SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 18-Mar-2019 3:05 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

89°F at Thermal, CA

Low Temp

-6°F at Mount Washington, NH

Precipitation

0.79in at Tampa/Mac Dill Afb, FL

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Sunday,
March 17, 2019

High Temp

61°F at Mccook/Muni, NE

Low Temp

15°F at Alliance/Muni, NE

Precipitation

No Precipitation Reported for NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 18-Mar-2019 11:00 am

This
afternoon

Partly Cloudy
High: 50°

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 36°

Tuesday

Rain likely
High: 42°

Tuesday
night
Fog
Cold!

Fog
Cold!
Low: 31°

Wednesday

Fog a.m.
High: 52°

Wednesday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 32°

Thursday

Sunny
High: 60°

Thursday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 37°

Friday

Partly Cloudy
High: 64°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 18-Mar-2019 1:22pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Partly Sunny

Partly Sunny

Hi 47 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Light Rain then Rain And Snow Likely

Chance Light Rain then Rain And Snow Likely

Lo 34 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Light Rain

Light Rain

Hi 46 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Light Rain

Slight Chance Light Rain

Lo 30 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 56 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 30 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 58 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 35 °F

Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 61 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-19 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-18-19	26		31	47		52	31		38	47		45	31		31	53		54	30		32	58		60
03-17-19	25	35.9°F	26	52	51.4 °F	51	25 ↑		27	49		51	32		33	49		39	32		29	51		50
03-16-19	23 ↑	31.0°F	25	52 ↓	57.1 °F	51	25	35.9°F	26	50	51.4 °F	53	24		25	47		49	30		32	51		58
03-15-19	27 ↑	26.7°F	31	45	48.7 °F	46	23	31.0°F	24	49	57.1 °F	52	24	35.9°F	26	50	51.4 °F	51	24		24	46		47
03-14-19	37 ↑	33.0°F	46	39	53.2 °F	47	26	26.7°F	30	43	48.7 °F	45	24	31.0°F	23	48	57.1 °F	50	25	35.9°F	26	50	51.4 °F	49
03-13-19	42 ↑	51.7°F	43	57	64.1 °F	62	37 ↑	33.0°F	52	39	53.2 °F	54	26	26.7°F	26	42	48.7 °F	41	21	31.0°F	24	51	57.1 °F	50
03-12-19	30 ↑	43.7°F	38	44	48.2 °F	50	41	51.7°F	46	56	64.1 °F	58	37	33.0°F	46	41	53.2 °F	47	27	26.7°F	30	41	48.7 °F	42
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	1		2	1		0	1		2	1		1	1		1	1		0	1		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	16.7		33.3	20.0		0.0	20.0		40.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	7.8		7.9	5.8		3.2	6.9		9.0	7.5		3.5	5.9		7.9	7.4		5.4	7.1		6.7	5.1		5.4
Net Error	-6.3		-2.2	-5.6		-2.6	-5.3		-0.1	-7.5		-2.5	-3.9		-1.4	-7.4		-5.4	-6.9		-4.5	-5.1		-5.4
Std Dev	4.9		4.3	4.8		2.5	5.5		6.3	5.5		2.5	5.9		6.9	7.0		5.3	7.1		6.7	5.1		5.4

