SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 22-Sep-2023 2:05 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

103°F at Cotulla La Salle County Ap, TX
103°F at Eagle Lake, TX

Low Temp

27°F at Klamath Falls Intl Ap, OR

Precipitation

3.27in at Kearney Municipal Ap, NE

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Thursday,
September 21, 2023

High Temp

89°F at Mccook Municipal Ap, NE

Low Temp

49°F at Echo (pine Bluffs), NE

Precipitation

3.27in at Kearney Municipal Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 22-Sep-2023 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Cloudy

Cloudy
High: 71°

Tonight

Chance rain
Low: 62°

Saturday

Partly Cloudy
High: 81°

Saturday
night

Mostly Clear
Low: 60°

Sunday

Sunny
High: 79°

Sunday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 56°

Monday

Partly Cloudy
High: 79°

Monday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 56°

Tuesday

Sunny
High: 81°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 22-Sep-2023 1:05pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 77 °F ↓

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 67 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 81 °F ↓

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms Likely then Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 57 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 81 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 56 °F

Monday

Monday: Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 80 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Clear

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Mostly Clear

Lo 57 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 79 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-23 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-23	63		62	82		73	66		64	81		82	57		61	79		80	55		58	76		80
09-21-23	62 ↑	67.3°F	63	82 ↓	82.0 °F	81	63		64	82		79	64		66	79		78	56		68	77		80
09-20-23	64 ↑	66.8°F	62	84	86.1 °F	85	60	67.3°F	64	81	82.0 °F	84	63		65	81		81	63		66	79		74
09-19-23	67 ↑	66.3°F	70	89	89.5 °F	92	63 ↑	66.8°F	67	84	86.1 °F	85	60	67.3°F	64	83	82.0 °F	80	63		66	81		81
09-18-23	55	75.7°F	59	89 ↓	92.0 °F	83	63 ↑	66.3°F	67	87	89.5 °F	91	63	66.8°F	68	84	86.1 °F	90	60	67.3°F	64	81	82.0 °F	85
09-17-23	50 ↑	63.9°F	50	79 ↓	80.4 °F	75	53	75.7°F	53	89	92.0 °F	83	63	66.3°F	65	87	89.5 °F	89	62	66.8°F	68	83	86.1 °F	86
09-16-23	56	54.0°F	59	80 ↓	81.1 °F	80	50	63.9°F	56	78	80.4 °F	79	53	75.7°F	56	86	92.0 °F	86	63	66.3°F	69	86	89.5 °F	95
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	4		3	0		2	1		4	0		2	1		2	0		1	1		1
% Succ	33.3		0.0	66.7		50.0			40.0	20.0		80.0			50.0	25.0		50.0			33.3	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	7.6		8.1	1.4		3.4	10.2		7.0	2.2		3.0	9.3		6.4	2.9		3.1	5.1		2.4	2.5		2.9
Net Error	-6.7		-5.2	-1.4		-2.5	-10.2		-6.6	-2.2		-1.6	-9.3		-5.8	-2.4		-1.2	-5.1		0.2	-2.5		2.8
Std Dev	7.6		6.0	1.1		3.1	7.8		6.2	1.5		2.2	8.1		5.7	2.7		2.7	5.1		2.4	2.5		2.9

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-23 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-23	63 ↑		70	78		62	67		81	81		60	57		79	81		57	56		79	80		57
09-21-23	62 ↑	63.3°F	81	84	82.0 °F	63	63 ↑		78	81		66	65		79	81		68	57		81	79		62
09-20-23	64	62.7°F	87	83	86.1 °F	64	60 ↑	63.3°F	82	81	82.0 °F	64	62		80	81		65	63		74	81		63
09-19-23	67 ↑	62.9°F	92	91 ↓	89.5 °F	69	64 ↑	62.7°F	85	83	86.1 °F	64	61	63.3°F	80	82	82.0 °F	66	62		81	80		67
09-18-23	55	74.6°F	84	91	92.0 °F	68	65 ↑	62.9°F	91	89	89.5 °F	67	63	62.7°F	88	82	86.1 °F	63	59	63.3°F	84	81	82.0 °F	65
09-17-23	47	60.8°F	74	78	80.4 °F	53	55	74.6°F	83	88	92.0 °F	65	63	62.9°F	89	87	89.5 °F	68	62	62.7°F	87	85	86.1 °F	63
09-16-23	56	50.1°F	77	80	81.1 °F	54	50 ↑	60.8°F	77	78	80.4 °F	54	53	74.6°F	84	87	92.0 °F	69	64	62.9°F	93	87	89.5 °F	72
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	4		0	1		0	2		0	2		0	1		0	2		0	2		0
% Succ	33.3		0.0	66.7		0.0	20.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	66.7		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	7.7		20.1	1.9		23.4	7.4		18.7	2.2		23.2	6.1		19.4	2.9		20.9	2.0		25.0	1.5		19.2
Net Error	-3.9		20.1	-0.7		-23.4	-6.1		18.7	-2.2		-23.2	-5.9		19.4	-2.9		-20.9	-1.3		25.0	-1.5		-19.2
Std Dev	7.4		10.6	1.0		9.9	6.2		12.7	1.7		14.9	5.6		16.8	2.9		18.3	2.0		25.0	1.5		19.2

