Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 18-Jun-2024 11:00 pm

Rest of
tonight
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 63°
Wednesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 78°
Wednesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 65°
Thursday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 84°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 68°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 87°
Friday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 71°
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 89°
Saturday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 66°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 18-Jun-2024 11:16pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 62 °F ↑
Juneteenth

Juneteenth: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 71 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 64 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 86 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Partly Cloudy

Lo 70 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 91 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 75 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 93 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 68 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 78   79 92 ↓   90 65 ↑   70 76   72 65   62 86   83 69   69 89   87
06-17-24 75 ↑ 79.8°F 74 94 90.7 °F 90 77   77 92   88 65   72 77   75 66   68 86   83
06-16-24 70 ↑ 80.5°F 74 97 92.3 °F 96 76 79.8°F 79 96 90.7 °F 93 77   75 92   86 66   68 80   72
06-15-24 68 ↑ 70.3°F 66 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 88 72 ↑ 80.5°F 77 99 92.3 °F 94 77 79.8°F 77 97 90.7 °F 90 77   76 93   84
06-14-24 63 ↑ 76.8°F 68 89 92.6 °F 89 66 70.3°F 64 94 83.6 °F 83 72 80.5°F 72 99 92.3 °F 95 75 79.8°F 75 95 90.7 °F 91
06-13-24 70 ↑ 72.4°F 74 97 ↓ 93.8 °F 97 64 ↑ 76.8°F 66 90 92.6 °F 89 67 70.3°F 62 93 83.6 °F 79 72 80.5°F 69 96 92.3 °F 92
06-12-24 67 ↑ 78.9°F 70 98 ↓ 93.7 °F 89 71 72.4°F 71 94 93.8 °F 94 64 76.8°F 64 90 92.6 °F 87 69 70.3°F 63 96 83.6 °F 85
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3
% Succ     16.7     16.7 20.0   40.0 20.0   60.0     0.0     25.0 33.3   0.0     100.0
Ave Error 7.6   6.0 4.3   3.4 6.2   4.6 5.0   1.7 6.9   8.1 6.3   3.4 4.9   7.9 6.8   0.7
Net Error -7.6   -5.5 3.1   0.4 -6.2   -4.6 4.0   0.0 -6.9   -8.1 5.0   -2.1 -4.9   -7.9 6.8   0.5
Std Dev 5.3   3.3 2.1   1.8 4.3   3.5 4.1   1.2 6.3   7.5 5.4   3.2 4.9   7.9 6.8   0.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 78   90 92 ↓   69 64 ↑   72 75   63 64   83 86   69 69   87 90   73
06-17-24 75 ↑ 77.9°F 91 93 ↓ 90.7 °F 81 77   92 89   75 64   79 76   71 66   84 87   67
06-16-24 70 77.9°F 95 96 92.3 °F 79 75 ↑ 77.9°F 93 94 90.7 °F 78 77   88 91   70 65   74 78   62
