SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 08-Feb-2023 5:05 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

90°F at Meridian Nas, MS

Low Temp

-15°F at Clayton Lake, ME

Precipitation

2.63in at Clayton Lake, ME

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Monday,
February 6, 2023

High Temp

67°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

14°F at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE

Precipitation

none

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 08-Feb-2023 05:00 am

Today

Partly Cloudy
High: 56°

Tonight

Mix
Low: 34°

Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 45°

Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 23°

Friday

Sunny
High: 44°

Friday
night
Clear
Cold!

Clear
Cold!
Low: 21°

Saturday

Sunny
High: 53°

Saturday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 27°

Sunday

Partly Cloudy
High: 54°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 08-Feb-2023 4:29am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 24 °F ↑

Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 52 °F ↓

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy

Mostly Cloudy

Lo 31 °F ↑

Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain

Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain

Hi 40 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 19 °F

Friday

Friday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 38 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Clear

Clear

Lo 23 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 50 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 29 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-08-23 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-08-23	26		25	51 ↓		59	31		36	40		42	21		23	38		44	23		21	51		54
02-07-23	29 ↑	28.5°F	33	48	53.5 °F	54	27 ↑		24	50		57	30		29	41		41	21		27	39		41
02-06-23	31 ↑	38.2°F	34	48 ↓	49.5 °F	56	29	28.5°F	31	46	53.5 °F	53	25		24	47		54	29		30	42		43
02-05-23	27 ↑	36.4°F	27	49 ↓	58.3 °F	58	32 ↑	38.2°F	35	49	49.5 °F	58	30	28.5°F	27	48	53.5 °F	53	28		26	49		54
02-04-23	21 ↑	28.2°F	27	47 ↓	50.4 °F	61	29	36.4°F	26	46	58.3 °F	55	31	38.2°F	34	49	49.5 °F	59	28	28.5°F	28	47	53.5 °F	53
02-03-23	3 ↑	27.9°F	3	30	31.6 °F	37	22 ↑	28.2°F	25	47	50.4 °F	60	29	36.4°F	25	47	58.3 °F	51	34	38.2°F	24	49	49.5 °F	48
02-02-23	17	5.5°F	17	32 ↓	34.5 °F	39	4 ↑	27.9°F	9	30	31.6 °F	38	21	28.2°F	24	47	50.4 °F	60	31	36.4°F	24	50	58.3 °F	51
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	2		2	1		0	2		1	1		1	1		1	1		1	1		2
% Succ	16.7		16.7	33.3		33.3	20.0		0.0	40.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	10.1		9.3	4.0		4.6	8.8		7.6	5.1		5.7	5.8		5.3	5.2		6.7	3.4		9.0	5.1		3.1
Net Error	-6.1		-4.0	-4.0		4.5	-8.6		-6.6	-5.1		4.1	-5.1		-5.3	-5.2		2.8	-3.4		-9.0	-5.1		-3.1
Std Dev	8.5		8.6	3.1		4.0	6.9		5.8	5.1		4.6	5.5		5.0	4.5		6.6	3.4		9.0	5.1		3.1

