Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 01-Mar-2021 08:00 pm

Tonight

Fair
Cold!
Fair
Cold!
Low: 27°
Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 60°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 29°
Wednesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 64°
Wednesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 28°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 61°
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 39°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 58°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 31°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 01-Mar-2021 6:36pm CST

Tonight

Tonight: Clear
Clear

Lo 25 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 62 °F ↓
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F ↑
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 62 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 32 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 63 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 36 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 60 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 35 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-01-21 23 ↑   25 46 ↓   49 27 ↑   25 58   60 29   27 58   60 33   29 62   62
02-28-21 32 ↑ 24.9°F 36 41 ↓ 44.1 °F 46 25 ↑   22 45   53 26   25 55   61 33   27 61   60
02-27-21 25 ↑ 39.0°F 28 54 57.5 °F 58 29 ↑ 24.9°F 33 43 44.1 °F 45 26   25 45   44 28   23 57   55
02-26-21 27 33.2°F 28 50 48.2 °F 55 25 39.0°F 27 53 57.5 °F 59 28 24.9°F 26 44 44.1 °F 46 27   25 50   46
02-25-21 24 ↑ 33.5°F 23 43 ↓ 45.3 °F 47 26 ↑ 33.2°F 25 47 48.2 °F 52 28 39.0°F 25 51 57.5 °F 59 27 24.9°F 30 42 44.1 °F 44
02-24-21 30 ↑ 25.3°F 32 40 45.0 °F 53 22 ↑ 33.5°F 26 42 45.3 °F 48 26 33.2°F 25 46 48.2 °F 50 29 39.0°F 30 50 57.5 °F 57
02-23-21 29 42.3°F 33 50 ↓ 60.7 °F 50 28 ↑ 25.3°F 26 41 45.0 °F 49 23 33.5°F 26 40 45.3 °F 49 26 33.2°F 29 43 48.2 °F 55
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 3 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 2
% Succ     0.0 16.7   50.0     20.0 40.0   40.0     25.0 25.0   75.0     0.0     66.7
Ave Error 9.1   9.0 4.4   4.9 7.9   7.3 2.8   2.6 8.0   7.7 3.5   2.2 6.4   6.1 4.9   2.5
Net Error -5.2   -3.0 -3.8   1.4 -5.2   -3.8 -2.8   2.6 -6.4   -7.2 -3.5   2.2 -5.0   -2.7 -4.9   2.1
Std Dev 4.8   4.3 2.4   3.6 5.9   5.1 2.2   1.9 7.3   7.4 3.5   1.9 6.4   6.1 4.9   2.5

