Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 26-May-2019 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 83°
Tonight

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 67°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 80°
Monday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 68°
Tuesday

Severe storm
Severe storm
High: 81°
Tuesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 66°
Wednesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 83°
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 64°
Thursday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 75°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 26-May-2019 4:05pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 81 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Lo 65 °F
Memorial
Day
Memorial Day: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 83 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 65 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 79 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 56 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 72 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 53 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 76 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-26-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-26-19 59 ↑   58 81   83 64   65 83   83 65   68 79   80 56   62 71   77
05-25-19 59 62.0°F 64 81 83.6 °F 84 60   59 79   81 64   64 83   83 64   67 79   83
05-24-19 56 ↑ 61.8°F 56 79 80.5 °F 79 62 62.0°F 55 81 83.6 °F 81 59   57 81   80 64   63 81   80
05-23-19 47 55.6°F 46 68 71.0 °F 77 63 61.8°F 56 81 80.5 °F 73 59 62.0°F 57 82 83.6 °F 77 59   57 81   80
05-22-19 48 ↑ 48.0°F 52 68 69.4 °F 72 51 55.6°F 49 70 71.0 °F 73 61 61.8°F 56 80 80.5 °F 79 57 62.0°F 64 80 83.6 °F 79
05-21-19 46 ↑ 52.0°F 44 62 ↓ 54.3 °F 49 48 48.0°F 47 73 69.4 °F 66 53 55.6°F 47 75 71.0 °F 67 63 61.8°F 61 80 80.5 °F 79
05-20-19 42 46.9°F 47 56 52.5 °F 64 51 52.0°F 46 66 54.3 °F 60 53 48.0°F 57 78 69.4 °F 75 58 55.6°F 56 79 71.0 °F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 2 2 4 1 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 3 1 2
% Succ 16.7   33.3 33.3   33.3 80.0   20.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   25.0 33.3   100.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 4.7   4.9 3.3   4.6 1.4   5.3 3.9   4.2 2.9   7.1 3.7   4.4 2.9   1.1 4.0   2.0
Net Error -4.7   -2.9 0.5   2.3 -0.9   -5.3 2.4   -1.2 -0.4   -2.6 2.6   -1.6 -0.5   0.5 1.3   -2.0
Std Dev 3.3   3.3 2.5   3.0 1.8   3.5 3.2   3.3 2.5   6.2 3.3   4.0 2.9   1.1 4.0   2.0

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-26-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-26-19 59 ↑   81 78   64 65   83 81   66 65   79 81   65 56   77 70   59
05-25-19 59 83.6 °F 81 76 58.3°F 59 59   80 80   64 65   82 84   68 64   82 79   65
05-24-19 56 ↑ 80.5 °F 80 77 61.8°F 57 61 83.6 °F 80 81 58.3°F 57 60   80 81   63 64   80 82   69
