Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 27-Apr-2024 04:00 am

Today

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 74°
Tonight

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 57°
Sunday

Severe storm
Severe storm
High: 65°
Sunday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 51°
Monday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 69°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 52°
Tuesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 76°
Tuesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 52°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 74°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 27-Apr-2024 4:35am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 50 °F ↑
Saturday

Saturday: Partly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Partly Sunny then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 70 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Lo 58 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Hi 71 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 43 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 72 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 52 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 80 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 52 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-27-24 at 1:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-27-24 50 ↑   54 75   73 57   57 74   67 43   51 72   69 53   52 80   76
04-26-24 54 ↑ 59.5°F 51 77 ↓ 80.2 °F 67 51 ↑   54 79   77 57   58 72   74 43   51 72   71
04-25-24 52 ↑ 52.1°F 52 65 63.0 °F 59 54 ↑ 59.5°F 50 78 80.2 °F 72 52   56 79   78 57   59 71   74
04-24-24 39 ↑ 59.0°F 40 67 72.8 °F 69 49 52.1°F 47 70 63.0 °F 56 57 59.5°F 46 78 80.2 °F 73 52   53 77   76
04-23-24 50 ↑ 46.0°F 54 71 72.4 °F 71 38 ↑ 59.0°F 45 68 72.8 °F 69 50 52.1°F 46 71 63.0 °F 64 58 59.5°F 46 79 80.2 °F 75
04-22-24 39 ↑ 58.3°F 42 79 77.8 °F 73 48 ↑ 46.0°F 48 69 72.4 °F 67 40 59.0°F 44 67 72.8 °F 64 48 52.1°F 42 70 63.0 °F 62
04-21-24 31 ↑ 46.6°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41 ↑ 58.3°F 41 78 77.8 °F 67 48 46.0°F 47 68 72.4 °F 65 40 59.0°F 43 67 72.8 °F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   16.7 20.0   20.0 20.0   0.0 25.0   25.0     25.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 10.8   11.1 2.7   5.3 9.8   9.6 3.5   7.0 6.4   8.9 5.1   6.1 8.2   13.2 4.7   5.3
Net Error -9.4   -8.4 -1.7   -5.3 -9.0   -8.8 -0.6   -7.0 -5.4   -8.4 -1.1   -5.6 -8.2   -13.2 0.0   -5.3
Std Dev 8.8   7.6 1.9   4.3 8.7   6.7 2.8   4.7 5.9   8.0 4.6   5.3 8.2   13.2 4.7   5.3

