Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 20-Jan-2019 08:00 am

Today

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 33°
Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 29°
Monday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 44°
Monday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 31°
Tuesday

Rain likely
Cold!
Rain likely
Cold!
High: 34°
Tuesday
night
Fog late
Cold!
Fog late
Cold!
Low: 7°
Wednesday

Fog a.m.
Cold!
Fog a.m.
Cold!
High: 36°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 20°
Thursday

Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
High: 23°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 20-Jan-2019 9:35am CST

Today

Today: Slight Chance Light Snow then Scattered Snow Showers
Slight Chance Light Snow then Scattered Snow Showers

Hi 21 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 12 °F
M.L. King
Jr. Day
M.L. King Jr. Day: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Freezing Drizzle
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Freezing Drizzle

Hi 31 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Freezing Drizzle Likely
Freezing Drizzle Likely

Lo 25 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Light Snow And Areas Of Blowing Snow
Light Snow And Areas Of Blowing Snow

Hi 30 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Patchy Blowing Snow then Mostly Cloudy
Patchy Blowing Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 13 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 30 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 19 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny
Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny

Hi 24 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-20-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-20-19 6 ↑   9 20 ↓   29 12   18 31   32 27   31 30   34 14   9 31   33
01-19-19 10 10.1°F 7 17 ↓ 20.3 °F 18 7   2 26   32 17   22 35   32 25   24 26   28
01-18-19 26 12.5°F 27 30 ↓ 30.4 °F 31 10 ↑ 10.1°F 10 16 20.3 °F 20 4   5 23   37 16   25 33   40
01-17-19 22 ↑ 28.7°F 23 37 ↓ 34.4 °F 37 22 12.5°F 26 29 30.4 °F 34 11 10.1°F 10 16 20.3 °F 17 3   2 19   31
01-16-19 19 ↑ 23.0°F 21 29 29.8 °F 36 22 28.7°F 27 35 34.4 °F 37 20 12.5°F 19 28 30.4 °F 29 9 10.1°F 13 10 20.3 °F 16
01-15-19 30 28.5°F 27 37 ↓ 33.4 °F 51 20 23.0°F 22 29 29.8 °F 40 21 28.7°F 26 35 34.4 °F 38 18 12.5°F 21 25 30.4 °F 28
01-14-19 23 ↑ 32.9°F 22 36 ↓ 33.3 °F 50 21 28.5°F 24 42 33.4 °F 53 20 23.0°F 17 29 29.8 °F 40 20 28.7°F 24 39 34.4 °F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 2 1 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 33.3   16.7 20.0   60.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   25.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 6.0   6.3 2.2   7.7 5.4   4.2 3.1   7.3 4.8   3.8 2.0   4.6 5.1   5.4 6.8   4.4
Net Error -1.0   -1.5 0.7   6.9 -1.6   1.2 0.5   7.1 -0.6   -0.6 -1.7   2.3 -1.4   2.2 -3.7   -0.0
