Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 05-Dec-2020 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Clear
Clear
High: 54°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 30°
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 52°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 28°
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 59°
Monday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 29°
Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 60°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 34°
Wednesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 66°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 05-Dec-2020 12:07pm CST

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 51 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 49 °F ↓
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 28 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 53 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 28 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 58 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 35 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 64 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-05-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-05-20 28   28 50 ↓   53 26   27 48   51 28   28 51   57 28   29 54   62
12-04-20 27 30.0°F 26 50 ↓ 57.4 °F 54 27   27 46   56 27   27 47   53 25   27 45   56
12-03-20 26 27.6°F 23 43 ↓ 49.1 °F 45 27 30.0°F 24 49 57.4 °F 52 28   25 46   49 25   24 43   54
12-02-20 24 27.8°F 25 40 ↓ 44.6 °F 48 25 27.6°F 23 39 49.1 °F 49 25 30.0°F 25 48 57.4 °F 52 28   25 47   48
12-01-20 21 ↑ 29.3°F 23 47 ↓ 48.5 °F 51 25 27.8°F 25 39 44.6 °F 45 24 27.6°F 22 37 49.1 °F 43 23 30.0°F 22 46 57.4 °F 52
11-30-20 18 ↑ 27.0°F 18 43 ↓ 44.4 °F 42 20 ↑ 29.3°F 20 45 48.5 °F 51 25 27.8°F 26 38 44.6 °F 39 23 27.6°F 26 37 49.1 °F 40
11-29-20 32 24.0°F 33 41 ↓ 41.9 °F 48 19 27.0°F 22 41 44.4 °F 48 20 29.3°F 24 45 48.5 °F 55 25 27.8°F 34 39 44.6 °F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0     40.0     25.0     0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 5.6   6.0 3.7   3.7 5.1   5.5 6.2   2.4 5.2   4.4 7.9   5.9 4.8   5.3 9.7   6.7
Net Error -3.0   -3.0 -3.7   0.4 -5.1   -5.5 -6.2   0.2 -5.2   -4.4 -7.9   -2.7 -4.8   -1.1 -9.7   -6.7
Std Dev 3.6   3.2 2.7   1.7 3.7   3.7 4.4   2.4 4.5   3.8 6.9   5.1 4.8   5.3 9.7   6.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-05-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-05-20 25 ↑   57 51 ↓   30 27   53 49   30 28   59 53   30 28   64 58   35
12-04-20 23 ↑ 29.0°F 56 54 ↓ 57.4 °F 30 27   58 48   28 26   54 47   26 26   54 51   29
12-03-20 26 27.0°F 47 44 ↓ 49.1 °F 27 27 29.0°F 56 50 57.4 °F 28 27   54 47   28 26   54 46   25
12-02-20 24 25.1°F 48 43 ↓ 44.6 °F 23 24 27.0°F 47 42 49.1 °F 23 26 29.0°F 52 48 57.4 °F 29 27   56 47   29
