SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 15-Nov-2018 1:34 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

90°F at Ft Myers/Page, FL

Low Temp

-12°F at Mount Washington, NH

Precipitation

2.01in at Moody Afb/Valdosta, GA

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Wednesday,
November 14, 2018

High Temp

68°F at Valentine/Miller Fld, NE

Low Temp

16°F at Alliance/Muni, NE

Precipitation

0.03in at O'neill/Baker Field, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Thursday, 15-Nov-2018 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Clear

Clear
High: 52°

Tonight

Mostly Clear
Low: 25°

Friday

Mostly Sunny
High: 52°

Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 33°

Saturday

Cloudy
High: 35°

Saturday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 21°

Sunday

Mostly Sunny
High: 43°

Sunday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 22°

Monday

Sunny
High: 50°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 15-Nov-2018 12:35pm CST

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 58 °F ↓

Tonight

Tonight: Clear

Clear

Lo 27 °F

Friday

Friday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 54 °F ↓

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain And Snow

Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain And Snow

Lo 28 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Chance Light Snow

Chance Light Snow

Hi 28 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 17 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 36 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 22 °F

Monday

Monday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 45 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-15-18 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-15-18	25		29	54 ↓		59	28		31	54		60	27		36	29		37	18		22	35		45
11-13-18	11	32.0°F	10	37 ↓	48.8 °F	41	20		19	47		47	24		24	52		53	29		26	51		60
11-12-18	20	11.0°F	24	27 ↓	27.0 °F	31	12	32.0°F	12	35	48.8 °F	39	20		20	47		49	26		23	50		58
11-11-18	24	25.0°F	23	37 ↓	43.6 °F	44	19	11.0°F	24	28	27.0 °F	30	13	32.0°F	12	34	48.8 °F	40	21		22	52		51
11-10-18	8	23.9°F	11	33 ↓	32.8 °F	37	23	25.0°F	23	40	43.6 °F	37	19	11.0°F	23	28	27.0 °F	32	14	32.0°F	14	32	48.8 °F	40
11-09-18	23	11.9°F	25	27 ↓	30.9 °F	29	12	23.9°F	11	34	32.8 °F	33	24	25.0°F	20	42	43.6 °F	36	24	11.0°F	20	34	27.0 °F	31
11-08-18	27	30.1°F	24	33	32.0 °F	34	23	11.9°F	22	31	30.9 °F	32	14	23.9°F	16	34	32.8 °F	35	24	25.0°F	25	42	43.6 °F	38
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	3		3	1		1	3		2	1		0	3		0	1		1	1		0
% Succ	16.7		16.7	50.0		50.0	20.0		20.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		0.0	75.0		0.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	10.2		11.5	3.9		3.4	10.6		11.6	3.9		4.1	9.5		11.2	4.7		5.9	10.7		9.0	8.5		6.1
Net Error	-3.5		-2.8	-3.5		0.2	-3.0		-2.4	-3.0		-2.4	-5.5		-5.2	-3.6		-2.3	-2.0		-3.0	-3.8		-3.5
Std Dev	7.5		7.5	4.4		2.7	8.9		9.3	5.2		3.8	9.5		10.7	6.5		5.3	10.7		9.0	8.5		6.1

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-15-18 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-15-18	25 ↑		61	57 ↓		31	27		60	54		37	28		38	28		23	17		45	36		25
11-14-18	19 ↑	48.8 °F	53	47 ↓	30.8°F	27	24		58	54		27	28		60	54		39	28		41	31		22
11-13-18	11	41.9 °F	42	38 ↓	26.2°F	20	20	48.8 °F	48	46	30.8°F	25	24		54	55		27	29		61	54		38
11-12-18	20 ↑	27.0 °F	30	27 ↓	10.3°F	11	12	41.9 °F	38	37	26.2°F	20	20	48.8 °F	49	48	30.8°F	23	26		55	51		29
11-11-18	23	43.6 °F	44	37 ↓	24.4°F	31	19 ↑	27.0 °F	36	27	10.3°F	14	13	41.9 °F	42	34	26.2°F	24	20	48.8 °F	54	50	30.8°F	27
11-10-18	8 ↑	32.8 °F	39	34 ↓	23.9°F	24	25	43.6 °F	36	38	24.4°F	23	16	27.0 °F	31	28	10.3°F	13	12	41.9 °F	40	33	26.2°F	23
11-09-18	23 ↑	30.9 °F	31	27 ↓	11.9°F	12	9	32.8 °F	37	34	23.9°F	22	24	43.6 °F	38	40	24.4°F	25	21	27.0 °F	34	31	10.3°F	16
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		3	0		3	0		1	0		2	0		2	0		1	0		1	0		0
% Succ			50.0			50.0			20.0			40.0			50.0			25.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	20.2		2.3	13.8		2.9	21.8		5.1	13.3		3.8	22.1		2.5	14.6		3.3	21.6		4.7	15.6		4.2
Net Error	-20.2		2.3	13.8		-0.4	-21.8		0.2	13.3		-2.3	-22.1		-0.3	14.6		-1.7	-21.6		3.4	15.6		-0.4
Std Dev	11.6		2.3	6.1		2.8	15.9		4.2	8.7		2.8	19.4		2.4	12.7		3.6	21.6		4.7	15.6		4.2

