SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 20-Oct-2021 3:30 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

93°F at Castroville Muni Tx, TX

Low Temp

-22°F at Fritzsche Aaf, CA

Precipitation

1.76in at Lander Airport, WY

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Tuesday,
October 19, 2021

High Temp

81°F at Mccook Municipal Ap, NE

Low Temp

31°F at Bravo (pine Bluffs), NE

Precipitation

0.37in at Scottsbluff W B Heilig Field Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 20-Oct-2021 02:00 pm

This
afternoon

Mostly Cloudy
High: 55°

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Low: 38°

Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 60°

Thursday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 33°

Friday

Mostly Sunny
High: 62°

Friday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 35°

Saturday

Partly Cloudy
High: 59°

Saturday
night

Chance rain
Low: 50°

Sunday

Overcast
High: 64°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 20-Oct-2021 11:58am CDT

Rest Of
Today

Partly Sunny
Hi ≈60°F

Tonight

Variable Clouds
Lo ≈40°F

Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Hi <65°F

Thursday
Night

Partly Cloudy
Lo >35°F

Friday

Sunny

Sunny
Hi <65°F

Friday
Night

Mostly Clear
Lo ≈40°F

Saturday

Mostly Sunny
Hi ≈65°F

Saturday
Night

Thunder storm
Lo >45°F

Sunday

Chance rain
Hi >65°F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-20-21 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-20-21	<55		58	60		69	40		49	>55		66	>35		36	65		65	40		37	65		65
10-19-21	55	64.6°F	53	79 ↓	78.4 °F	80	50 ↑		52	60		68	40		46	59		66	40		39	61		69
10-18-21	75	59.5°F	47	42 ↑	77.3 °F	76	76	64.6°F	51	51	78.4 °F	81	76		48	50		66	62		43	41		64
10-17-21	>35	57.1°F	39	75	77.3 °F	72	45	59.5°F	43	75	77.3 °F	76	<55	64.6°F	50	75	78.4 °F	81	45		51	<65		66
10-16-21	35 ↑	44.4°F	38	66	69.0 °F	64	41	57.1°F	37	76	77.3 °F	73	47	59.5°F	43	75	77.3 °F	74	53	64.6°F	50	76	78.4 °F	81
10-15-21	42 ↑	43.6°F	45	60	64.0 °F	59	38	44.4°F	37	65	69.0 °F	65	41	57.1°F	40	75	77.3 °F	75	49	59.5°F	43	73	77.3 °F	76
10-14-21	40	51.5°F	41	<65	66.1 °F	68	<45	43.6°F	45	>55	64.0 °F	60	>35	44.4°F	37	65	69.0 °F	66	<45	57.1°F	41	<75	77.3 °F	76
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	1		3	0		1	1		1	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		2
% Succ	16.7		16.7	16.7		50.0			20.0	20.0		20.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			66.7
Ave Error	17.5		10.1	18.6		3.4	18.4		11.8	19.8		3.2	34.4		13.9	3.0		2.8	26.4		15.7	28.0		1.7
Net Error	-12.3		-9.6	-18.4		-2.2	-13.8		-11.2	-19.8		-2.2	-34.4		-13.9	-3.0		-1.5	-26.4		-15.7	-28.0		0.0
Std Dev	19.4		6.6	16.7		2.2	12.2		8.6	17.3		2.3	33.4		12.0	2.6		2.4	26.4		15.7	28.0		1.7