05-23-19 47 71.0 °F 76 70 55.6°F 57 61 ↑ 80.5 °F 73 81 61.8°F 57 61 83.6 °F 77 82 58.3°F 57 60   80 81   66
05-22-19 48 ↑ 69.4 °F 69 69 45.2°F 46 47 71.0 °F 73 69 55.6°F 54 61 80.5 °F 79 82 61.8°F 64 58 83.6 °F 79 81 58.3°F 63
05-21-19 46 54.3 °F 49 55 ↓ 49.8°F 47 48 69.4 °F 65 72 45.2°F 47 52 71.0 °F 66 75 55.6°F 61 62 80.5 °F 78 80 61.8°F 64
05-20-19 42 ↑ 52.5 °F 61 56 46.9°F 44 51 54.3 °F 60 65 49.8°F 57 50 69.4 °F 75 77 45.2°F 55 57 71.0 °F 71 79 55.6°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 3 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ     33.3     50.0     20.0     60.0     25.0     25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 18.9   3.7 14.2   2.2 18.2   4.6 19.5   3.3 20.1   4.7 23.8   4.7 19.4   2.4 21.4   5.1
Net Error -18.9   0.8 14.2   -1.3 -18.2   -1.6 19.5   0.3 -20.1   -1.9 23.8   4.0 -19.4   -2.4 21.4   5.1
Std Dev 9.7   2.6 8.0   1.7 12.0   3.4 12.7   2.5 17.5   4.2 20.6   4.4 19.4   2.4 21.4   5.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-26-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-26-19 78   81 65   63 81   83 65   69 81   83 56   65 70   79 52   59
05-25-19 76 83.6 °F 81 59 57.2°F 63 80   81 65   66 84   84 64   68 79   85 55   66
05-24-19 77 80.5 °F 77 61 61.9°F 59 81 83.6 °F 80 60 57.2°F 58 81   80 64   64 82   80 62   66
05-23-19 70 71.0 °F 74 61 ↑ 55.6°F 58 81 80.5 °F 74 61 61.9°F 57 82 83.6 °F 74 60 57.2°F 57 81   78 63   64
05-22-19 69 69.4 °F 67 47 45.1°F 44 69 71.0 °F 74 61 55.6°F 57 82 80.5 °F 78 58 61.9°F 63 81 83.6 °F 79 59 57.2°F 63
05-21-19 55 ↓ 54.3 °F 49 48 46.6°F 47 72 69.4 °F 68 52 45.1°F 47 75 71.0 °F 70 62 55.6°F 60 80 80.5 °F 77 57 61.9°F 61
05-20-19 56 52.5 °F 58 51 46.9°F 44 65 54.3 °F 58 50 46.6°F 56 77 69.4 °F 75 57 45.1°F 57 79 71.0 °F 72 63 55.6°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 4 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 0 2 1 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   0.0 66.7   33.3 40.0   20.0 20.0   60.0 50.0   25.0     50.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.8   3.7 2.6   2.6 3.7   3.6 3.9   3.7 3.7   4.7 6.3   4.4 3.7   3.0 4.7   5.0
Net Error -1.4   -0.9 2.3   0.3 1.8   -1.0 3.5   1.7 2.9   -1.9 4.3   4.3 1.6   -2.4 1.4   4.4
Std Dev 2.7   1.8 1.8   2.0 2.9   2.6 2.9   2.9 3.3   4.7 5.7   4.4 3.7   3.0 4.7   5.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-26-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-26-19 80   82 65   64 81   81 65   66 81   81 56   63 70   79 52   59
05-25-19 76 83.6 °F 83 59 57.2°F 66 80   82 65   66 84   83 64   69 79   85 55   67
05-24-19 81 80.5 °F 78 61 61.9°F 60 81 83.6 °F 82 60 57.2°F 60 81   80 64   65 82   80 62   66
05-23-19 70 71.0 °F 77 61 ↑ 55.6°F 58 81 80.5 °F 76 61 61.9°F 57 82 83.6 °F 74 60 57.2°F 57 81   78 63   64
05-22-19 69 69.4 °F 64 47 45.1°F 41 69 71.0 °F 73 61 55.6°F 57 82 80.5 °F 78 58 61.9°F 62 81 83.6 °F 79 59 57.2°F 62