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-01-21 23 ↑   51 45 ↓   25 27 ↑   61 60   29 27   64 58   30 33   66 62   40
02-28-21 32 ↑ 24.9°F 45 41 ↓ 44.1 °F 23 25 ↑   53 45   26 26   62 55   26 33   61 61   29
02-27-21 25 ↑ 34.2°F 61 54 57.5 °F 35 29 ↑ 24.9°F 48 43 44.1 °F 25 26   47 44   25 28   60 57   34
02-26-21 27 31.0°F 56 50 ↓ 48.2 °F 28 25 34.2°F 59 53 57.5 °F 27 28 24.9°F 46 44 44.1 °F 23 27   43 50   23
02-25-21 24 ↑ 31.9°F 48 45 ↓ 45.3 °F 25 25 ↑ 31.0°F 51 45 48.2 °F 26 27 34.2°F 59 53 57.5 °F 25 27 24.9°F 41 42 44.1 °F 22
02-24-21 30 ↑ 25.2°F 54 40 ↓ 45.0 °F 26 24 31.9°F 47 43 45.3 °F 24 26 31.0°F 50 46 48.2 °F 27 29 34.2°F 55 50 57.5 °F 27
02-23-21 29 ↑ 35.9°F 64 52 ↓ 60.7 °F 32 29 ↑ 25.2°F 51 42 45.0 °F 25 24 31.9°F 47 41 45.3 °F 24 27 31.0°F 47 46 48.2 °F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 6.7   24.2 3.7   22.0 6.2   21.8 2.8   22.6 5.8   20.0 2.8   24.0 3.8   17.6 3.9   24.6
Net Error -2.7   24.2 -3.1   -22.0 -3.0   21.8 -2.8   -22.6 -4.3   20.0 -2.8   -24.0 -2.4   17.6 -3.9   -24.6
Std Dev 3.2   10.8 2.3   9.1 4.3   13.9 2.1   14.8 5.2   17.3 2.8   20.9 3.8   17.6 3.9   24.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-01-21 45 ↓   51 27 ↑   25 60 ↓   61 27   29 58   64 33   30 62   66 36   40
02-28-21 41 ↓ 25.0°F 45 25 ↑ 44.1 °F 22 45 ↓   53 26   26 55   62 33   26 61   61 34   29
02-27-21 54 57.5 °F 58 29 ↑ 34.2°F 34 43 ↓ 25.0°F 48 26 44.1 °F 25 44   47 28   25 57   59 31   34
02-26-21 50 ↓ 48.2 °F 55 25 30.7°F 28 53 ↓ 57.5 °F 58 28 34.2°F 27 44 25.0°F 46 27 44.1 °F 23 50   43 31   23
02-25-21 45 ↓ 45.3 °F 46 25 ↑ 31.8°F 25 45 ↓ 48.2 °F 51 27 30.7°F 26 53 57.5 °F 59 27 34.2°F 26 42 25.0°F 41 26 44.1 °F 22
02-24-21 40 ↓ 45.0 °F 52 24 24.5°F 26 43 ↓ 45.3 °F 47 26 31.8°F 24 46 48.2 °F 50 29 30.7°F 27 50 57.5 °F 55 28 34.2°F 27
02-23-21 53 ↓ 60.7 °F 65 29 ↑ 34.9°F 33 42 ↓ 45.0 °F 52 24 24.5°F 25 41 45.3 °F 46 27 31.8°F 24 46 48.2 °F 48 28 30.7°F 26
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 1 3 0 2 1 1 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 16.7   50.0     40.0 20.0   20.0     75.0 25.0   0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 5.7   6.6 7.2   5.9 6.2   7.0 6.9   7.9 7.5   6.3 7.7   10.2 8.9   6.2 9.0   11.3
Net Error 0.2   6.6 -7.2   -5.4 1.0   7.0 -6.9   -7.7 2.0   6.3 -7.7   -10.2 2.4   4.4 -9.0   -11.3
Std Dev 5.6   7.0 6.4   7.7 6.8   9.1 6.8   7.2 8.7   9.1 8.2   10.4 8.9   6.2 9.0   11.3