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-20-21 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-20-21	55 ↑		70	60 ↓		49	41		66	62		37	39		65	64		37	40		66	66		55
10-19-21	55	62.1°F	81	79 ↓	78.4 °F	49	50 ↑		68	60		46	40		66	59		38	40		69	61		44
10-18-21	75	57.9°F	77	42 ↑	77.3 °F	53	76	62.1°F	82	51	78.4 °F	49	76		67	50		44	62		65	41		41
10-17-21	38 ↑	54.1°F	72	75 ↓	77.3 °F	45	47 ↑	57.9°F	75	75	77.3 °F	49	54	62.1°F	79	76	78.4 °F	53	48		67	61		44
10-16-21	35 ↑	41.6°F	65	67	69.0 °F	39	39 ↑	54.1°F	73	76	77.3 °F	43	47	57.9°F	74	75	77.3 °F	48	53	62.1°F	79	75	78.4 °F	48
10-15-21	42 ↑	39.7°F	62	61	64.0 °F	40	36 ↑	41.6°F	65	66	69.0 °F	40	42	54.1°F	73	75	77.3 °F	43	49	57.9°F	75	75	77.3 °F	48
10-14-21			66	65	66.1 °F	44	<45	39.7°F	60	>55	64.0 °F	37	>35	41.6°F	66	65	69.0 °F	40	<45	54.1°F	76	75	77.3 °F	45
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	3		0	0		0	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0	20.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	9.8		20.3	7.4		27.0	17.0		19.9	19.6		29.6	18.2		19.1	2.8		29.5	24.0		18.6	2.7		30.7
Net Error	-2.1		20.3	-7.2		-27.0	-11.5		19.9	-19.6		-29.6	-18.2		19.1	-2.8		-29.5	-24.0		18.6	-2.7		-30.7
Std Dev	6.4		9.3	12.6		11.5	11.2		12.7	17.1		18.8	16.5		16.6	2.4		25.6	24.0		18.6	2.7		30.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-20-21 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-20-21	60		62	40		42	<65		63	>35		36	<65		66	40		36	65		64	>45		51
10-19-21	55	78.4 °F	81	79 ↓	54.9°F	50	50 ↑		67	60		47	40		66	59		40	40		72	61		41
10-18-21	75	77.3 °F	79	<55	57.7°F	55	>75	78.4 °F	82	>45	54.9°F	52	>55		67	>35		45	>55		66	>35		40
10-16-21	>65	77.3 °F	65	>35	51.2°F	39	75	77.3 °F	73	45	57.7°F	43	75	78.4 °F	74	<55	54.9°F	49	75		79	>45		48
10-15-21	61	64.0 °F	59	36 ↑	35.1°F	39	66 ↓	77.3 °F	64	42	51.2°F	39	75	77.3 °F	73	49	57.7°F	43	75	78.4 °F	77	53	54.9°F	49
10-14-21	65	66.1 °F	65	<45	41.1°F	42	>55	64.0 °F	59	>35	35.1°F	36	65	77.3 °F	63	<45	51.2°F	38	75	77.3 °F	75	>45	57.7°F	44
10-13-21	65	66.6 °F	67	<45	38.5°F	41	<65	66.1 °F	67	<45	41.1°F	42	>55	64.0 °F	56	>35	35.1°F	36	>65	77.3 °F	63	<45	51.2°F	40
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	1		1	0		1	0		2	0		0	0		1	0		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		50.0	16.7		16.7			20.0			40.0			0.0			25.0			33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	18.1		3.9	35.6		4.5	44.4		5.4	30.6		6.3	20.5		7.8	37.5		8.7	27.7		6.0	36.9		10.3
Net Error	-18.1		-2.3	-27.3		-2.1	-44.4		-3.6	-30.6		-5.6	-20.5		-7.8	-37.5		-8.2	-27.7		-6.0	-36.9		-10.3
Std Dev	27.8		4.1	23.7		4.0	39.9		5.0	25.5		6.3	19.7		6.9	33.6		7.6	27.7		6.0	36.9		10.3