06-15-24 68 ↑ 70.3°F 83 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 74 72 77.9°F 95 97 92.3 °F 77 76 77.9°F 90 97 90.7 °F 76 76   84 92   65
06-14-24 63 ↑ 67.2°F 89 90 92.6 °F 64 67 ↑ 70.3°F 83 90 83.6 °F 69 71 77.9°F 94 98 92.3 °F 74 76 77.9°F 91 97 90.7 °F 75
06-13-24 71 ↑ 68.3°F 100 96 ↓ 93.8 °F 68 63 ↑ 67.2°F 89 90 92.6 °F 62 67 70.3°F 80 93 83.6 °F 69 73 77.9°F 92 97 92.3 °F 74
06-12-24 66 ↑ 74.4°F 92 98 ↓ 93.7 °F 73 70 ↑ 68.3°F 95 97 93.8 °F 65 65 67.2°F 88 89 92.6 °F 63 67 70.3°F 85 91 83.6 °F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 4.7   19.0 3.6   18.0 3.6   18.7 4.0   20.4 3.6   14.7 6.3   19.3 3.4   14.0 6.1   15.2
Net Error -3.8   19.0 2.7   -18.0 -2.9   18.7 3.0   -20.4 -3.6   14.7 4.5   -19.3 -3.4   14.0 6.1   -15.2
Std Dev 2.8   10.1 2.1   10.5 2.5   12.2 2.8   13.8 3.2   12.8 5.4   16.9 3.4   14.0 6.1   15.2

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 92 ↓   87 64 ↑   66 75   68 64   60 86   84 69   67 90   84 74   70
06-17-24 93 ↓ 90.7 °F 85 77 77.4°F 78 89   93 64   70 76   73 66   62 87   83 69   66
06-16-24 96 92.3 °F 95 75 ↑ 68.6°F 76 94 90.7 °F 90 77 77.4°F 76 91   86 65   69 78   72 66   62
06-15-24 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 81 72 70.3°F 73 97 92.3 °F 94 76 68.6°F 76 97 90.7 °F 90 76 77.4°F 77 92   85 67   67
06-14-24 90 92.6 °F 89 67 ↑ 67.0°F 66 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 85 71 70.3°F 70 98 92.3 °F 90 76 68.6°F 72 97 90.7 °F 90 76 77.4°F 78
06-13-24 96 ↓ 93.8 °F 96 63 ↑ 66.7°F 66 90 92.6 °F 87 67 67.0°F 63 93 83.6 °F 78 73 70.3°F 68 97 92.3 °F 88 75 68.6°F 68
06-12-24 98 ↓ 93.7 °F 89 70 ↑ 72.7°F 70 97 ↓ 93.8 °F 95 65 66.7°F 65 89 92.6 °F 87 67 67.0°F 63 91 83.6 °F 81 71 70.3°F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 3 3 0 4 4 3 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 3
% Succ     0.0 50.0   50.0     80.0 80.0   60.0     25.0 50.0   25.0     33.3 66.7   100.0
Ave Error 3.6   3.6 2.5   2.5 4.0   2.1 2.0   3.0 6.3   3.6 2.9   2.5 6.1   2.5 2.8   1.0
Net Error 2.7   -2.0 0.2   1.1 3.0   -0.4 1.2   0.0 4.5   -3.6 2.2   -0.8 6.1   -2.5 1.9   0.6
Std Dev 2.1   1.9 2.4   2.6 2.8   1.5 2.9   3.1 5.4   3.4 2.6   2.4 6.1   2.5 2.8   1.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 91   87 64 ↑   65 75   67 64   60 86   83 69   67 90   84 74   70
06-17-24 93 90.7 °F 84 77 77.4°F 76 89   91 64   69 76   72 66   62 87   83 69   66
06-16-24 96 92.3 °F 91 75 ↑ 68.6°F 75 94 90.7 °F 90 77 77.4°F 77 91   87 65   69 78   73 66   62
06-15-24 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 81 72 70.3°F 71 97 92.3 °F 91 76 68.6°F 74 97 90.7 °F 89 76 77.4°F 77 92   86 67   68
06-14-24 90 92.6 °F 90 67 ↑ 66.9°F 65 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 81 71 70.3°F 75 98 92.3 °F 95 76 68.6°F 77 97 90.7 °F 91 76 77.4°F 76
