Current WXSIM Forecast

Thursday, 24-May-2018 05:00 am

Today

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 82°
Tonight

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 66°
Friday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 91°
Friday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 65°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 92°
Saturday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 68°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 92°
Sunday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 71°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 90°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 24-May-2018 6:01am CDT

Today

Today: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 89 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 65 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny
Chance Showers And TStorms then Mostly Sunny

Hi 91 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 64 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 94 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 66 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 92 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 68 °F
Memorial
Day
Memorial Day: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 91 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-24-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-24-18 67 ↑   66 88   82 65   66 91   90 64   65 94   92 66   68 92   91
05-23-18 65 73.8°F 68 90 93.1 °F 91 69   68 89   89 66   67 91   91 65   68 91   95
05-22-18 60 73.5°F 60 86 91.0 °F 81 65 73.8°F 63 89 93.1 °F 82 66   65 88   85 67   66 88   87
05-21-18 52 66.4°F 51 76 80.9 °F 77 59 73.5°F 56 85 91.0 °F 85 65 73.8°F 65 86 93.1 °F 85 65   69 87   90
05-20-18 54 54.3°F 53 64 57.7 °F 68 48 66.4°F 49 77 80.9 °F 79 60 73.5°F 53 86 91.0 °F 81 64 73.8°F 60 85 93.1 °F 83
05-19-18 62 54.8°F 56 73 ↓ 67.3 °F 62 57 54.3°F 50 67 57.7 °F 58 52 66.4°F 47 77 80.9 °F 76 59 73.5°F 57 84 91.0 °F 78
05-18-18 60 62.2°F 64 84 81.5 °F 86 62 54.8°F 62 79 67.3 °F 72 59 54.3°F 62 70 57.7 °F 65 53 66.4°F 59 78 80.9 °F 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   50.0     0.0     0.0     40.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.7   6.5 4.6   6.0 10.3   11.4 7.0   4.8 10.4   14.1 7.1   7.6 12.6   12.6 6.0   8.7
Net Error -5.3   -5.5 0.3   -1.1 -6.4   -8.6 1.4   -2.8 -8.0   -10.3 -0.9   -3.9 -12.6   -12.6 -6.0   -8.7
Std Dev 5.7   6.1 2.1   3.9 7.7   8.2 4.8   4.4 9.0   12.5 6.1   6.6 12.6   12.6 6.0   8.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-24-18 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-24-18 67 ↑   82 89   66 65   91 91   65 64   92 94   68 66   92 92   71
05-23-18 65 93.1 °F 92 90 69.7°F 69 69   90 89   68 66   93 91   69 65   96 91   68
05-22-18 60 ↑ 91.0 °F 82 87 69.8°F 64 65 93.1 °F 84 89 69.7°F 67 66   87 88   67 67   88 88   68
05-21-18 52 80.9 °F 78 76 65.1°F 58 59 91.0 °F 84 85 69.8°F 67 65 93.1 °F 86 86 69.7°F 69 65   91 87   67
05-20-18 54 57.7 °F 64 64 53.9°F 51 48 80.9 °F 78 77 65.1°F 55 60 91.0 °F 81 86 69.8°F 61 64 93.1 °F 83 85 69.7°F 64
05-19-18 62 ↑ 67.3 °F 63 71 ↓ 54.8°F 54 54 57.7 °F 61 64 53.9°F 50 50 80.9 °F 76 75 65.1°F 57 58 91.0 °F 77 84 69.8°F 63
05-18-18 60 81.5 °F 84 84 62.2°F 60 62 67.3 °F 71 79 54.8°F 60 59 57.7 °F 64 70 53.9°F 58 53 80.9 °F 77 78 65.1°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7     33.3     0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 19.8   4.4 16.1   3.3 20.4   5.2 16.1   4.9 22.8   7.1 14.6   5.4 30.0   9.3 14.1   5.2
Net Error -19.8   -1.4 16.1   -3.3 -20.4   -2.4 16.1   -2.9 -22.2   -3.9 14.6   -3.4 -30.0   -9.3 14.1   -5.2
Std Dev 13.8   3.1 7.5   2.7 15.4   3.9 10.5   4.1 19.9   6.1 12.7   5.3 30.0   9.3 14.1   5.2