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-26-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-26-24 54 ↑   66 76 ↓   54 50 ↑   72 77   56 57   71 74   50 44   66 72   56
04-25-24 52 ↑ 52.1°F 61 63 63.0 °F 51 54 ↑   68 77   54 51   77 79   58 55   74 71   50
04-24-24 39 ↑ 56.7°F 69 70 72.8 °F 47 51 ↑ 52.1°F 54 64 63.0 °F 46 54   73 78   53 51   76 78   61
04-23-24 50 ↑ 42.6°F 70 70 72.4 °F 44 40 ↑ 56.7°F 68 69 72.8 °F 45 50 52.1°F 63 70 63.0 °F 45 57   75 78   55
04-22-24 40 ↑ 56.1°F 70 77 77.8 °F 46 49 ↑ 42.6°F 66 69 72.4 °F 42 39 56.7°F 63 68 72.8 °F 42 48 52.1°F 62 73 63.0 °F 46
04-21-24 29 46.4°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 41 ↑ 56.1°F 67 78 77.8 °F 46 48 42.6°F 65 68 72.4 °F 43 38 56.7°F 63 67 72.8 °F 45
04-20-24 32 ↑ 30.8°F 53 55 55.9 °F 32 31 ↑ 46.4°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 41 56.1°F 64 75 77.8 °F 44 48 42.6°F 61 68 72.4 °F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 3 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 50.0   0.0 20.0   20.0 40.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 10.0   16.4 1.6   24.8 10.9   12.2 2.2   26.8 10.1   11.9 4.8   28.0 9.4   11.5 6.7   27.1
Net Error -7.1   16.4 -1.6   -24.8 -8.4   12.2 -1.8   -26.8 -7.4   11.9 -1.3   -28.0 -5.8   11.5 -0.1   -27.1
Std Dev 7.7   8.9 1.2   11.9 8.8   10.3 1.8   17.6 9.6   10.3 4.3   24.8 9.4   11.5 6.7   27.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-26-24 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-26-24 76 ↓   68 50 ↑   54 77 ↓   75 57   58 74   73 44   49 72   68 51   54
04-25-24 63 63.0 °F 60 54 ↑ 52.2°F 50 77 ↓   67 51   54 79   79 55   55 71   71 42   50
04-24-24 70 72.8 °F 69 51 ↑ 55.4°F 51 64 63.0 °F 64 54 52.2°F 55 78   72 51   56 78   79 55   62
04-23-24 70 72.4 °F 70 40 ↑ 39.8°F 43 69 72.8 °F 68 50 55.4°F 46 70 63.0 °F 62 57 52.2°F 46 78   70 53   55
04-22-24 77 77.8 °F 73 49 ↑ 51.4°F 49 69 72.4 °F 68 39 39.8°F 44 68 72.8 °F 64 48 55.4°F 42 73 63.0 °F 62 58 52.2°F 44
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 57 41 ↑ 46.4°F 38 78 77.8 °F 67 48 51.4°F 46 68 72.4 °F 66 38 39.8°F 44 67 72.8 °F 64 48 55.4°F 43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 52 31 ↑ 29.3°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 38 75 77.8 °F 64 48 51.4°F 43 68 72.4 °F 62 39 39.8°F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 3 0 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 40.0   0.0     25.0 25.0   0.0     33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 1.6   4.5 2.7   3.9 2.2   5.2 3.4   6.0 4.8   7.5 4.4   8.1 6.7   6.7 4.7   7.3
Net Error -1.6   -4.5 -1.4   -1.9 -1.8   -4.8 -2.6   -3.2 -1.3   -7.5 -2.0   -6.0 -0.1   -6.7 -0.8   -6.5
Std Dev 1.2   2.8 2.0   2.6 1.8   3.8 2.7   4.4 4.3   7.3 3.8   7.0 6.7   6.7 4.7   7.3

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-26-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-26-24 76 ↓   69 50 ↑   54 77 ↓   74 57   58 74   72 44   49 72   68 51   54
04-24-24 70 63.0 °F 71 51 ↑ 52.2°F 49 64   58 54   48 78   73 51   55 78   78 55   62
04-23-24 70 72.4 °F 72 40 ↑ 39.8°F 41 69 63.0 °F 69 50 52.2°F 50 70   69 57   53 78   72 53   57
04-22-24 79 77.8 °F 72 49 ↑ 51.4°F 48 69 72.4 °F 67 39 39.8°F 44 68 63.0 °F 64 48 52.2°F 41 73   62 58   44
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 60 41 ↑ 46.4°F 40 78 77.8 °F 68 48 51.4°F 46 68 72.4 °F 66 38 39.8°F 44 67 63.0 °F 64 48 52.2°F 43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 52 31 ↑ 29.3°F 28 63 65.8 °F 58 41 46.4°F 35 75 77.8 °F 64 48 51.4°F 42 68 72.4 °F 61 39 39.8°F 41
04-19-24 59 61.3 °F 60 33 ↑ 32.0°F 34 54 55.9 °F 54 31 29.3°F 33 62 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 40 73 77.8 °F 65 46 51.4°F 44
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 3 2 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   50.0 40.0   20.0 40.0   0.0     25.0 25.0   0.0     33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.8   4.2 2.0   2.9 2.9   6.2 2.7   5.4 4.0   6.5 3.7   7.8 4.4   8.4 3.5   5.9
Net Error 0.0   -1.5 -1.0   -1.9 -0.4   -3.8 -2.0   -2.2 -1.5   -6.0 -3.7   -5.7 -1.7   -7.7 -3.5   -5.1
Std Dev 2.3   2.9 1.8   2.1 2.6   4.2 1.9   3.7 3.5   6.3 3.2   7.0 4.4   8.4 3.5   5.9

