SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 01-Mar-2021 8:05 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

97°F at Kyle Oakley Field Airport, KY

Low Temp

-20°F at Yellowstone Lake, WY

Precipitation

5.12in at Bowling Green Warren County Ap, KY

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Sunday,
February 28, 2021

High Temp

51°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

13°F at Bravo (pine Bluffs), NE

Precipitation

0.09in at Valentine Miller Field, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 01-Mar-2021 08:00 pm

Tonight

Fair
Cold!
Low: 27°

Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
High: 60°

Tuesday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 29°

Wednesday

Sunny
High: 64°

Wednesday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 28°

Thursday

Mostly Sunny
High: 61°

Thursday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 39°

Friday

Partly Cloudy
High: 58°

Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 31°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 01-Mar-2021 6:36pm CST

Tonight

Tonight: Clear

Clear

Lo 25 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 62 °F ↓

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F ↑

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 62 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 32 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 63 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy

Mostly Cloudy

Lo 36 °F

Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 60 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 35 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-01-21	23 ↑		25	46 ↓		49	27 ↑		25	58		60	29		27	58		60	33		29	62		62
02-28-21	32 ↑	24.9°F	36	41 ↓	44.1 °F	46	25 ↑		22	45		53	26		25	55		61	33		27	61		60
02-27-21	25 ↑	39.0°F	28	54	57.5 °F	58	29 ↑	24.9°F	33	43	44.1 °F	45	26		25	45		44	28		23	57		55
02-26-21	27	33.2°F	28	50	48.2 °F	55	25	39.0°F	27	53	57.5 °F	59	28	24.9°F	26	44	44.1 °F	46	27		25	50		46
02-25-21	24 ↑	33.5°F	23	43 ↓	45.3 °F	47	26 ↑	33.2°F	25	47	48.2 °F	52	28	39.0°F	25	51	57.5 °F	59	27	24.9°F	30	42	44.1 °F	44
02-24-21	30 ↑	25.3°F	32	40	45.0 °F	53	22 ↑	33.5°F	26	42	45.3 °F	48	26	33.2°F	25	46	48.2 °F	50	29	39.0°F	30	50	57.5 °F	57
02-23-21	29	42.3°F	33	50 ↓	60.7 °F	50	28 ↑	25.3°F	26	41	45.0 °F	49	23	33.5°F	26	40	45.3 °F	49	26	33.2°F	29	43	48.2 °F	55
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	1		3	0		1	2		2	0		1	1		3	0		0	0		2
% Succ			0.0	16.7		50.0			20.0	40.0		40.0			25.0	25.0		75.0			0.0			66.7
Ave Error	9.1		9.0	4.4		4.9	7.9		7.3	2.8		2.6	8.0		7.7	3.5		2.2	6.4		6.1	4.9		2.5
Net Error	-5.2		-3.0	-3.8		1.4	-5.2		-3.8	-2.8		2.6	-6.4		-7.2	-3.5		2.2	-5.0		-2.7	-4.9		2.1
Std Dev	4.8		4.3	2.4		3.6	5.9		5.1	2.2		1.9	7.3		7.4	3.5		1.9	6.4		6.1	4.9		2.5