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-23 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-23	78		69	67		61	81 ↓		80	57		60	81		79	56		56	80		78	57		56
09-21-23	84	82.0 °F	79	63 ↑	62.8°F	64	81		77	65		63	81		78	57		60	79		77	55		57
09-20-23	83	86.1 °F	85	60 ↑	61.5°F	66	81	82.0 °F	84	62	62.8°F	65	81		76	63		67	81		77	55		62
09-19-23	>85	89.5 °F	90	<65	62.8°F	67	<85	86.1 °F	86	>55	61.5°F	65	<85	82.0 °F	85	<65	62.8°F	65	>75		80	<65		67
09-18-23	91	92.0 °F	82	65 ↑	70.5°F	65	89	89.5 °F	87	63	62.8°F	64	82	86.1 °F	86	59	61.5°F	64	81	82.0 °F	83	62	62.8°F	65
09-17-23	78	80.4 °F	73	55	60.3°F	52	88	92.0 °F	84	63	70.5°F	68	87	89.5 °F	92	62	62.8°F	70	85	86.1 °F	85	61	61.5°F	63
09-16-23	80	81.1 °F	73	50 ↑	48.5°F	52	78	80.4 °F	76	53	60.3°F	53	87	92.0 °F	84	64	70.5°F	66	87	89.5 °F	90	62	62.8°F	70
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	3		1	2		2	2		1	0		1	1		0	2		3	3		1
% Succ	50.0		33.3	50.0		16.7	40.0		40.0	40.0		20.0			25.0	25.0		0.0	66.7		100.0	100.0		33.3
Ave Error	16.5		5.0	12.8		4.5	18.8		3.4	15.5		3.3	23.4		3.4	18.2		4.1	1.5		0.9	0.7		3.6
Net Error	-15.9		-4.9	-12.2		-0.1	-18.8		-2.6	-15.4		-0.6	-23.4		-0.6	-18.2		1.9	-1.5		0.1	-0.7		3.6
Std Dev	32.7		4.0	22.6		2.8	34.3		2.7	24.7		2.4	35.6		3.0	27.3		3.7	1.5		0.9	0.7		3.6

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-22-23 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-22-23	78		71	67		62	81 ↓		81	57		60	81		79	56		56	80		79	57		56
09-21-23	84	82.0 °F	81	63 ↑	62.8°F	65	81		80	65		65	81		80	57		60	79		78	55		56
09-20-23	83	86.1 °F	83	60 ↑	61.5°F	65	81	82.0 °F	86	62	62.8°F	65	81		78	63		67	81		77	55		62
09-19-23	91 ↓	89.5 °F	90	64 ↑	62.8°F	68	83	86.1 °F	87	61	61.5°F	67	82	82.0 °F	87	62	62.8°F	66	80		80	63		67
09-18-23	91	92.0 °F	86	65 ↑	70.5°F	69	89	89.5 °F	91	63	62.8°F	65	82	86.1 °F	88	59	61.5°F	65	81	82.0 °F	88	62	62.8°F	66
09-17-23	78	80.4 °F	76	55	60.3°F	54	88	92.0 °F	84	63	70.5°F	68	87	89.5 °F	92	62	62.8°F	70	85	86.1 °F	86	61	61.5°F	62
09-16-23	80	81.1 °F	75	50 ↑	48.6°F	52	78	80.4 °F	77	53	60.3°F	54	87	92.0 °F	85	64	70.5°F	66	87	89.5 °F	90	62	62.8°F	70
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		2	4		1	2		2	3		0	1		1	2		0	2		2	3		1
% Succ	66.7		33.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		40.0	60.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		0.0	66.7		66.7	100.0		33.3
Ave Error	1.9		3.5	2.5		3.7	2.2		3.6	3.3		3.7	2.9		4.1	2.7		4.6	1.5		2.2	0.7		3.6
Net Error	-0.7		-3.4	-1.6		1.1	-2.2		-1.0	-3.2		0.2	-2.9		0.6	-2.7		2.4	-1.5		2.1	-0.7		3.6
Std Dev	1.0		2.4	2.3		2.2	1.7		2.7	3.0		2.7	2.9		3.6	2.5		4.0	1.5		2.2	0.7		3.6

