Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 06-Apr-2020 11:00 pm

Rest of
tonight
Fog
Fog
Low: 56°
Tuesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 82°
Tuesday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 50°
Wednesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 72°
Wednesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 34°
Thursday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 52°
Thursday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 31°
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 58°
Friday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 40°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 06-Apr-2020 10:35pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 54 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 79 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 50 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 70 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 35 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 54 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 30 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 62 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 43 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 50   49 72   67 52 ↑   51 80   78 51   48 71   73 37   35 59   52
04-05-20 29 53.1°F 32 61 61.7 °F 63 48   43 74   68 54   48 80   78 50   49 69   66
04-04-20 26 35.1°F 22 51 52.6 °F 52 31 53.1°F 30 62 61.7 °F 62 50   44 76   73 54   53 80   81
04-03-20 25 27.1°F 23 42 38.4 °F 39 25 ↑ 35.1°F 22 51 52.6 °F 52 32 53.1°F 31 64 61.7 °F 60 50   43 75   70
04-02-20 55 24.2°F 54 64 ↓ 65.0 °F 68 30 ↑ 27.1°F 36 43 38.4 °F 45 28 35.1°F 28 52 52.6 °F 52 36 53.1°F 31 65 61.7 °F 63
04-01-20 47 58.4°F 47 75 76.5 °F 74 53 ↑ 24.2°F 52 65 65.0 °F 64 33 27.1°F 38 44 38.4 °F 39 28 35.1°F 24 54 52.6 °F 54
03-31-20 47 54.3°F 48 67 70.4 °F 68 46 58.4°F 43 72 76.5 °F 72 53 24.2°F 52 66 65.0 °F 61 35 27.1°F 39 47 38.4 °F 40
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 4 3 0 0 3 3 0 0 2 3 0 0 1 3
% Succ     0.0 66.7   50.0     0.0 60.0   60.0     0.0 50.0   75.0     0.0 33.3   100.0
Ave Error 14.1   14.3 2.0   1.7 15.3   17.7 2.2   2.6 15.7   17.0 2.4   1.7 10.7   15.0 4.4   1.4
Net Error -3.9   -4.4 -0.8   -0.1 -2.6   -3.0 -0.2   0.2 1.6   2.4 2.1   -1.4 -5.4   -7.1 4.4   1.4
Std Dev 11.2   10.0 1.3   1.2 11.8   12.3 2.0   2.8 13.9   14.9 2.1   1.5 10.7   15.0 4.4   1.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 50   69 73 ↓   51 53 ↑   78 81   48 50   73 71   35 36   52 56   32
04-05-20 25 52.5°F 62 60 61.7 °F 43 47 ↑   69 72   50 53   78 80   50 51   66 71   37
04-04-20 25 33.5°F 52 50 52.6 °F 30 29 ↑ 52.5°F 62 63 61.7 °F 44 50   73 76   53 54   81 81   48