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-01-21	23 ↑		51	45 ↓		25	27 ↑		61	60		29	27		64	58		30	33		66	62		40
02-28-21	32 ↑	24.9°F	45	41 ↓	44.1 °F	23	25 ↑		53	45		26	26		62	55		26	33		61	61		29
02-27-21	25 ↑	34.2°F	61	54	57.5 °F	35	29 ↑	24.9°F	48	43	44.1 °F	25	26		47	44		25	28		60	57		34
02-26-21	27	31.0°F	56	50 ↓	48.2 °F	28	25	34.2°F	59	53	57.5 °F	27	28	24.9°F	46	44	44.1 °F	23	27		43	50		23
02-25-21	24 ↑	31.9°F	48	45 ↓	45.3 °F	25	25 ↑	31.0°F	51	45	48.2 °F	26	27	34.2°F	59	53	57.5 °F	25	27	24.9°F	41	42	44.1 °F	22
02-24-21	30 ↑	25.2°F	54	40 ↓	45.0 °F	26	24	31.9°F	47	43	45.3 °F	24	26	31.0°F	50	46	48.2 °F	27	29	34.2°F	55	50	57.5 °F	27
02-23-21	29 ↑	35.9°F	64	52 ↓	60.7 °F	32	29 ↑	25.2°F	51	42	45.0 °F	25	24	31.9°F	47	41	45.3 °F	24	27	31.0°F	47	46	48.2 °F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	2		0	0		0	1		0	0		0	1		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0	20.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	6.7		24.2	3.7		22.0	6.2		21.8	2.8		22.6	5.8		20.0	2.8		24.0	3.8		17.6	3.9		24.6
Net Error	-2.7		24.2	-3.1		-22.0	-3.0		21.8	-2.8		-22.6	-4.3		20.0	-2.8		-24.0	-2.4		17.6	-3.9		-24.6
Std Dev	3.2		10.8	2.3		9.1	4.3		13.9	2.1		14.8	5.2		17.3	2.8		20.9	3.8		17.6	3.9		24.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-01-21	45 ↓		51	27 ↑		25	60 ↓		61	27		29	58		64	33		30	62		66	36		40
02-28-21	41 ↓	25.0°F	45	25 ↑	44.1 °F	22	45 ↓		53	26		26	55		62	33		26	61		61	34		29
02-27-21	54	57.5 °F	58	29 ↑	34.2°F	34	43 ↓	25.0°F	48	26	44.1 °F	25	44		47	28		25	57		59	31		34
02-26-21	50 ↓	48.2 °F	55	25	30.7°F	28	53 ↓	57.5 °F	58	28	34.2°F	27	44	25.0°F	46	27	44.1 °F	23	50		43	31		23
02-25-21	45 ↓	45.3 °F	46	25 ↑	31.8°F	25	45 ↓	48.2 °F	51	27	30.7°F	26	53	57.5 °F	59	27	34.2°F	26	42	25.0°F	41	26	44.1 °F	22
02-24-21	40 ↓	45.0 °F	52	24	24.5°F	26	43 ↓	45.3 °F	47	26	31.8°F	24	46	48.2 °F	50	29	30.7°F	27	50	57.5 °F	55	28	34.2°F	27
02-23-21	53 ↓	60.7 °F	65	29 ↑	34.9°F	33	42 ↓	45.0 °F	52	24	24.5°F	25	41	45.3 °F	46	27	31.8°F	24	46	48.2 °F	48	28	30.7°F	26
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	1		3	0		2	1		1	0		3	1		0	0		1	0		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	16.7		50.0			40.0	20.0		20.0			75.0	25.0		0.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	5.7		6.6	7.2		5.9	6.2		7.0	6.9		7.9	7.5		6.3	7.7		10.2	8.9		6.2	9.0		11.3
Net Error	0.2		6.6	-7.2		-5.4	1.0		7.0	-6.9		-7.7	2.0		6.3	-7.7		-10.2	2.4		4.4	-9.0		-11.3
Std Dev	5.6		7.0	6.4		7.7	6.8		9.1	6.8		7.2	8.7		9.1	8.2		10.4	8.9		6.2	9.0		11.3

