SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

75°F

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 17-May-2022 10:05 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

106°F at El Centro Naf, CA

Low Temp

27°F at Leadville, CO

Precipitation

1.92in at Beaufort Michael J Smith Field, NC

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Monday,
May 16, 2022

High Temp

91°F at Imperial Municipal Ap, NE
91°F at Ogallala Searle Field Ap, NE

Low Temp

36°F at Chadron Municipal Ap, NE

Precipitation

0.29in at Thedford Thomas County Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 17-May-2022 08:00 am

Today

Thunder storm
High: 79°

Tonight

Thunder storm
Low: 62°

Wednesday

Fog a.m.
High: 78°

Wednesday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 61°

Thursday

Partly Cloudy
High: 81°

Thursday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 60°

Friday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 67°

Friday
night

Overcast
Low: 47°

Saturday

Rain likely
High: 49°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 17-May-2022 9:01am CDT

Today

Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 81 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms

Lo 61 °F ↑

Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 80 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 58 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 88 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 55 °F

Friday

Friday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny

Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny

Hi 67 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers

Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 44 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny

Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny

Hi 63 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-17-22 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-17-22	61		64	79		79	61		63	79		79	57		64	87		82	55		59	67		66
05-16-22	49 ↑	68.0°F	49	81	85.1 °F	81	58 ↑		58	80		77	60		61	79		78	58		59	86		84
05-15-22	56 ↑	53.1°F	54	70	76.6 °F	66	50 ↑	68.0°F	51	80	85.1 °F	78	59		59	78		71	61		63	78		77
05-14-22	54 ↑	56.9°F	57	84	90.6 °F	85	56 ↑	53.1°F	56	73	76.6 °F	68	51	68.0°F	54	81	85.1 °F	78	58		59	76		71
05-13-22	59	56.9°F	62	81	85.2 °F	82	55	56.9°F	58	83	90.6 °F	84	55	53.1°F	58	78	76.6 °F	72	53	68.0°F	55	81	85.1 °F	82
05-12-22	72	61.9°F	92	93	95.7 °F	69	60 ↑	56.9°F	91	81	85.2 °F	61	56	56.9°F	84	83	90.6 °F	59	56	53.1°F	86	78	76.6 °F	58
05-11-22	64	94.7 °F	65	93	77.3°F	93	71	61.9°F	72	94	95.7 °F	94	62	56.9°F	64	80	85.2 °F	86	57	56.9°F	59	79	90.6 °F	88
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	0		0	1		1	1		1	2		0	1		1	1		0	1		0
% Succ			33.3			0.0	20.0		20.0	20.0		20.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	11.3		14.2	6.7		11.0	7.0		13.0	4.4		9.6	6.2		13.3	4.6		11.0	6.0		16.0	5.7		8.1
Net Error	-6.3		-2.1	-1.4		-5.8	-1.0		6.2	-4.4		-9.6	-2.7		6.3	-3.9		-10.6	-4.0		7.3	-4.8		-8.1
Std Dev	8.3		12.5	3.5		9.2	7.2		11.0	3.2		6.4	7.6		11.5	4.0		9.7	6.0		16.0	5.7		8.1