05-21-19 55 ↓ 54.3 °F 51 48 46.6°F 48 72 69.4 °F 69 52 45.1°F 47 75 71.0 °F 71 62 55.6°F 59 80 80.5 °F 77 57 61.9°F 60
05-20-19 56 52.5 °F 56 51 46.9°F 46 65 54.3 °F 53 50 46.6°F 49 77 69.4 °F 73 57 45.1°F 56 79 71.0 °F 71 63 55.6°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 4 3 2 4 1 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 1 1
% Succ 66.7   16.7 66.7   50.0 40.0   80.0 20.0   40.0 50.0   25.0     50.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.3   3.6 2.6   3.3 3.7   2.0 3.9   2.7 3.7   3.9 6.3   3.7 3.7   2.7 4.7   5.0
Net Error -0.7   -0.4 2.3   0.9 1.8   -1.2 3.5   0.7 2.9   -2.1 4.3   3.6 1.6   -2.7 1.4   3.8
Std Dev 2.7   2.3 1.8   2.8 2.9   1.7 2.9   2.0 3.3   4.4 5.7   3.6 3.7   2.7 4.7   5.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-26-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-26-19 80   83 65   67 81   80 65   68 81   81 56   66 70   83 52   64
05-25-19 76 83.6 °F 77 59 57.2°F 60 81   81 66   64 83   83 64   68 79   84 55   64
05-24-19 81 80.5 °F 77 59 61.9°F 59 81 83.6 °F 79 60 57.2°F 57 81   79 64   64 82   81 62   67
05-23-19 70 71.0 °F 72 61 ↑ 55.6°F 54 81 80.5 °F 76 61 61.9°F 58 82 83.6 °F 77 60 57.2°F 58 81   78 63   65
05-22-19 69 69.4 °F 67 47 45.1°F 44 69 71.0 °F 75 61 55.6°F 57 82 80.5 °F 73 58 61.9°F 63 81 83.6 °F 79 59 57.2°F 65
05-21-19 55 ↓ 54.3 °F 52 48 46.6°F 50 72 69.4 °F 70 52 45.1°F 48 75 71.0 °F 70 62 55.6°F 58 80 80.5 °F 80 57 61.9°F 58
05-20-19 56 52.5 °F 54 51 46.9°F 43 65 54.3 °F 56 50 46.6°F 54 77 69.4 °F 73 57 45.1°F 55 79 71.0 °F 70 63 55.6°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 0 2 1 2 1 0
% Succ 66.7   33.3 50.0   33.3 40.0   40.0 20.0   40.0 50.0   25.0     50.0 33.3   66.7 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 2.3   2.9 2.9   2.6 3.7   3.1 3.9   3.2 3.7   4.7 6.3   3.6 3.7   2.0 4.7   6.7
Net Error -0.7   -2.1 2.0   -0.6 1.8   -0.6 3.5   1.5 2.9   -2.9 4.3   3.6 1.6   -2.0 1.4   4.1
Std Dev 2.7   2.1 1.8   1.3 2.9   2.2 2.9   2.5 3.3   4.2 5.7   3.4 3.7   2.0 4.7   6.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-25-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-25-19 80 ↓   66 59 ↑   82 81   66 64   83 83   68 65   83 79   64 56   77
05-24-19 81 61.9°F 60 59 80.5 °F 80 81   58 60   79 79   64 64   82 83   67 64   80
05-23-19 70 55.6°F 54 60 ↑ 71.0 °F 78 79 61.9°F 57 62 80.5 °F 78 81   58 59   78 81   65 64   73
05-22-19 69 45.1°F 47 47 69.4 °F 75 68 55.6°F 58 63 71.0 °F 74 81 61.9°F 63 59 80.5 °F 79 82   64 59   78
05-21-19 56 ↓ 46.6°F 50 48 54.3 °F 70 68 45.1°F 48 51 69.4 °F 70 70 55.6°F 58 61 71.0 °F 80 80 61.9°F 58 57 80.5 °F 79
05-20-19 52 46.9°F 45 49 52.5 °F 55 62 ↓ 46.6°F 54 48 54.3 °F 73 73 45.1°F 54 53 69.4 °F 70 75 55.6°F 64 63 71.0 °F 80
05-19-19 61 43.0°F 39 42 64.0 °F 57 56 46.9°F 44 51 52.5 °F 58 66 46.6°F 57 53 54.3 °F 79 78 45.1°F 61 58 69.4 °F 75
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 4 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 1