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-21-23 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-21-23	82 ↓		82	63		67	82		85	66		68	81		84	57		63	79		81	55		60
09-20-23	85	86.1 °F	82	60 ↑	61.5°F	64	81		82	62		65	81		81	63		66	81		80	55		61
09-19-23	91 ↓	89.5 °F	91	64 ↑	62.8°F	68	83	86.1 °F	88	61	61.5°F	68	82		86	62		65	80		84	63		68
09-18-23	91	92.0 °F	89	65 ↑	70.5°F	71	89	89.5 °F	93	63	62.8°F	67	82	86.1 °F	89	59	61.5°F	65	81		86	62		64
09-17-23	78	80.4 °F	77	55	60.3°F	55	89 ↓	92.0 °F	85	63	70.5°F	69	87	89.5 °F	94	62	62.8°F	73	85	86.1 °F	92	61	61.5°F	64
09-16-23	80 ↓	81.1 °F	78	50 ↑	48.6°F	55	79 ↓	80.4 °F	76	53	60.3°F	55	87	92.0 °F	84	64	70.5°F	67	87	89.5 °F	93	62	62.8°F	73
09-15-23	77 ↓	78.0 °F	75	55 ↑	57.0°F	60	81 ↓	81.1 °F	78	50	48.6°F	55	79	80.4 °F	77	55	60.3°F	56	88	92.0 °F	82	64	70.5°F	66
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		1	4		1	3		1	3		1	1		0	1		0	1		0	2		0
% Succ	83.3		16.7	66.7		16.7	60.0		20.0	60.0		20.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	1.4		3.0	2.8		3.8	1.6		4.0	3.4		4.8	3.3		4.7	3.8		5.4	2.5		6.5	2.6		5.7
Net Error	-0.8		-2.5	-2.0		2.1	-1.6		-1.8	-2.7		2.1	-3.3		-1.0	-3.8		1.5	-2.5		-0.2	-2.6		2.7
Std Dev	0.7		1.5	2.1		2.5	1.5		3.0	3.4		3.5	2.8		4.2	3.3		4.7	2.5		6.5	2.6		5.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-21-23 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-21-23	82 ↓		64	63		81	82		67	66		84	81		63	57		80	79		60	55		84
09-20-23	86	86.1 °F	66	62 ↑	61.5°F	83	82 ↓		66	63		81	82		66	64		80	79		61	56		79
09-19-23	91 ↓	89.5 °F	70	63 ↑	62.8°F	88	83	86.1 °F	67	60	61.5°F	83	81		64	63		83	81		68	63		83
09-18-23	91	92.0 °F	71	66 ↑	70.5°F	93	90	89.5 °F	68	63	62.8°F	90	84	86.1 °F	66	60	61.5°F	88	83		65	63		87
09-17-23	78	80.4 °F	57	55	60.3°F	86	89 ↓	92.0 °F	68	63	70.5°F	94	87	89.5 °F	73	63	62.8°F	92	84	86.1 °F	64	60	61.5°F	91
09-16-23	80 ↓	81.1 °F	55	50 ↑	48.6°F	78	79 ↓	80.4 °F	55	53	60.3°F	84	89	92.0 °F	67	63	70.5°F	92	87	89.5 °F	73	62	62.8°F	90
09-15-23	77 ↓	78.0 °F	58	56	57.0°F	77	80 ↓	81.1 °F	54	50	48.6°F	77	78	80.4 °F	55	53	60.3°F	82	86	92.0 °F	66	63	70.5°F	91
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		0	4		0	3		0	3		0	0		0	2		0	0		0	2		0
% Succ	83.3		0.0	66.7		0.0	60.0		0.0	60.0		0.0			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	1.2		21.7	2.2		24.1	1.8		23.4	3.6		24.9	2.5		21.8	4.1		24.7	3.5		21.5	3.3		25.7
Net Error	-0.7		-21.7	-1.5		24.1	-1.6		-23.4	-2.9		24.9	-2.5		-21.8	-4.0		24.7	-3.5		-21.5	-3.3		25.7
Std Dev	0.8		9.1	2.1		10.2	1.5		15.0	3.4		15.8	2.2		18.9	3.8		21.4	3.5		21.5	3.3		25.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-21-23 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-21-23	63		66	82		78	66		64	81		82	57		62	79		81	55		59	76		82