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-17-22 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-17-22	60 ↑		80	81		65	61 ↑		80	80		64	58		82	88		59	55		66	67		48
05-16-22	49 ↑	65.1°F	81	82	85.1 °F	59	61		76	79		61	61		78	79		59	58		84	86		63
05-15-22	56	49.9°F	67	70	76.6 °F	50	50	65.1°F	78	80	85.1 °F	58	58		72	78		62	60		77	78		59
05-14-22	54	56.9°F	84	85	90.6 °F	55	56 ↑	49.9°F	68	70	76.6 °F	53	50	65.1°F	78	81	85.1 °F	58	59		71	78		61
05-13-22	59 ↑	54.9°F	80	81	85.2 °F	55	52	56.9°F	83	84	90.6 °F	57	56	49.9°F	72	75	76.6 °F	54	52	65.1°F	82	80	85.1 °F	61
05-12-22	72 ↑	58.5°F	92	94	95.7 °F	69	60 ↑	54.9°F	91	82	85.2 °F	61	55	56.9°F	84	84	90.6 °F	59	57	49.9°F	86	78	76.6 °F	58
05-11-22	65 ↑	94.7 °F	93	93	74.3°F	69	71 ↑	58.5°F	92	94	95.7 °F	63	61	54.9°F	85	81	85.2 °F	59	56	56.9°F	88	81	90.6 °F	58
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		1	1		0	0		0	1		0	1		0	1		0	1		0	1		0
% Succ			16.7	16.7		0.0			0.0	20.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	12.1		20.1	6.7		25.1	8.7		25.3	4.6		28.2	7.3		23.1	4.1		26.9	7.0		28.0	5.4		25.1
Net Error	-4.2		19.5	-0.4		-25.1	0.7		25.3	-4.6		-28.2	-1.2		23.1	-4.1		-26.9	-2.3		28.0	-4.4		-25.1
Std Dev	7.6		10.7	3.8		11.3	6.6		17.3	3.2		18.1	7.4		20.6	3.6		23.3	7.0		28.0	5.4		25.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-17-22 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-17-22	81		79	61 ↑		62	80		78	58		61	88		81	55		60	67		67	44		47
05-16-22	82	85.1 °F	79	61	65.1°F	61	79		78	61		61	79		73	58		58	86		80	55		65
05-15-22	70	76.6 °F	71	50	49.1°F	50	80	85.1 °F	77	58	65.1°F	57	78		72	60		61	78		74	60		58
05-14-22	85	90.6 °F	85	56 ↑	55.9°F	57	70	76.6 °F	67	50	49.1°F	53	81	85.1 °F	78	59	65.1°F	60	78		73	59		64
05-13-22	81	85.2 °F	76	52	54.9°F	54	84	90.6 °F	83	56	55.9°F	55	75	76.6 °F	73	52	49.1°F	52	80	85.1 °F	80	58	65.1°F	58
05-12-22	94	95.7 °F	93	60 ↑	57.0°F	66	82 ↓	85.2 °F	83	55	54.9°F	61	84	90.6 °F	86	57	55.9°F	55	78	76.6 °F	77	53	49.1°F	53
05-11-22	93	94.7 °F	92	71 ↑	73.0°F	69	94	95.7 °F	91	61	57.0°F	61	81	85.2 °F	84	56	54.9°F	59	81	90.6 °F	86	54	55.9°F	58
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	3		3	1		0	3		1	1		1	2		1	1		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		0.0	50.0		50.0	20.0		0.0	60.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	3.8		5.3	2.2		3.3	4.6		6.4	2.4		4.6	4.1		4.1	2.8		3.3	5.4		3.4	4.3		4.4
Net Error	-3.8		-5.3	-0.8		0.3	-4.6		-6.4	-0.4		1.0	-4.1		-4.1	-0.2		0.3	-4.4		-3.1	-1.7		-0.4
Std Dev	2.3		2.9	1.6		3.2	3.2		4.4	2.9		3.7	3.6		3.9	2.9		3.0	5.4		3.4	4.3		4.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-16-22 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-16-22	<95		83	70		62	<95		83	60		63	80		74	55		59	80		81	<55		65
05-15-22	70	76.6 °F	75	50	49.1°F	49	80		79	58		57	78		72	60		61	78		75	60		58
05-14-22	85	90.6 °F	88	56 ↑	55.9°F	58	70	76.6 °F	68	50	49.1°F	52	81		78	59		60	78		73	59		64
05-13-22	81	85.2 °F	82	52	54.9°F	57	84	90.6 °F	85	56	55.9°F	57	75	76.6 °F	73	52	49.1°F	52	80		80	58		58
05-12-22	94	95.7 °F	91	60 ↑	57.0°F	65	82 ↓	85.2 °F	82	55	54.9°F	60	84	90.6 °F	83	57	55.9°F	54	78	76.6 °F	76	53	49.1°F	53