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-20-21 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-20-21	60		56	40		41	<65		61	>35		34	<65		65	40		35	65		64	>45		51
10-19-21	55	78.4 °F	78	79 ↓	53.6°F	51	50 ↑		66	60		47	40		66	59		39	40		71	61		41
10-18-21	75	77.3 °F	75	<55	57.7°F	51	>75	78.4 °F	80	>45	53.6°F	48	>55		64	>35		42	>55		64	>35		39
10-17-21	75 ↓	77.3 °F	74	47 ↑	51.2°F	46	75	77.3 °F	76	54	57.7°F	52	76	78.4 °F	79	48	53.6°F	52	61		67	38		44
10-16-21	67	69.0 °F	65	37 ↑	37.9°F	38	76	77.3 °F	73	47	51.2°F	44	75	77.3 °F	75	53	57.7°F	50	75	78.4 °F	79	48	53.6°F	48
10-15-21	61	64.0 °F	59	36 ↑	35.1°F	36	66 ↓	69.0 °F	62	42	37.9°F	38	75	77.3 °F	74	49	51.2°F	42	75	77.3 °F	76	53	57.7°F	48
10-14-21	65	66.1 °F	65	<45	41.0°F	41	>55	64.0 °F	58	>35	35.1°F	37	65	69.0 °F	63	<45	37.9°F	38	75	77.3 °F	75	>45	51.2°F	44
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	2		3	1		2	0		2	0		1	0		2	0		2	0		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	33.3		50.0	20.0		40.0			40.0			25.0			50.0			66.7			0.0
Ave Error	5.7		2.7	21.7		2.6	29.8		4.0	20.1		4.1	2.8		3.1	12.6		4.7	2.7		1.4	20.5		7.5
Net Error	-5.7		-2.7	-12.9		-2.3	-29.8		-3.4	-18.5		-3.3	-2.8		-2.8	-12.6		-4.6	-2.7		-1.0	-20.5		-7.5
Std Dev	8.1		1.8	22.2		2.6	33.8		3.0	22.2		3.1	2.4		2.9	11.5		4.3	2.7		1.4	20.5		7.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-20-21 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-20-21	60		55	40		38	<65		60	>35		33	<65		62	40		35	65		59	>45		50
10-19-21	>75	78.4 °F	77	50	53.6°F	52	>55		66	40		47	>55		65	>35		39	<65		70	40		39
10-18-21	75	77.3 °F	76	<55	57.7°F	49	>75	78.4 °F	78	>45	53.6°F	48	>55		63	>35		39	>55		61	>35		36
10-17-21	75	77.3 °F	76	42 ↑	51.2°F	46	76	77.3 °F	77	51	57.7°F	52	76	78.4 °F	80	50	53.6°F	52	62		67	41		42
10-16-21	67	69.0 °F	67	37 ↑	37.9°F	39	75	77.3 °F	73	46	51.2°F	45	75	77.3 °F	75	53	57.7°F	49	76	78.4 °F	79	47	53.6°F	50
10-15-21	61	64.0 °F	63	36 ↑	35.1°F	37	66 ↓	69.0 °F	64	42	37.9°F	39	75	77.3 °F	74	49	51.2°F	42	75	77.3 °F	76	53	57.7°F	49
10-14-21	65	66.1 °F	65	<45	41.0°F	41	>55	64.0 °F	59	35	35.1°F	38	65	69.0 °F	63	<45	37.9°F	39	<75	77.3 °F	75	>45	51.2°F	43
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		6	2		4	1		2	1		1	0		1	0		2	0		2	0		0
% Succ	33.3		100.0	33.3		66.7	20.0		40.0	20.0		20.0			25.0			50.0			66.7			0.0
Ave Error	14.9		1.4	18.9		3.1	29.8		3.0	13.9		4.3	2.8		3.3	12.1		5.2	27.3		1.4	20.8		6.8
Net Error	-14.9		-1.4	-18.6		-2.1	-29.8		-3.0	-12.3		-2.7	-2.8		-2.5	-12.1		-4.6	-27.3		-1.0	-20.8		-6.8
Std Dev	28.5		0.6	21.7		3.0	33.8		2.6	20.4		3.0	2.4		3.0	11.3		4.8	27.3		1.4	20.8		6.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-19-21 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-19-21			50	<55		66	60		47	40		65	>55		40	>35		71	65		39	40		66
10-18-21			50	<55	57.7°F	79	>75		50	>45		66	>55		38	>35		59	>55		35	>35		64
10-17-21	77	77.3 °F	49	41 ↑	51.2°F	79	76	77.3 °F	53	51	57.7°F	80	77		53	50		67	62		42	41		62
10-16-21	67	69.0 °F	40	38	37.9°F	73	75	77.3 °F	45	46	51.2°F	75	75	77.3 °F	50	53	57.7°F	79	76		50	47		67
10-15-21	61	64.0 °F	37	36 ↑	35.1°F	64	66	69.0 °F	39	41	37.9°F	74	76	77.3 °F	43	47	51.2°F	75	75	77.3 °F	46	53	57.7°F	79
10-14-21			42	<45	41.0°F	59	>55	64.0 °F	37	35	35.1°F	63	65	69.0 °F	39	<45	37.9°F	75	<75	77.3 °F	43	>45	51.2°F	79
10-13-21			41	40	38.5°F	67	<65	66.1 °F	43	<45	41.0°F	57	>55	64.0 °F	36	>35	35.1°F	63	65	69.0 °F	38	<45	37.9°F	73
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	3		0	1		0	1		0	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	66.7		0.0	50.0		0.0	20.0		0.0	20.0		0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	1.8		28.1	18.6		26.6	27.3		27.3	11.2		25.2	17.9		29.9	20.5		27.5	27.9		32.2	31.3		28.1
Net Error	-1.8		-28.1	-17.7		26.6	-27.3		-27.3	-10.0		25.2	-17.9		-29.9	-20.5		27.5	-27.9		-32.2	-31.3		28.1
Std Dev	1.7		22.9	22.7		12.2	26.0		17.5	8.7		16.7	17.4		25.9	19.4		24.0	27.9		32.2	31.3		28.1

