Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 11-Dec-2024 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 30°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 15°
Thursday

Cloudy
Cold!
Cloudy
Cold!
High: 30°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 16°
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 33°
Friday
night
Rain Sleet
Cold!
Rain Sleet
Cold!
Low: 33°
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 41°
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 25°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 55°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 11-Dec-2024 3:35pm CST

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 31 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 17 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 28 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 14 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain

Hi 38 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Light Rain
Light Rain

Lo 29 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Light Rain then Partly Sunny
Slight Chance Light Rain then Partly Sunny

Hi 39 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 24 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 50 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-11-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-11-24 20   22 30   31 15   17 28   29 15   16 34   34 23   32 38   45
12-10-24 26 30.6°F 25 40 44.5 °F 41 18   25 29   34 14   16 28   28 18   23 36   33
12-09-24 32 28.4°F 30 51 53.0 °F 52 25 30.6°F 33 39 44.5 °F 43 19   26 30   32 10   13 28   30
12-08-24 33 33.0°F 36 61 59.7 °F 62 32 28.4°F 35 49 53.0 °F 54 25 30.6°F 33 39 44.5 °F 41 20   26 35   35
12-07-24 28 43.3°F 30 63 67.2 °F 64 34 33.0°F 39 60 59.7 °F 70 34 28.4°F 37 51 53.0 °F 54 25 30.6°F 33 36 44.5 °F 44
12-06-24 17 32.2°F 17 46 51.5 °F 47 23 43.3°F 23 57 67.2 °F 62 37 33.0°F 30 58 59.7 °F 59 33 28.4°F 33 47 53.0 °F 58
12-05-24 15 20.9°F 13 27 27.9 °F 32 20 32.2°F 15 45 51.5 °F 48 26 43.3°F 25 55 67.2 °F 60 38 33.0°F 41 58 59.7 °F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   16.7 20.0   0.0 20.0   40.0     0.0 50.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 7.4   7.8 3.1   3.1 8.5   10.5 5.3   4.3 8.1   8.1 5.4   3.1 5.1   5.0 5.4   5.6
Net Error -6.2   -6.2 -2.6   -1.0 -6.7   -4.5 -5.2   0.2 -3.3   -2.6 -5.4   -2.6 1.3   5.0 -5.4   5.3