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-18-19	26		51	48		37	34		44	46		31	30		53	56		32	30		60	58		37
03-17-19	25	51.4 °F	52	51	29.7°F	27	24		51	49		33	31		39	47		29	30		50	52		31
03-16-19	24	57.1 °F	51	52	25.5°F	26	25	51.4 °F	53	51	29.7°F	25	24		49	48		32	31		58	55		34
03-15-19	30 ↑	48.7 °F	46	46	26.0°F	24	27	57.1 °F	53	51	25.5°F	24	24	51.4 °F	50	50	29.7°F	26	25		50	48		29
03-14-19	37 ↑	53.2 °F	42	38	31.9°F	30	27	48.7 °F	44	43	26.0°F	24	23	57.1 °F	50	48	25.5°F	26	25	51.4 °F	48	52	29.7°F	26
03-13-19	42 ↑	64.1 °F	62	57	42.5°F	52	37 ↑	53.2 °F	54	40	31.9°F	26	26	48.7 °F	41	42	26.0°F	24	22	57.1 °F	50	50	25.5°F	28
03-12-19	30 ↑	48.2 °F	50	46	43.7°F	45	46	64.1 °F	53	56	42.5°F	46	37	53.2 °F	47	40	31.9°F	30	26	48.7 °F	42	44	26.0°F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		4	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		3	0		0	0		1
% Succ			33.3			66.7			40.0			40.0			25.0			75.0			0.0			33.3
Ave Error	22.5		4.1	15.1		3.0	22.5		4.5	17.1		3.5	25.1		5.6	16.7		2.0	28.1		5.7	21.6		2.4
Net Error	-22.5		-3.3	15.1		0.8	-22.5		-3.5	17.1		-2.1	-25.1		-5.6	16.7		-1.8	-28.1		-5.7	21.6		-0.1
Std Dev	10.7		3.9	9.1		3.2	14.7		3.1	11.6		2.6	21.8		5.3	14.6		1.9	28.1		5.7	21.6		2.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-18-19	48		51	34		37	46		44	30		31	56		53	30		32	58		60	35		37
03-17-19	51	51.4 °F	51	24	25.9°F	27	49		50	31		34	47		49	30		29	52		50	29		29
03-16-19	52	57.1 °F	51	25	23.1°F	26	51	51.4 °F	53	24	25.9°F	25	48		49	31		32	55		58	32		34
03-15-19	46	48.7 °F	47	27	26.1°F	25	51	57.1 °F	54	24	23.1°F	26	50	51.4 °F	52	25	25.9°F	25	48		50	27		33
03-14-19	38	53.2 °F	38	27	30.8°F	29	43	48.7 °F	45	23	26.1°F	24	48	57.1 °F	50	25	23.1°F	26	52	51.4 °F	50	27	25.9°F	24
03-13-19	57	64.1 °F	62	37 ↑	35.0°F	45	40 ↓	53.2 °F	47	26	30.8°F	29	42	48.7 °F	43	22	26.1°F	25	50	57.1 °F	50	26	23.1°F	27
03-12-19	46	48.2 °F	51	46	43.7°F	47	56	64.1 °F	57	37	35.0°F	48	40	53.2 °F	48	26	30.8°F	31	44	48.7 °F	42	22	26.1°F	26
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	4		3	1		1	3		2	1		1	2		3	1		1	1		2
% Succ	16.7		33.3	66.7		50.0	20.0		20.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		75.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	5.5		4.7	2.1		3.4	6.7		4.3	2.5		4.1	7.6		4.7	2.9		1.3	4.1		5.1	2.7		2.0
Net Error	-5.5		-3.8	0.2		2.4	-6.7		-3.7	-1.4		2.2	-7.6		-4.4	-2.0		0.3	-3.7		-5.1	-0.0		0.6
Std Dev	5.2		5.3	1.2		3.4	5.1		3.1	1.8		3.2	7.3		4.5	2.7		1.1	4.1		5.1	2.7		2.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-18-19	47		50	34		36	46		42	30		31	56		52	30		32	58		60	35		37
03-17-19	51	51.4 °F	53	24	25.9°F	28	49		50	31		35	47		50	30		29	52		51	29		29
03-16-19	53 ↓	57.1 °F	54	25	23.1°F	27	51	51.4 °F	51	24	25.9°F	25	48		49	31		34	55		45	32		33
03-15-19	46	48.7 °F	46	27	26.1°F	24	51	57.1 °F	53	24	23.1°F	27	50	51.4 °F	51	25	25.9°F	25	48		50	27		33
03-14-19	38	53.2 °F	39	27	30.8°F	29	43	48.7 °F	45	23	26.1°F	24	48	57.1 °F	51	25	23.1°F	25	52	51.4 °F	51	27	25.9°F	24
03-13-19	57	64.1 °F	59	37 ↑	34.9°F	45	40 ↓	53.2 °F	47	26	30.8°F	30	42	48.7 °F	44	22	26.1°F	25	50	57.1 °F	51	26	23.1°F	27