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-07-23	29 ↑		55	48		25	27 ↑		57	50		32	30		41	41		24	21		42	39		20
02-06-23	27 ↑	35.2°F	57	50 ↓	49.5 °F	29	27 ↑		53	48		23	26		54	50		30	29		43	42		26
02-05-23	25 ↑	34.3°F	60	48 ↓	58.3 °F	36	31 ↑	35.2°F	59	48	49.5 °F	28	29		53	47		27	27		44	49		31
02-04-23	20 ↑	27.3°F	62	47 ↓	50.4 °F	27	29 ↑	34.3°F	54	48	58.3 °F	27	32	35.2°F	59	49	49.5 °F	26	29		51	47		24
02-03-23	3 ↑	27.9°F	36	30	31.6 °F	24	22 ↑	27.3°F	61	47	50.4 °F	25	29	34.3°F	51	47	58.3 °F	24	34	35.2°F	48	49	49.5 °F	28
02-02-23	17 ↑	4.3°F	40	32 ↓	34.5 °F	9	4 ↑	27.9°F	41	30	31.6 °F	29	21	27.3°F	61	47	50.4 °F	26	31	34.3°F	56	50	58.3 °F	29
02-01-23	10	21.0°F	41	35 ↓	42.7 °F	17	17 ↑	4.3°F	40	35	34.5 °F	10	5	27.9°F	40	32	31.6 °F	26	23	27.3°F	61	48	50.4 °F	24
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	2		0	0		0	3		0	0		0	2		0	1		0	1		0
% Succ			0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0	60.0		0.0			0.0	50.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	12.2		24.3	4.3		20.8	10.3		25.2	3.5		21.1	9.4		21.6	3.9		22.0	2.9		22.7	3.7		25.7
Net Error	-8.0		24.3	-4.2		-20.8	-5.2		25.2	-3.3		-21.1	-9.4		21.6	-3.7		-22.0	-2.9		22.7	-3.7		-25.7
Std Dev	7.7		13.5	3.7		10.3	7.7		16.6	3.9		14.2	8.7		18.7	3.8		19.0	2.9		22.7	3.7		25.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-07-23	48		55	27 ↑		25	50 ↓		58	30		30	41		41	21		27	39		42	23		20
02-06-23	50 ↓	49.5 °F	58	27 ↑	32.7°F	31	48 ↓		54	26		26	50		57	29		33	42		43	25		26
02-05-23	48 ↓	58.3 °F	59	31 ↑	34.3°F	36	48 ↓	49.5 °F	59	29	32.7°F	29	47		53	27		28	49		44	32		31
02-04-23	47 ↓	50.4 °F	62	29 ↑	27.3°F	27	48 ↓	58.3 °F	55	32	34.3°F	27	49	49.5 °F	60	29	32.7°F	26	47		51	27		24
02-03-23	30	31.6 °F	37	22 ↑	27.9°F	26	47 ↓	50.4 °F	62	29	27.3°F	26	47	58.3 °F	51	34	34.3°F	31	49	49.5 °F	53	29	32.7°F	30
02-02-23	32 ↓	34.5 °F	38	4 ↑	3.9°F	9	30 ↓	31.6 °F	40	21	27.9°F	29	47	50.4 °F	60	31	27.3°F	27	50	58.3 °F	56	33	34.3°F	29
02-01-23	35 ↓	42.7 °F	42	17 ↑	20.0°F	15	35 ↓	34.5 °F	39	5	3.9°F	9	32	31.6 °F	42	23	27.9°F	27	48	50.4 °F	58	30	27.3°F	25
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	2		4	3		0	2		2	2		0	1		2	1		0	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	33.3		66.7	60.0		0.0	40.0		40.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		50.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.3		5.1	3.3		2.6	3.5		7.5	3.1		3.7	3.9		9.5	3.2		2.8	3.7		4.5	2.6		3.4
Net Error	-4.2		4.8	-2.7		-0.4	-3.3		6.1	-2.0		-1.2	-3.7		5.8	-1.3		-2.8	-3.7		2.9	-0.8		-3.4
Std Dev	3.7		4.1	2.5		1.9	3.9		5.5	2.1		3.0	3.8		8.2	2.7		3.1	3.7		4.5	2.6		3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-07-23	48		54	27 ↑		22	50 ↓		55	30		32	41		40	21		25	39		42	23		22
02-06-23	50 ↓	49.5 °F	58	27 ↑	32.7°F	32	48 ↓		53	26		26	50		56	29		31	42		43	25		32
02-05-23	50 ↓	58.3 °F	58	31 ↑	34.3°F	35	48 ↓	49.5 °F	57	29	32.7°F	31	47		54	27		26	49		53	32		29
02-04-23	47 ↓	50.4 °F	59	29 ↑	27.3°F	26	48 ↓	58.3 °F	54	32	34.3°F	28	49	49.5 °F	60	29	32.7°F	27	47		52	27		25
02-03-23	30	31.6 °F	33	22 ↑	27.9°F	21	47 ↓	50.4 °F	61	29	27.3°F	25	47	58.3 °F	52	34	34.3°F	30	49	49.5 °F	58	29	32.7°F	27
02-02-23	34 ↓	34.5 °F	37	4 ↑	3.9°F	9	31	31.6 °F	41	21	27.9°F	29	48	50.4 °F	61	31	27.3°F	26	50	58.3 °F	57	33	34.3°F	29
02-01-23	35 ↓	42.7 °F	38	17 ↑	20.0°F	14	35 ↓	34.5 °F	39	5	3.9°F	9	32	31.6 °F	39	23	27.9°F	25	48	50.4 °F	58	30	27.3°F	25
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	2		3	3		0	2		2	2		0	1		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	50.0		33.3	33.3		50.0	60.0		0.0	40.0		40.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	3.7		4.3	3.3		3.5	3.3		7.3	3.1		3.3	3.7		8.7	3.2		3.6	3.7		5.8	2.6		4.4
Net Error	-3.5		2.7	-2.7		-1.5	-3.1		5.5	-2.0		-0.8	-3.5		5.6	-1.3		-3.6	-3.7		4.9	-0.8		-4.4
Std Dev	3.1		3.7	2.5		2.8	3.8		5.0	2.1		2.6	3.5		7.6	2.7		3.3	3.7		5.8	2.6		4.4

