Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 16-Dec-2017 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 31°
Saturday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 59°
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 30°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 51°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 25°
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 54°
Monday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 28°
Tuesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 52°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Cold!
Clear
Cold!
Low: 25°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 16-Dec-2017 4:00am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Clear
Clear

Lo 27 °F ↑
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 56 °F ↓
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 24 °F ↑
Sunday

Sunday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 41 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 24 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 53 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 29 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 51 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-16-17 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-16-17 26   31 54 ↓   59 28   30 42   51 25   25 52   54 28   28 51   52
12-15-17 27 40.7°F 26 49 ↓ 49.6 °F 46 29   26 54   54 28   28 42   47 24   27 48   50
12-14-17 29 34.9°F 35 40 ↓ 42.3 °F 41 24 40.7°F 24 46 49.6 °F 45 28   25 52   56 27   23 42   50
12-13-17 33 ↑ 37.9°F 38 51 ↓ 54.9 °F 56 27 34.9°F 32 40 42.3 °F 41 24 40.7°F 22 45 49.6 °F 47 28   30 50   53
12-12-17 23 38.4°F 20 49 ↓ 48.5 °F 50 30 37.9°F 34 52 54.9 °F 55 30 34.9°F 34 41 42.3 °F 40 23 40.7°F 25 48 49.6 °F 44
12-11-17 31 24.8°F 33 47 ↓ 51.4 °F 56 25 38.4°F 24 46 48.5 °F 50 27 37.9°F 29 51 54.9 °F 55 29 34.9°F 31 42 42.3 °F 43
12-10-17 27 ↑ 32.9°F 33 58 ↓ 58.8 °F 58 31 ↑ 24.8°F 34 50 51.4 °F 56 27 38.4°F 25 44 48.5 °F 51 26 37.9°F 27 51 54.9 °F 53
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 3 4 0 0 1 3 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2
% Succ     50.0 50.0   66.7     0.0 20.0   60.0     25.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 8.7   6.9 2.1   2.2 10.4   9.4 2.5   2.4 11.0   10.5 3.6   1.9 11.8   10.2 1.9   2.7
Net Error -6.6   -4.1 -1.9   0.3 -7.9   -5.7 -2.5   0.1 -11.0   -10.5 -3.6   -0.6 -11.8   -10.2 -1.9   -2.3
Std Dev 5.4   7.5 1.7   1.6 7.3   7.8 1.7   2.1 9.9   10.0 3.1   1.7 11.8   10.2 1.9   2.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-15-17 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-15-17 27   45 49 ↓   25 27   55 54   28 27   46 42   26 24   53 50   26
12-14-17 29 42.3 °F 42 41 ↓ 33.0°F 23 24   45 50   29 28   58 54   28 27   48 42   22
12-13-17 33 ↑ 54.9 °F 56 53 ↓ 37.0°F 38 29 42.3 °F 44 39 33.0°F 25 24   49 46   30 28   56 50   27
