Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 22-Jan-2020 05:00 am

Today

Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
High: 36°
Tonight

Chance rain
Cold!
Chance rain
Cold!
Low: 31°
Thursday

Snow
Snow
High: 35°
Thursday
night
Snow
Snow
Low: 29°
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 35°
Friday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 20°
Saturday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 45°
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 27°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 54°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 22-Jan-2020 3:59am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Rain And Snow
Rain And Snow

Lo 29 °F ↑
Wednesday

Wednesday: Rain And Snow
Rain And Snow

Hi 35 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Slight Chance Light Rain then Chance Rain And Snow
Slight Chance Light Rain then Chance Rain And Snow

Lo 32 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Light Snow Likely
Light Snow Likely

Hi 32 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Light Snow
Chance Light Snow

Lo 24 °F
Friday

Friday: Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Hi 31 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 19 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 33 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 20 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-22-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-22-20 28 ↑   31 37   36 29 ↑   31 36   35 23   29 32   38 21   21 36   41
01-21-20 -1 31.7°F 2 27 ↓ 33.1 °F 35 27 ↑   29 38   38 29   33 36   39 22   25 32   33
01-20-20 2 ↑ 2.8°F 6 12 13.6 °F 24 -2 ↑ 31.7°F 7 34 33.1 °F 36 28   27 41   40 31   34 38   38
01-19-20 3 ↑ 8.8°F 8 16 ↓ 15.5 °F 26 -2 ↑ 2.8°F 8 11 13.6 °F 28 -4 31.7°F 10 29 33.1 °F 37 23   30 42   42
01-18-20 18 ↑ 13.0°F 28 25 ↓ 34.9 °F 38 6 ↑ 8.8°F 9 15 15.5 °F 27 -1 2.8°F 6 15 13.6 °F 27 4 31.7°F 6 34 33.1 °F 37
01-17-20 15 ↑ 29.3°F 13 35 34.1 °F 33 20 ↑ 13.0°F 27 27 34.9 °F 33 6 8.8°F 11 16 15.5 °F 28 2 2.8°F 13 21 13.6 °F 29
01-16-20 2 ↑ 13.1°F 4 23 ↓ 16.2 °F 29 18 ↑ 29.3°F 20 37 34.1 °F 36 20 13.0°F 23 29 34.9 °F 29 7 8.8°F 10 18 15.5 °F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 2 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 1 1 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   33.3     20.0 40.0   40.0     0.0 50.0   0.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 11.6   12.4 4.3   6.6 11.9   10.7 3.0   6.5 12.3   9.3 3.0   8.9 10.1   12.4 3.6   10.6
Net Error -10.0   -6.3 -1.6   6.3 -9.1   -2.9 -1.4   5.8 -8.8   -1.6 -2.0   6.0 -10.1   -4.8 3.6   10.6
Std Dev 11.4   10.7 3.8   4.8 13.4   10.6 2.4   6.1 15.8   10.2 2.6   8.1 10.1   12.4 3.6   10.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-22-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-22-20 29 ↑   36 35   31 32   35 32   29 24   35 31   20 19   45 33   27
01-21-20 -1 31.7°F 35 28 ↓ 33.1 °F 29 27 ↑   38 38   32 30   37 35   24 23   39 31   23
01-20-20 2 ↑ 2.7°F 25 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 9 -1 31.7°F 37 34 33.1 °F 29 27   40 39   32 30   33 37   19
01-19-20 3 ↑ 7.8°F 25 15 ↓ 15.5 °F 7 0 2.7°F 26 11 13.6 °F 8 -2 31.7°F 35 32 33.1 °F 28 27   40 41   35
01-18-20 18 ↑ 6.8°F 29 25 ↓ 34.9 °F 14 6 ↑ 7.8°F 34 17 15.5 °F 9 0 2.7°F 26 13 13.6 °F 7 1 31.7°F 38 29 33.1 °F 25
01-17-20 15 ↑ 17.9°F 32 35 34.1 °F 27 20 ↑ 6.8°F 29 27 34.9 °F 14 6 7.8°F 32 16 15.5 °F 10 2 2.7°F 21 21 13.6 °F 8
01-16-20 1 ↑ 13.1°F 25 23 ↓ 16.2 °F 15 18 ↑ 17.9°F 32 36 34.1 °F 23 20 6.8°F 30 27 34.9 °F 16 7 7.8°F 27 18 15.5 °F 9
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 3 1 2 0 3 0 1 0 3 0 2 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 50.0   16.7 40.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 10.7   15.2 4.1   7.7 10.1   18.2 3.0   9.6 12.9   18.5 2.5   9.0 10.7   14.6 4.7   6.7
Net Error -7.0   15.2 -1.6   -7.7 -4.8   18.2 -1.2   -9.6 -6.3   18.5 -2.3   -9.0 -10.7   14.6 1.9   -6.7
Std Dev 11.5   8.9 3.7   6.5 12.9   13.6 2.2   7.0 15.2   17.7 2.3   8.1 10.7   14.6 4.7   6.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-21-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-21-20 27 ↓   36 27 ↑   30 38   39 30   32 35   37 23   24 31   39 23   24
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 25 -1 2.7°F 9 34 ↓   37 27   29 39   40 30   32 37   33 24   20
01-19-20 15 ↓ 15.5 °F 22 0 5.9°F 6 11 ↓ 13.6 °F 25 -2 2.7°F 7 32   35 27   28 41   40 31   35
01-18-20 25 ↓ 34.9 °F 32 6 ↑ 3.7°F 14 17 ↓ 15.5 °F 33 0 5.9°F 8 13 13.6 °F 26 1 2.7°F 7 29   37 25   25
01-17-20 34 34.1 °F 32 19 ↑ 14.3°F 27 27 ↓ 34.9 °F 29 7 3.7°F 14 16 15.5 °F 32 1 5.9°F 10 20 13.6 °F 22 11 2.7°F 7
01-16-20 22 ↓ 16.2 °F 27 18 ↑ 13.1°F 16 36 34.1 °F 32 20 14.3°F 23 27 34.9 °F 31 7 3.7°F 18 18 15.5 °F 27 4 5.9°F 10
01-15-20 31 ↓ 32.7 °F 35 6 ↑ 2.1°F 8 26 ↓ 16.2 °F 30 19 13.1°F 21 40 34.1 °F 36 20 14.3°F 20 28 34.9 °F 24 8 3.7°F 12
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0     16.7 40.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.3   6.0 4.2   6.4 4.7   10.1 5.1   6.7 3.7   8.7 3.9   7.1 5.3   10.3 4.8   5.6
Net Error -1.3   4.3 1.0   6.4 0.5   6.9 0.9   6.7 -0.5   6.7 0.6   7.1 0.7   3.0 3.6   5.6
Std Dev 3.7   4.3 2.1   5.0 3.7   7.5 3.3   5.1 3.6   7.7 3.6   6.3 5.3   10.3 4.8   5.6