04-03-20 25 26.2°F 37 42 38.4 °F 21 23 ↑ 33.5°F 51 51 52.6 °F 31 30 52.5°F 59 63 61.7 °F 43 50   69 74   54
04-02-20 53 23.6°F 69 59 ↓ 65.0 °F 36 29 26.2°F 45 42 38.4 °F 28 25 33.5°F 53 49 52.6 °F 32 32 52.5°F 63 63 61.7 °F 47
04-01-20 47 54.1°F 76 73 76.5 °F 53 53 ↑ 23.6°F 66 62 65.0 °F 40 31 26.2°F 41 42 38.4 °F 24 26 33.5°F 54 51 52.6 °F 33
03-31-20 47 ↑ 50.6°F 70 67 70.4 °F 45 47 54.1°F 74 73 76.5 °F 52 53 23.6°F 62 65 65.0 °F 39 35 26.2°F 41 46 38.4 °F 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 16.7   0.0     0.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 12.9   20.9 3.5   22.8 14.7   21.6 2.6   19.8 16.3   19.8 2.1   19.9 12.3   15.3 3.5   16.2
Net Error -3.1   20.9 -2.3   -22.8 -1.8   21.6 -0.6   -19.8 0.8   19.8 0.3   -19.9 -6.4   15.3 2.4   -16.2
Std Dev 11.8   14.6 1.9   10.0 11.5   14.9 1.9   13.3 14.5   18.4 1.9   17.3 12.3   15.3 3.5   16.2

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 73 ↓   69 53 ↑   51 81 ↓   81 50   50 71   70 36   34 56   49 33   29
04-05-20 60 61.7 °F 61 47 ↑ 52.5°F 46 72 ↓   68 53   49 80   77 51   48 71   67 37   37
04-04-20 50 52.6 °F 52 29 ↑ 30.6°F 30 63 ↓ 61.7 °F 61 50 52.5°F 45 76   75 54   51 81   79 49   46
04-03-20 42 38.4 °F 34 23 ↑ 25.8°F 19 51 ↓ 52.6 °F 53 30 30.6°F 30 63 61.7 °F 59 50 52.5°F 41 74   69 53   48
04-02-20 59 ↓ 65.0 °F 67 29 23.4°F 35 42 38.4 °F 45 25 25.8°F 28 49 52.6 °F 53 32 30.6°F 33 63 61.7 °F 60 50 52.5°F 43
04-01-20 73 76.5 °F 73 53 ↑ 53.7°F 54 62 ↓ 65.0 °F 68 31 23.4°F 36 42 38.4 °F 47 26 25.8°F 29 51 52.6 °F 53 35 30.6°F 33
03-31-20 67 70.4 °F 70 47 47.6°F 46 73 76.5 °F 72 53 53.7°F 52 65 65.0 °F 61 35 23.4°F 41 46 38.4 °F 42 29 25.8°F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 4 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 1 2 0 2 2 0 0
% Succ 16.7   66.7 50.0   50.0 40.0   40.0 60.0   40.0 50.0   25.0 50.0   0.0 66.7   66.7     0.0
Ave Error 3.5   1.9 2.8   4.6 2.6   3.0 2.4   4.9 2.1   3.9 3.9   8.7 3.5   1.9 3.4   4.7
Net Error -2.3   -1.3 -0.9   -0.6 -0.6   1.0 0.6   1.0 0.3   0.6 2.7   2.9 2.4   0.8 1.7   -1.6
Std Dev 1.9   1.6 2.2   4.3 1.9   3.0 1.9   4.0 1.9   3.5 3.5   7.6 3.5   1.9 3.4   4.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 70   71 53 ↑   50 81 ↓   82 50   49 71   70 36   34 56   48 33   28
04-05-20 60 61.7 °F 61 47 ↑ 52.5°F 44 72   67 53   49 80   77 51   48 70   68 37   37
04-04-20 50 52.6 °F 53 29 30.6°F 33 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 46 76   75 54   52 80   79 49   47
04-03-20 42 38.4 °F 38 23 ↑ 25.8°F 20 51 ↓ 52.6 °F 54 30 30.6°F 30 63 61.7 °F 60 50 52.5°F 43 74   70 53   49
04-02-20 63 ↓ 65.0 °F 70 29 23.4°F 34 42 38.4 °F 44 25 25.8°F 28 49 52.6 °F 53 32 30.6°F 33 63 61.7 °F 60 50 52.5°F 43
04-01-20 73 76.5 °F 73 53 ↑ 53.7°F 54 62 ↓ 65.0 °F 68 31 23.4°F 37 42 38.4 °F 47 26 25.8°F 29 51 52.6 °F 53 35 30.6°F 33