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-01-21	45 ↓		49	27 ↑		26	60 ↓		60	27		29	58		64	33		28	62		61	36		40
02-28-21	41 ↓	44.1 °F	44	25 ↑	25.0°F	22	45 ↓		54	26		26	55		63	33		26	61		60	34		29
02-27-21	54	57.5 °F	57	29 ↑	34.2°F	35	43 ↓	44.1 °F	47	26	25.0°F	24	44		47	28		24	57		58	31		32
02-26-21	50 ↓	48.2 °F	53	25	30.7°F	26	53 ↓	57.5 °F	58	28	34.2°F	30	44	44.1 °F	47	27	25.0°F	26	50		46	31		26
02-25-21	45 ↓	45.3 °F	47	25 ↑	31.8°F	25	45 ↓	48.2 °F	51	27	30.7°F	26	53	57.5 °F	57	27	34.2°F	26	42	44.1 °F	46	26	25.0°F	24
02-24-21	40 ↓	45.0 °F	49	24	24.5°F	25	43 ↓	45.3 °F	47	26	31.8°F	26	46	48.2 °F	51	29	30.7°F	28	50	57.5 °F	59	28	34.2°F	25
02-23-21	53 ↓	60.7 °F	63	29 ↑	34.9°F	32	42 ↓	45.0 °F	50	24	24.5°F	25	41	45.3 °F	45	27	31.8°F	24	46	48.2 °F	49	28	30.7°F	31
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	2		2	1		2	2		2	1		2	2		1	0		3	1		2
% Succ	33.3		50.0	33.3		33.3	20.0		40.0	40.0		40.0	25.0		50.0	50.0		25.0			100.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	3.6		2.2	4.0		3.1	2.8		2.6	3.4		3.2	2.8		1.6	3.9		4.9	3.9		1.4	3.3		3.5
Net Error	-3.0		2.0	-4.0		-2.7	-2.8		2.6	-3.0		-3.0	-2.8		1.2	-2.9		-4.4	-3.9		1.4	-2.6		-3.3
Std Dev	2.2		1.9	3.1		2.5	2.1		1.9	2.7		2.4	2.8		1.5	3.5		4.7	3.9		1.4	3.3		3.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-01-21	45		48	25		26	<65		60	>25		29	<65		64	<35		28	<65		61	35		40
02-28-21	41 ↓	44.1 °F	42	25 ↑	25.0°F	22	45 ↓		54	26		26	55		63	33		26	61		60	34		29
02-27-21	54 ↓	57.5 °F	54	30 ↑	34.2°F	35	42	44.1 °F	47	26	25.0°F	24	44		47	26		24	56		58	32		32
02-26-21	50 ↓	48.2 °F	48	25	30.7°F	26	53 ↓	57.5 °F	58	28	34.2°F	30	44	44.1 °F	47	27	25.0°F	26	50		46	31		26
02-25-21	45 ↓	45.3 °F	46	25 ↑	31.8°F	24	45 ↓	48.2 °F	51	27	30.7°F	26	53	57.5 °F	58	27	34.2°F	26	42	44.1 °F	46	26	25.0°F	24
02-24-21	40	45.0 °F	44	<25	24.5°F	23	<45	45.3 °F	46	25	31.8°F	25	45	48.2 °F	51	>25	30.7°F	28	>45	57.5 °F	58	>25	34.2°F	25
02-23-21	<55	60.7 °F	59	>25	34.9°F	33	40	45.0 °F	50	<25	24.5°F	25	<45	45.3 °F	45	25	31.8°F	24	45	48.2 °F	49	>25	30.7°F	32
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	1		3	0		2	1		2	1		2	1		1	0		3	1		2
% Succ	33.3		66.7	16.7		50.0			40.0	20.0		40.0	25.0		50.0	25.0		25.0			100.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	12.4		1.5	12.7		3.3	12.0		2.4	8.4		3.4	13.3		1.6	11.7		4.9	20.9		1.1	22.0		3.8
Net Error	-11.8		-1.3	-12.7		-3.0	-12.0		2.4	-8.0		-3.2	-13.3		1.5	-10.7		-4.4	-20.9		1.1	-21.3		-3.0
Std Dev	10.3		1.2	10.1		2.7	10.2		1.7	6.7		2.5	13.3		1.5	11.2		4.7	20.9		1.1	22.0		3.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-01-21 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-01-21	46 ↓		27	25		60	62 ↓		30	27		64	62		28	32		61	63		39	36		58
02-28-21	41 ↓	44.1 °F	23	24	25.0°F	53	46 ↓		27	27		62	58		28	29		62	60		30	32		67
02-27-21	55 ↓	57.5 °F	35	30 ↑	34.2°F	46	42	44.1 °F	24	26	25.0°F	50	44		25	26		59	56		31	32		64
02-26-21	50 ↓	48.2 °F	48	25	30.7°F	26	54 ↓	57.5 °F	58	28	34.2°F	30	43	44.1 °F	47	27	25.0°F	26	47		46	29		26
02-25-21	44 ↓	45.3 °F	26	27	31.8°F	52	50 ↓	48.2 °F	26	26	30.7°F	58	54	57.5 °F	25	27	34.2°F	45	39	44.1 °F	23	25	25.0°F	46
02-24-21	40 ↓	45.0 °F	24	24 ↑	24.5°F	47	43 ↓	45.3 °F	25	26	31.8°F	52	47	48.2 °F	26	28	30.7°F	56	51	57.5 °F	24	27	34.2°F	40
