Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 28-May-2023 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 84°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 61°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 76°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 63°
Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 86°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 66°
Wednesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 90°
Wednesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 67°
Thursday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 83°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 28-May-2023 10:35am CDT

Today

Today: Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 85 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 62 °F ↑
Memorial
Day
Memorial Day: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 85 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 64 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 89 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 63 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 89 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 64 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 89 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-28-23 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-23 58 ↑   59 87   83 62   60 86   77 63   62 89   85 64   66 89   82
05-27-23 54 ↑ 64.8°F 56 85 83.7 °F 82 57   54 87   81 62   60 88   78 64   59 89   85
05-26-23 60 60.8°F 60 85 84.0 °F 79 57 64.8°F 52 83 83.7 °F 80 56   54 84   80 61   54 88   81
05-25-23 61 ↑ 65.0°F 62 83 82.8 °F 84 59 60.8°F 59 85 84.0 °F 78 57 64.8°F 56 83 83.7 °F 78 58   52 86   77
05-24-23 57 ↑ 66.4°F 60 87 87.3 °F 86 61 65.0°F 61 83 82.8 °F 79 58 60.8°F 61 83 84.0 °F 67 56 64.8°F 50 84 83.7 °F 72
05-23-23 57 ↑ 62.7°F 60 84 84.4 °F 86 58 66.4°F 59 87 87.3 °F 84 61 65.0°F 61 84 82.8 °F 78 59 60.8°F 50 84 84.0 °F 73
05-22-23 54 ↑ 64.7°F 55 82 82.8 °F 82 56 ↑ 62.7°F 56 84 84.4 °F 83 60 66.4°F 65 86 87.3 °F 83 62 65.0°F 61 83 82.8 °F 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 6 5 1 1 5 1 0 2 4 0 1 0 3 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 100.0   83.3 20.0   20.0 100.0   20.0     50.0 100.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 6.9   5.2 0.7   1.9 5.7   6.5 0.5   3.6 5.3   3.6 1.1   8.0 4.5   9.9 0.2   9.2
Net Error -6.9   -5.2 0.2   -1.0 -5.7   -6.5 0.0   -3.6 -5.3   -3.5 -0.4   -8.0 -4.5   -9.9 0.2   -9.2
Std Dev 4.4   3.5 0.5   1.5 4.2   5.5 0.4   2.5 4.7   4.1 0.9   7.0 4.5   9.9 0.2   9.2

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-28-23 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-23 58   82 86 ↓   58 62   84 85   64 64   87 89   67 63   82 89   65
05-27-23 54 ↑ 60.2°F 80 85 83.7 °F 54 57   80 87   59 62   78 88   59 64   85 90   61
05-26-23 60 ↑ 55.8°F 80 85 ↓ 84.0 °F 54 56 60.2°F 79 83 83.7 °F 52 57   78 85   54 61   80 87   60
05-25-23 61 60.9°F 79 83 82.8 °F 58 59 ↑ 55.8°F 78 85 84.0 °F 56 57 60.2°F 76 84 83.7 °F 50 58   76 86   58
05-24-23 55 ↑ 63.5°F 83 87 ↓ 87.3 °F 59 61 ↑ 60.9°F 79 83 82.8 °F 57 60 55.8°F 68 84 84.0 °F 51 56 60.2°F 74 84 83.7 °F 53
05-23-23 57 ↑ 57.5°F 86 84 84.4 °F 61 58 ↑ 63.5°F 86 86 87.3 °F 62 61 60.9°F 75 84 82.8 °F 49 57 55.8°F 75 83 84.0 °F 47
05-22-23 54 ↑ 62.5°F 83 82 82.8 °F 56 56 ↑ 57.5°F 84 84 84.4 °F 62 60 63.5°F 81 86 87.3 °F 59 62 60.9°F 76 83 82.8 °F 55
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 6 0 2 0 5 0 1 0 4 0 2 0 3 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 100.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 4.7   21.8 0.7   27.2 2.9   21.6 0.7   26.6 2.8   14.9 0.7   32.2 2.2   16.0 0.5   31.8
Net Error -3.2   21.8 0.2   -27.2 -1.6   21.6 -0.2   -26.6 -0.6   14.9 0.1   -32.2 -0.6   16.0 -0.2   -31.8
Std Dev 3.6   9.6 0.5   11.4 2.3   13.8 0.5   17.0 2.4   12.9 0.6   27.9 2.2   16.0 0.5   31.8

