Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 05-Jul-2020 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 91°
Tonight

Fog late
Fog late
Low: 70°
Monday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 89°
Monday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 70°
Tuesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 91°
Tuesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 71°
Wednesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 91°
Wednesday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Low: 72°
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 92°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 05-Jul-2020 1:36pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 89 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Partly Cloudy

Lo 71 °F
Monday

Monday: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 90 °F ↓
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 71 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 93 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 73 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 95 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 73 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 92 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-05-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-05-20 70   71 89   90 71   71 90   89 71   71 92   90 73   72 95   93
07-04-20 69 ↑ 73.2°F 72 89 ↓ 90.7 °F 90 70   70 90   88 71   70 90   87 72   70 92   89
07-03-20 71 ↑ 74.5°F 74 90 90.8 °F 92 70 73.2°F 71 90 90.7 °F 90 70   70 91   90 70   70 91   90
07-02-20 69 ↑ 75.3°F 71 92 88.2 °F 91 71 74.5°F 71 91 90.8 °F 89 70 73.2°F 69 90 90.7 °F 89 70   70 90   90
07-01-20 70 ↑ 71.8°F 66 90 ↓ 88.0 °F 82 69 75.3°F 69 93 88.2 °F 86 72 74.5°F 70 92 90.8 °F 83 71 73.2°F 66 91 90.7 °F 88
06-30-20 87 66.7°F 78 77 89.5 °F 93 92 71.8°F 74 71 88.0 °F 89 92 75.3°F 70 69 88.2 °F 90 94 74.5°F 72 70 90.8 °F 89
06-29-20 74 ↑ 78.6°F 76 92 88.3 °F 92 75 66.7°F 77 93 89.5 °F 95 73 71.8°F 73 91 88.0 °F 91 70 75.3°F 68 91 88.2 °F 95
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 3 2 0 0 2 3 1 1 2 2 0 0 1 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 50.0   33.3     0.0 40.0   60.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 6.8   4.3 4.1   3.0 8.3   4.9 5.2   2.2 5.9   3.8 6.0   3.6 9.0   5.7 8.0   3.8
Net Error 0.0   -0.5 -0.9   0.8 3.1   0.1 -1.8   0.4 3.1   -3.2 -3.9   -1.2 4.0   -5.7 -5.9   0.8
Std Dev 6.7   4.0 4.3   2.1 6.2   3.4 4.5   1.6 5.3   3.3 5.9   3.2 9.0   5.7 8.0   3.8

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-05-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-05-20 69 ↑   71 89   90 71   71 90   89 71   71 93   90 73   72 95   93
07-04-20 69 ↑ 71.4°F 89 88 90.7 °F 70 69   88 88   70 70   87 90   70 70   89 92   71
07-03-20 71 ↑ 70.8°F 92 90 ↓ 90.8 °F 71 69 ↑ 71.4°F 90 89 90.7 °F 70 69   90 90   70 71   90 91   71
07-02-20 69 73.4°F 91 92 88.2 °F 71 71 70.8°F 90 91 90.8 °F 69 70 71.4°F 89 90 90.7 °F 69 70   89 90   69