09-20-23	62 ↑	61.5°F	63	82 ↓	86.1 °F	82	63		64	82		74	64		65	79		76	56		60	77		77
09-19-23	63 ↑	62.8°F	66	83	89.5 °F	85	60	61.5°F	64	81	86.1 °F	83	63		64	81		83	63		68	79		85
09-18-23	66 ↑	70.5°F	72	90	92.0 °F	94	63 ↑	62.8°F	67	84	89.5 °F	89	60	61.5°F	66	83	86.1 °F	85	63		64	81		84
09-17-23	55	60.3°F	57	89 ↓	80.4 °F	84	63 ↑	70.5°F	68	87	92.0 °F	93	63	62.8°F	69	84	89.5 °F	87	60	61.5°F	61	81	86.1 °F	85
09-16-23	50 ↑	48.6°F	57	79 ↓	81.1 °F	78	53	60.3°F	56	89	80.4 °F	85	63	70.5°F	68	87	92.0 °F	94	62	62.8°F	68	83	89.5 °F	92
09-15-23	56	57.0°F	59	80 ↓	78.0 °F	80	50	48.6°F	55	78	81.1 °F	79	53	60.3°F	56	86	80.4 °F	84	63	70.5°F	68	86	92.0 °F	85
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		3	2		2	3		0	0		2	2		0	0		2	2		1	0		1
% Succ	66.7		50.0	33.3		33.3	60.0		0.0			40.0	50.0		0.0			50.0	66.7		33.3			33.3
Ave Error	2.2		3.3	4.2		3.2	3.6		4.0	5.5		2.3	4.1		4.4	4.8		2.3	3.3		2.7	5.9		3.5
Net Error	-1.5		2.2	-0.7		-0.7	-2.9		1.3	-2.0		0.0	-4.0		1.0	-2.0		0.5	-3.3		0.7	-5.9		-1.9
Std Dev	2.1		2.7	2.9		1.6	3.4		2.7	3.5		1.8	3.8		3.8	4.2		2.1	3.3		2.7	5.9		3.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-21-23 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-21-23	63		62	82		76	66		66	81		85	57		64	79		82	55		59	76		82
09-20-23	62 ↑	68.2°F	64	82 ↓	86.1 °F	81	63		65	82		76	64		67	79		81	56		63	77		79
09-19-23	64 ↑	70.8°F	64	84	89.5 °F	87	60	68.2°F	64	81	86.1 °F	84	63		63	81		82	63		68	79		85
09-18-23	67 ↑	70.8°F	70	89	92.0 °F	92	63 ↑	70.8°F	67	84	89.5 °F	89	60	68.2°F	66	83	86.1 °F	85	63		64	81		83
09-17-23	55	78.3°F	57	89 ↓	80.4 °F	83	63 ↑	70.8°F	69	87	92.0 °F	94	63	70.8°F	70	84	89.5 °F	86	60	68.2°F	61	81	86.1 °F	84
09-16-23	50 ↑	64.9°F	53	79 ↓	81.1 °F	77	53	78.3°F	55	89	80.4 °F	85	63	70.8°F	68	87	92.0 °F	94	62	70.8°F	68	83	89.5 °F	92
09-15-23	56	60.4°F	60	80 ↓	78.0 °F	80	50	64.9°F	56	78	81.1 °F	79	53	78.3°F	56	86	80.4 °F	84	63	70.8°F	68	86	92.0 °F	85
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	1		2	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		2	0		0	0		0
% Succ			33.3	16.7		33.3			20.0			40.0			25.0			50.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	9.9		7.6	4.2		2.7	12.8		8.4	5.5		2.3	12.3		7.0	4.8		2.6	8.3		4.3	5.9		3.9
Net Error	-9.9		-7.6	-0.7		-1.2	-12.8		-8.4	-2.0		0.4	-12.3		-7.0	-2.0		0.3	-8.3		-4.3	-5.9		-2.2
Std Dev	7.8		7.3	2.7		1.9	8.9		6.7	3.5		1.6	10.8		6.5	4.2		2.3	8.3		4.3	5.9		3.9

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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