Std Dev 5.0   5.1 1.5   6.6 4.6   5.4 2.5   6.1 4.6   3.8 2.1   4.1 5.1   5.4 6.8   4.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-20-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-20-19 6 ↑   30 21 ↓   25 12   39 31   29 25   32 30   6 13   35 30   19
01-19-19 10 20.3 °F 22 18 ↓ 10.0°F 6 6   35 26   23 15   31 34   23 26   25 28   12
01-18-19 26 30.4 °F 29 31 ↓ 11.2°F 10 10 ↑ 20.3 °F 16 17 10.0°F 4 6   34 26   22 16   33 35   22
01-17-19 21 34.4 °F 39 35 ↓ 28.0°F 29 24 30.4 °F 35 29 11.2°F 11 11 20.3 °F 16 16 10.0°F 4 2   33 19   23
01-16-19 20 ↑ 29.8 °F 37 29 ↓ 23.0°F 28 23 34.4 °F 41 35 28.0°F 22 21 30.4 °F 30 29 11.2°F 12 12 20.3 °F 19 13 10.0°F 9
01-15-19 32 33.4 °F 57 38 ↓ 28.4°F 24 21 29.8 °F 41 30 23.0°F 30 22 34.4 °F 43 35 28.0°F 27 19 30.4 °F 32 25 11.2°F 10
01-14-19 26 33.3 °F 52 36 ↓ 32.3°F 24 22 33.4 °F 53 40 28.4°F 19 21 29.8 °F 39 30 23.0°F 26 21 34.4 °F 37 36 28.0°F 18
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 2
% Succ 16.7   33.3     33.3     0.0     20.0     25.0     50.0     66.7     66.7
Ave Error 7.8   9.5 9.0   4.0 9.7   9.3 10.1   5.7 10.0   5.6 9.5   2.7 11.0   1.8 8.3   4.1
Net Error -7.8   9.1 9.0   -2.0 -9.7   7.5 10.1   -2.9 -10.0   3.3 9.5   -0.8 -11.0   1.0 8.3   -4.1
Std Dev 5.1   8.6 5.9   2.4 6.3   6.7 7.5   4.4 8.6   4.9 8.4   2.9 11.0   1.8 8.3   4.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-20-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-20-19 21 ↓   33 12   29 31   44 25   31 30   34 13   7 30   36 19   20
01-19-19 18 ↓ 20.3 °F 24 6 10.0°F 6 26 ↓   36 15   23 34   31 26   23 28   25 14   12
01-18-19 31 ↓ 30.4 °F 33 10 ↑ 8.7°F 11 17 ↓ 20.3 °F 16 6 10.0°F 4 26   36 16   23 35   35 23   24
01-17-19 35 ↓ 34.4 °F 40 24 27.8°F 30 29 ↓ 30.4 °F 36 11 8.7°F 11 16 20.3 °F 16 2 10.0°F 4 19   33 13   23
01-16-19 29 ↓ 29.8 °F 36 23 23.0°F 27 35 ↓ 34.4 °F 40 21 27.8°F 22 29 30.4 °F 30 12 8.7°F 13 13 20.3 °F 19 -3 10.0°F 9
01-15-19 38 ↓ 33.4 °F 53 21 27.5°F 23 30 ↓ 29.8 °F 40 22 23.0°F 29 35 34.4 °F 43 19 27.8°F 27 25 30.4 °F 31 8 8.7°F 10
01-14-19 36 ↓ 33.3 °F 52 22 30.8°F 24 40 ↓ 33.4 °F 53 21 27.5°F 19 30 29.8 °F 39 21 23.0°F 26 36 34.4 °F 37 19 27.8°F 18
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 2 0 3 0 1 0 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 2
% Succ 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 60.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 75.0   25.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   66.7 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 1.9   9.4 4.1   4.0 2.4   9.1 4.1   5.7 1.6   5.6 5.5   3.5 4.8   1.5 7.5   4.0
Net Error 0.9   9.4 -3.6   -1.1 0.5   7.3 -3.2   -2.4 -1.2   3.3 -3.9   0.1 -3.7   0.6 -7.5   -3.2
Std Dev 1.6   7.0 2.8   1.9 1.8   6.5 3.0   3.9 1.9   4.9 4.9   3.3 4.8   1.5 7.5   4.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-19-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-19-19 17 ↓   19 6   3 26 ↓   31 15   28 34   37 26   24 28   26 14   11
01-18-19 29 ↓ 30.4 °F 31 10 ↑ 8.7°F 8 17 ↓   16 6   3 26   31 16   22 35   28 23   21
01-17-19 34 ↓ 34.4 °F 38 24 27.8°F 28 29 ↓ 30.4 °F 32 11 8.7°F 13 16   14 2   1 19   30 13   25