02-23-21	53 ↓	60.7 °F	34	29 ↑	34.9°F	51	42 ↓	45.0 °F	26	24	24.5°F	47	41	45.3 °F	25	27	31.8°F	50	46	48.2 °F	33	28	30.7°F	56
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	2		0	1		1	2		0	2		0	1		1	0		0	1		0
% Succ	33.3		16.7	33.3		0.0	20.0		20.0	40.0		0.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	3.6		18.5	3.7		17.2	2.5		16.4	3.6		19.8	2.5		19.5	4.2		13.8	4.6		23.3	3.3		17.4
Net Error	-3.0		-18.5	-3.7		15.7	-1.8		-16.2	-3.2		18.2	-2.5		-18.0	-3.2		13.8	-4.6		-23.3	-3.3		17.4
Std Dev	2.0		10.8	2.5		10.3	1.7		13.0	2.9		14.9	2.3		18.8	3.8		13.6	4.6		23.3	3.3		17.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-28-21 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-28-21	24		23	46 ↓		53	27		27	58		62	29		28	60		62	32		30	61		67
02-27-21	30 ↑	34.2°F	35	42	57.5 °F	46	26		24	44		51	26		25	56		59	32		30	60		64
02-26-21	25	30.7°F	28	54 ↓	48.2 °F	55	28 ↑	34.2°F	30	43	57.5 °F	45	27		25	47		43	29		23	56		60
02-25-21	27	31.8°F	24	50 ↓	45.3 °F	50	26 ↑	30.7°F	26	54	48.2 °F	58	27	34.2°F	26	39	57.5 °F	46	25		23	50		47
02-24-21	24 ↑	24.5°F	24	43 ↓	45.0 °F	47	26 ↑	31.8°F	25	47	45.3 °F	52	28	30.7°F	26	51	48.2 °F	56	27	34.2°F	24	42	57.5 °F	40
02-23-21	29 ↑	60.7 °F	32	42 ↓	34.9°F	51	24	24.5°F	25	41	45.0 °F	47	27	31.8°F	25	46	45.3 °F	50	28	30.7°F	33	49	48.2 °F	57
02-22-21	28 ↑	29.0°F	28	50 ↓	49.4 °F	61	28 ↑	60.7 °F	31	41	34.9°F	49	23	24.5°F	23	40	45.0 °F	47	26	31.8°F	25	43	45.3 °F	48
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	2		1	1		1	1		1	1		1	1		1	0		0	1		0
% Succ	33.3		50.0	33.3		16.7	20.0		20.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	8.0		6.9	6.0		8.8	10.0		9.2	6.4		9.0	4.1		5.3	6.8		6.5	5.2		6.4	6.2		9.7
Net Error	-8.0		-6.7	0.1		5.0	-10.0		-9.0	-1.0		4.0	-4.1		-5.3	-5.0		0.8	-5.2		-4.9	-5.7		-2.0
Std Dev	10.9		10.2	4.9		5.8	7.2		6.6	5.8		6.0	3.8		4.8	8.3		6.2	5.2		6.4	6.2		9.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-28-21 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
02-28-21	23 ↑		22	46 ↓		48	27		25	58		60	29		26	60		60	32		29	61		62
02-27-21	32 ↑	25.2°F	36	42	57.5 °F	46	26		22	44		53	26		25	56		61	32		27	60		60
02-26-21	25	45.9°F	28	54 ↓	48.2 °F	56	28 ↑	25.2°F	33	43	57.5 °F	45	27		25	47		44	29		23	56		55
02-25-21	27	36.1°F	28	50 ↓	45.3 °F	55	26 ↑	45.9°F	27	54	48.2 °F	58	27	25.2°F	26	39	57.5 °F	46	25		25	50		46
02-24-21	25	34.7°F	22	<45	45.0 °F	47	25	36.1°F	25	45	45.3 °F	52	>25	45.9°F	25	<55	48.2 °F	59	>25	25.2°F	30	<45	57.5 °F	43
02-23-21	30 ↑	26.8°F	32	40	60.7 °F	51	22 ↑	34.7°F	26	42	45.0 °F	47	26	36.1°F	25	46	45.3 °F	50	29	45.9°F	30	50	48.2 °F	57
02-22-21	29	46.4°F	27	50 ↓	49.4 °F	66	28 ↑	26.8°F	33	41	60.7 °F	49	23	34.7°F	24	40	45.0 °F	48	26	36.1°F	26	43	45.3 °F	49
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	1		1	1		0	1		1	1		1	1		0	0		0	1		0
% Succ			0.0	16.7		16.7	20.0		0.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		0.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	11.2		12.4	15.4		9.6	9.5		10.5	8.7		8.5	17.4		10.9	18.1		7.5	17.4		10.3	20.5		9.0
Net Error	-7.9		-7.0	-11.7		2.5	-7.9		-4.9	-6.3		-1.1	-16.5		-10.5	-17.8		1.8	-17.4		-7.1	-19.3		-0.7
Std Dev	7.2		6.5	15.0		5.1	8.2		7.7	7.2		5.8	16.9		10.7	15.7		6.8	17.4		10.3	20.5		9.0

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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