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-15-18 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-15-18	57 ↓		58	27		30	54 ↓		59	28		37	28		38	17		22	36		45	22		25
11-14-18	48 ↓	48.8 °F	54	24	28.7°F	32	54 ↓		63	28		31	54		63	28		41	31		43	18		22
11-13-18	38 ↓	41.9 °F	39	20	25.9°F	19	46 ↓	48.8 °F	47	24	28.7°F	25	55		54	29		27	54		61	26		38
11-12-18	27 ↓	27.0 °F	28	12	10.2°F	11	37 ↓	41.9 °F	38	20	25.9°F	20	48	48.8 °F	49	26	28.7°F	22	51		56	30		29
11-11-18	37 ↓	43.6 °F	42	19 ↑	23.4°F	31	28 ↓	27.0 °F	36	12	10.2°F	17	34	41.9 °F	42	20	25.9°F	25	50	48.8 °F	55	30	28.7°F	28
11-10-18	34 ↓	32.8 °F	37	25	23.9°F	23	38 ↓	43.6 °F	36	16	23.4°F	23	28	27.0 °F	31	12	10.2°F	13	33	41.9 °F	40	20	25.9°F	23
11-09-18	28 ↓	30.9 °F	29	9	11.9°F	10	34 ↓	32.8 °F	35	24	23.9°F	22	40	43.6 °F	38	21	23.4°F	25	31	27.0 °F	34	16	10.2°F	16
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		3	2		3	2		1	2		2	2		2	1		2	1		1	1		1
% Succ	50.0		50.0	33.3		50.0	40.0		20.0	40.0		40.0	50.0		50.0	25.0		50.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	2.6		2.8	3.5		3.6	3.1		4.9	4.0		3.7	3.3		2.5	3.2		3.0	4.7		5.0	4.3		3.1
Net Error	-2.2		0.7	-2.5		0.3	-2.2		-0.4	-3.2		-1.0	-2.8		-0.3	-2.3		-0.8	-1.2		3.8	0.4		0.7
Std Dev	2.5		1.8	2.2		3.0	2.3		3.9	2.9		2.9	3.1		2.4	2.8		3.2	4.7		5.0	4.3		3.1