01-16-19 29 ↓ 29.8 °F 32 23 23.0°F 25 35 ↓ 34.4 °F 39 21 27.8°F 28 29 30.4 °F 36 12 8.7°F 12 13   20 -3   10
01-15-19 38 ↓ 33.4 °F 47 21 27.5°F 21 30 ↓ 29.8 °F 35 22 23.0°F 27 35 34.4 °F 42 19 27.8°F 25 25 30.4 °F 31 8 8.7°F 11
01-14-19 34 33.3 °F 53 22 30.7°F 25 40 ↓ 33.4 °F 53 21 27.5°F 19 30 29.8 °F 39 21 23.0°F 26 36 34.4 °F 37 19 27.8°F 19
01-13-19 31 ↓ 37.2 °F 41 21 27.3°F 20 37 ↓ 33.3 °F 49 22 30.7°F 23 41 33.4 °F 51 20 27.5°F 17 31 29.8 °F 38 18 23.0°F 23
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 2 3 3 1 1 1 3 0 1 0 2 1 1 1
% Succ 66.7   16.7 33.3   50.0 60.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.4   7.3 4.4   3.7 2.5   9.3 5.1   4.9 2.5   10.0 5.4   4.9 2.7   3.8 4.8   3.7
Net Error -0.6   7.3 -4.0   -3.0 1.9   9.3 -4.1   -1.5 1.8   10.0 -3.8   -1.8 -0.9   3.8 -4.8   -2.2
Std Dev 1.8   7.4 3.5   2.9 2.1   7.4 4.0   3.8 2.2   8.9 4.8   4.3 2.7   3.8 4.8   3.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-19-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-19-19 17 ↓   21 6   4 26 ↓   30 15   28 34   37 26   24 28   26 14   11
01-18-19 29 ↓ 30.4 °F 28 10 ↑ 8.7°F 8 17 ↓   17 6   4 26   34 16   22 35   30 23   23
01-17-19 34 ↓ 34.4 °F 35 24 27.8°F 27 29 ↓ 30.4 °F 31 11 8.7°F 13 16   14 2   1 19   30 13   25
01-16-19 29 ↓ 29.8 °F 29 23 23.0°F 24 35 ↓ 34.4 °F 38 21 27.8°F 27 29 30.4 °F 36 12 8.7°F 12 13   19 -3   10
01-15-19 38 ↓ 33.4 °F 38 21 27.5°F 17 30 ↓ 29.8 °F 32 22 23.0°F 25 35 34.4 °F 38 19 27.8°F 22 25 30.4 °F 30 8 8.7°F 11
01-14-19 35 ↓ 33.3 °F 44 22 30.7°F 23 40 ↓ 33.4 °F 53 21 27.5°F 21 30 29.8 °F 41 21 23.0°F 26 36 34.4 °F 39 19 27.8°F 20
01-13-19 31 ↓ 37.2 °F 39 21 27.3°F 20 37 ↓ 33.3 °F 49 22 30.7°F 23 41 33.4 °F 50 20 27.5°F 17 31 29.8 °F 38 18 23.0°F 23
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 3 2 3 3 1 1 2 3 0 1 0 2 1 1 1
% Succ 66.7   50.0 33.3   50.0 60.0   20.0 20.0   40.0 75.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.5   3.5 4.4   4.7 2.5   8.3 5.1   4.3 2.5   9.3 5.4   5.7 2.7   4.4 4.8   3.4
Net Error -0.4   2.4 -4.0   -4.3 1.9   8.3 -4.1   -1.7 1.8   9.3 -3.8   -2.5 -0.9   4.1 -4.8   -1.8
Std Dev 1.8   3.7 3.5   4.3 2.1   7.2 4.0   3.3 2.2   8.2 4.8   5.0 2.7   4.4 4.8   3.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-19-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-19-19 17 ↓   4 6   30 20 ↓   26 12   36 31   24 27   26 30   10 14   38
01-18-19 29 ↓ 8.7°F 7 10 30.4 °F 18 17 ↓   4 7   35 26   23 17   31 35   24 25   26
01-17-19 34 ↓ 27.8°F 24 23 34.4 °F 32 30 ↓ 8.7°F 10 10 30.4 °F 18 16   5 4   34 23   25 16   42
01-16-19 29 ↓ 23.0°F 21 23 29.8 °F 38 37 ↓ 27.8°F 25 22 34.4 °F 31 29 8.7°F 15 12 30.4 °F 18 15   6 1   29
01-15-19 38 ↓ 33.4 °F 14 19 ↑ 27.5°F 32 29 23.0°F 26 22 29.8 °F 40 35 27.8°F 18 20 34.4 °F 27 28 8.7°F 9 9 30.4 °F 11
01-14-19 34 30.7°F 21 25 33.3 °F 52 37 ↓ 33.4 °F 22 20 27.5°F 41 29 23.0°F 28 21 29.8 °F 41 35 27.8°F 23 18 34.4 °F 36
01-13-19 33 ↓ 27.3°F 18 26 37.2 °F 49 36 ↓ 30.7°F 22 21 33.3 °F 52 42 33.4 °F 18 20 27.5°F 40 29 23.0°F 23 20 29.8 °F 43