12-01-20 21 ↑ 26.4°F 51 47 ↓ 48.5 °F 25 25 25.1°F 44 40 44.6 °F 21 24 27.0°F 43 38 49.1 °F 19 24 29.0°F 46 46 57.4 °F 21
11-30-20 18 25.4°F 44 44 ↓ 44.4 °F 21 22 26.4°F 51 46 48.5 °F 26 26 25.1°F 39 39 44.6 °F 27 24 27.0°F 39 37 49.1 °F 18
11-29-20 32 ↑ 21.1°F 48 41 ↓ 41.9 °F 23 19 25.4°F 46 42 44.4 °F 23 20 26.4°F 53 45 48.5 °F 31 25 25.1°F 40 38 44.6 °F 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 4 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 5.3   23.3 2.2   22.8 3.2   22.2 4.8   24.6 3.3   19.9 7.4   23.4 2.7   14.6 10.0   29.4
Net Error -1.7   23.3 -2.2   -22.8 -3.2   22.2 -4.8   -24.6 -2.9   19.9 -7.4   -23.4 -2.7   14.6 -10.0   -29.4
Std Dev 3.4   9.9 1.8   9.5 2.5   14.3 3.4   15.7 2.9   17.3 6.5   20.4 2.7   14.6 10.0   29.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-05-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-05-20 51 ↓   57 27   31 49 ↓   53 28   30 53   59 28   30 58   64 35   36
12-04-20 54 ↓ 57.4 °F 55 27 28.9°F 30 48 ↓   58 26   29 47   54 26   26 51   54 28   29
12-03-20 44 ↓ 49.1 °F 46 27 26.4°F 28 50 ↓ 57.4 °F 56 27 28.9°F 29 47   54 26   28 46   52 25   25
12-02-20 43 ↓ 44.6 °F 48 24 23.8°F 23 42 ↓ 49.1 °F 47 26 26.4°F 23 48 57.4 °F 52 27 28.9°F 29 47   56 27   28
12-01-20 47 ↓ 48.5 °F 50 25 25.5°F 25 40 ↓ 44.6 °F 44 24 23.8°F 22 38 49.1 °F 43 24 26.4°F 20 46 57.4 °F 46 26 28.9°F 21
11-30-20 44 ↓ 44.4 °F 41 22 24.6°F 20 46 ↓ 48.5 °F 51 26 25.5°F 26 39 44.6 °F 39 24 23.8°F 27 37 49.1 °F 39 22 26.4°F 18
11-29-20 41 ↓ 41.9 °F 48 19 17.4°F 23 42 ↓ 44.4 °F 46 20 24.6°F 23 45 48.5 °F 53 25 25.5°F 31 38 44.6 °F 40 23 23.8°F 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 5 4 0 3 4 4 0 0 3 1 0 0 1 1
% Succ 66.7   16.7 83.3   66.7     60.0 80.0   80.0     0.0 75.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.2   3.3 1.2   2.4 4.8   1.6 1.5   1.5 7.4   5.4 1.3   3.8 10.0   8.7 2.7   5.5
Net Error -2.2   0.4 -0.4   0.4 -4.8   0.0 -1.2   -1.2 -7.4   -3.2 -1.2   0.6 -10.0   -8.7 -2.7   -5.4
Std Dev 1.8   1.6 1.0   1.8 3.4   1.2 1.2   1.4 6.5   4.7 1.1   3.8 10.0   8.7 2.7   5.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 12-05-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-05-20 51 ↓   54 27   30 49 ↓   52 28   28 53   59 28   29 58   60 35   34
12-04-20 54 ↓ 57.4 °F 56 27 28.9°F 30 48 ↓   58 26   30 47   54 26   29 51   55 28   29
12-03-20 46 ↓ 49.1 °F 45 27 26.4°F 23 50 ↓ 57.4 °F 54 27 28.9°F 27 47   54 26   27 46   53 25   24
12-02-20 43 ↓ 44.6 °F 44 24 23.8°F 21 42 ↓ 49.1 °F 44 26 26.4°F 26 48 57.4 °F 55 27 28.9°F 28 47   53 27   26
12-01-20 45 48.5 °F 48 25 25.5°F 24 40 44.6 °F 43 25 23.8°F 23 >35 49.1 °F 43 <25 26.4°F 22 45 57.4 °F 52 25 28.9°F 28
11-30-20 44 ↓ 44.4 °F 41 22 24.6°F 21 46 ↓ 48.5 °F 52 26 25.5°F 25 39 44.6 °F 40 24 23.8°F 27 37 49.1 °F 40 22 26.4°F 21
11-29-20 41 ↓ 41.9 °F 43 18 ↑ 17.4°F 17 42 ↓ 44.4 °F 42 20 24.6°F 19 45 48.5 °F 51 25 25.5°F 26 38 44.6 °F 38 23 23.8°F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 4 5 3 0 1 4 4 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 1