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-21-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-21-20 27 ↓   29 27 ↑   25 38   42 30   34 35   35 23   29 31   34 23   24
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 18 -1 2.7°F 4 34 ↓   33 27   26 39   36 30   28 37   32 24   23
01-19-20 15 ↓ 15.5 °F 15 0 5.9°F 2 11 ↓ 13.6 °F 21 -2 2.7°F 7 32   34 27   28 41   41 31   36
01-18-20 25 ↓ 34.9 °F 24 6 ↑ 3.7°F 11 17 ↓ 15.5 °F 32 0 5.9°F 7 13 13.6 °F 21 1 2.7°F 6 29   36 25   27
01-17-20 34 34.1 °F 34 19 ↑ 14.3°F 28 27 ↓ 34.9 °F 37 7 3.7°F 10 16 15.5 °F 29 1 5.9°F 11 20 13.6 °F 26 11 2.7°F 8
01-16-20 22 ↓ 16.2 °F 22 18 ↑ 13.1°F 13 36 34.1 °F 35 20 14.3°F 27 27 34.9 °F 32 7 3.7°F 15 18 15.5 °F 28 4 5.9°F 10
01-15-20 31 ↓ 32.7 °F 32 6 ↑ 2.1°F 8 26 ↓ 16.2 °F 31 19 13.1°F 21 40 34.1 °F 35 20 14.3°F 22 28 34.9 °F 24 8 3.7°F 8
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 3 0 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 66.7   50.0     33.3 40.0   20.0     20.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.3   3.7 4.2   5.4 4.7   8.3 5.1   6.5 3.7   6.2 3.9   6.9 5.3   11.9 4.8   4.6
Net Error -1.3   -0.3 1.0   4.0 0.5   8.3 0.9   6.5 -0.5   4.7 0.6   6.9 0.7   4.7 3.6   4.6
Std Dev 3.7   4.0 2.1   5.0 3.7   7.0 3.3   4.8 3.6   5.4 3.6   6.2 5.3   11.9 4.8   4.6