07-01-20 70 ↑ 71.1°F 86 90 ↓ 88.0 °F 68 71 73.4°F 88 92 88.2 °F 70 72 70.8°F 84 91 90.8 °F 66 70 71.4°F 89 91 90.7 °F 68
06-30-20 75 66.7°F 93 90 89.5 °F 74 71 71.1°F 89 92 88.0 °F 71 71 73.4°F 90 94 88.2 °F 73 71 70.8°F 89 92 90.8 °F 70
06-29-20 74 ↑ 76.4°F 89 89 88.3 °F 75 77 66.7°F 95 94 89.5 °F 72 73 71.1°F 91 93 88.0 °F 68 68 73.4°F 95 95 88.2 °F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 4 0 2 0 2 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 2 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0 40.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 3.1   18.4 1.8   17.8 3.1   19.7 2.8   19.0 1.7   16.8 2.9   20.4 2.3   19.1 2.8   20.9
Net Error -0.3   18.4 0.6   -17.8 1.1   19.7 2.2   -19.0 -0.2   16.8 2.6   -20.4 -2.2   19.1 2.8   -20.9
Std Dev 2.9   8.4 1.3   7.5 2.4   12.7 2.3   12.1 1.5   14.6 2.8   17.7 2.3   19.1 2.8   20.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-05-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-05-20 89   88 71   69 90 ↓   89 71   70 93   91 73   71 95   94 73   73
07-04-20 88 90.7 °F 89 69 71.1°F 69 88   89 70   70 90   89 70   69 92   88 72   71
07-03-20 90 ↓ 90.8 °F 89 69 ↑ 70.0°F 69 89 90.7 °F 89 69 71.1°F 68 90   89 71   69 91   85 71   70
07-02-20 90 88.2 °F 90 <75 73.0°F 72 >85 90.8 °F 91 >65 70.0°F 70 >85 90.7 °F 88 >65 71.1°F 68 >85   88 >65   69
07-01-20 90 88.0 °F 84 71 70.7°F 66 92 88.2 °F 88 72 73.0°F 70 91 90.8 °F 85 70 70.0°F 67 91 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 67
06-30-20 87 89.5 °F 89 77 66.4°F 71 92 88.0 °F 86 71 70.7°F 71 92 88.2 °F 88 69 73.0°F 72 94 90.8 °F 88 70 70.0°F 69
06-29-20 89 88.3 °F 89 77 75.5°F 74 94 89.5 °F 94 73 66.4°F 72 93 88.0 °F 92 68 70.7°F 70 95 88.2 °F 94 69 73.0°F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 5 3 3 1 4 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 0 2 2
% Succ 66.7   83.3 50.0   50.0 20.0   80.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 1.8   1.8 14.8   2.5 21.0   1.7 16.0   2.4 24.9   3.2 19.5   2.0 3.4   3.8 1.7   2.0
Net Error -0.3   -0.9 -10.6   -1.0 -16.0   0.2 -13.2   0.0 -20.4   -1.2 -19.5   -2.0 3.4   0.1 -1.7   -2.0
Std Dev 1.0   1.3 26.4   1.8 35.8   1.5 27.7   1.9 39.3   2.8 30.8   1.8 3.4   3.8 1.7   2.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-05-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-05-20 89   91 71   71 90 ↓   90 71   70 93   92 73   71 95   94 73   73
07-04-20 88 90.7 °F 90 69 71.1°F 69 88   89 70   70 90   90 70   70 92   91 72   72
07-03-20 90 ↓ 90.8 °F 90 69 ↑ 70.0°F 70 89 90.7 °F 89 69 71.1°F 68 90   89 71   70 91   86 71   70
07-02-20 92 88.2 °F 88 71 73.0°F 72 91 90.8 °F 91 70 70.0°F 71 90 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 69 90   89 70   69
07-01-20 >85 88.0 °F 88 70 70.7°F 68 <95 88.2 °F 87 <75 73.0°F 70 >85 90.8 °F 86 >65 70.0°F 67 >85 90.7 °F 88 >65 71.1°F 67
06-30-20 90 89.5 °F 90 71 66.4°F 73 92 88.0 °F 87 71 70.7°F 71 94 88.2 °F 89 71 73.0°F 72 92 90.8 °F 89 71 70.0°F 69