03-12-19	46	48.2 °F	49	46	43.7°F	46	56	64.1 °F	59	37	34.9°F	48	40	53.2 °F	49	26	30.8°F	33	44	48.7 °F	42	22	26.1°F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	3		1	1		1	2		2	1		1	2		3	1		1	1		2
% Succ	16.7		33.3	50.0		16.7	20.0		20.0	40.0		40.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		75.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	5.3		4.6	2.2		3.7	6.7		3.9	2.6		4.2	7.6		3.9	2.9		1.5	4.1		4.4	2.7		2.2
Net Error	-5.3		-3.8	0.2		2.4	-6.7		-3.9	-1.4		2.6	-7.6		-3.9	-2.0		0.5	-3.7		-4.4	-0.0		1.0
Std Dev	5.2		4.6	1.2		3.3	5.1		2.9	1.8		3.1	7.3		3.8	2.7		1.4	4.1		4.4	2.7		2.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-18-19	47		50	34		36	46		42	30		31	56		52	30		32	58		60	35		37
03-17-19	51	51.4 °F	52	24	25.9°F	28	49		49	31		33	47		48	30		30	52		58	29		31
03-16-19	54 ↓	57.1 °F	54	25	23.1°F	27	51	51.4 °F	51	24	25.9°F	25	48		49	31		34	55		45	32		33
03-15-19	46	48.7 °F	47	27	26.1°F	26	51	57.1 °F	51	24	23.1°F	27	50	51.4 °F	51	25	25.9°F	25	48		48	27		32
03-14-19	38	53.2 °F	42	27	30.8°F	29	43	48.7 °F	45	23	26.1°F	24	48	57.1 °F	51	25	23.1°F	27	52	51.4 °F	51	27	25.9°F	24
03-13-19	57	64.1 °F	63	37 ↑	34.9°F	47	40 ↓	53.2 °F	48	26	30.8°F	29	42	48.7 °F	45	22	26.1°F	24	48	57.1 °F	48	25	23.1°F	26
03-12-19	46	48.2 °F	50	46	43.7°F	48	56	64.1 °F	62	37	34.9°F	51	40	53.2 °F	53	26	30.8°F	28	44	48.7 °F	42	22	26.1°F	25
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		4	3		2	1		1	2		2	1		2	2		1	1		1	2		2
% Succ	16.7		66.7	50.0		33.3	20.0		20.0	40.0		40.0	25.0		50.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	66.7		66.7
Ave Error	5.1		3.3	2.2		4.1	6.7		3.5	2.6		5.0	7.6		2.6	2.9		2.4	4.8		5.4	2.4		2.0
Net Error	-5.1		-2.5	0.2		3.4	-6.7		-3.5	-1.4		3.0	-7.6		-2.6	-2.0		-0.5	-4.4		-5.4	-0.4		-0.0
Std Dev	5.2		3.8	1.2		4.2	5.1		2.9	1.8		3.9	7.3		2.5	2.7		2.2	4.8		5.4	2.4		2.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-17-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-17-19	49		28	26		49	47		33	31		46	47		30	31		58	53		32	30		65
03-16-19	54 ↓	23.1°F	57	25	57.1 °F	28	52		51	25		25	49		50	32		33	49		47	32		32
03-15-19	45	48.7 °F	26	23	26.1°F	51	50	23.1°F	27	25	57.1 °F	51	50		25	24		48	47		32	30		59
03-14-19	39 ↓	30.8°F	30	27	53.2 °F	45	45	48.7 °F	24	23	26.1°F	51	49	23.1°F	27	24	57.1 °F	50	50		25	24		45
03-13-19	63 ↓	34.9°F	47	37 ↑	64.1 °F	48	39	30.8°F	29	26	53.2 °F	45	43	48.7 °F	25	24	26.1°F	48	48	23.1°F	26	25	57.1 °F	50
03-12-19	46	43.7°F	45	45	48.2 °F	59	57	34.9°F	51	37	64.1 °F	52	39	30.8°F	28	26	53.2 °F	41	42	48.7 °F	25	21	26.1°F	51
03-11-19	43 ↓	36.3°F	32	30 ↑	48.1 °F	46	44	43.7°F	44	41	48.2 °F	59	56	34.9°F	52	37	64.1 °F	53	41	30.8°F	30	27	53.2 °F	40
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		0	1		2	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		1	0		0
% Succ			33.3			0.0	20.0		40.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	13.3		12.5	18.3		15.2	12.2		9.4	19.3		12.4	15.2		11.9	22.4		13.1	13.9		9.1	21.1		15.1
Net Error	12.1		3.3	-18.3		-3.3	10.8		-1.2	-19.3		1.9	12.4		-1.4	-22.4		-2.1	9.5		-7.2	-21.1		1.5
Std Dev	12.6		12.8	13.7		9.9	11.0		10.0	15.7		10.2	14.2		11.0	20.1		11.7	13.9		9.1	21.1		15.1