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-23-18 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-23-18 90   87 68   65 89   84 66   69 90   94 65   67 91   96 66   68
05-22-18 87 91.0 °F 80 65 69.5°F 63 89   87 66   67 88   87 67   67 88   94 65   68
05-21-18 76 80.9 °F 75 59 65.0°F 53 85 91.0 °F 80 65 69.5°F 59 86   83 65   68 87   88 66   66
05-20-18 64 57.7 °F 63 48 53.8°F 49 77 80.9 °F 77 60 65.0°F 57 86 91.0 °F 79 64 69.5°F 64 85   83 65   66
05-19-18 71 ↓ 67.3 °F 65 54 54.8°F 52 64 57.7 °F 62 50 53.8°F 47 75 80.9 °F 77 58 65.0°F 56 84 91.0 °F 77 63 69.5°F 61
05-18-18 84 81.5 °F 79 62 60.9°F 58 79 ↓ 67.3 °F 70 59 54.8°F 55 70 57.7 °F 61 53 53.8°F 47 78 80.9 °F 75 58 65.0°F 60
05-17-18 84 87.1 °F 81 61 59.4°F 58 84 81.5 °F 81 61 60.9°F 59 79 67.3 °F 73 55 54.8°F 63 72 57.7 °F 77 52 53.8°F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 3 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 50.0   16.7     20.0 20.0   40.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.1   5.5 3.3   5.1 6.1   4.5 3.5   5.5 8.7   6.2 3.4   7.4 8.1   13.1 5.1   5.9
Net Error 0.1   -3.8 -2.4   -5.1 2.1   -1.7 -1.8   -5.4 3.3   -1.7 -3.3   -3.3 1.5   -0.2 -5.1   -3.1
Std Dev 2.0   3.7 2.5   3.8 4.0   4.1 2.4   4.3 7.8   6.1 3.1   6.5 8.1   13.1 5.1   5.9

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-23-18 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-23-18 90   89 68   68 89   85 66   69 90   91 65   68 91   94 66   68
05-22-18 87 91.0 °F 82 65 69.5°F 65 89   88 66   68 88   88 67   68 88   93 65   68
05-21-18 76 80.9 °F 74 59 65.0°F 54 85 91.0 °F 79 65 69.5°F 59 86   83 65   68 87   87 66   66
05-20-18 60 57.7 °F 63 48 53.8°F 48 77 80.9 °F 77 60 65.0°F 56 86 91.0 °F 79 64 69.5°F 65 85   83 65   66
05-19-18 71 ↓ 67.3 °F 67 54 54.8°F 53 64 57.7 °F 65 50 53.8°F 50 75 80.9 °F 78 58 65.0°F 57 84 91.0 °F 77 63 69.5°F 61
05-18-18 84 81.5 °F 86 62 59.5°F 65 79 ↓ 67.3 °F 74 59 54.8°F 59 70 57.7 °F 64 53 53.8°F 50 78 80.9 °F 76 58 65.0°F 60
05-17-18 84 87.1 °F 84 61 59.4°F 61 84 81.5 °F 83 61 59.5°F 61 79 67.3 °F 79 55 54.8°F 66 72 57.7 °F 80 52 53.8°F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ     16.7 33.3   33.3     20.0 20.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.4   4.9 3.5   5.0 6.1   6.3 3.8   5.8 8.7   8.2 3.4   6.9 8.1   13.7 5.1   6.6
Net Error -0.6   -1.6 -2.2   -2.7 2.1   -0.1 -1.5   -3.5 3.3   0.8 -3.3   -1.3 1.5   1.1 -5.1   -2.4
Std Dev 1.7   3.3 2.4   3.5 4.0   4.9 2.5   4.6 7.8   7.4 3.1   6.1 8.1   13.7 5.1   6.6