06-29-20 85 88.3 °F 90 75 75.5°F 76 <95 89.5 °F 98 <75 66.4°F 73 <95 88.0 °F 94 >65 70.7°F 71 <95 88.2 °F 95 >65 73.0°F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 6 4 3 2 4 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2
% Succ 33.3   100.0 66.7   50.0 40.0   80.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 16.5   0.7 1.8   2.2 36.7   2.5 28.4   2.8 46.3   3.6 36.0   1.6 60.0   3.8 48.4   2.0
Net Error -15.1   0.1 -0.3   0.2 -35.0   1.0 -28.2   0.4 -43.4   -0.2 -36.0   -1.5 -59.2   0.8 -47.7   -2.0
Std Dev 32.2   0.4 1.5   2.3 39.8   2.0 31.9   2.0 46.2   3.1 35.7   1.4 60.0   3.8 48.4   2.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-05-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-05-20 89   91 71   70 90 ↓   89 71   70 93   91 73   71 95   91 73   72
07-04-20 88 90.7 °F 90 69 71.1°F 70 88   90 70   71 90   88 70   70 92   89 72   71
07-03-20 88 90.8 °F 88 69 ↑ 70.0°F 70 89 90.7 °F 87 69 71.1°F 68 90   87 71   71 91   83 71   70
07-02-20 92 ↓ 88.2 °F 89 71 73.0°F 71 91 90.8 °F 89 70 70.0°F 69 90 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 67 90   89 70   70
07-01-20 87 ↓ 88.0 °F 89 71 70.7°F 69 92 88.2 °F 89 72 73.0°F 70 91 90.8 °F 85 70 70.0°F 68 91 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 68
06-30-20 <95 89.5 °F 90 70 66.4°F 73 90 88.0 °F 87 70 70.7°F 71 <95 88.2 °F 89 70 73.0°F 72 <95 90.8 °F 89 70 70.0°F 69
06-29-20 87 88.3 °F 89 77 75.5°F 75 94 89.5 °F 95 73 66.4°F 73 93 88.0 °F 89 68 70.7°F 70 95 88.2 °F 93 69 73.0°F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 5 4 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 1 1 2 2
% Succ 33.3   83.3 66.7   83.3 60.0   60.0 60.0   40.0 50.0   50.0 50.0   75.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 16.9   1.1 1.8   2.0 2.4   2.6 2.1   2.8 23.5   2.6 1.7   2.0 32.6   3.1 1.7   2.0
Net Error -15.6   -0.1 0.0   0.2 1.8   0.0 0.6   0.0 -20.9   -1.7 -1.7   -2.0 -27.9   0.1 -1.7   -2.0
Std Dev 32.6   0.9 1.2   2.2 2.0   1.9 1.7   2.0 23.4   2.2 1.5   2.0 32.6   3.1 1.7   2.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-04-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-04-20 89   69 70   89 89   70 71   89 90   70 71   89 92   71 73   90
07-03-20 88 90.8 °F 72 69 70.0°F 89 89 ↓   69 70   89 90   71 71   84 90   71 72   89
07-02-20 92 ↓ 88.2 °F 72 71 73.0°F 88 90 90.8 °F 69 70 70.0°F 87 90   67 70   88 91   71 70   86
07-01-20 89 ↓ 88.0 °F 70 69 70.7°F 90 90 88.2 °F 71 71 73.0°F 87 89 90.8 °F 69 71 70.0°F 88 89   68 70   90
06-30-20 90 ↓ 89.5 °F 72 71 66.4°F 89 90 ↓ 88.0 °F 70 69 70.7°F 89 93 88.2 °F 73 72 73.0°F 86 92 90.8 °F 67 71 70.0°F 88
06-29-20 87 88.3 °F 75 77 75.5°F 94 92 89.5 °F 73 71 66.4°F 89 92 88.0 °F 69 69 70.7°F 92 94 88.2 °F 70 70 73.0°F 92
06-28-20 92 89.2 °F 73 74 75.6°F 87 92 88.3 °F 73 75 75.5°F 89 93 89.5 °F 73 73 66.4°F 88 91 88.0 °F 69 70 70.7°F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 5 0 3 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 2 0