05-11-22	93	94.7 °F	92	71 ↑	73.0°F	69	94	95.7 °F	91	61	57.0°F	61	81	85.2 °F	84	56	54.9°F	59	81	90.6 °F	86	54	55.9°F	58
05-10-22	82	89.4 °F	88	62 ↑	67.6°F	68	93	94.7 °F	92	71	73.0°F	70	91	95.7 °F	91	61	57.0°F	65	79	85.2 °F	85	57	54.9°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	3		2	2		0	4		1	1		1	2		1	1		2	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	50.0		33.3	40.0		0.0	80.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		66.7	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	4.5		2.7	2.4		2.8	4.0		5.0	1.4		3.2	4.3		4.3	2.3		4.2	5.7		1.8	2.6		4.0
Net Error	-4.5		-2.7	-1.1		1.4	-4.0		-5.0	0.6		2.0	-4.3		-4.3	2.3		3.3	-4.8		-1.8	1.4		4.0
Std Dev	2.6		1.5	1.5		2.7	3.0		3.6	1.2		2.4	3.9		3.7	2.0		3.7	5.7		1.8	2.6		4.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-16-22 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-16-22	82		83	61		61	79		75	61		62	79		74	58		57	86		82	55		63
05-15-22	73 ↓	76.6 °F	76	49	49.1°F	51	81		79	58		57	80		77	60		61	79		77	58		56
05-14-22	87 ↓	90.6 °F	90	56 ↑	55.9°F	60	70	76.6 °F	69	50	49.1°F	53	80		77	59		59	78		73	61		63
05-13-22	82	85.2 °F	84	54	54.9°F	58	84	90.6 °F	85	56	55.9°F	56	75	76.6 °F	69	52	49.1°F	54	80		80	58		62
05-12-22	94	95.7 °F	93	60 ↑	57.0°F	66	82 ↓	85.2 °F	83	55	54.9°F	61	84	90.6 °F	82	57	55.9°F	56	78	76.6 °F	75	53	49.1°F	54
05-11-22	93	94.7 °F	92	71 ↑	73.0°F	69	94	95.7 °F	91	61	57.0°F	61	81	85.2 °F	84	56	54.9°F	59	81	90.6 °F	86	54	55.9°F	58
05-10-22	82	89.4 °F	89	62 ↑	67.6°F	66	93	94.7 °F	90	71	73.0°F	69	93	95.7 °F	91	61	57.0°F	65	79	85.2 °F	84	57	54.9°F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	4		2	2		0	4		1	1		1	2		1	1		2	1		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7	66.7		33.3	40.0		0.0	80.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		66.7	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	3.5		1.4	2.0		4.0	4.0		5.0	1.4		3.6	3.8		5.5	2.3		4.3	5.7		2.5	2.6		4.7
Net Error	-3.5		-1.4	-0.9		2.1	-4.0		-5.0	0.6		2.0	-3.8		-5.5	2.3		4.3	-4.8		-2.5	1.4		4.7
Std Dev	1.8		1.1	1.5		2.8	3.0		3.6	1.2		3.0	3.4		4.9	2.0		3.7	5.7		2.5	2.6		4.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-16-22 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-16-22	82		62	61		76	79		62	61		75	79		58	57		82	87		63	55		69
05-15-22	74 ↓	76.6 °F	52	49 ↑	49.1°F	79	81		58	58		74	80		61	60		76	79		55	58		82
05-14-22	88 ↓	90.6 °F	61	56 ↑	55.9°F	68	70	76.6 °F	54	50	49.1°F	78	80		59	59		73	78		63	61		73
05-13-22	82	85.2 °F	59	54 ↑	54.9°F	86	84	90.6 °F	56	56	55.9°F	69	73	76.6 °F	54	51	49.1°F	80	81		61	58		76
05-12-22	94	95.7 °F	67	59 ↑	57.0°F	82	81	85.2 °F	60	55	54.9°F	82	83	90.6 °F	57	55	55.9°F	75	78	76.6 °F	54	53	49.1°F	78
05-11-22	93	94.7 °F	92	71	73.0°F	69	93	95.7 °F	91	60	57.0°F	61	81	85.2 °F	84	56	54.9°F	59	83	90.6 °F	86	56	55.9°F	58
05-10-22	84 ↓	89.4 °F	69	64	67.6°F	90	93	94.7 °F	70	71	73.0°F	91	94	95.7 °F	65	62	57.0°F	83	80	85.2 °F	62	57	54.9°F	86
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	5		0	1		0	4		0	1		1	3		0	1		0	1		0