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-19-21 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-19-21	<55		52	60		67	40		47	>55		66	>35		39	65		68	40		41	65		66
10-18-21	55	57.7°F	51	79 ↓	77.3 °F	77	50 ↑		47	60		64	40		42	59		65	40		39	61		67
10-17-21	41 ↑	51.2°F	48	76	77.3 °F	77	51 ↑	57.7°F	51	77	77.3 °F	78	50		54	62		67	41		42	60		62
10-16-21	38 ↑	37.9°F	39	75	69.0 °F	72	46	51.2°F	44	75	77.3 °F	75	53	57.7°F	49	76	77.3 °F	78	47		49	63		67
10-15-21	36 ↑	35.1°F	37	66	64.0 °F	64	41	37.9°F	39	76	69.0 °F	74	47	51.2°F	43	75	77.3 °F	73	53	57.7°F	48	76	77.3 °F	79
10-14-21	42 ↑	41.0°F	42	60	66.1 °F	59	38	35.1°F	36	65	64.0 °F	64	41	37.9°F	39	75	69.0 °F	75	49	51.2°F	43	73	77.3 °F	78
10-13-21	40	38.5°F	43	<65	66.6 °F	69	<45	41.0°F	46	>55	66.1 °F	59	>35	35.1°F	38	65	64.0 °F	66	<45	37.9°F	40	<75	69.0 °F	76
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		3	3		3	0		2	2		2	0		1	2		2	0		0	1		2
% Succ	66.7		50.0	50.0		50.0			40.0	40.0		40.0			25.0	50.0		50.0			0.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	2.7		3.1	14.0		2.2	11.8		4.2	15.3		3.0	11.8		5.2	2.7		3.3	14.9		6.7	24.9		3.1
Net Error	-1.6		-0.2	-10.7		-0.4	-9.4		-1.4	-12.1		-0.7	-10.2		-3.2	0.9		1.1	-14.9		-5.3	-24.9		3.1
Std Dev	3.6		2.3	11.3		2.6	9.2		3.5	13.7		2.4	10.8		4.8	2.4		3.1	14.9		6.7	24.9		3.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-19-21 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-19-21	<55		54	60		68	40		46	>55		65	>35		38	65		67	40		40	65		65
10-18-21	50	66.5°F	52	>75	77.3 °F	78	>45		49	>55		65	>35		43	>55		65	>35		39	60		68
10-17-21	41 ↑	63.1°F	47	76	77.3 °F	75	51 ↑	66.5°F	50	77	77.3 °F	77	50		53	62		65	41		41	60		61
10-16-21	>35	59.9°F	41	75	69.0 °F	74	45	63.1°F	43	75	77.3 °F	75	<55	66.5°F	50	75	77.3 °F	79	45		49	<65		67
10-15-21	35	44.7°F	36	65	64.0 °F	64	<45	59.9°F	39	75	69.0 °F	73	45	63.1°F	43	75	77.3 °F	73	<55	66.5°F	48	75	77.3 °F	79
10-14-21	42 ↑	44.1°F	44	60	66.1 °F	59	38	44.7°F	37	65	64.0 °F	64	41	59.9°F	39	75	69.0 °F	75	49	63.1°F	43	73	77.3 °F	77
10-13-21	40	53.9°F	41	<65	66.6 °F	68	<45	44.1°F	46	>55	66.1 °F	59	>35	44.7°F	35	65	64.0 °F	63	<45	59.9°F	38	<75	69.0 °F	75
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	2		3	0		1	2		2	0		0	1		2	0		0	0		2
% Succ			16.7	33.3		50.0			20.0	40.0		40.0			0.0	25.0		50.0			0.0			66.7
Ave Error	20.7		11.9	26.4		2.8	28.9		13.4	15.1		2.7	37.1		16.8	2.9		3.3	46.8		20.2	25.2		2.7
Net Error	-20.7		-11.9	-24.1		-0.4	-28.9		-12.7	-12.3		-1.1	-37.1		-16.8	0.6		0.6	-46.8		-20.2	-25.2		2.5
Std Dev	20.2		7.8	30.0		2.7	24.2		9.7	13.6		2.1	35.3		14.6	2.5		2.9	46.8		20.2	25.2		2.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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