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-26-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-26-24 76 ↓   71 50 ↑   55 75   75 57   56 74   70 43   51 72   70 53   55
04-25-24 63 63.0 °F 57 54 ↑ 52.2°F 50 77 ↓   69 51   56 79   77 55   58 71   73 42   53
04-24-24 >65 72.8 °F 71 50 54.9°F 47 65 63.0 °F 57 <55 52.2°F 47 >75   72 <55   55 >75   78 55   59
04-23-24 70 72.4 °F 71 40 ↑ 39.8°F 41 69 72.8 °F 68 50 54.9°F 45 70 63.0 °F 56 57 52.2°F 45 78   73 53   53
04-22-24 79 77.8 °F 77 49 ↑ 51.4°F 52 69 72.4 °F 72 39 39.8°F 47 68 72.8 °F 66 48 54.9°F 48 73 63.0 °F 63 58 52.2°F 52
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 62 39 ↑ 46.4°F 39 79 77.8 °F 68 48 51.4°F 45 69 72.4 °F 67 40 39.8°F 44 67 72.8 °F 63 48 54.9°F 43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 56 31 ↑ 29.3°F 30 63 65.8 °F 59 41 46.4°F 37 75 77.8 °F 65 48 51.4°F 45 68 72.4 °F 63 39 39.8°F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 4 3 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2
% Succ 50.0   66.7 50.0   50.0 40.0   20.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     33.3 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 13.4   2.3 3.1   3.3 2.6   5.6 13.3   7.6 4.5   8.0 3.8   6.2 6.7   6.4 4.5   4.3
Net Error -13.0   -2.3 -1.8   -2.5 -1.4   -5.6 -13.3   -4.7 -1.0   -8.0 -1.3   -4.1 -0.1   -6.4 -0.6   -4.3
Std Dev 26.7   2.0 2.6   3.2 1.8   4.2 20.5   5.0 4.1   6.9 3.3   5.4 6.7   6.4 4.5   4.3