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-17-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-17-19	26		28	47		50	31		33	47		49	31		29	53		53	30		31	58		61
03-16-19	25	23.1°F	28	52	57.1 °F	51	25 ↑		29	49		50	32		35	49		49	32		33	51		50
03-15-19	23	26.1°F	26	50	48.7 °F	50	25	23.1°F	26	50	57.1 °F	51	24		25	47		48	30		30	51		60
03-14-19	27	30.8°F	29	45	53.2 °F	45	23	26.1°F	24	49	48.7 °F	52	24	23.1°F	25	50	57.1 °F	51	24		24	46		47
03-13-19	37 ↑	34.9°F	45	39	64.1 °F	46	26	30.8°F	30	43	53.2 °F	45	24	26.1°F	25	48	48.7 °F	50	25	23.1°F	27	50	57.1 °F	48
03-12-19	45 ↑	43.7°F	44	57	48.2 °F	58	37 ↑	34.9°F	51	39	64.1 °F	52	26	30.8°F	26	42	53.2 °F	38	21	26.1°F	24	51	48.7 °F	49
03-11-19	30 ↑	36.3°F	32	44	48.1 °F	53	41	43.7°F	50	56	48.2 °F	58	37	34.9°F	51	41	64.1 °F	52	27	30.8°F	31	41	53.2 °F	42
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	1		1	1		1	1		0	1		2	1		1	1		1	0		1
% Succ	33.3		50.0	16.7		16.7	20.0		20.0	20.0		0.0	25.0		50.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		33.3			33.3
Ave Error	3.1		3.6	8.8		8.1	2.9		5.6	10.1		7.9	2.5		6.0	10.5		8.7	3.6		2.1	7.2		6.9
Net Error	-1.3		1.5	-5.4		-2.7	-1.3		4.5	-6.9		-2.7	-1.0		3.0	-10.5		-8.0	-2.3		0.7	-5.7		-6.7
Std Dev	1.6		3.7	8.3		6.0	2.1		4.6	7.9		5.5	2.3		5.6	9.3		7.6	3.6		2.1	7.2		6.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-17-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-17-19	26		29	47		50	31		34	47		50	31		29	53		53	30		31	58		61
03-16-19	25	41.3°F	27	52	57.1 °F	52	25 ↑		26	49		50	32		34	49		49	32		33	51		50
03-15-19	23	35.9°F	26	50	48.7 °F	51	25	41.3°F	26	50	57.1 °F	52	24		24	47		48	30		30	51		60
03-14-19	27 ↑	30.2°F	31	45	53.2 °F	46	23	35.9°F	24	49	48.7 °F	52	24	41.3°F	26	50	57.1 °F	51	24		24	46		47
03-13-19	37 ↑	35.0°F	48	39	64.1 °F	49	26	30.2°F	30	43	53.2 °F	46	24	35.9°F	25	48	48.7 °F	50	25	41.3°F	27	50	57.1 °F	48
03-12-19	45 ↑	53.1°F	43	57	48.2 °F	63	37 ↑	35.0°F	55	39	64.1 °F	56	26	30.2°F	26	42	53.2 °F	38	21	35.9°F	25	51	48.7 °F	51
03-11-19	30 ↑	43.8°F	34	44	48.1 °F	51	41	53.1°F	47	56	48.2 °F	60	37	35.0°F	48	41	64.1 °F	49	27	30.2°F	31	41	53.2 °F	42
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	1		0	1		1	1		0	1		0	1		1	0		1	0		0
% Succ	16.7		16.7	16.7		0.0	20.0		20.0	20.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		25.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	9.4		9.7	8.8		7.9	9.5		10.7	10.1		7.1	8.9		10.9	10.5		9.4	11.5		8.7	7.2		7.5
Net Error	-8.7		-5.1	-5.4		-1.2	-8.7		-2.7	-6.9		-1.1	-7.9		-4.4	-10.5		-8.8	-11.5		-8.1	-5.7		-6.0
Std Dev	6.4		5.8	8.3		5.8	7.3		8.5	7.9		4.9	8.8		9.7	9.3		8.3	11.5		8.7	7.2		7.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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