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-28-23 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-23 85 ↓   79 62   60 85   80 64   65 89   85 63   65 89   88 64   65
05-27-23 85 83.7 °F 81 57 59.5°F 56 87   82 62   60 88   84 64   65 90   87 64   64
05-26-23 85 ↓ 84.0 °F 77 56 54.9°F 53 83 83.7 °F 79 57 59.5°F 53 85   70 61   52 87   78 62   57
05-25-23 82 ↓ 82.8 °F 79 59 ↑ 59.5°F 61 85 84.0 °F 75 57 54.9°F 56 84 83.7 °F 75 58 59.5°F 50 86   73 62   54
05-24-23 87 ↓ 87.3 °F 84 61 ↑ 62.6°F 61 83 82.8 °F 78 60 59.5°F 58 84 84.0 °F 75 56 54.9°F 50 84 83.7 °F 75 59 59.5°F 56
05-23-23 84 84.4 °F 83 58 ↑ 55.8°F 57 86 87.3 °F 83 61 62.6°F 59 84 82.8 °F 77 57 59.5°F 54 83 84.0 °F 75 55 54.9°F 49
05-22-23 82 82.8 °F 81 56 ↑ 61.0°F 57 84 84.4 °F 84 60 55.8°F 63 86 87.3 °F 81 62 62.6°F 59 83 82.8 °F 77 58 59.5°F 57
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 2 3 4 5 1 2 2 4 0 3 0 3 0 3 0
% Succ 100.0   33.3 50.0   66.7 100.0   20.0 40.0   40.0 100.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 0.8   3.3 2.2   2.3 0.7   4.6 2.2   4.0 0.7   7.5 1.4   5.9 0.5   7.8 0.7   4.0
Net Error 0.0   -3.3 -1.1   -1.4 -0.2   -4.6 0.5   -0.7 0.1   -7.5 -0.9   -5.9 -0.2   -7.8 -0.6   -4.0
Std Dev 0.5   2.2 1.2   1.2 0.5   3.5 1.6   3.2 0.6   6.5 1.2   5.4 0.5   7.8 0.7   4.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-28-23 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-23 85   84 62 ↑   61 85   76 64   63 89   86 63   66 89   90 64   67
05-27-23 84 83.7 °F 81 58 ↑ 59.5°F 56 87   82 62   61 88   84 64   65 90   87 64   64
05-26-23 85 ↓ 84.0 °F 78 56 54.9°F 53 83 83.7 °F 79 57 59.5°F 53 85   70 61   53 87   79 62   58
05-25-23 83 82.8 °F 82 60 59.5°F 58 85 84.0 °F 75 57 54.9°F 54 84 83.7 °F 77 58 59.5°F 51 86   74 62   54
05-24-23 87 ↓ 87.3 °F 88 61 ↑ 62.6°F 64 83 82.8 °F 80 60 59.5°F 60 84 84.0 °F 77 56 54.9°F 52 84 83.7 °F 76 59 59.5°F 55
05-23-23 84 84.4 °F 83 58 ↑ 55.8°F 57 86 87.3 °F 83 61 62.6°F 59 84 82.8 °F 75 57 59.5°F 54 83 84.0 °F 77 55 54.9°F 48
05-22-23 82 82.8 °F 81 56 ↑ 61.0°F 55 84 84.4 °F 83 60 55.8°F 59 86 87.3 °F 81 62 62.6°F 58 83 82.8 °F 76 58 59.5°F 53
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 4 4 4 5 1 2 2 4 0 3 0 3 0 3 0
% Succ 100.0   66.7 66.7   66.7 100.0   20.0 40.0   40.0 100.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 0.5   2.2 2.0   2.6 0.7   4.4 2.2   2.9 0.7   7.0 1.4   5.4 0.5   7.2 0.7   6.0
Net Error 0.0   -2.0 -0.7   -1.7 -0.2   -4.4 0.5   -1.5 0.1   -7.0 -0.9   -5.4 -0.2   -7.2 -0.6   -6.0
Std Dev 0.3   2.0 1.1   1.4 0.5   3.5 1.6   2.8 0.6   6.0 1.2   4.9 0.5   7.2 0.7   6.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-27-23 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-27-23 84   83 58 ↑   57 87   81 62   60 88   78 64   62 90   88 64   67
05-26-23 85 84.0 °F 83 54 ↑ 54.9°F 57 85   80 57   55 86   76 62   62 88   76 64   63
05-25-23 83 ↓ 82.8 °F 82 60 59.5°F 58 85 84.0 °F 79 57 54.9°F 53 84   78 58   52 86   77 62   56
05-24-23 87 ↓ 87.3 °F 87 61 ↑ 62.6°F 64 83 82.8 °F 81 60 59.5°F 63 84 84.0 °F 76 56 54.9°F 52 84   75 59   53
05-23-23 86 84.4 °F 84 57 ↑ 55.8°F 60 87 87.3 °F 84 61 62.6°F 59 83 82.8 °F 78 58 59.5°F 54 83 84.0 °F 75 56 54.9°F 51
05-22-23 82 82.8 °F 82 56 ↑ 61.0°F 56 84 84.4 °F 83 60 55.8°F 61 86 87.3 °F 84 62 62.6°F 58 83 82.8 °F 78 58 59.5°F 50
05-21-23 81 83.1 °F 81 54 ↑ 56.8°F 54 82 82.8 °F 80 57 61.0°F 54 83 84.4 °F 82 58 55.8°F 60 85 87.3 °F 80 60 62.6°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 5 4 2 5 2 2 1 4 0 3 0 2 0 2 1
% Succ 83.3   83.3 66.7   33.3 100.0   40.0 40.0   20.0 100.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 1.0   0.9 2.0   2.8 0.5   2.9 2.5   4.2 0.7   4.6 1.4   4.3 1.2   7.0 1.7   4.9
Net Error -0.1   -0.9 -1.4   -0.3 -0.1   -2.9 0.2   -0.8 -0.6   -4.6 0.3   -2.2 -1.0   -7.0 -1.0   -4.0
Std Dev 0.6   0.5 1.7   1.8 0.4   2.1 1.9   2.9 0.7   4.3 1.2   3.8 1.2   7.0 1.7   4.9