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-21-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-21-20 27   28 27 ↑   23 38   37 30   32 35   34 23   29 31   34 23   24
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 14 -1 ↑ 2.7°F 2 34 ↓   31 27   25 39   36 30   28 37   32 24   23
01-19-20 15 ↓ 15.5 °F 16 0 5.9°F 2 11 ↓ 13.6 °F 19 -2 2.7°F 5 32   33 27   28 41   41 31   36
01-18-20 25 ↓ 34.9 °F 23 6 ↑ 3.7°F 11 17 ↓ 15.5 °F 32 0 5.9°F 7 13 13.6 °F 21 1 2.7°F 6 29   36 25   27
01-17-20 34 34.1 °F 34 19 ↑ 14.3°F 27 27 ↓ 34.9 °F 37 7 3.7°F 9 16 15.5 °F 29 1 5.9°F 8 20 13.6 °F 24 11 2.7°F 7
01-16-20 22 ↓ 16.2 °F 18 18 ↑ 13.1°F 11 36 34.1 °F 31 20 14.3°F 26 27 34.9 °F 31 7 3.7°F 16 18 15.5 °F 28 4 5.9°F 10
01-15-20 30 ↓ 32.7 °F 26 6 ↑ 2.1°F 4 26 ↓ 16.2 °F 27 19 13.1°F 19 40 34.1 °F 35 20 14.3°F 22 28 34.9 °F 24 8 3.7°F 8
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 4 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   66.7     33.3 40.0   0.0     20.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.4   3.6 4.2   4.8 4.7   7.6 5.1   5.3 3.7   6.4 3.9   6.4 5.3   11.3 4.8   4.2
Net Error -1.5   -2.7 1.0   2.5 0.5   6.3 0.9   5.3 -0.5   4.5 0.6   6.4 0.7   4.0 3.6   4.2
Std Dev 3.7   4.4 2.1   4.4 3.7   6.8 3.3   4.0 3.6   5.6 3.6   5.7 5.3   11.3 4.8   4.2