12-12-17 23 48.5 °F 50 49 ↓ 38.4°F 37 31 54.9 °F 55 51 37.0°F 37 29 42.3 °F 43 42 33.0°F 26 24   47 46   33
12-11-17 33 ↑ 51.4 °F 52 48 ↓ 20.8°F 25 25 48.5 °F 50 46 38.4°F 30 28 54.9 °F 53 52 37.0°F 33 30 42.3 °F 44 42 33.0°F 25
12-10-17 27 ↑ 58.8 °F 60 55 ↓ 32.9°F 33 30 51.4 °F 55 49 20.8°F 30 26 48.5 °F 51 45 38.4°F 30 26 54.9 °F 57 50 37.0°F 37
12-09-17 24 ↑ 42.1 °F 47 39 ↓ 30.2°F 32 26 ↑ 58.8 °F 60 56 32.9°F 33 32 51.4 °F 51 50 20.8°F 23 26 48.5 °F 44 43 38.4°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 5 0 4 0 4 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1
% Succ     83.3     66.7     80.0     40.0     75.0     0.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 21.5   1.6 15.5   3.1 23.0   1.6 15.8   5.1 20.5   1.4 15.0   5.4 21.2   2.8 8.9   7.1
Net Error -21.5   1.5 15.5   -0.7 -23.0   1.6 15.8   -1.4 -20.5   0.2 15.0   -4.3 -21.2   -0.2 8.9   -7.1
Std Dev 10.5   1.0 9.1   3.5 15.2   1.2 11.5   4.4 18.1   1.2 13.3   4.7 21.2   2.8 8.9   7.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-15-17 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-15-17 49 ↓   49 27   28 54 ↓   56 27   29 42   47 24   26 50   53 26   26
12-14-17 41 ↓ 42.3 °F 43 24 28.7°F 24 50 ↓   45 28   29 54   58 27   28 42   48 23   23
12-13-17 53 ↓ 54.9 °F 57 29 36.5°F 35 39 ↓ 42.3 °F 42 24 28.7°F 24 46   49 28   30 50   56 27   27
12-12-17 49 ↓ 48.5 °F 49 31 38.5°F 35 51 ↓ 54.9 °F 56 29 36.5°F 35 42 42.3 °F 41 24 28.7°F 26 46   46 28   32
12-11-17 49 ↓ 51.4 °F 57 25 19.8°F 26 46 ↓ 48.5 °F 51 28 38.5°F 30 52 54.9 °F 53 30 36.5°F 34 42 42.3 °F 44 24 28.7°F 25
12-10-17 55 ↓ 58.8 °F 59 30 32.9°F 33 49 ↓ 51.4 °F 55 26 19.8°F 30 45 48.5 °F 51 26 38.5°F 30 50 54.9 °F 57 28 36.5°F 37
12-09-17 39 ↓ 42.1 °F 48 26 ↑ 30.2°F 33 56 ↓ 58.8 °F 60 32 32.9°F 33 50 51.4 °F 51 26 19.8°F 23 43 48.5 °F 43 26 38.5°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 0 2 0 3 1 2 2 3 0 0 1 1 0 1
% Succ 50.0   50.0     33.3     60.0 20.0   40.0 50.0   75.0     0.0 33.3   33.3     33.3
Ave Error 2.2   2.5 5.3   3.1 3.0   1.7 6.0   5.0 2.0   1.5 7.5   4.2 3.6   3.1 8.6   5.9
Net Error -2.0   2.5 -3.6   -0.1 -3.0   1.6 -3.5   -0.9 -2.0   -0.3 -4.4   -2.6 -3.6   -0.6 -8.6   -5.6
Std Dev 1.4   2.2 2.7   2.4 1.9   1.4 4.4   3.9 2.0   1.3 6.6   3.7 3.6   3.1 8.6   5.9

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-15-17 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-15-17 49 ↓   49 27   28 54 ↓   56 27   29 42   50 24   26 50   54 26   27
12-14-17 41 ↓ 42.3 °F 43 24 28.7°F 25 50 ↓   50 28   30 54   58 27   28 42   49 23   33
12-13-17 53 ↓ 54.9 °F 55 29 36.5°F 33 39 ↓ 42.3 °F 41 24 28.7°F 25 46   49 28   27 50   55 27   27
12-12-17 49 ↓ 48.5 °F 47 31 38.5°F 33 51 ↓ 54.9 °F 55 29 36.5°F 32 42 42.3 °F 42 24 28.7°F 27 46   46 28   32
12-11-17 49 ↓ 51.4 °F 55 25 19.8°F 23 46 ↓ 48.5 °F 48 28 38.5°F 29 52 54.9 °F 53 30 36.5°F 32 42 42.3 °F 40 24 28.7°F 26