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-07-23	48		52	26		22	51 ↓		55	31		32	40		40	21		25	38		42	23		22
02-06-23	52 ↓	49.5 °F	52	29 ↑	32.7°F	28	49		49	28		25	49		55	28		31	42		43	22		32
02-05-23	53 ↓	58.3 °F	57	31 ↑	34.3°F	35	48 ↓	49.5 °F	57	29	32.7°F	31	46		54	25		26	47		53	29		29
02-04-23	50 ↓	50.4 °F	53	29 ↑	27.3°F	25	48 ↓	58.3 °F	54	32	34.3°F	27	49	49.5 °F	60	30	32.7°F	27	48		52	28		25
02-03-23	30	31.6 °F	36	22 ↑	27.9°F	28	47 ↓	50.4 °F	63	29	27.3°F	26	47	58.3 °F	52	34	34.3°F	30	49	49.5 °F	58	29	32.7°F	27
02-02-23	34 ↓	34.5 °F	28	4 ↑	3.9°F	5	31	31.6 °F	38	21	27.9°F	25	48	50.4 °F	59	31	27.3°F	24	50	58.3 °F	52	33	34.3°F	30
02-01-23	36 ↓	42.7 °F	42	17 ↑	20.0°F	14	35 ↓	34.5 °F	39	5	3.9°F	10	32	31.6 °F	39	23	27.9°F	25	48	50.4 °F	58	30	27.3°F	25
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	2		3	3		0	2		2	2		0	1		0	1		0	1		0
% Succ	50.0		33.3	33.3		50.0	60.0		0.0	40.0		40.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	2.8		3.0	3.0		2.5	3.3		7.1	3.1		3.9	3.7		8.2	2.9		4.1	3.7		7.5	2.6		4.1
Net Error	-2.0		0.2	-2.4		-1.9	-3.1		5.3	-2.0		-1.4	-3.5		5.1	-1.1		-4.1	-3.7		3.3	-0.8		-4.1
Std Dev	2.1		2.1	2.2		1.9	3.8		5.3	2.1		3.3	3.5		7.2	2.5		3.6	3.7		7.5	2.6		4.1

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-07-23	53 ↓		24	26		56	51 ↓		33	31		40	40		25	21		42	38		22	23		54
02-06-23	52 ↓	49.5 °F	29	29 ↑	32.7°F	52	49		23	28		55	49		30	28		43	42		32	22		42
02-05-23	57 ↓	58.3 °F	36	31 ↑	34.3°F	58	48 ↓	49.5 °F	31	29	32.7°F	54	46		26	25		53	47		29	29		40
02-04-23	50	50.4 °F	25	>25	27.3°F	55	>45	58.3 °F	27	<35	34.3°F	59	>45	49.5 °F	26	>25	32.7°F	51	>45		24	>25		57
02-03-23	30	31.6 °F	26	22 ↑	27.9°F	63	47 ↓	50.4 °F	28	29	27.3°F	57	46	58.3 °F	32	31	34.3°F	56	49	49.5 °F	28	28	32.7°F	53
02-02-23	35 ↓	34.5 °F	4	4 ↑	3.9°F	36	31	31.6 °F	26	23	27.9°F	59	47	50.4 °F	24	29	27.3°F	53	50	58.3 °F	23	32	34.3°F	51
02-01-23	41 ↓	42.7 °F	15	16	20.0°F	38	34 ↓	34.5 °F	9	5	3.9°F	40	31	31.6 °F	24	23	27.9°F	60	48	50.4 °F	25	30	27.3°F	59
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		0	1		0	3		0	2		0	1		0	1		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ	83.3		0.0	16.7		0.0	60.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	1.3		22.0	7.4		26.0	12.9		20.7	9.1		28.6	16.5		21.0	10.7		24.5	3.7		27.4	3.2		22.9
Net Error	-0.3		-22.0	-7.4		26.0	-12.9		-20.7	-8.0		28.6	-16.5		-21.0	-9.8		24.5	-3.7		-27.4	-1.4		22.9
Std Dev	0.9		11.8	9.5		11.9	22.9		14.0	13.3		18.5	21.8		18.2	14.4		21.4	3.7		27.4	3.2		22.9