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-01-21 45 ↓   49 27 ↑   26 60 ↓   60 27   29 58   64 33   28 62   61 36   40
02-28-21 41 ↓ 44.1 °F 44 25 ↑ 25.0°F 22 45 ↓   54 26   26 55   63 33   26 61   60 34   29
02-27-21 54 57.5 °F 57 29 ↑ 34.2°F 35 43 ↓ 44.1 °F 47 26 25.0°F 24 44   47 28   24 57   58 31   32
02-26-21 50 ↓ 48.2 °F 53 25 30.7°F 26 53 ↓ 57.5 °F 58 28 34.2°F 30 44 44.1 °F 47 27 25.0°F 26 50   46 31   26
02-25-21 45 ↓ 45.3 °F 47 25 ↑ 31.8°F 25 45 ↓ 48.2 °F 51 27 30.7°F 26 53 57.5 °F 57 27 34.2°F 26 42 44.1 °F 46 26 25.0°F 24
02-24-21 40 ↓ 45.0 °F 49 24 24.5°F 25 43 ↓ 45.3 °F 47 26 31.8°F 26 46 48.2 °F 51 29 30.7°F 28 50 57.5 °F 59 28 34.2°F 25
02-23-21 53 ↓ 60.7 °F 63 29 ↑ 34.9°F 32 42 ↓ 45.0 °F 50 24 24.5°F 25 41 45.3 °F 45 27 31.8°F 24 46 48.2 °F 49 28 30.7°F 31
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 0 3 1 2
% Succ 33.3   50.0 33.3   33.3 20.0   40.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 50.0   25.0     100.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 3.6   2.2 4.0   3.1 2.8   2.6 3.4   3.2 2.8   1.6 3.9   4.9 3.9   1.4 3.3   3.5
Net Error -3.0   2.0 -4.0   -2.7 -2.8   2.6 -3.0   -3.0 -2.8   1.2 -2.9   -4.4 -3.9   1.4 -2.6   -3.3
Std Dev 2.2   1.9 3.1   2.5 2.1   1.9 2.7   2.4 2.8   1.5 3.5   4.7 3.9   1.4 3.3   3.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-01-21 45   48 25   26 <65   60 >25   29 <65   64 <35   28 <65   61 35   40
02-28-21 41 ↓ 44.1 °F 42 25 ↑ 25.0°F 22 45 ↓   54 26   26 55   63 33   26 61   60 34   29
02-27-21 54 ↓ 57.5 °F 54 30 ↑ 34.2°F 35 42 44.1 °F 47 26 25.0°F 24 44   47 26   24 56   58 32   32
02-26-21 50 ↓ 48.2 °F 48 25 30.7°F 26 53 ↓ 57.5 °F 58 28 34.2°F 30 44 44.1 °F 47 27 25.0°F 26 50   46 31   26
02-25-21 45 ↓ 45.3 °F 46 25 ↑ 31.8°F 24 45 ↓ 48.2 °F 51 27 30.7°F 26 53 57.5 °F 58 27 34.2°F 26 42 44.1 °F 46 26 25.0°F 24
02-24-21 40 45.0 °F 44 <25 24.5°F 23 <45 45.3 °F 46 25 31.8°F 25 45 48.2 °F 51 >25 30.7°F 28 >45 57.5 °F 58 >25 34.2°F 25
02-23-21 <55 60.7 °F 59 >25 34.9°F 33 40 45.0 °F 50 <25 24.5°F 25 <45 45.3 °F 45 25 31.8°F 24 45 48.2 °F 49 >25 30.7°F 32
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 1 3 0 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 0 3 1 2
% Succ 33.3   66.7 16.7   50.0     40.0 20.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 25.0   25.0     100.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 12.4   1.5 12.7   3.3 12.0   2.4 8.4   3.4 13.3   1.6 11.7   4.9 20.9   1.1 22.0   3.8
Net Error -11.8   -1.3 -12.7   -3.0 -12.0   2.4 -8.0   -3.2 -13.3   1.5 -10.7   -4.4 -20.9   1.1 -21.3   -3.0
Std Dev 10.3   1.2 10.1   2.7 10.2   1.7 6.7   2.5 13.3   1.5 11.2   4.7 20.9   1.1 22.0   3.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-01-21 46 ↓   27 25   60 62 ↓   30 27   64 62   28 32   61 63   39 36   58
02-28-21 41 ↓ 44.1 °F 23 24 25.0°F 53 46 ↓   27 27   62 58   28 29   62 60   30 32   67
02-27-21 55 ↓ 57.5 °F 35 30 ↑ 34.2°F 46 42 44.1 °F 24 26 25.0°F 50 44   25 26   59 56   31 32   64
02-26-21 50 ↓ 48.2 °F 48 25 30.7°F 26 54 ↓ 57.5 °F 58 28 34.2°F 30 43 44.1 °F 47 27 25.0°F 26 47   46 29   26
02-25-21 44 ↓ 45.3 °F 26 27 31.8°F 52 50 ↓ 48.2 °F 26 26 30.7°F 58 54 57.5 °F 25 27 34.2°F 45 39 44.1 °F 23 25 25.0°F 46