Std Dev 6.5   5.9 2.0   1.7 6.9   8.0 4.1   4.3 7.1   7.5 4.6   2.7 5.1   5.0 5.4   5.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-11-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-11-24 20   36 31   21 16   31 28   16 14   34 36   33 26   44 38   25
12-10-24 26 25.2°F 43 41 44.5 °F 27 20   36 29   18 14   28 28   16 16   30 33   26
12-09-24 28 26.6°F 53 51 53.0 °F 34 24 25.2°F 43 39 44.5 °F 26 19   32 30   13 10   29 27   23
12-08-24 33 31.8°F 63 63 59.7 °F 36 32 26.6°F 53 49 53.0 °F 31 25 25.2°F 39 38 44.5 °F 26 18   37 31   19
12-07-24 28 43.3°F 60 63 67.2 °F 34 35 31.8°F 63 61 59.7 °F 34 33 26.6°F 53 50 53.0 °F 31 25 25.2°F 43 38 44.5 °F 26
12-06-24 17 31.4°F 51 48 51.5 °F 28 26 43.3°F 61 60 67.2 °F 33 34 31.8°F 62 60 59.7 °F 34 34 26.6°F 56 49 53.0 °F 40
12-05-24 13 20.8°F 32 26 27.9 °F 15 19 31.4°F 49 46 51.5 °F 25 26 43.3°F 62 57 67.2 °F 37 38 31.8°F 65 58 59.7 °F 34
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 6.8   20.5 3.1   21.6 7.9   22.1 4.7   25.4 6.5   22.3 5.0   24.1 4.6   26.8 4.1   19.1
Net Error -5.7   20.5 -2.0   -21.6 -4.5   22.1 -4.2   -25.4 -2.2   22.3 -4.9   -24.1 4.5   26.8 -4.1   -19.1
Std Dev 6.7   9.9 1.4   10.3 6.3   14.8 3.4   16.4 6.5   19.8 4.4   21.1 4.6   26.8 4.1   19.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-11-24 at 7:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-11-24 31   28 16   16 28   27 14   13 36   33 26   32 38   46 25   26
12-10-24 41 44.5 °F 39 20 20.3°F 25 29   36 14   17 28   28 16   16 33   30 20   26
12-09-24 51 53.0 °F 53 24 25.5°F 27 39 44.5 °F 36 19 20.3°F 20 30   26 10   9 27   25 16   22
12-08-24 63 59.7 °F 61 32 31.3°F 36 49 53.0 °F 53 25 25.5°F 31 38 44.5 °F 39 18 20.3°F 26 31   36 16   18
12-07-24 63 67.2 °F 59 35 39.3°F 34 61 59.7 °F 63 33 31.3°F 34 50 53.0 °F 53 25 25.5°F 31 38 44.5 °F 43 18 20.3°F 26
12-06-24 48 51.5 °F 52 26 31.4°F 29 60 67.2 °F 60 34 39.3°F 35 60 59.7 °F 65 34 31.3°F 35 49 53.0 °F 57 26 25.5°F 41
12-05-24 26 27.9 °F 32 19 20.8°F 15 46 51.5 °F 49 26 31.4°F 25 57 67.2 °F 62 38 39.3°F 37 58 59.7 °F 65 34 31.3°F 34
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 4 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   50.0 66.7   16.7 20.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.1   3.3 2.3   4.1 4.7   4.3 2.8   3.8 5.0   4.0 1.7   4.3 4.1   3.6 1.8   8.0
Net Error -2.0   -1.3 -2.1   -0.4 -4.2   -3.0 -2.2   -0.6 -4.9   -1.4 -0.4   3.2 -4.1   2.6 0.3   8.0
Std Dev 1.4   3.2 2.1   2.2 3.4   3.8 2.2   3.0 4.4   3.5 1.5   3.8 4.1   3.6 1.8   8.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-11-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-11-24 31   30 17   15 28   30 14   16 36   33 26   33 38   41 25   25