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-07-23	26		22	51 ↓		54	31		33	40		39	21		24	38		42	23		21	51		52
02-06-23	29 ↑	32.7°F	29	49	49.5 °F	52	28		23	49		55	28		29	42		41	22		27	36		41
02-05-23	31 ↑	34.3°F	34	48 ↓	58.3 °F	58	29	32.7°F	29	46	49.5 °F	51	25		27	47		56	29		31	42		40
02-04-23	29 ↑	27.3°F	26	49 ↓	50.4 °F	55	32 ↑	34.3°F	33	49	58.3 °F	57	30	32.7°F	29	48	49.5 °F	53	28		27	49		60
02-03-23	22 ↑	27.9°F	23	47 ↓	31.6 °F	61	29	27.3°F	25	46	50.4 °F	53	31	34.3°F	32	49	58.3 °F	56	28	32.7°F	28	47	49.5 °F	53
02-02-23	4 ↑	3.9°F	3	31	34.5 °F	37	23 ↑	27.9°F	26	47	31.6 °F	59	29	27.3°F	24	50	50.4 °F	53	32	34.3°F	23	47	58.3 °F	51
02-01-23	16	20.0°F	15	34 ↓	42.7 °F	38	5 ↑	3.9°F	9	31	34.5 °F	40	23	27.9°F	24	48	31.6 °F	60	30	27.3°F	25	48	50.4 °F	59
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	2		1	2		2	0		2	1		0	2		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	33.3		50.0	33.3		16.7	40.0		40.0			40.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	3.1		2.7	6.6		7.3	2.7		2.9	7.2		7.7	3.2		3.3	6.9		9.2	3.2		6.1	5.4		6.5
Net Error	-2.5		-2.7	-1.5		5.7	-1.6		-0.8	-1.1		7.1	-2.3		-3.3	1.3		8.1	-1.4		-6.1	-5.4		1.6
Std Dev	2.2		2.0	5.9		10.4	1.9		2.0	5.1		6.7	2.7		2.9	6.6		8.5	3.2		6.1	5.4		6.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-07-23	26		25	51 ↓		57	31		34	40		42	21		25	38		44	23		21	51		52
02-06-23	29 ↑	32.0°F	31	49	49.5 °F	52	28		24	49		56	28		29	42		40	22		27	36		41
02-05-23	31 ↑	38.8°F	34	48 ↓	58.3 °F	56	29	32.0°F	31	46	49.5 °F	53	25		24	47		54	29		30	42		43
02-04-23	29 ↑	38.3°F	28	49 ↓	50.4 °F	58	32 ↑	38.8°F	35	49	58.3 °F	58	30	32.0°F	27	48	49.5 °F	53	28		26	49		54
02-03-23	22 ↑	32.4°F	27	47 ↓	31.6 °F	63	29	38.3°F	26	46	50.4 °F	55	31	38.8°F	34	49	58.3 °F	59	28	32.0°F	28	47	49.5 °F	53
02-02-23	4 ↑	28.6°F	2	31	34.5 °F	37	23 ↑	32.4°F	25	47	31.6 °F	60	29	38.3°F	25	50	50.4 °F	51	32	38.8°F	24	47	58.3 °F	48
02-01-23	16	7.4°F	15	34 ↓	42.7 °F	38	5 ↑	28.6°F	9	31	34.5 °F	40	23	32.4°F	24	48	31.6 °F	60	30	38.3°F	25	48	50.4 °F	59
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	2		0	0		1	0		1	1		0	2		2	0		0	0		0
% Succ			16.7	33.3		0.0			20.0			20.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		50.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	10.6		9.3	6.6		8.5	10.4		8.8	7.2		8.5	7.1		7.9	6.9		8.3	6.4		10.7	5.4		7.5
Net Error	-7.8		-6.8	-1.5		6.2	-10.4		-8.8	-1.1		8.3	-7.1		-7.9	1.3		8.3	-6.4		-10.7	-5.4		0.6
Std Dev	7.9		9.0	5.9		10.9	7.6		7.1	5.1		7.1	6.7		7.0	6.6		7.6	6.4		10.7	5.4		7.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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