03-31-20 67 70.4 °F 71 47 47.6°F 46 73 76.5 °F 75 53 53.7°F 52 65 65.0 °F 62 35 23.4°F 41 46 38.4 °F 42 29 25.8°F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 50.0   33.3 40.0   60.0 60.0   40.0 50.0   50.0 50.0   0.0 66.7   66.7     0.0
Ave Error 2.8   1.8 2.8   4.9 2.6   2.4 2.4   4.9 2.1   3.4 3.9   8.2 3.5   1.9 3.4   4.7
Net Error -1.6   0.2 -0.9   -0.4 -0.6   1.8 0.6   1.4 0.3   1.1 2.7   3.4 2.4   0.8 1.7   -1.6
Std Dev 1.3   1.9 2.2   4.0 1.9   2.3 1.9   3.9 1.9   3.1 3.5   7.1 3.5   1.9 3.4   4.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 70   71 53 ↑   51 81 ↓   81 50   50 71   71 36   34 56   54 33   30
04-05-20 60 61.7 °F 60 47 ↑ 52.5°F 44 72   68 53   49 80   74 51   46 70   68 37   35
04-04-20 51 52.6 °F 52 29 30.6°F 32 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 46 76   73 54   49 80   78 49   48
04-03-20 42 38.4 °F 37 23 25.8°F 21 51 52.6 °F 53 30 30.6°F 31 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 43 74   71 53   50
04-02-20 65 ↓ 65.0 °F 45 27 ↑ 23.4°F 29 42 38.4 °F 36 25 25.8°F 21 49 52.6 °F 52 32 30.6°F 31 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 44
04-01-20 73 76.5 °F 73 53 ↑ 53.7°F 52 62 ↓ 65.0 °F 67 31 23.4°F 42 42 38.4 °F 49 26 25.8°F 28 51 52.6 °F 50 35 30.6°F 33
03-31-20 67 70.4 °F 69 47 47.6°F 44 73 76.5 °F 72 53 53.7°F 51 65 65.0 °F 61 35 23.4°F 43 46 38.4 °F 46 29 25.8°F 31
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 4 3 2 2 3 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   66.7 50.0   33.3 40.0   60.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   50.0 50.0   25.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.3   4.8 2.5   4.3 2.6   1.9 2.4   6.6 2.1   3.9 3.9   7.9 3.5   3.5 3.4   5.4
Net Error -1.1   -4.8 -1.3   -1.9 -0.6   -0.8 0.6   1.0 0.3   1.6 2.7   3.2 2.4   1.8 1.7   -0.3
Std Dev 1.6   7.0 1.9   3.0 1.9   1.6 1.9   5.1 1.9   3.8 3.5   6.9 3.5   3.5 3.4   5.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 72   52 54   79 79   50 50   70 70   34 35   54 54   30 30   57
04-05-20 60 ↓ 61.7 °F 45 47 52.5°F 69 72   51 52   76 80   47 51   68 71   35 37   58
04-04-20 51 ↓ 52.6 °F 33 29 30.6°F 61 61 61.7 °F 44 48 52.5°F 72 74   51 54   79 80   49 50   64
04-03-20 41 ↓ 38.4 °F 20 23 25.8°F 52 50 52.6 °F 31 31 30.6°F 63 62 61.7 °F 46 50 52.5°F 69 76   49 54   78
04-02-20 65 ↓ 65.0 °F 23 27 23.4°F 35 42 38.4 °F 22 25 25.8°F 53 51 52.6 °F 31 32 30.6°F 62 64 61.7 °F 43 50 52.5°F 69
04-01-20 75 ↓ 76.5 °F 51 55 53.7°F 63 64 ↓ 65.0 °F 42 30 23.4°F 48 43 38.4 °F 28 28 25.8°F 50 52 52.6 °F 33 36 30.6°F 53
03-31-20 67 ↓ 70.4 °F 45 47 47.6°F 74 75 76.5 °F 53 52 53.7°F 61 64 65.0 °F 45 34 23.4°F 47 45 38.4 °F 32 28 25.8°F 55