12-10-24 43 44.5 °F 47 19 20.3°F 29 29   36 14   20 28   29 16   14 33   32 20   28
12-09-24 51 53.0 °F 53 24 25.5°F 27 39 44.5 °F 37 19 20.3°F 20 30   27 10   10 27   25 16   22
12-08-24 63 59.7 °F 64 32 31.3°F 36 49 53.0 °F 54 25 25.5°F 30 38 44.5 °F 41 18 20.3°F 25 31   36 16   13
12-07-24 63 67.2 °F 62 35 39.4°F 34 61 59.7 °F 62 33 31.3°F 32 50 53.0 °F 54 25 25.5°F 27 38 44.5 °F 36 18 20.3°F 19
12-06-24 47 51.5 °F 56 28 31.5°F 28 59 67.2 °F 59 34 39.4°F 35 60 59.7 °F 66 34 31.3°F 33 49 53.0 °F 55 26 25.5°F 36
12-05-24 26 27.9 °F 33 19 20.8°F 14 46 51.5 °F 47 26 31.5°F 26 57 67.2 °F 62 38 39.4°F 39 58 59.7 °F 69 34 31.3°F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 1 4 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   16.7 66.7   16.7 20.0   20.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   75.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.9   3.6 2.2   5.1 4.9   4.7 2.9   3.1 5.0   4.0 1.7   2.1 4.1   6.6 1.8   6.2
Net Error -1.8   1.9 -2.0   -0.1 -4.4   -3.4 -2.2   -1.0 -4.9   -0.4 -0.4   1.9 -4.1   0.9 0.3   5.3
Std Dev 1.6   2.3 1.6   3.0 3.5   3.8 2.3   2.6 4.4   3.5 1.5   2.2 4.1   6.6 1.8   6.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-11-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-11-24 31   30 17   15 28   30 14   16 36   33 26   33 38   41 25   25
12-10-24 43 44.5 °F 46 19 20.3°F 20 29   28 14   14 28   23 16   12 33   31 20   27
12-09-24 51 53.0 °F 53 24 25.5°F 25 39 44.5 °F 35 19 20.3°F 20 30   26 10   10 27   25 16   22
12-08-24 63 59.7 °F 60 32 31.3°F 33 48 53.0 °F 52 25 25.5°F 29 39 44.5 °F 40 19 20.3°F 24 30   35 10   13
12-07-24 64 67.2 °F 67 33 39.4°F 34 61 59.7 °F 61 32 31.3°F 33 49 53.0 °F 54 25 25.5°F 26 39 44.5 °F 35 20 20.3°F 19
12-06-24 49 51.5 °F 51 28 31.5°F 24 59 67.2 °F 60 34 39.4°F 35 60 59.7 °F 66 34 31.3°F 33 49 53.0 °F 55 26 25.5°F 36
12-05-24 26 27.9 °F 30 17 20.8°F 13 46 51.5 °F 48 23 31.5°F 25 57 67.2 °F 62 37 39.4°F 39 58 59.7 °F 69 33 31.3°F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 3 3 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 3 1
% Succ 50.0   83.3 50.0   50.0 20.0   40.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   75.0 33.3   33.3 100.0   33.3
Ave Error 2.4   0.8 2.9   3.9 5.1   4.5 3.3   3.3 5.0   4.3 1.7   1.6 3.7   6.9 0.8   6.2
Net Error -1.3   0.5 -2.6   -3.3 -4.6   -4.0 -3.0   -1.2 -4.9   -0.6 -0.4   1.4 -3.7   0.6 0.6   5.3
Std Dev 1.2   0.6 2.2   3.1 3.7   4.2 2.8   2.6 4.3   3.7 1.5   1.7 3.7   6.9 0.8   6.2