% Succ 50.0   66.7 83.3   50.0     20.0 80.0   80.0     0.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.2   1.9 1.1   2.1 4.8   3.2 1.7   1.8 16.9   3.9 7.3   2.3 10.4   7.0 3.0   3.2
Net Error -2.2   -1.5 -0.6   -1.8 -4.8   -1.8 -1.0   -1.8 -16.9   -2.7 -7.2   -0.4 -10.4   -7.0 -3.0   -1.0
Std Dev 1.4   1.6 1.0   1.3 3.4   2.3 1.3   1.4 15.1   3.5 6.8   2.1 10.4   7.0 3.0   3.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-04-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-04-20 56 ↓   56 28   30 50 ↓   56 26   29 48   53 28   29 51   55 28   29
12-03-20 46 ↓ 49.1 °F 49 27 26.4°F 26 50 ↓   55 27   27 46   54 27   27 47   53 25   24
12-02-20 43 ↓ 44.6 °F 43 24 23.8°F 22 42 ↓ 49.1 °F 45 26 26.4°F 26 48   55 27   28 47   53 27   26
12-01-20 47 ↓ 48.5 °F 48 25 25.5°F 23 40 ↓ 44.6 °F 43 24 23.8°F 23 38 49.1 °F 42 24 26.4°F 22 46   51 26   28
11-30-20 44 ↓ 44.4 °F 43 22 24.6°F 21 46 ↓ 48.5 °F 53 26 25.5°F 25 39 44.6 °F 40 24 23.8°F 27 37 49.1 °F 40 22 26.4°F 21
11-29-20 41 ↓ 41.9 °F 42 18 ↑ 17.4°F 19 42 ↓ 44.4 °F 41 20 24.6°F 20 45 48.5 °F 51 25 25.5°F 26 38 44.6 °F 38 23 23.8°F 27
11-28-20 59 ↓ 58.9 °F 59 30 36.8°F 31 42 ↓ 41.9 °F 48 20 17.4°F 22 40 44.4 °F 48 21 24.6°F 24 46 48.5 °F 51 25 25.5°F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 6 4 3 1 1 3 3 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 1
% Succ 83.3   100.0 66.7   50.0 20.0   20.0 60.0   60.0     0.0 50.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 1.3   0.6 1.9   2.6 3.3   3.9 1.7   2.2 6.2   4.5 1.7   2.2 7.1   6.1 1.9   3.4
Net Error -1.2   -0.6 -1.4   -2.1 -3.3   0.3 -0.3   -0.3 -6.2   -1.4 -1.6   -0.3 -7.1   -4.4 -1.9   -0.2
Std Dev 1.0   0.6 1.4   1.6 2.8   2.7 1.5   1.9 5.9   4.1 1.5   2.2 7.1   6.1 1.9   3.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-04-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-04-20 58 ↓   35 28   60 50 ↓   31 26   55 48   31 28   60 51   31 28   59
12-03-20 47 ↓ 49.1 °F 27 27 26.4°F 56 50 ↓   29 27   56 46   27 27   52 47   25 25   57
12-02-20   23 25 23.8°F 46 <45 49.1 °F 25 25 26.4°F 54 >45   28 >25   53 45   27 25   56
12-01-20 49 ↓ 48.5 °F 24 25 25.5°F 47 40 ↓ 44.6 °F 24 25 23.8°F 46 39 49.1 °F 22 25 26.4°F 51 48   26 28   53
11-30-20 45 ↓ 44.4 °F 21 21 24.6°F 52 47 ↓ 48.5 °F 26 25 25.5°F 42 39 44.6 °F 24 24 23.8°F 45 37 49.1 °F 22 23 26.4°F 51
11-29-20 41 ↓ 41.9 °F 18 18 ↑ 17.4°F 42 43 ↓ 44.4 °F 20 20 24.6°F 51 45 48.5 °F 26 25 25.5°F 39 38 44.6 °F 26 23 23.8°F 41
11-28-20 59 ↓ 58.9 °F 32 31 36.8°F 48 41 ↓ 41.9 °F 22 20 17.4°F 47 41 44.4 °F 23 20 24.6°F 52 45 48.5 °F 32 25 25.5°F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 4 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ 80.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 60.0   0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 0.8   24.2 2.1   22.8 11.5   22.3 2.1   24.5 5.7   22.9 1.7   21.7 7.4   20.7 1.6   18.1