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0 50.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.8   24.6 2.6   20.1 1.9   20.4 2.8   22.2 1.9   16.9 4.2   23.9 3.2   14.9 3.4   22.7
Net Error -0.9   -24.6 -0.9   20.1 -0.4   -20.4 0.0   22.2 0.6   -16.9 2.9   23.9 2.8   -14.9 1.7   22.7
Std Dev 1.1   13.1 1.8   11.2 1.5   13.1 2.4   15.0 1.8   14.7 3.7   21.0 3.2   14.9 3.4   22.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 54   52 79   80 50   50 70   70 35   33 54   52 30   30 62   58
04-05-20 47 52.5°F 47 72 61.7 °F 69 52 ↑   50 80   75 51   47 71   68 37   34 59   54
04-04-20 29 30.6°F 33 61 52.6 °F 60 48 52.5°F 42 74 61.7 °F 72 54   52 80   79 50   49 69   64
04-03-20 23 25.8°F 22 50 38.4 °F 53 31 30.6°F 31 62 52.6 °F 62 50 52.5°F 42 76 61.7 °F 73 54   52 80   82
04-02-20 25 23.4°F 29 42 65.0 °F 44 25 ↑ 25.8°F 26 51 38.4 °F 53 32 30.6°F 31 64 52.6 °F 63 50 52.5°F 43 75 61.7 °F 64
04-01-20 55 53.7°F 53 64 ↓ 76.5 °F 63 30 ↑ 23.4°F 43 43 65.0 °F 47 28 25.8°F 29 52 38.4 °F 51 36 30.6°F 33 65 52.6 °F 60
03-31-20 47 47.6°F 47 75 70.4 °F 73 52 53.7°F 54 64 76.5 °F 64 34 23.4°F 41 45 65.0 °F 45 28 25.8°F 29 54 38.4 °F 55
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 0 0 3 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 66.7   33.3     0.0 60.0   60.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.2   3.1 11.7   11.1 2.8   6.2 13.8   13.0 4.2   7.9 14.8   13.6 3.4   5.0 13.8   8.8
Net Error -1.3   -0.4 -0.1   -0.4 0.0   2.0 0.0   0.8 2.9   2.7 4.8   3.6 1.7   -1.3 13.8   8.8
Std Dev 1.7   2.2 6.8   6.7 2.4   5.7 9.0   8.5 3.7   7.0 12.8   11.8 3.4   5.0 13.8   8.8

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-06-20 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-06-20 54 ↑   56 79   82 50   50 70   72 35   34 54   52 30   31 62   58
04-05-20 47 64.9°F 49 72 61.7 °F 69 52 ↑   52 80   77 51   48 71   68 37   35 59   54
04-04-20 29 54.8°F 31 61 52.6 °F 61 48 64.9°F 43 74 61.7 °F 72 54   51 80   78 50   49 69   64
04-03-20 23 37.3°F 21 51 38.4 °F 53 31 54.8°F 30 62 52.6 °F 62 50 64.9°F 42 76 61.7 °F 73 54   52 80   82
04-02-20 25 29.0°F 22 42 65.0 °F 38 25 ↑ 37.3°F 24 51 38.4 °F 52 32 54.8°F 30 64 52.6 °F 63 50 64.9°F 44 75 61.7 °F 64
04-01-20 55 25.9°F 55 64 ↓ 76.5 °F 68 30 ↑ 29.0°F 42 43 65.0 °F 47 28 37.3°F 28 52 38.4 °F 51 36 54.8°F 33 65 52.6 °F 60
03-31-20 47 61.5°F 46 75 70.4 °F 73 53 ↑ 25.9°F 54 65 76.5 °F 67 33 29.0°F 35 44 65.0 °F 37 28 37.3°F 21 54 38.4 °F 54
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 17.6   17.9 11.9   11.4 16.2   20.2 13.6   12.2 12.8   15.8 15.1   15.6 14.3   19.7 13.8   8.4
Net Error -7.9   -8.2 0.1   -0.4 -5.0   -3.8 0.2   1.2 -10.8   -12.8 4.6   1.6 -14.3   -19.7 13.8   8.4
Std Dev 10.8   10.1 6.8   8.3 10.9   13.3 8.8   7.9 11.1   14.1 13.1   13.7 14.3   19.7 13.8   8.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.