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1
% Succ     33.3     0.0     20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     66.7     33.3
Ave Error 7.7   7.7 11.1   9.7 9.1   5.4 12.1   11.6 10.5   9.1 12.3   10.9 10.8   1.7 15.9   11.4
Net Error 7.7   -7.7 -11.1   4.7 9.1   -3.7 -12.1   5.3 10.5   -3.5 -12.3   1.0 10.8   -1.5 -15.9   -1.5
Std Dev 6.5   6.9 6.4   6.6 8.0   4.2 8.7   8.3 10.3   8.0 11.1   9.4 10.8   1.7 15.9   11.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-19-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-19-19 6   5 20 ↓   31 12   26 31   36 27   24 30   26 14   9 31   38
01-18-19 10 8.7°F 10 17 ↓ 30.4 °F 20 7   5 26   35 17   23 35   32 25   24 26   26
01-17-19 23 27.8°F 24 30 ↓ 34.4 °F 32 10 ↑ 8.7°F 10 16 30.4 °F 18 4   5 23   34 16   25 33   42
01-16-19 23 23.0°F 21 37 ↓ 29.8 °F 38 22 27.8°F 25 29 34.4 °F 31 12 8.7°F 15 15 30.4 °F 18 1   6 16   29
01-15-19 19 ↑ 27.5°F 15 29 33.4 °F 33 22 23.0°F 27 35 29.8 °F 40 20 27.8°F 18 28 34.4 °F 27 9 8.7°F 9 10 30.4 °F 10
01-14-19 25 30.7°F 21 37 ↓ 33.3 °F 52 20 27.5°F 22 29 33.4 °F 41 21 23.0°F 28 35 29.8 °F 41 18 27.8°F 23 25 34.4 °F 36
01-13-19 26 27.3°F 18 36 ↓ 37.2 °F 49 21 30.7°F 22 42 33.3 °F 52 20 27.5°F 18 29 33.4 °F 40 20 23.0°F 23 39 29.8 °F 43
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 1
% Succ 50.0   33.3 16.7   16.7 40.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   66.7     33.3
Ave Error 3.6   6.4 5.7   8.7 5.1   4.5 7.6   10.5 5.2   7.7 7.9   9.4 4.4   1.7 13.0   11.7
Net Error -3.2   -6.0 -2.1   4.3 -4.5   -2.3 -2.1   4.1 -3.5   -2.0 -5.3   -0.5 -4.2   -1.5 -6.9   -1.9
Std Dev 3.2   4.9 4.1   6.9 4.1   3.2 5.9   7.4 4.6   6.7 7.8   8.3 4.4   1.7 13.0   11.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-19-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-19-19 6   7 20 ↓   27 12   22 31   33 27   30 30   34 14   9 31   33
01-18-19 10 10.4°F 8 17 ↓ 30.4 °F 18 7   2 26   32 17   22 35   32 25   24 26   28
01-17-19 26 15.5°F 25 30 ↓ 34.4 °F 32 10 ↑ 10.4°F 10 16 30.4 °F 19 4   5 23   37 16   25 33   40
01-16-19 23 29.2°F 22 37 ↓ 29.8 °F 37 22 15.5°F 25 29 34.4 °F 34 12 10.4°F 10 15 30.4 °F 17 1   2 16   31
01-15-19 19 ↑ 23.0°F 18 29 33.4 °F 34 22 29.2°F 26 35 29.8 °F 36 20 15.5°F 18 28 34.4 °F 28 9 10.4°F 12 10 30.4 °F 16
01-14-19 25 28.5°F 26 37 ↓ 33.3 °F 51 20 23.0°F 22 29 33.4 °F 40 21 29.2°F 26 35 29.8 °F 38 18 15.5°F 21 25 34.4 °F 28
01-13-19 23 ↑ 33.1°F 21 36 ↓ 37.2 °F 50 21 28.5°F 24 42 33.3 °F 52 20 23.0°F 18 29 33.4 °F 40 20 29.2°F 24 39 29.8 °F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 16.7   16.7 20.0   40.0     20.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 5.8   6.5 5.7   8.9 4.9   3.7 7.6   8.7 4.3   2.8 7.9   8.7 4.4   4.1 13.0   10.7
Net Error -2.3   -3.3 -2.1   3.9 -2.3   0.1 -2.1   3.9 -1.3   -1.5 -5.3   -1.3 -2.7   0.6 -6.9   -3.2
Std Dev 3.9   3.8 4.1   6.9 3.9   3.8 5.9   6.8 4.0   2.7 7.8   7.9 4.4   4.1 13.0   10.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.