06-13-24 96 ↓ 93.8 °F 96 63 ↑ 66.7°F 66 90 92.6 °F 87 67 66.9°F 64 93 83.6 °F 79 73 70.3°F 68 97 92.3 °F 88 75 68.6°F 69
06-12-24 98 ↓ 93.7 °F 90 70 ↑ 72.7°F 71 97 ↓ 93.8 °F 95 65 66.7°F 65 89 92.6 °F 87 67 66.9°F 63 91 83.6 °F 81 71 70.3°F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 3 5 0 3 4 2 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 3
% Succ     16.7 50.0   83.3     60.0 80.0   40.0     25.0 50.0   25.0     33.3 66.7   100.0
Ave Error 3.6   3.2 2.5   2.1 4.0   2.3 2.1   3.0 6.3   3.7 2.9   3.8 6.1   2.4 2.8   1.2
Net Error 2.7   -2.5 0.2   0.2 3.0   -1.8 1.2   1.0 4.5   -2.3 2.2   0.4 6.1   -2.2 1.9   0.2
Std Dev 2.1   2.1 2.4   2.1 2.8   1.7 2.9   2.6 5.4   3.3 2.6   3.7 6.1   2.4 2.8   1.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 91   88 64 ↑   66 75   68 64   61 86   84 69   67 90   84 74   72
06-17-24 93 ↓ 90.7 °F 89 77 77.4°F 77 89   88 64   71 76   72 66   61 87   81 69   66
06-16-24 96 92.3 °F 93 75 ↑ 68.6°F 75 94 90.7 °F 88 77 77.4°F 75 91   85 65   69 78   72 66   62
06-15-24 92 ↓ 83.6 °F 86 74 70.3°F 69 97 92.3 °F 88 76 68.6°F 71 96 90.7 °F 89 77 77.4°F 78 92   87 66   66
06-14-24 90 92.6 °F 92 67 ↑ 66.9°F 64 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 82 71 70.3°F 72 98 92.3 °F 95 76 68.6°F 79 97 90.7 °F 92 76 77.4°F 78
06-13-24 96 ↓ 93.8 °F 94 63 ↑ 66.7°F 65 90 92.6 °F 86 67 66.9°F 60 93 83.6 °F 75 73 70.3°F 69 97 92.3 °F 93 75 68.6°F 74
06-12-24 98 ↓ 93.7 °F 92 70 ↑ 72.7°F 73 97 ↓ 93.8 °F 96 65 66.7°F 66 89 92.6 °F 88 67 66.9°F 65 91 83.6 °F 83 71 70.3°F 74
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 5 2 4 0 1 4 2 0 1 2 3 0 3 2 1
% Succ     83.3 33.3   66.7     20.0 80.0   40.0     25.0 50.0   75.0     100.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 3.9   1.2 2.8   2.2 4.0   3.5 2.1   2.8 6.0   4.4 2.7   3.6 6.1   0.9 2.8   3.2
Net Error 3.1   -0.1 0.6   0.1 3.0   -2.6 1.2   -1.2 4.2   -3.1 2.5   2.0 6.1   0.5 1.9   3.2
Std Dev 2.7   0.9 2.4   2.1 2.8   2.4 2.9   1.9 5.2   4.0 2.6   3.4 6.1   0.9 2.8   3.2

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 91 ↓   67 62 ↑   69 71   61 64   84 86   67 70   84 91   72 75   88
06-17-24 93 ↓ 90.7 °F 75 77 77.4°F 88 92 ↓   68 64   70 75   60 65   82 86   66 69   83
06-16-24 97 ↓ 92.3 °F 75 75 ↑ 68.6°F 89 94 90.7 °F 76 77 77.4°F 87 92   69 65   71 77   61 66   83
06-15-24 92 ↓ 83.6 °F 70 74 70.3°F 89 97 92.3 °F 73 76 68.6°F 89 96 90.7 °F 77 77 77.4°F 86 92   67 66   69
06-14-24 95 92.6 °F 65 68 66.9°F 81 90 ↓ 83.6 °F 72 72 70.3°F 95 99 92.3 °F 79 77 68.6°F 92 97 90.7 °F 78 77 77.4°F 86
06-13-24 95 ↓ 93.8 °F 64 63 ↑ 66.7°F 86 89 92.6 °F 60 66 66.9°F 74 94 83.6 °F 69 72 70.3°F 94 99 92.3 °F 74 75 68.6°F 88
06-12-24 96 ↓ 93.7 °F 75 70 ↑ 72.7°F 99 97 ↓ 93.8 °F 67 64 66.7°F 90 90 92.6 °F 65 67 66.9°F 84 93 83.6 °F 74 72 70.3°F 95