12-10-17 55 ↓ 58.8 °F 59 30 32.9°F 34 49 ↓ 51.4 °F 53 26 19.8°F 27 45 48.5 °F 45 26 38.5°F 26 50 54.9 °F 55 28 36.5°F 32
12-09-17 39 ↓ 42.1 °F 43 26 ↑ 30.2°F 30 56 ↓ 58.8 °F 59 32 32.9°F 34 50 51.4 °F 56 26 19.8°F 26 43 48.5 °F 44 26 38.5°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 0 2 0 5 1 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   83.3     33.3     100.0 20.0   20.0 50.0   50.0     25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.2   1.2 5.3   2.9 3.0   0.7 6.0   5.2 2.0   2.6 7.5   6.2 3.6   2.3 8.6   6.9
Net Error -2.0   0.7 -3.6   -1.4 -3.0   0.0 -3.5   -1.9 -2.0   -0.3 -4.4   -3.1 -3.6   -2.2 -8.6   -6.9
Std Dev 1.4   1.3 2.7   1.8 1.9   0.6 4.4   3.9 2.0   2.5 6.6   5.8 3.6   2.3 8.6   6.9

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-15-17 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-15-17 49 ↓   50 27   29 54 ↓   57 27   30 42   51 24   26 50   54 26   27
12-14-17 43 ↓ 42.3 °F 43 24 28.7°F 25 50 ↓   50 28   30 54   58 27   28 42   49 23   33
12-13-17 53 ↓ 54.9 °F 55 29 36.5°F 31 39 ↓ 42.3 °F 37 24 28.7°F 23 46   47 28   28 50   55 27   27
12-12-17 49 ↓ 48.5 °F 49 31 38.5°F 36 51 ↓ 54.9 °F 55 29 36.5°F 33 42 42.3 °F 42 24 28.7°F 27 46   46 28   32
12-11-17 49 ↓ 51.4 °F 49 25 19.8°F 20 46 ↓ 48.5 °F 46 28 38.5°F 28 52 54.9 °F 53 30 36.5°F 32 42 42.3 °F 40 24 28.7°F 26
12-10-17 56 ↓ 58.8 °F 58 31 32.9°F 33 47 ↓ 51.4 °F 51 25 19.8°F 21 46 48.5 °F 48 27 38.5°F 27 51 54.9 °F 56 29 36.5°F 33
12-09-17 39 ↓ 42.1 °F 42 26 ↑ 30.2°F 29 56 ↓ 58.8 °F 59 32 32.9°F 34 50 51.4 °F 56 26 19.8°F 26 43 48.5 °F 44 26 38.5°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 1 3 0 3 1 2 2 3 0 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   83.3 16.7   50.0     60.0 20.0   40.0 50.0   75.0     25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 1.9   0.8 5.2   2.2 3.4   1.7 5.8   4.4 1.8   1.8 7.2   6.0 3.2   2.6 8.2   6.6
Net Error -1.5   -0.3 -3.4   -2.1 -3.4   -1.6 -3.7   -3.5 -1.8   0.5 -4.1   -2.9 -3.2   -1.9 -8.2   -6.6
Std Dev 1.2   0.8 2.8   2.1 2.2   2.1 4.3   4.0 1.7   1.8 6.4   5.6 3.2   2.6 8.2   6.6

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-15-17 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-15-17 49 ↓   32 26   59 54 ↓   31 28   50 42   26 25   58 52   30 28   52
12-14-17 41 28.7°F 26 27 42.3 °F 47 49 ↓   28 29   57 54   28 28   49 42   32 24   52
12-13-17 53 ↓ 36.5°F 35 29 54.9 °F 42 40 ↓ 28.7°F 25 24 42.3 °F 45 46   28 28   56 52   27 27   49
12-12-17 49 ↓ 38.5°F 38 33 ↑ 48.5 °F 56 51 ↓ 36.5°F 35 27 54.9 °F 42 40 28.7°F 26 24 42.3 °F 48 45   32 28   58
12-11-17 49 ↓ 19.8°F 23 23 51.4 °F 49 48 ↓ 38.5°F 32 30 48.5 °F 51 52 36.5°F 28 30 54.9 °F 44 41 28.7°F 23 23 42.3 °F 42
12-10-17 56 ↓ 32.9°F 35 31 58.8 °F 51 47 ↓ 19.8°F 27 25 51.4 °F 46 46 38.5°F 28 27 48.5 °F 57 51 36.5°F 33 29 54.9 °F 41
12-09-17 40 ↓ 30.2°F 29 27 ↑ 42.1 °F 59 56 ↓ 32.9°F 36 31 58.8 °F 56 50 19.8°F 22 27 51.4 °F 48 44 38.5°F 27 26 48.5 °F 52