Net Error -0.4   -24.2 -1.3   22.8 -11.5   -22.3 -0.5   24.5 -5.7   -22.9 -1.6   21.7 -7.4   -20.7 -1.6   18.1
Std Dev 0.8   15.3 1.5   9.9 19.1   14.1 1.6   16.0 5.4   19.9 1.5   18.8 7.4   20.7 1.6   18.1

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-04-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-04-20 28   32 50 ↓   55 26   28 48   52 28   29 51   58 28   30 54   58
12-03-20 27 26.4°F 26 50 ↓ 49.1 °F 55 27   29 46   56 27   27 47   52 25   25 45   57
12-02-20 26 23.8°F 22 43 ↓ 44.6 °F 45 27 26.4°F 24 49 49.1 °F 55 28   28 46   53 25   27 43   56
12-01-20 25 25.5°F 25 40 48.5 °F 47 25 23.8°F 23 >35 44.6 °F 45 25 26.4°F 24 >45 49.1 °F 53 >25   24 >45   49
11-30-20 21 ↑ 24.6°F 20 47 ↓ 44.4 °F 50 25 25.5°F 25 39 48.5 °F 41 24 23.8°F 23 37 44.6 °F 44 23 26.4°F 22 46 49.1 °F 50
11-29-20 18 ↑ 17.4°F 20 43 ↓ 41.9 °F 43 20 ↑ 24.6°F 21 45 44.4 °F 52 25 25.5°F 27 38 48.5 °F 40 23 23.8°F 26 37 44.6 °F 41
11-28-20 31 36.8°F 32 41 ↓ 58.9 °F 48 19 17.4°F 22 41 41.9 °F 47 20 24.6°F 23 45 44.4 °F 52 25 25.5°F 32 39 48.5 °F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 1 3 3 1 1 2 0 0 1
% Succ 50.0   50.0 50.0   50.0 80.0   40.0 60.0   20.0 75.0   75.0 25.0   25.0 66.7   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 2.2   2.5 5.4   4.2 1.7   2.4 11.1   5.3 1.7   1.6 17.0   5.2 1.6   4.4 6.7   4.7
Net Error -1.1   -1.6 -3.9   0.1 -0.3   -0.5 -10.9   2.3 -1.6   -0.8 -16.7   0.6 -1.6   1.4 -6.7   -4.1
Std Dev 1.6   1.8 4.1   3.0 1.3   1.9 17.3   4.1 1.5   1.4 21.8   4.5 1.6   4.4 6.7   4.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 12-04-20 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-04-20 28   32 50 ↓   56 26   30 48   54 28   29 51   58 28   29 54   64
12-03-20 47 ↓ 34.9°F 25 27 49.1 °F 54 50 ↓   27 27   55 46   27 27   53 47   26 25   56
12-02-20 26 30.7°F 22 43 ↓ 44.6 °F 47 27 34.9°F 26 49 49.1 °F 53 28   26 46   49 25   25 43   54
12-01-20 24 28.0°F 27 40 ↓ 48.5 °F 49 25 30.7°F 25 39 44.6 °F 50 25 34.9°F 25 48 49.1 °F 52 28   25 47   48
11-30-20 21 ↑ 35.3°F 21 47 ↓ 44.4 °F 48 25 28.0°F 24 39 48.5 °F 43 24 30.7°F 22 37 44.6 °F 43 23 34.9°F 22 46 49.1 °F 52
11-29-20 18 ↑ 30.4°F 19 43 ↓ 41.9 °F 42 20 ↑ 35.3°F 20 45 44.4 °F 50 25 28.0°F 26 38 48.5 °F 39 23 30.7°F 26 37 44.6 °F 40
11-28-20 32 28.1°F 32 41 ↓ 58.9 °F 48 19 30.4°F 22 41 41.9 °F 47 20 35.3°F 24 45 44.4 °F 54 25 28.0°F 33 39 48.5 °F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7 33.3   33.3     0.0 60.0   0.0     25.0 50.0   25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 8.6   8.2 9.0   3.7 8.7   8.5 3.3   5.1 8.7   8.0 5.0   5.9 7.5   7.5 6.7   5.7
Net Error -3.2   -6.9 -7.7   0.1 -8.7   -8.5 -3.1   2.9 -8.7   -8.0 -4.7   0.4 -7.5   -4.2 -6.7   -3.7
Std Dev 5.3   5.3 8.3   2.6 6.2   5.8 3.9   3.3 7.6   7.0 4.7   5.3 7.5   7.5 6.7   5.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.