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 3.6   20.5 3.0   18.2 4.2   21.0 2.6   17.0 6.3   17.3 2.7   18.2 7.5   13.5 2.8   17.6
Net Error 3.6   -20.5 0.7   18.2 2.8   -21.0 1.0   17.0 5.0   -17.3 2.5   18.2 7.5   -13.5 2.6   17.6
Std Dev 2.8   10.3 2.3   8.3 2.9   14.2 2.9   11.9 5.4   15.1 2.6   16.5 7.5   13.5 2.8   17.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 62 ↑   66 71   73 64   64 86   76 70   66 91   78 75   68 93   79
06-17-24 77 77.4°F 77 92 ↓ 90.7 °F 87 64 ↑   69 75   70 65   60 86   82 69   66 89   84
06-16-24 75 ↑ 68.6°F 74 94 92.3 °F 85 77 77.4°F 75 92 90.7 °F 89 65   67 77   70 66   61 86   83
06-15-24 74 70.3°F 68 97 83.6 °F 94 76 68.6°F 78 96 92.3 °F 93 77 77.4°F 78 92 90.7 °F 87 66   66 80   71
06-14-24 68 66.9°F 65 90 ↓ 92.6 °F 81 72 ↑ 70.3°F 77 99 83.6 °F 96 77 68.6°F 81 97 92.3 °F 92 77 77.4°F 76 93 90.7 °F 84
06-13-24 63 ↑ 66.7°F 70 89 93.8 °F 89 66 66.9°F 65 94 92.6 °F 81 72 70.3°F 72 99 83.6 °F 95 75 68.6°F 73 95 92.3 °F 88
06-12-24 70 ↑ 72.7°F 75 97 ↓ 93.7 °F 97 64 ↑ 66.7°F 66 90 93.8 °F 88 67 66.9°F 62 93 92.6 °F 79 72 70.3°F 70 96 83.6 °F 92
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 2 0 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0 60.0   40.0 40.0   40.0 75.0   50.0 50.0   25.0 66.7   66.7     0.0
Ave Error 3.0   2.6 4.5   6.9 2.6   4.2 5.1   6.4 2.7   4.9 5.5   7.3 2.8   2.0 5.8   6.5
Net Error 0.7   1.1 2.1   -2.3 1.0   2.2 3.6   -1.2 2.5   2.5 5.5   -1.6 2.6   0.9 5.8   -0.9
Std Dev 2.3   1.8 4.5   4.0 2.9   3.8 5.9   5.9 2.6   4.8 5.2   6.5 2.8   2.0 5.8   6.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-18-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-24 62 ↑   63 71   78 64   65 86   84 70   68 91   87 75   71 93   89
06-17-24 77 64.8°F 79 92 ↓ 90.7 °F 89 65 ↑   70 76   72 65   61 86   82 69   66 89   84
06-16-24 75 ↑ 82.0°F 75 94 92.3 °F 88 77 64.8°F 75 92 90.7 °F 88 65   67 77   70 66   61 86   83
06-15-24 71 ↑ 82.5°F 70 97 83.6 °F 93 76 82.0°F 76 96 92.3 °F 92 77 64.8°F 76 92 90.7 °F 86 66   65 80   70
06-14-24 68 70.3°F 64 90 ↓ 92.6 °F 83 72 ↑ 82.5°F 77 99 83.6 °F 96 77 82.0°F 80 97 92.3 °F 92 77 64.8°F 76 93 90.7 °F 84
06-13-24 63 ↑ 77.7°F 66 89 93.8 °F 87 66 70.3°F 62 94 92.6 °F 81 72 82.5°F 71 99 83.6 °F 95 75 82.0°F 74 95 92.3 °F 88
06-12-24 70 ↑ 77.5°F 75 97 ↓ 93.7 °F 98 64 ↑ 77.7°F 65 90 93.8 °F 89 67 70.3°F 62 93 92.6 °F 79 72 82.5°F 70 96 83.6 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   16.7     0.0 40.0   20.0     25.0 50.0   25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 9.2   9.0 4.5   6.0 9.3   8.5 5.1   6.4 7.8   8.3 5.5   7.5 9.9   10.6 5.8   6.8
Net Error -5.1   -4.3 2.1   -1.5 -4.5   -4.5 3.6   -1.4 -1.7   -2.7 5.5   -1.8 -1.8   -3.1 5.8   -0.5
Std Dev 5.5   4.8 4.5   3.7 6.2   5.7 5.9   5.8 7.1   7.3 5.2   6.6 9.9   10.6 5.8   6.8

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.