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ     50.0     0.0     20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 16.9   1.9 21.3   8.7 17.1   4.4 23.8   5.3 16.1   6.0 22.3   7.1 10.8   6.9 22.6   5.9
Net Error 16.9   -0.1 -21.3   1.0 17.1   -0.3 -23.8   -3.2 16.1   -4.9 -22.3   -0.0 10.8   -6.9 -22.6   -3.6
Std Dev 9.5   1.2 10.3   5.0 11.7   3.2 15.5   5.1 14.2   5.4 19.4   6.2 10.8   6.9 22.6   5.9

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-15-17 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-15-17 26   32 54 ↓   59 28   31 42   50 25   27 52   58 28   30 51   52
12-14-17 27 28.7°F 26 49 ↓ 42.3 °F 47 29   27 54   57 28   27 42   49 24   31 48   53
12-13-17 29 36.5°F 31 40 ↓ 54.9 °F 41 24 28.7°F 26 46 42.3 °F 49 28   28 52   56 27   27 42   49
12-12-17 33 ↑ 38.5°F 35 51 ↓ 48.5 °F 54 27 36.5°F 37 40 54.9 °F 44 24 28.7°F 27 45 42.3 °F 49 28   32 50   58
12-11-17 23 19.8°F 23 48 ↓ 51.4 °F 49 30 38.5°F 32 52 48.5 °F 51 30 36.5°F 28 41 54.9 °F 44 23 28.7°F 23 48 42.3 °F 42
12-10-17 31 32.9°F 33 47 ↓ 58.8 °F 51 25 19.8°F 26 46 51.4 °F 45 27 38.5°F 27 51 48.5 °F 57 29 36.5°F 33 42 54.9 °F 41
12-09-17 27 ↑ 30.2°F 26 56 ↓ 42.1 °F 57 31 ↑ 32.9°F 35 50 58.8 °F 55 27 19.8°F 28 44 51.4 °F 47 26 38.5°F 26 51 48.5 °F 52
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7     0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 3.8   3.2 8.9   8.2 6.0   3.6 7.3   6.1 7.5   7.5 6.6   7.6 8.6   7.2 7.0   5.9
Net Error -2.8   -2.1 -1.2   0.2 -3.9   -0.1 -4.4   -2.4 -3.9   -3.4 -4.0   -0.0 -8.6   -7.2 -1.6   -3.6
Std Dev 2.6   2.1 5.8   5.1 4.3   3.0 6.2   4.7 6.6   7.1 6.1   6.6 8.6   7.2 7.0   5.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-15-17 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-15-17 26   31 54 ↓   58 28   30 42   51 25   25 52   54 28   28 51   52
12-14-17 27 43.2°F 25 49 ↓ 42.3 °F 46 29   26 54   55 28   28 42   47 24   27 48   51
12-13-17 29 36.5°F 34 40 ↓ 54.9 °F 41 24 43.2°F 24 46 42.3 °F 49 28   27 52   58 27   24 42   50
12-12-17 33 ↑ 38.2°F 35 51 ↓ 48.5 °F 56 27 36.5°F 32 40 54.9 °F 41 24 43.2°F 22 45 42.3 °F 47 28   30 50   53
12-11-17 23 38.4°F 23 48 ↓ 51.4 °F 50 30 38.2°F 33 52 48.5 °F 55 30 36.5°F 34 41 54.9 °F 40 23 43.2°F 25 48 42.3 °F 44
12-10-17 31 31.7°F 31 47 ↓ 58.8 °F 53 25 38.4°F 30 46 51.4 °F 51 27 38.2°F 29 51 48.5 °F 56 29 36.5°F 32 42 54.9 °F 43
12-09-17 27 ↑ 32.9°F 30 58 ↓ 42.1 °F 59 31 ↑ 31.7°F 34 50 58.8 °F 56 27 38.4°F 26 44 51.4 °F 51 26 38.2°F 27 51 48.5 °F 54
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7     16.7 20.0   0.0     20.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 8.5   7.2 9.2   8.2 10.2   7.9 7.3   6.1 12.1   11.3 6.6   6.9 13.3   11.3 7.0   6.4
Net Error -8.5   -7.2 -0.8   1.2 -10.2   -7.0 -4.4   -0.8 -12.1   -11.3 -4.0   -0.8 -13.3   -11.3 -1.6   -1.6
Std Dev 6.5   7.3 5.9   5.4 7.7   7.4 6.2   5.2 11.0   11.0 6.1   6.1 13.3   11.3 7.0   6.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.