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-15-18 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-15-18	57 ↓		52	27		25	54 ↓		52	28		33	28		35	17		21	36		43	22		22
11-14-18	48 ↓	48.8 °F	50	24	28.7°F	30	54 ↓		59	28		30	54		60	28		39	31		41	18		23
11-13-18	38 ↓	41.9 °F	36	20	25.9°F	19	46 ↓	48.8 °F	47	24	28.7°F	24	55		55	29		27	54		59	26		39
11-12-18	27 ↓	27.0 °F	25	12	10.2°F	8	37 ↓	41.9 °F	38	20	25.9°F	21	48	48.8 °F	49	26	28.7°F	23	51		56	30		28
11-11-18	38 ↓	43.6 °F	44	19 ↑	23.4°F	26	28 ↓	27.0 °F	31	12	10.2°F	14	34	41.9 °F	39	20	25.9°F	21	50	48.8 °F	50	30	28.7°F	24
11-10-18	34 ↓	32.8 °F	32	25	23.9°F	18	38 ↓	43.6 °F	34	16	23.4°F	23	28	27.0 °F	32	12	10.2°F	10	33	41.9 °F	39	20	25.9°F	22
11-09-18	28 ↓	30.9 °F	25	9	11.9°F	7	34 ↓	32.8 °F	31	24	23.9°F	18	40	43.6 °F	33	21	23.4°F	20	31	27.0 °F	30	16	10.2°F	15
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		4	2		1	2		2	2		1	2		1	1		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	50.0		66.7	33.3		16.7	40.0		40.0	40.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	2.4		2.7	3.5		4.0	3.1		4.2	4.0		3.9	3.3		4.7	3.2		3.6	4.7		2.4	4.3		4.5
Net Error	-2.0		-2.2	-2.5		-2.7	-2.2		-2.6	-3.2		-2.4	-2.8		-2.1	-2.3		-3.6	-1.2		0.4	0.4		-1.3
Std Dev	2.2		2.2	2.2		2.6	2.3		2.9	2.9		2.6	3.1		4.6	2.8		3.3	4.7		2.4	4.3		4.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-14-18 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-14-18	48 ↓		49	24		30	54 ↓		57	28		30	54		60	28		39	31		40	18		23
11-13-18	38 ↓	41.9 °F	41	20	25.9°F	19	46 ↓		46	24		24	55		52	29		27	54		60	26		40
11-12-18	27 ↓	27.0 °F	27	11	10.2°F	8	37 ↓	41.9 °F	37	20	25.9°F	19	48		48	26		23	51		56	30		24
11-11-18	39 ↓	43.6 °F	44	21	23.4°F	22	28 ↓	27.0 °F	28	12	10.2°F	12	34	41.9 °F	39	20	25.9°F	22	50		50	30		25
11-10-18	33	32.8 °F	33	25	23.9°F	21	38 ↓	43.6 °F	35	16	23.4°F	23	28	27.0 °F	32	12	10.2°F	10	33	41.9 °F	39	20	25.9°F	22
11-09-18	29 ↓	30.9 °F	26	9	11.9°F	7	34 ↓	32.8 °F	31	24	23.9°F	18	40	43.6 °F	33	21	23.4°F	20	31	27.0 °F	30	16	10.2°F	15
11-08-18	32	32.0 °F	33	22	27.1°F	20	28 ↓	30.9 °F	28	12	11.9°F	13	34	32.8 °F	33	24	23.9°F	21	42	43.6 °F	39	24	23.4°F	18
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		5	2		1	2		2	3		3	2		1	2		1	1		0	1		0
% Succ	66.7		83.3	33.3		16.7	40.0		40.0	60.0		60.0	50.0		25.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	1.8		1.2	3.0		4.2	3.1		3.8	3.1		3.2	3.4		4.7	2.6		2.6	4.8		3.5	4.1		4.7
Net Error	-1.7		-0.7	-2.4		-4.2	-2.2		-3.4	-2.3		-2.1	-2.3		-2.1	-1.6		-2.6	-2.2		-1.5	0.2		-1.5
Std Dev	1.9		1.7	2.1		2.6	2.6		3.5	3.1		3.0	3.7		4.1	2.8		2.3	4.8		3.5	4.1		4.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-14-18 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-14-18	48 ↓		30	25		58	54 ↓		30	28		58	54		38	27		40	29		23	18		44
11-13-18	40 ↓	25.9°F	41	18	41.9 °F	24	45 ↓		51	24		30	53		61	28		29	54		61	27		39
11-12-18	27 ↓	27.0 °F	27	11	10.2°F	8	37 ↓	25.9°F	37	20	41.9 °F	19	47		48	24		23	52		56	29		24
11-11-18	41 ↓	43.6 °F	22	20	23.4°F	29	27 ↓	27.0 °F	12	12	10.2°F	40	35	25.9°F	22	20	41.9 °F	51	47		25	26		57
11-10-18	33 ↓	23.9°F	24	24	32.8 °F	37	37 ↓	43.6 °F	23	19	23.4°F	32	28	27.0 °F	15	13	10.2°F	42	34	25.9°F	27	21	41.9 °F	59
11-09-18	29 ↓	11.9°F	9	8	30.9 °F	34	33 ↓	23.9°F	22	23	32.8 °F	36	40	43.6 °F	18	19	23.4°F	28	28	27.0 °F	12	14	10.2°F	41