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-21-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-21-20 27   25 27 ↑   36 38   32 30   36 35   28 23   41 31   24 23   42
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 2 -3 2.7°F 32 27 ↓   26 27   37 38   30 29   32 36   24 22   30
01-19-20 15 ↓ 15.5 °F 1 -1 5.9°F 21 12 13.6 °F 7 -2 2.7°F 35 34   28 28   40 41   34 31   36
01-18-20 25 ↓ 34.9 °F 10 6 ↑ 3.7°F 29 17 ↓ 15.5 °F 7 0 5.9°F 25 13 13.6 °F 8 1 2.7°F 37 29   29 25   41
01-17-20 35 ↓ 34.1 °F 29 18 ↑ 14.3°F 38 25 ↓ 34.9 °F 10 6 3.7°F 27 15 15.5 °F 8 -1 5.9°F 23 15 13.6 °F 7 4 2.7°F 34
01-16-20 22 ↓ 16.2 °F 9 15 ↑ 13.1°F 36 35 34.1 °F 29 20 14.3°F 35 27 34.9 °F 11 6 3.7°F 26 16 15.5 °F 13 2 5.9°F 31
01-15-20 30 ↓ 32.7 °F 4 3 ↑ 2.1°F 28 23 ↓ 16.2 °F 17 18 13.1°F 36 37 34.1 °F 24 20 14.3°F 27 29 34.9 °F 8 7 3.7°F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 2 0 3 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 60.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.6   15.3 3.6   23.7 4.1   9.2 4.7   23.7 3.0   11.8 4.2   21.6 2.6   12.0 2.8   26.6
Net Error -1.3   -15.3 -0.6   23.7 -0.5   -8.9 0.5   23.7 -1.5   -11.8 -0.2   21.6 -1.3   -12.0 0.2   26.6
Std Dev 3.6   9.2 2.3   10.6 4.0   9.2 3.2   15.6 2.8   10.7 3.8   19.8 2.6   12.0 2.8   26.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-21-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-21-20 28 ↑   30 37   37 29 ↑   32 36   36 23   28 32   42 21   25 36   43
01-20-20 -3 2.7°F 3 27 ↓ 13.6 °F 32 27 ↑   26 38   38 29   30 36   33 22   25 32   30
01-19-20 -1 5.9°F 2 12 15.5 °F 22 -2 ↑ 2.7°F 7 34 13.6 °F 35 28   28 41   41 31   34 38   36
01-18-20 4 ↑ 3.7°F 7 16 ↓ 34.9 °F 26 -2 ↑ 5.9°F 7 11 15.5 °F 25 -4 2.7°F 8 29 13.6 °F 37 23   29 42   41
01-17-20 18 ↑ 14.3°F 28 25 ↓ 34.1 °F 37 6 ↑ 3.7°F 9 15 34.9 °F 27 -1 5.9°F 8 15 15.5 °F 22 4 2.7°F 7 34 13.6 °F 34
01-16-20 15 ↑ 13.1°F 12 35 16.2 °F 34 20 ↑ 14.3°F 30 27 34.1 °F 35 6 3.7°F 12 16 34.9 °F 26 2 5.9°F 13 21 15.5 °F 31
01-15-20 3 ↑ 2.1°F 3 23 ↓ 32.7 °F 28 18 ↑ 13.1°F 17 37 16.2 °F 36 20 14.3°F 24 29 34.1 °F 27 7 3.7°F 7 18 34.9 °F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   50.0     0.0     20.0     20.0     0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 3.2   3.9 12.2   9.9 5.1   6.1 14.5   11.9 5.4   6.4 10.0   11.5 2.8   4.9 14.3   14.6
Net Error -1.0   2.2 -1.5   5.3 0.1   6.1 1.9   8.7 -1.4   6.4 -2.3   3.5 0.2   4.9 3.0   9.3
Std Dev 2.6   4.7 7.4   7.0 3.7   4.5 10.8   8.9 4.7   5.5 9.1   11.6 2.8   4.9 14.3   14.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-21-20 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-21-20 28 ↑   32 37   37 29 ↑   32 36   35 23   29 32   38 21   21 36   42
01-20-20 -3 31.7°F 3 27 ↓ 13.6 °F 36 27 ↑   30 38   40 29   33 36   39 22   25 32   33
01-19-20 2 ↑ 4.0°F 3 12 15.5 °F 23 -2 ↑ 31.7°F 7 34 13.6 °F 35 28   26 41   40 31   34 38   38
01-18-20 3 ↑ 8.8°F 7 16 ↓ 34.9 °F 25 -2 ↑ 4.0°F 8 11 15.5 °F 27 -4 31.7°F 8 29 13.6 °F 35 23   30 42   43
01-17-20 18 ↑ 15.5°F 25 25 ↓ 34.1 °F 34 6 ↑ 8.8°F 8 15 34.9 °F 27 -1 4.0°F 6 15 15.5 °F 27 4 31.7°F 6 34 13.6 °F 37
01-16-20 15 ↑ 33.9°F 12 35 16.2 °F 34 20 ↑ 15.5°F 30 27 34.1 °F 35 6 8.8°F 12 16 34.9 °F 26 2 4.0°F 13 21 15.5 °F 31
01-15-20 3 ↑ 13.1°F 2 23 ↓ 32.7 °F 27 18 ↑ 33.9°F 17 37 16.2 °F 35 20 15.5°F 25 29 34.1 °F 34 7 8.8°F 15 18 34.9 °F 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   33.3     16.7     20.0     20.0     25.0 25.0   25.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 12.3   12.3 12.2   10.6 12.6   12.2 14.5   12.1 12.0   9.6 10.0   10.5 10.5   13.6 14.3   14.6
Net Error -11.5   -9.2 -1.5   5.3 -10.8   -4.8 1.9   8.9 -9.8   -2.3 -2.3   6.0 -10.5   -3.5 3.0   11.3
Std Dev 12.5   11.2 7.4   8.4 13.4   11.4 10.8   8.9 15.8   10.9 9.1   10.6 10.5   13.6 14.3   14.6

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.