% Succ	33.3		0.0	83.3		0.0	20.0		0.0	80.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	75.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	2.9		22.0	1.5		20.8	4.4		22.4	1.2		18.2	4.3		22.0	2.2		20.0	4.7		16.8	2.0		20.7
Net Error	-2.9		-22.0	-0.7		19.4	-4.4		-22.4	0.4		18.2	-4.3		-22.0	1.8		20.0	-3.8		-16.8	2.0		20.7
Std Dev	1.4		12.8	1.1		12.9	3.1		15.2	1.1		13.3	3.7		19.1	1.9		18.2	4.7		16.8	2.0		20.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-16-22 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-16-22	61		63	79		78	61		63	79		73	57		58	87		81	55		63	67		69
05-15-22	49 ↑	49.1°F	52	81	76.6 °F	79	58 ↑		59	80		78	60		62	79		77	58		60	86		84
05-14-22	56 ↑	55.9°F	60	70	90.6 °F	69	50 ↑	49.1°F	52	80	76.6 °F	77	59		57	78		69	61		62	78		73
05-13-22	54 ↑	54.9°F	60	84	85.2 °F	87	56 ↑	55.9°F	58	73	90.6 °F	71	51	49.1°F	56	81	76.6 °F	79	58		60	76		70
05-12-22	59 ↑	57.0°F	64	81	95.7 °F	80	55	54.9°F	59	83	85.2 °F	81	55	55.9°F	56	78	90.6 °F	70	53	49.1°F	52	81	76.6 °F	79
05-11-22	71	73.0°F	92	93	94.7 °F	69	60 ↑	57.0°F	91	81	95.7 °F	61	56	54.9°F	84	83	85.2 °F	59	56	55.9°F	86	78	90.6 °F	58
05-10-22	64	89.4 °F	69	93	67.6°F	91	71	73.0°F	69	94	94.7 °F	92	62	57.0°F	64	80	95.7 °F	84	57	54.9°F	60	79	85.2 °F	88
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		0	2		1	4		0	1		1	3		1	0		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ	83.3		0.0	33.3		16.7	80.0		0.0	20.0		20.0	75.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	5.1		9.8	11.3		15.1	1.2		9.4	7.7		12.3	2.2		10.8	8.7		15.2	2.0		12.7	7.7		12.6
Net Error	-4.4		3.0	-1.4		-5.9	0.4		7.8	-6.4		-12.2	1.8		10.8	-6.5		-14.0	2.0		12.7	-4.8		-9.1
Std Dev	4.3		6.9	8.8		11.0	1.1		7.8	7.3		10.6	1.9		9.5	7.9		14.7	2.0		12.7	7.7		12.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-16-22 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
05-16-22	61		64	79		79	61		64	79		76	57		60	87		81	55		63	67		69
05-15-22	49 ↑	70.9°F	52	81	76.6 °F	82	58 ↑		61	80		80	60		63	79		78	58		61	86		85
05-14-22	56 ↑	58.8°F	58	70	90.6 °F	68	50 ↑	70.9°F	52	80	76.6 °F	77	59		56	78		69	61		61	78		74
05-13-22	54 ↑	61.2°F	56	84	85.2 °F	86	56 ↑	58.8°F	57	73	90.6 °F	68	51	70.9°F	55	81	76.6 °F	79	58		59	76		69
05-12-22	59 ↑	61.5°F	62	81	95.7 °F	82	55	61.2°F	59	83	85.2 °F	82	55	58.8°F	56	78	90.6 °F	69	53	70.9°F	52	81	76.6 °F	79
05-11-22	71	64.3°F	92	93	94.7 °F	69	60 ↑	61.5°F	91	81	95.7 °F	61	56	61.2°F	84	83	85.2 °F	59	56	58.8°F	86	78	90.6 °F	58
05-10-22	64	89.4 °F	70	93	80.5°F	93	71	64.3°F	69	94	94.7 °F	92	62	61.5°F	64	80	95.7 °F	84	57	61.2°F	60	79	85.2 °F	89
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		2	2		1	1		1	1		1	1		0	0		0	0		1	0		0
% Succ			33.3	33.3		16.7	20.0		20.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	11.1		12.1	9.2		13.5	7.6		11.4	7.7		12.7	7.4		11.0	8.7		15.5	8.3		15.8	7.7		12.9
Net Error	-8.9		-2.7	-3.6		-7.2	-4.9		2.3	-6.4		-12.6	-7.1		1.7	-6.5		-14.3	-8.3		2.4	-4.8		-8.8
Std Dev	8.3		11.1	8.0		10.3	8.0		9.9	7.3		11.5	8.9		9.8	7.9		14.9	8.3		15.8	7.7		12.9

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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