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-26-24 at 4:43 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-26-24 76 ↓   60 50 ↑   79 75   60 57   73 74   52 43   70 72   55 53   77
04-25-24 63 63.0 °F 50 54 ↑ 52.2°F 69 77 ↓   56 51   76 79   58 57   73 72   53 43   69
04-23-24 71 72.8 °F 42 39 ↑ 54.9°F 67 67 63.0 °F 45 49 52.2°F 54 70   44 57   71 78   53 52   76
04-22-24 79 ↓ 77.8 °F 53 50 ↑ 51.4°F 72 71 72.8 °F 47 38 54.9°F 67 68 63.0 °F 47 50 52.2°F 63 71   53 58   77
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 41 39 ↑ 46.4°F 68 79 77.8 °F 45 48 51.4°F 67 69 72.8 °F 45 40 54.9°F 63 67 63.0 °F 44 48 52.2°F 71
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 32 31 ↑ 29.3°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 40 46.4°F 65 75 77.8 °F 45 48 51.4°F 63 69 72.8 °F 39 40 54.9°F 62
04-19-24 60 61.3 °F 34 32 ↑ 32.0°F 53 54 55.9 °F 32 31 29.3°F 61 62 65.8 °F 38 41 46.4°F 65 73 77.8 °F 43 46 51.4°F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 4 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 66.7   0.0 60.0   0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.3   24.1 4.7   20.5 2.3   25.5 6.3   16.0 3.9   26.1 6.5   12.3 4.2   29.2 8.2   11.5
Net Error -0.9   -24.1 -3.5   20.5 -0.3   -25.5 -5.6   16.0 -1.4   -26.1 -6.5   12.3 -1.5   -29.2 -8.2   11.5
Std Dev 1.0   11.2 5.5   10.1 1.7   16.8 6.5   12.0 3.4   23.2 6.0   10.7 4.2   29.2 8.2   11.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-26-24 at 7:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-26-24 50 ↑   53 75   69 57   59 74   73 43   49 72   70 53   52 80   73
04-25-24 54 ↑ 52.2°F 50 77 ↓ 63.0 °F 72 51 ↑   56 79   75 57   60 72   72 43   53 72   71
04-24-24 52 ↑ 54.9°F 55 65 72.8 °F 66 54 ↑ 52.2°F 58 78 63.0 °F 73 52   57 79   79 57   57 71   75
04-23-24 39 ↑ 39.8°F 43 67 72.4 °F 69 49 54.9°F 49 70 72.8 °F 63 57 52.2°F 54 78 63.0 °F 69 52   54 77   77
04-22-24 50 ↑ 51.4°F 55 71 77.8 °F 71 38 ↑ 39.8°F 47 68 72.4 °F 68 50 54.9°F 48 71 72.8 °F 67 58 52.2°F 54 79 63.0 °F 72
04-21-24 39 ↑ 46.4°F 41 79 65.8 °F 69 48 ↑ 51.4°F 46 69 77.8 °F 65 40 39.8°F 42 67 72.4 °F 64 48 54.9°F 44 70 72.8 °F 69
04-20-24 31 ↑ 29.3°F 32 63 55.9 °F 59 40 46.4°F 38 75 65.8 °F 65 48 51.4°F 44 69 77.8 °F 63 40 39.8°F 40 67 72.4 °F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 0
% Succ 66.7   16.7     0.0 40.0   0.0     20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   66.7     0.0
Ave Error 2.7   2.9 9.1   5.4 3.9   6.5 8.0   7.6 3.3   4.6 7.8   8.8 4.3   4.3 8.1   9.1
Net Error -1.5   0.3 2.4   -0.3 -3.1   -1.3 1.6   -3.6 -0.8   -2.6 -0.3   -5.8 -0.3   -3.0 2.6   -3.1
Std Dev 2.4   2.0 4.9   3.0 2.9   4.2 6.6   5.2 3.0   4.2 7.6   7.7 4.3   4.3 8.1   9.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-26-24 at 10:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-26-24 50 ↑   55 75   73 57   60 74   73 43   49 72   70 53   52 80   73
04-25-24 54 ↑ 62.6°F 51 77 ↓ 63.0 °F 72 51 ↑   57 79   75 57   60 72   72 43   53 72   70
04-24-24 52 ↑ 52.2°F 57 65 72.8 °F 70 54 ↑ 62.6°F 61 78 63.0 °F 75 52   57 79   79 57   57 71   75
04-23-24 39 ↑ 63.7°F 43 67 72.4 °F 69 49 52.2°F 50 70 72.8 °F 68 57 62.6°F 55 78 63.0 °F 69 52   55 77   78
04-22-24 50 ↑ 51.8°F 53 71 77.8 °F 69 38 ↑ 63.7°F 45 68 72.4 °F 68 50 52.2°F 48 71 72.8 °F 68 58 62.6°F 54 79 63.0 °F 71
04-21-24 39 ↑ 62.0°F 42 79 65.8 °F 70 48 ↑ 51.8°F 46 69 77.8 °F 65 40 63.7°F 42 67 72.4 °F 64 48 52.2°F 44 70 72.8 °F 69
04-20-24 31 ↑ 50.5°F 33 63 55.9 °F 60 40 62.0°F 40 75 65.8 °F 67 48 51.8°F 45 69 77.8 °F 62 40 63.7°F 40 67 72.4 °F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7     0.0     20.0     20.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 13.0   12.6 9.1   5.4 12.7   10.1 8.0   7.0 8.8   10.1 7.8   8.8 10.8   13.5 8.1   8.7
Net Error -13.0   -10.6 2.4   0.4 -12.7   -10.1 1.6   -1.8 -8.8   -10.1 -0.3   -5.8 -10.8   -13.5 2.6   -3.4
Std Dev 10.9   8.9 4.9   3.3 10.9   9.1 6.6   5.2 7.8   8.8 7.6   7.7 10.8   13.5 8.1   8.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.