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-23-18 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-23-18 91 ↓   93 68   70 89   86 66   68 90   93 65   70 91   94 66   69
05-22-18 87 91.0 °F 87 65 69.5°F 67 89   90 66   69 88   90 67   68 88   90 65   70
05-21-18 76 80.9 °F 77 60 65.0°F 59 86 91.0 °F 80 65 69.5°F 63 88   83 66   68 88   87 66   67
05-20-18 60 57.7 °F 61 48 53.8°F 47 77 80.9 °F 77 60 65.0°F 55 86 91.0 °F 82 64 69.5°F 65 85   83 65   68
05-19-18 66 67.3 °F 69 54 54.8°F 54 64 57.7 °F 65 50 53.8°F 48 75 80.9 °F 77 58 65.0°F 56 84 91.0 °F 72 63 69.5°F 62
05-18-18 83 81.5 °F 78 62 59.5°F 61 79 ↓ 67.3 °F 69 59 54.8°F 53 70 57.7 °F 61 53 53.8°F 49 78 80.9 °F 75 58 65.0°F 57
05-17-18 85 87.1 °F 87 61 59.4°F 65 84 81.5 °F 86 61 59.5°F 63 79 67.3 °F 75 55 54.8°F 63 72 57.7 °F 75 52 53.8°F 52
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1
% Succ 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3     20.0 20.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.7   2.8 3.4   3.9 5.9   5.7 3.8   5.5 8.7   6.0 3.4   6.6 8.1   14.1 5.1   5.8
Net Error -1.4   -1.1 -2.0   -1.5 2.3   -0.3 -1.5   -4.1 3.3   -0.5 -3.3   -2.5 1.5   -2.5 -5.1   -5.8
Std Dev 1.7   1.4 2.2   2.7 3.8   4.4 2.5   4.1 7.8   5.4 3.1   5.8 8.1   14.1 5.1   5.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-23-18 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-23-18 91 ↓   70 67   84 88   67 66   93 91   70 65   94 93   69 65   92
05-22-18 87 69.5°F 71 65 91.0 °F 90 89 ↓   69 66   91 89   68 66   90 89   70 65   95
05-21-18 74 65.0°F 63 60 80.9 °F 82 86 69.5°F 65 65 91.0 °F 84 88   68 66   87 88   68 66   89
05-20-18 58 53.8°F 47 52 57.7 °F 75 77 65.0°F 55 60 80.9 °F 81 86 69.5°F 65 64 91.0 °F 83 86   67 65   84
05-19-18 65 54.8°F 53 54 67.3 °F 63 64 53.8°F 48 50 57.7 °F 77 77 65.0°F 55 59 80.9 °F 72 85 69.5°F 62 64 91.0 °F 76
05-18-18 81 ↓ 59.5°F 62 62 81.5 °F 69 73 ↓ 54.8°F 54 57 67.3 °F 62 67 53.8°F 50 52 57.7 °F 75 77 65.0°F 57 59 80.9 °F 75
05-17-18 85 59.4°F 65 60 87.1 °F 84 84 59.5°F 63 62 81.5 °F 74 79 54.8°F 63 57 67.3 °F 74 70 53.8°F 52 52 57.7 °F 75
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ     50.0     33.3     20.0     20.0     0.0     0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 14.7   3.4 18.8   6.6 16.3   4.9 16.9   7.8 16.5   6.6 16.2   10.2 14.6   5.8 18.2   12.7
Net Error 14.7   -0.2 -18.8   -0.4 16.3   -3.5 -16.9   -0.1 16.5   -2.5 -16.2   1.8 14.6   -5.8 -18.2   -1.2
Std Dev 8.5   2.3 10.1   6.6 10.8   3.9 12.3   7.9 14.3   5.8 15.0   8.9 14.6   5.8 18.2   12.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-23-18 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-23-18 67   70 88   89 66   70 91   94 65   69 93   97 65   69 91   96
05-22-18 65 69.5°F 70 89 ↓ 91.0 °F 91 66   69 89   87 66   67 89   90 65   68 90   91
05-21-18 60 65.0°F 66 86 80.9 °F 87 65 69.5°F 70 88 91.0 °F 88 66   71 88   88 66   69 88   91
05-20-18 52 53.8°F 49 77 57.7 °F 76 60 65.0°F 55 86 80.9 °F 81 64 69.5°F 63 86 91.0 °F 80 65   66 87   84
05-19-18 54 54.8°F 51 64 67.3 °F 63 50 53.8°F 50 77 57.7 °F 77 59 65.0°F 54 85 80.9 °F 80 64 69.5°F 60 86 91.0 °F 79
05-18-18 62 59.5°F 58 73 ↓ 81.5 °F 66 57 54.8°F 54 67 67.3 °F 62 52 53.8°F 50 77 57.7 °F 73 59 65.0°F 59 84 80.9 °F 83
05-17-18 60 59.4°F 67 84 87.1 °F 86 62 59.5°F 62 79 81.5 °F 76 57 54.8°F 58 70 67.3 °F 65 52 53.8°F 53 75 57.7 °F 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 1 2 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   50.0 16.7   33.3     40.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0     25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.5   3.2 6.9   7.6 3.6   3.5 6.0   6.6 3.9   6.1 7.8   7.4 4.4   5.4 8.5   10.8
Net Error -1.5   -0.2 1.3   0.6 -1.7   -2.3 3.7   1.1 -2.8   -4.5 5.3   0.3 -4.4   -5.4 5.1   2.8
Std Dev 1.8   2.2 6.4   7.1 2.4   3.9 7.2   7.8 3.5   5.3 6.9   6.6 4.4   5.4 8.5   10.8