11-08-18	32	27.1°F	20	22	32.0 °F	28	28 ↓	11.9°F	12	12	30.9 °F	35	34	23.9°F	21	24	32.8 °F	40	42	43.6 °F	19	24	23.4°F	35
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	1		0	1		2	1		0	1		0	0		0	2		1	1		0
% Succ	16.7		33.3	16.7		0.0	20.0		40.0	20.0		0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0	66.7		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	8.0		7.8	11.6		6.2	8.6		9.7	11.4		13.7	6.0		11.1	9.5		13.2	3.6		13.6	8.4		19.8
Net Error	7.1		-2.7	-11.4		-1.9	5.9		-5.3	-10.6		4.6	4.2		-11.1	-8.1		13.2	2.5		-12.8	-5.5		19.8
Std Dev	6.8		8.6	10.0		5.8	6.8		8.2	10.1		12.2	5.4		10.3	10.3		11.6	3.6		13.6	8.4		19.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-14-18 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-14-18	25		31	54 ↓		61	28		31	54		59	27		37	29		40	18		23	35		44
11-13-18	18	25.9°F	22	45 ↓	41.9 °F	49	24		26	53		56	28		27	54		60	27		41	30		45
11-12-18	11	10.2°F	11	37 ↓	27.0 °F	39	20	25.9°F	22	47	41.9 °F	49	24		24	52		57	29		26	51		60
11-11-18	20	23.4°F	24	27 ↓	43.6 °F	30	12	10.2°F	13	35	27.0 °F	41	20	25.9°F	22	47	41.9 °F	51	26		25	50		57
11-10-18	24	23.9°F	25	37 ↓	32.8 °F	38	19	23.4°F	24	28	43.6 °F	33	13	10.2°F	15	34	27.0 °F	42	21	25.9°F	27	52	41.9 °F	60
11-09-18	8	11.9°F	11	33 ↓	30.9 °F	36	23	23.9°F	24	40	32.8 °F	37	19	23.4°F	19	28	43.6 °F	29	14	10.2°F	13	32	27.0 °F	42
11-08-18	23	27.1°F	22	28 ↓	32.0 °F	28	12	11.9°F	12	34	30.9 °F	35	24	23.9°F	22	42	32.8 °F	40	24	23.4°F	19	34	43.6 °F	35
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	0		0	3		3	0		0	1		1	0		0	1		1	0		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7			0.0	60.0		60.0			0.0	25.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		33.3			0.0
Ave Error	3.4		2.1	6.7		7.8	2.6		1.5	7.8		8.0	3.3		3.8	9.2		11.5	3.1		2.8	8.2		13.9
Net Error	-3.1		-1.2	-0.2		2.0	-1.9		-0.1	1.6		3.8	-1.9		-1.4	1.4		4.2	-0.2		-0.2	1.8		8.2
Std Dev	2.9		1.5	5.7		4.6	2.4		1.6	6.2		5.9	3.1		3.2	8.3		10.0	3.1		2.8	8.2		13.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-14-18 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-14-18	25		29	54 ↓		58	28		31	54		59	27		36	29		37	18		22	35		45
11-13-18	18	33.2°F	24	45 ↓	41.9 °F	53	24		25	53		54	28		29	54		59	27		38	30		42
11-12-18	11	28.6°F	11	37 ↓	27.0 °F	40	20	33.2°F	19	47	41.9 °F	47	24		24	52		53	29		26	51		60
11-11-18	20	14.3°F	26	27 ↓	43.6 °F	31	12	28.6°F	13	35	27.0 °F	39	20	33.2°F	20	47	41.9 °F	49	26		23	50		58
11-10-18	24	27.2°F	24	37 ↓	32.8 °F	44	19	14.3°F	23	28	43.6 °F	30	13	28.6°F	12	34	27.0 °F	40	21	33.2°F	22	52	41.9 °F	51
11-09-18	8	25.3°F	11	33 ↓	30.9 °F	38	23	27.2°F	24	40	32.8 °F	37	19	14.3°F	23	28	43.6 °F	32	14	28.6°F	15	32	27.0 °F	40
11-08-18	23	13.0°F	22	27 ↓	32.0 °F	29	12	25.3°F	11	34	30.9 °F	33	24	27.2°F	20	42	32.8 °F	36	24	14.3°F	20	34	43.6 °F	31
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	11.5		10.8	6.8		9.7	10.4		11.2	7.8		7.4	9.2		11.4	9.2		8.7	12.2		10.2	8.2		11.6
Net Error	-6.3		-3.9	-0.4		4.5	-8.5		-7.7	1.6		2.0	-6.8		-7.1	1.4		2.9	-5.7		-6.4	1.8		3.2
Std Dev	7.3		6.3	5.7		4.5	7.7		7.6	6.2		5.9	8.2		9.9	8.3		7.6	12.2		10.2	8.2		11.6

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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