02-24-21 40 ↓ 45.0 °F 24 24 ↑ 24.5°F 47 43 ↓ 45.3 °F 25 26 31.8°F 52 47 48.2 °F 26 28 30.7°F 56 51 57.5 °F 24 27 34.2°F 40
02-23-21 53 ↓ 60.7 °F 34 29 ↑ 34.9°F 51 42 ↓ 45.0 °F 26 24 24.5°F 47 41 45.3 °F 25 27 31.8°F 50 46 48.2 °F 33 28 30.7°F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 2 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7 33.3   0.0 20.0   20.0 40.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.6   18.5 3.7   17.2 2.5   16.4 3.6   19.8 2.5   19.5 4.2   13.8 4.6   23.3 3.3   17.4
Net Error -3.0   -18.5 -3.7   15.7 -1.8   -16.2 -3.2   18.2 -2.5   -18.0 -3.2   13.8 -4.6   -23.3 -3.3   17.4
Std Dev 2.0   10.8 2.5   10.3 1.7   13.0 2.9   14.9 2.3   18.8 3.8   13.6 4.6   23.3 3.3   17.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-28-21 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-28-21 24   23 46 ↓   53 27   27 58   62 29   28 60   62 32   30 61   67
02-27-21 30 ↑ 34.2°F 35 42 57.5 °F 46 26   24 44   51 26   25 56   59 32   30 60   64
02-26-21 25 30.7°F 28 54 ↓ 48.2 °F 55 28 ↑ 34.2°F 30 43 57.5 °F 45 27   25 47   43 29   23 56   60
02-25-21 27 31.8°F 24 50 ↓ 45.3 °F 50 26 ↑ 30.7°F 26 54 48.2 °F 58 27 34.2°F 26 39 57.5 °F 46 25   23 50   47
02-24-21 24 ↑ 24.5°F 24 43 ↓ 45.0 °F 47 26 ↑ 31.8°F 25 47 45.3 °F 52 28 30.7°F 26 51 48.2 °F 56 27 34.2°F 24 42 57.5 °F 40
02-23-21 29 ↑ 60.7 °F 32 42 ↓ 34.9°F 51 24 24.5°F 25 41 45.0 °F 47 27 31.8°F 25 46 45.3 °F 50 28 30.7°F 33 49 48.2 °F 57
02-22-21 28 ↑ 29.0°F 28 50 ↓ 49.4 °F 61 28 ↑ 60.7 °F 31 41 34.9°F 49 23 24.5°F 23 40 45.0 °F 47 26 31.8°F 25 43 45.3 °F 48
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0
% Succ 33.3   50.0 33.3   16.7 20.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 8.0   6.9 6.0   8.8 10.0   9.2 6.4   9.0 4.1   5.3 6.8   6.5 5.2   6.4 6.2   9.7
Net Error -8.0   -6.7 0.1   5.0 -10.0   -9.0 -1.0   4.0 -4.1   -5.3 -5.0   0.8 -5.2   -4.9 -5.7   -2.0
Std Dev 10.9   10.2 4.9   5.8 7.2   6.6 5.8   6.0 3.8   4.8 8.3   6.2 5.2   6.4 6.2   9.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-28-21 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-28-21 23 ↑   22 46 ↓   48 27   25 58   60 29   26 60   60 32   29 61   62
02-27-21 32 ↑ 25.2°F 36 42 57.5 °F 46 26   22 44   53 26   25 56   61 32   27 60   60
02-26-21 25 45.9°F 28 54 ↓ 48.2 °F 56 28 ↑ 25.2°F 33 43 57.5 °F 45 27   25 47   44 29   23 56   55
02-25-21 27 36.1°F 28 50 ↓ 45.3 °F 55 26 ↑ 45.9°F 27 54 48.2 °F 58 27 25.2°F 26 39 57.5 °F 46 25   25 50   46
02-24-21 25 34.7°F 22 <45 45.0 °F 47 25 36.1°F 25 45 45.3 °F 52 >25 45.9°F 25 <55 48.2 °F 59 >25 25.2°F 30 <45 57.5 °F 43
02-23-21 30 ↑ 26.8°F 32 40 60.7 °F 51 22 ↑ 34.7°F 26 42 45.0 °F 47 26 36.1°F 25 46 45.3 °F 50 29 45.9°F 30 50 48.2 °F 57
02-22-21 29 46.4°F 27 50 ↓ 49.4 °F 66 28 ↑ 26.8°F 33 41 60.7 °F 49 23 34.7°F 24 40 45.0 °F 48 26 36.1°F 26 43 45.3 °F 49
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   16.7 20.0   0.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 11.2   12.4 15.4   9.6 9.5   10.5 8.7   8.5 17.4   10.9 18.1   7.5 17.4   10.3 20.5   9.0
Net Error -7.9   -7.0 -11.7   2.5 -7.9   -4.9 -6.3   -1.1 -16.5   -10.5 -17.8   1.8 -17.4   -7.1 -19.3   -0.7
Std Dev 7.2   6.5 15.0   5.1 8.2   7.7 7.2   5.8 16.9   10.7 15.7   6.8 17.4   10.3 20.5   9.0

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.