% Succ 50.0   0.0 83.3   0.0 60.0   0.0 80.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 2.0   16.7 2.1   17.6 2.2   17.8 1.8   17.1 3.5   18.1 2.6   18.5 3.3   20.3 1.6   19.8
Net Error 0.7   -16.7 0.0   17.6 1.8   -17.8 0.1   17.1 2.6   -18.1 1.2   18.5 3.3   -20.3 -0.9   19.8
Std Dev 1.4   7.0 1.4   7.6 1.5   11.4 1.4   10.9 3.2   15.8 2.4   16.0 3.3   20.3 1.6   19.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-04-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-04-20 70   69 89   89 71   70 90   90 71   71 92   90 73   72 95   93
07-03-20 69 70.0°F 72 89 ↓ 90.8 °F 89 70   69 90   88 71   70 90   90 72   70 92   91
07-02-20 71 73.0°F 70 90 88.2 °F 89 70 70.0°F 68 90 90.8 °F 89 70   68 91   89 70   70 91   90
07-01-20   71 >65 88.0 °F 90 >85 73.0°F 73 70 88.2 °F 88 >85 70.0°F 69 70 90.8 °F 87 >85   69 >65   88
06-30-20 70 66.4°F 73 >85 89.5 °F 89 >65 70.7°F 71 <95 88.0 °F 91 <75 73.0°F 73 90 88.2 °F 87 70 70.0°F 69 >85 90.8 °F 88
06-29-20 77 75.5°F 74 92 88.3 °F 89 71 ↑ 66.4°F 72 92 89.5 °F 90 69 70.7°F 71 94 88.0 °F 93 70 73.0°F 72 92 88.2 °F 91
06-28-20 74 75.6°F 73 92 89.2 °F 87 75 75.5°F 74 93 88.3 °F 91 73 66.4°F 71 91 89.5 °F 90 70 70.7°F 69 91 88.0 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 2 5 2 4 1 3 1 3 2 2 2 3 0 0
% Succ 80.0   40.0 33.3   83.3 40.0   80.0 20.0   60.0 25.0   75.0 50.0   50.0 66.7   100.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.9   3.1 31.3   1.3 29.8   1.9 22.8   1.6 37.8   1.5 7.5   2.6 1.2   1.2 32.5   3.9
Net Error 0.1   0.3 -28.5   -0.2 -27.9   0.5 -20.0   0.8 -34.5   1.0 -2.9   0.1 -1.2   -1.2 -28.0   2.0
Std Dev 1.5   2.6 41.0   0.8 35.2   1.6 34.0   1.4 36.5   1.3 9.3   2.3 1.2   1.2 32.5   3.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-04-20 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-04-20 70   71 89   89 71   71 90   89 71   70 92   89 73   72 95   92
07-03-20 69 77.5°F 72 89 ↓ 90.8 °F 89 70   69 90   87 71   70 90   90 72   70 92   91
07-02-20 71 77.7°F 73 90 88.2 °F 91 70 77.5°F 70 90 90.8 °F 89 70   69 91   89 70   70 91   90
07-01-20 >65 77.7°F 68 >85 88.0 °F 90 70 77.7°F 71 >85 88.2 °F 89 70 77.5°F 69 >85 90.8 °F 88 >65   68 >85   89
06-30-20 70 ↑ 74.0°F 74 90 ↓ 89.5 °F 84 69 77.7°F 71 93 88.0 °F 90 72 77.7°F 73 92 88.2 °F 87 71 77.5°F 70 91 90.8 °F 88
06-29-20 77 82.0°F 75 92 88.3 °F 91 71 ↑ 74.0°F 72 92 89.5 °F 88 69 77.7°F 70 94 88.0 °F 91 70 77.7°F 72 92 88.2 °F 90
06-28-20 75 79.5°F 75 <95 89.2 °F 90 75 82.0°F 76 <95 88.3 °F 94 <75 74.0°F 72 >85 89.5 °F 90 >65 77.7°F 69 90 88.0 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 3 3 0 1 1 4 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 1
% Succ     16.7 50.0   50.0     20.0 20.0   80.0     25.0     50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 17.7   5.2 30.8   2.6 6.8   5.8 37.0   2.4 24.0   5.7 47.5   1.9 30.6   7.3 2.0   3.5
Net Error -17.7   -5.2 -28.8   0.2 -6.8   -5.8 -34.0   1.0 -24.0   -5.7 -42.6   -0.1 -30.6   -7.3 2.0   1.7
Std Dev 27.3   3.6 35.5   1.6 4.4   3.8 39.2   1.7 22.3   5.1 46.5   1.7 30.6   7.3 2.0   3.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.