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 05-23-18 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-23-18 67   68 88   88 66   68 91   93 65   68 93   95 65   69 91   95
05-22-18 65 78.7°F 68 89 ↓ 91.0 °F 90 66   67 89   87 66   66 89   87 65   66 90   89
05-21-18 60 76.6°F 62 86 80.9 °F 84 65 78.7°F 67 88 91.0 °F 85 66   69 88   88 66   68 88   91
05-20-18 52 68.1°F 50 77 57.7 °F 76 60 76.6°F 55 86 80.9 °F 82 64 78.7°F 64 86 91.0 °F 81 65   67 87   84
05-19-18 54 54.6°F 52 64 67.3 °F 66 50 68.1°F 50 77 57.7 °F 78 59 76.6°F 55 85 80.9 °F 80 64 78.7°F 61 86 91.0 °F 79
05-18-18 62 56.2°F 56 73 ↓ 81.5 °F 66 57 54.6°F 56 67 67.3 °F 64 52 68.1°F 51 77 57.7 °F 73 59 76.6°F 59 84 80.9 °F 83
05-17-18 60 62.9°F 64 84 87.1 °F 85 62 56.2°F 60 79 81.5 °F 76 57 54.6°F 57 70 67.3 °F 64 52 68.1°F 52 75 57.7 °F 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   33.3 16.7   33.3     20.0 20.0   20.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 9.3   7.9 6.9   6.9 11.3   11.3 6.0   7.2 12.7   14.0 7.8   7.4 16.1   17.1 8.5   10.8
Net Error -7.4   -7.5 1.3   0.3 -8.0   -9.2 3.7   1.3 -11.5   -12.8 5.3   0.3 -16.1   -17.1 5.1   2.8
Std Dev 7.0   7.1 6.4   7.4 8.2   9.0 7.2   7.9 11.0   12.1 6.9   6.5 16.1   17.1 8.5   10.8

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.