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-10-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-10-24 45   27 19   35 30   19 15   29 28   15 15   34 34   29 23   44
12-09-24 53 53.0 °F 26 25 25.5°F 37 40   21 18   28 29   11 13   23 30   13 18   24
12-08-24 63 59.7 °F 33 32 31.3°F 52 48 53.0 °F 32 25 25.5°F 40 39   26 19   34 30   14 10   30
12-07-24 69 67.2 °F 36 33 39.4°F 63 61 59.7 °F 35 32 31.3°F 53 49 53.0 °F 30 25 25.5°F 40 39   28 20   35
12-06-24 52 51.5 °F 27 28 31.5°F 60 62 67.2 °F 34 34 39.4°F 66 60 59.7 °F 33 34 31.3°F 56 51 53.0 °F 34 25 25.5°F 39
12-05-24 27 27.9 °F 12 17 20.8°F 47 46 51.5 °F 19 23 31.5°F 66 57 67.2 °F 41 37 39.4°F 75 58 59.7 °F 38 33 31.3°F 60
12-04-24 52 52.9 °F 17 15 12.4°F 32 27 27.9 °F 14 20 20.8°F 48 45 51.5 °F 24 26 31.5°F 60 55 67.2 °F 41 38 39.4°F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 2 0 2 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 33.3   0.0 40.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 1.2   26.9 2.9   21.7 3.6   25.1 3.2   24.9 5.3   25.9 2.8   25.8 5.3   22.3 1.2   24.6
Net Error 0.6   -26.9 -1.8   21.7 -3.1   -25.1 -2.9   24.9 -5.1   -25.9 -1.4   25.8 -5.3   -22.3 -0.1   24.6
Std Dev 1.2   12.0 2.3   10.4 2.7   16.4 2.8   16.5 4.6   22.4 2.7   23.1 5.3   22.3 1.2   24.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-10-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-10-24 19   22 30   32 15   17 28   28 15   14 34   33 23   28 38   44
12-09-24 25 25.5°F 27 40 53.0 °F 39 18   24 29   29 13   12 30   24 18   13 36   25
12-08-24 32 31.3°F 35 48 59.7 °F 54 25 25.5°F 28 39 53.0 °F 37 19   21 30   29 10   11 28   28
12-07-24 33 39.4°F 36 61 67.2 °F 62 32 31.3°F 35 49 59.7 °F 53 25 25.5°F 30 39 53.0 °F 40 20   28 35   35
12-06-24 28 31.5°F 30 62 51.5 °F 63 34 39.4°F 38 60 67.2 °F 69 34 31.3°F 34 51 59.7 °F 57 25 25.5°F 34 36 53.0 °F 39
12-05-24 17 20.8°F 14 46 27.9 °F 48 23 31.5°F 24 57 51.5 °F 63 37 39.4°F 36 58 67.2 °F 66 33 31.3°F 35 47 59.7 °F 57
12-04-24 15 12.4°F 18 27 52.9 °F 32 20 20.8°F 15 45 27.9 °F 48 26 31.5°F 24 55 51.5 °F 59 38 39.4°F 41 58 67.2 °F 70
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 0 0 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3     0.0 60.0   20.0     20.0 25.0   0.0     25.0 100.0   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.9   3.8 14.2   12.9 3.2   4.2 10.9   11.2 2.8   4.5 8.9   6.1 1.2   4.6 13.0   6.5
Net Error -1.8   -0.2 -4.7   -2.4 -2.9   -1.7 -1.9   2.1 -1.4   -0.9 -7.1   -2.4 -0.1   4.6 -13.0   -4.6
Std Dev 2.3   2.4 7.1   7.4 2.8   3.0 7.2   8.8 2.7   3.9 8.1   6.3 1.2   4.6 13.0   6.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-10-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-10-24 20   21 30   30 15   16 28   27 15   15 34   33 23   31 38   43
12-09-24 25 34.0°F 27 40 53.0 °F 41 18   25 29   31 13   14 30   27 18   22 36   33
12-08-24 32 30.7°F 33 48 59.7 °F 52 25 34.0°F 31 39 53.0 °F 40 19   25 30   31 10   13 28   30
12-07-24 33 41.1°F 33 61 67.2 °F 60 32 30.7°F 33 49 59.7 °F 53 25 34.0°F 32 39 53.0 °F 41 20   25 35   35
12-06-24 28 46.2°F 27 62 51.5 °F 61 34 41.1°F 32 60 67.2 °F 62 34 30.7°F 33 51 59.7 °F 52 25 34.0°F 31 36 53.0 °F 43
12-05-24 17 35.1°F 16 46 27.9 °F 46 23 46.2°F 21 57 51.5 °F 62 37 41.1°F 32 58 67.2 °F 61 33 30.7°F 35 47 59.7 °F 59
12-04-24 15 21.4°F 16 27 52.9 °F 32 20 35.1°F 15 45 27.9 °F 48 26 46.2°F 25 55 51.5 °F 60 38 41.1°F 41 58 67.2 °F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1
% Succ 16.7   0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 10.2   10.2 14.2   12.6 11.1   11.9 10.9   11.1 9.2   8.7 8.9   8.6 4.8   2.5 13.0   5.2
Net Error -9.8   -9.4 -4.7   -3.4 -10.6   -11.0 -1.9   1.1 -7.5   -7.5 -7.1   -4.4 -3.3   0.4 -13.0   -2.0
Std Dev 7.2   7.5 7.1   6.5 8.6   9.7 7.2   7.8 7.9   8.2 8.1   7.6 4.8   2.5 13.0   5.2

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.