% Succ     66.7     16.7     0.0 20.0   20.0     25.0 25.0   50.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 15.0   2.5 14.5   6.4 15.4   4.1 10.5   6.1 20.2   5.7 12.3   9.0 23.5   9.4 14.3   5.4
Net Error 15.0   -0.7 -14.5   3.9 15.4   1.0 -10.5   5.1 20.2   5.7 -12.3   8.2 23.5   6.8 -14.3   4.4
Std Dev 8.7   1.2 9.3   5.5 10.4   2.8 8.4   5.0 17.5   5.4 11.6   8.6 23.5   9.4 14.3   5.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-25-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-25-19 59 ↑   66 81   82 64   66 83   83 65   68 79   83 56   64 71   77
05-24-19 59 61.9°F 62 81 80.5 °F 81 60   57 79   79 64   65 83   84 64   70 79   85
05-23-19 60 ↑ 55.6°F 54 79 71.0 °F 72 62 61.9°F 56 81 80.5 °F 78 59   58 81   78 64   64 81   80
05-22-19 47 45.1°F 48 68 69.4 °F 76 63 55.6°F 59 81 71.0 °F 81 59 61.9°F 66 82 80.5 °F 80 59   66 81   81
05-21-19 48 46.6°F 52 68 54.3 °F 72 51 45.1°F 49 70 69.4 °F 73 61 55.6°F 59 80 71.0 °F 75 57 61.9°F 63 80 80.5 °F 77
05-20-19 49 46.9°F 43 62 ↓ 52.5 °F 49 48 46.6°F 47 73 54.3 °F 71 53 45.1°F 54 75 69.4 °F 73 63 55.6°F 63 80 71.0 °F 80
05-19-19 42 43.0°F 39 56 64.0 °F 59 51 46.9°F 44 66 52.5 °F 59 53 46.6°F 57 78 54.3 °F 75 58 45.1°F 58 79 69.4 °F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   33.3 33.3   33.3 40.0   20.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.3   3.0 6.9   5.7 3.8   3.3 8.7   7.9 5.7   6.7 10.0   7.2 8.4   7.1 6.4   4.7
Net Error 1.0   -0.2 3.7   2.9 3.8   -0.2 8.7   6.9 4.2   6.7 10.0   7.0 5.1   7.1 6.0   2.4
Std Dev 1.4   2.1 5.4   6.2 3.5   2.4 7.5   5.9 5.1   5.9 9.6   7.1 8.4   7.1 6.4   4.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-25-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-25-19 59 ↑   66 81   82 64   66 83   83 65   68 79   82 56   66 71   78
05-24-19 59 70.0°F 62 81 80.5 °F 81 60   57 79   79 64   65 83   84 64   70 79   85
05-23-19 56 ↑ 63.5°F 54 79 71.0 °F 72 62 70.0°F 56 81 80.5 °F 78 59   58 81   78 64   64 81   80
05-22-19 47 55.7°F 49 68 69.4 °F 77 63 63.5°F 59 81 71.0 °F 81 59 70.0°F 65 82 80.5 °F 80 59   65 81   82
05-21-19 48 ↑ 52.3°F 51 68 54.3 °F 72 51 55.7°F 49 70 69.4 °F 74 61 63.5°F 58 80 71.0 °F 77 57 70.0°F 64 80 80.5 °F 80
05-20-19 47 52.0°F 43 62 ↓ 52.5 °F 49 48 52.3°F 47 73 54.3 °F 71 53 55.7°F 54 75 69.4 °F 73 63 63.5°F 63 80 71.0 °F 80
05-19-19 42 47.6°F 39 56 64.0 °F 59 51 52.0°F 44 66 52.5 °F 59 53 52.3°F 57 78 54.3 °F 75 58 55.7°F 58 79 69.4 °F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
% Succ     16.7 33.3   33.3 40.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 7.0   7.2 6.9   5.9 3.7   7.7 8.7   8.1 4.2   4.2 10.0   7.7 5.3   2.9 6.4   3.7
Net Error -7.0   -7.2 3.7   3.1 -3.7   -7.7 8.7   7.1 -3.9   -1.9 10.0   7.5 -3.7   -1.4 6.0   3.4
Std Dev 3.6   4.0 5.4   6.3 3.4   5.8 7.5   5.9 5.0   3.7 9.6   7.6 5.3   2.9 6.4   3.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.