F	54	77	82.5 °F	77
09-30-22	55 ↑	55.0°F	56	80 ↓	81.5 °F	84	51 ↑	56.8°F	57	81	81.5 °F	82	53	55.5°F	52	83	82.2 °F	81	56	58.3°F	55	77	84.0 °F	79
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		3	3		2	0		4	2		3	1		1	1		1	0		1	0		0
% Succ	50.0		50.0	50.0		33.3			80.0	40.0		60.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	2.2		2.4	3.1		2.9	3.7		1.8	3.6		2.9	2.7		2.9	4.4		2.5	3.0		2.4	7.3		4.9
Net Error	-0.6		1.0	-2.7		-1.0	-1.0		1.0	-2.9		-2.7	0.3		0.0	-4.0		-2.5	1.5		0.2	-7.3		-4.9
Std Dev	1.6		1.8	2.5		2.3	2.5		2.0	2.7		2.5	2.5		2.6	4.3		2.2	3.0		2.4	7.3		4.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-06-22	42 ↑		46	56 ↓		60	30		36	67		68	44		46	76		75	44		46	75		79
10-05-22	53 ↑	50.5°F	51	72 ↓	78.3 °F	72	42 ↑		46	56		60	34		38	66		69	45		46	75		75
10-04-22	54 ↑	56.7°F	55	77	82.5 °F	77	54	50.5°F	54	72	78.3 °F	76	40		48	58		61	36		38	66		69
10-03-22	56 ↑	61.0°F	56	80 ↓	84.0 °F	81	55	56.7°F	57	77	82.5 °F	78	54	50.5°F	53	70	78.3 °F	76	38		43	56		63
10-02-22	54 ↑	66.4°F	56	83	82.2 °F	81	56 ↑	61.0°F	55	80	84.0 °F	81	54	56.7°F	54	78	82.5 °F	78	54	50.5°F	52	69	78.3 °F	74
10-01-22	52 ↑	66.8°F	54	82 ↓	81.5 °F	81	52 ↑	66.4°F	54	84	82.2 °F	79	56	61.0°F	56	80	84.0 °F	81	55	56.7°F	54	77	82.5 °F	77
09-30-22	55 ↑	63.4°F	54	80 ↓	81.5 °F	80	51 ↑	66.8°F	53	81	81.5 °F	79	53	66.4°F	51	83	82.2 °F	80	56	61.0°F	54	77	84.0 °F	79
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	3		3	1		1	2		0	0		0	1		0	1		1	0		0
% Succ			33.3	50.0		50.0	20.0		20.0	40.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		33.3			0.0
Ave Error	7.6		6.6	3.1		3.0	8.1		7.2	3.6		3.1	6.2		6.4	4.4		3.0	3.4		3.7	7.3		4.9
Net Error	-6.8		-6.5	-2.7		-3.0	-6.7		-5.7	-2.9		-3.1	-4.4		-5.2	-4.0		-3.0	-1.1		-2.7	-7.3		-4.9
Std Dev	5.6		5.2	2.5		2.4	6.4		5.8	2.7		2.1	5.5		5.9	4.3		2.6	3.4		3.7	7.3		4.9

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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