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-27-23 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-27-23 84   57 58 ↑   81 87   60 62   80 86   63 63   85 89   63 64   85
05-26-23 85 ↓ 84.0 °F 57 54 ↑ 54.9°F 80 85   54 57   79 87   63 62   77 88   64 64   84
05-25-23 86 ↓ 82.8 °F 53 60 59.5°F 72 85 84.0 °F 47 57 54.9°F 77 83   53 56   78 84   57 61   78
05-24-23 86 87.3 °F 60 61 ↑ 62.6°F 78 84 82.8 °F 58 59 59.5°F 74 85 84.0 °F 54 57 54.9°F 77 83   52 58   71
05-23-23 86 ↓ 84.4 °F 61 57 ↑ 55.8°F 85 87 87.3 °F 60 61 62.6°F 76 83 82.8 °F 54 58 59.5°F 76 83 84.0 °F 52 56 54.9°F 76
05-22-23 82 ↓ 82.8 °F 56 57 ↑ 61.0°F 83 84 84.4 °F 61 58 55.8°F 84 87 87.3 °F 58 61 62.6°F 78 84 82.8 °F 53 59 59.5°F 76
05-21-23 83 ↓ 83.1 °F 56 54 ↑ 56.8°F 82 82 82.8 °F 56 57 61.0°F 81 85 84.4 °F 60 60 55.8°F 78 86 87.3 °F 62 61 62.6°F 77
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 4 0 5 0 2 0 4 0 2 0 3 0 3 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 66.7   0.0 100.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 1.3   26.9 1.8   21.6 0.7   27.9 2.1   19.6 0.5   28.1 2.4   19.1 1.2   29.0 1.1   17.3
Net Error 0.6   -26.9 -1.3   21.6 0.1   -27.9 -0.4   19.6 0.4   -28.1 0.8   19.1 -0.4   -29.0 -0.3   17.3
Std Dev 1.0   11.1 1.4   10.5 0.6   18.1 1.5   13.0 0.5   24.4 2.0   16.6 1.2   29.0 1.1   17.3

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-27-23 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-27-23 58 ↑   58 87   82 62   59 86   82 63   64 89   88 64   65 89   84
05-26-23 54 ↑ 54.9°F 59 85 84.0 °F 82 57   56 87   79 62   58 88   81 64   59 89   84
05-25-23 60 59.5°F 55 85 82.8 °F 73 57 54.9°F 49 83 84.0 °F 76 56   51 84   75 61   53 88   78
05-24-23 61 ↑ 62.6°F 61 84 87.3 °F 79 59 59.5°F 58 85 82.8 °F 76 57 54.9°F 54 83 84.0 °F 77 58   54 86   73
05-23-23 57 ↑ 55.8°F 61 87 84.4 °F 86 61 62.6°F 63 83 87.3 °F 79 58 59.5°F 57 83 82.8 °F 76 56 54.9°F 52 84 84.0 °F 75
05-22-23 57 ↑ 61.0°F 57 84 82.8 °F 84 58 55.8°F 61 87 84.4 °F 83 61 62.6°F 59 84 87.3 °F 77 59 59.5°F 52 84 82.8 °F 74
05-21-23 54 ↑ 56.8°F 56 82 83.1 °F 82 57 61.0°F 57 85 82.8 °F 83 60 55.8°F 65 86 84.4 °F 80 61 62.6°F 63 83 87.3 °F 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 3 4 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 0 3 1 2 0
% Succ 66.7   33.3 50.0   66.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   40.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   0.0 100.0   33.3 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 1.8   3.4 1.9   4.0 2.1   3.4 2.5   4.9 2.4   4.1 1.5   7.1 1.1   3.6 1.8   9.7
Net Error -1.3   -0.3 0.4   -3.1 -0.4   -1.2 0.3   -4.9 0.8   0.6 -0.6   -7.1 -0.3   -3.3 -1.0   -9.7
Std Dev 1.4   1.8 1.1   3.8 1.5   2.9 1.9   3.8 2.0   3.8 1.3   6.2 1.1   3.6 1.8   9.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-27-23 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-27-23 58 ↑   58 87   82 62   59 86   76 63   61 89   87 64   67 89   87
05-26-23 54 ↑ 66.9°F 59 85 84.0 °F 83 57   57 87   81 62   60 88   82 64   63 89   88
05-25-23 60 66.0°F 61 85 82.8 °F 80 57 66.9°F 54 83 84.0 °F 79 56   53 84   76 61   55 88   77
05-24-23 61 ↑ 66.9°F 63 84 87.3 °F 84 59 66.0°F 59 85 82.8 °F 79 57 66.9°F 54 83 84.0 °F 77 58   53 86   74
05-23-23 57 ↑ 71.9°F 63 87 84.4 °F 88 61 66.9°F 62 83 87.3 °F 79 58 66.0°F 59 83 82.8 °F 76 56 66.9°F 51 84 84.0 °F 75
05-22-23 57 ↑ 71.2°F 60 84 82.8 °F 86 58 71.9°F 60 87 84.4 °F 84 61 66.9°F 58 84 87.3 °F 77 59 66.0°F 52 84 82.8 °F 76
05-21-23 54 ↑ 68.8°F 59 82 83.1 °F 84 57 71.2°F 58 85 82.8 °F 84 60 71.9°F 66 86 84.4 °F 81 61 66.9°F 64 83 87.3 °F 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ     0.0 50.0   33.3     0.0 20.0   40.0     0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 11.5   7.8 1.9   2.5 10.2   10.0 2.5   3.7 8.9   8.7 1.5   6.9 7.9   10.9 1.8   9.0
Net Error -11.5   -7.8 0.4   0.1 -10.2   -10.0 0.3   -3.3 -8.9   -8.7 -0.6   -6.9 -7.9   -10.9 -1.0   -9.0
Std Dev 6.0   4.0 1.1   1.3 6.9   7.0 1.9   3.2 7.7   7.8 1.3   6.0 7.9   10.9 1.8   9.0

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.