SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 12-Sep-2024 2:53 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

111°F at El Centro Naf, CA

Low Temp

5°F at Tazewell County Airport, VA

Precipitation

6.28in at New Orleans Lakefront Ap, LA

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Wednesday,
September 11, 2024

High Temp

96°F at Valentine Miller Field Ap, NE
96°F at Ainsworth Municipal Ap, NE
96°F at Chadron Municipal Ap, NE

Low Temp

47°F at Sidney Municipal Ap, NE
47°F at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE

Precipitation

0.25in at Foxtrot (dix), NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Thursday, 12-Sep-2024 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Fair

Fair
High: 87°

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Low: 66°

Friday

Sunny
High: 88°

Friday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 64°

Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 83°

Saturday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 65°

Sunday

Partly Cloudy
High: 87°

Sunday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 65°

Monday

Sunny
High: 86°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 12-Sep-2024 1:36pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 88 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 60 °F

Friday

Friday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 88 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 61 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 85 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 64 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 89 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 65 °F

Monday

Monday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 88 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-12-24 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-12-24	63		65	88		86	60		62	88		87	61		62	84		83	63		63	88		87
09-11-24	62	67.8°F	64	91	90.7 °F	89	62		65	89		89	59		65	88		87	61		63	85		83
09-10-24	65	72.0°F	65	92	94.9 °F	89	63	67.8°F	67	91	90.7 °F	91	64		65	90		90	62		64	86		87
09-09-24	59	72.0°F	59	90	89.8 °F	84	65	72.0°F	65	92	94.9 °F	92	64	67.8°F	65	93	90.7 °F	91	66		64	91		90
09-08-24	53	65.5°F	57	83	82.3 °F	83	60	72.0°F	62	91	89.8 °F	88	64	72.0°F	65	91	94.9 °F	87	65	67.8°F	66	93	90.7 °F	92
09-07-24	48	60.1°F	47	77	78.9 °F	75	52	65.5°F	52	82	82.3 °F	80	60	72.0°F	58	90	89.8 °F	86	63	72.0°F	62	89	94.9 °F	87
09-06-24	57	50.2°F	60	77	72.9 °F	77	49	60.1°F	53	76	78.9 °F	75	54	65.5°F	51	85	82.3 °F	83	62	72.0°F	61	92	89.8 °F	88
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	4		2	0		1	3		2	0		0	1		2	0		1	0		2
% Succ			0.0	66.7		33.3			20.0	60.0		40.0			0.0	25.0		50.0			33.3			66.7
Ave Error	9.5		9.2	1.7		3.7	9.7		7.7	1.5		2.2	8.8		9.6	2.3		3.2	7.3		7.6	3.5		3.7
Net Error	-7.3		-5.9	0.1		-2.1	-9.7		-7.7	-0.9		-2.1	-8.8		-9.6	0.3		-2.7	-7.3		-7.6	-0.5		-2.8
Std Dev	4.8		5.0	1.3		2.4	6.7		5.9	1.3		1.7	8.0		9.0	2.0		3.1	7.3		7.6	3.5		3.7

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-12-24 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-12-24	56		87	88		66	60		88	88		64	61		82	85		64	64		86	89		66
09-11-24	62	65.9°F	88	91	90.7 °F	63	63		87	89		64	61		86	88		62	60		83	85		64
09-10-24	65	65.6°F	90	93	94.9 °F	68	62	65.9°F	93	91	90.7 °F	65	63		90	89		63	61		86	86		64
09-09-24	59	68.7°F	81	90	89.8 °F	62	64	65.6°F	88	93	94.9 °F	64	63	65.9°F	90	92	90.7 °F	64	65		90	90		66
09-08-24	49	62.0°F	81	83	82.3 °F	57	60	68.7°F	86	91	89.8 °F	63	64	65.6°F	85	91	94.9 °F	63	65	65.9°F	92	92	90.7 °F	65
09-07-24	48	57.4°F	75	77	78.9 °F	52	52	62.0°F	80	82	82.3 °F	57	60	68.7°F	86	90	89.8 °F	62	63	65.6°F	87	89	94.9 °F	66
09-06-24	55	48.1°F	77	76	72.9 °F	52	49	57.4°F	76	75	78.9 °F	51	53	62.0°F	83	83	82.3 °F	61	62	68.7°F	88	91	89.8 °F	64
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	5		0	1		0	4		0	1		0	3		0	1		0	2		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	83.3		0.0	20.0		0.0	80.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	75.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	7.3		20.7	1.4		25.9	6.5		20.7	1.5		27.3	5.6		20.5	1.5		26.9	3.4		22.3	2.8		26.8
Net Error	-5.0		20.7	0.1		-25.9	-6.5		20.7	-0.9		-27.3	-5.6		20.5	-0.4		-26.9	-3.4		22.3	-1.1		-26.8
Std Dev	5.0		9.4	0.9		10.7	4.9		13.5	1.1		17.4	5.0		17.8	1.3		23.3	3.4		22.3	2.8		26.8

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-12-24 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-12-24	88		83	60		65	88		87	61		63	85		83	64		65	89		87	65		67
09-11-24	91	90.7 °F	86	63	63.0°F	64	89		87	61		64	88		86	60		63	85		84	62		65
09-10-24	93	94.9 °F	88	62	63.0°F	67	91	90.7 °F	92	63	63.0°F	65	89		88	61		65	86		89	58		64
09-09-24	90	89.8 °F	87	64	67.1°F	66	93	94.9 °F	90	63	63.0°F	67	92	90.7 °F	92	65	63.0°F	71	90		91	63		75
09-08-24	83	82.3 °F	80	60	61.9°F	57	91	89.8 °F	85	64	67.1°F	65	91	94.9 °F	88	65	63.0°F	65	92	90.7 °F	93	66	63.0°F	64
09-06-24	76	78.9 °F	75	49	56.1°F	52	75	82.3 °F	75	53	61.9°F	52	83	89.8 °F	82	62	67.1°F	61	91	94.9 °F	88	65	63.0°F	63
09-05-24	85	82.5 °F	81	58	55.8°F	59	77	78.9 °F	80	49	56.1°F	54	77	82.3 °F	77	54	61.9°F	56	86	89.8 °F	83	62	67.1°F	61
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		1	3		2	4		2	2		1	1		1	2		1	1		0	1		2
% Succ	66.7		16.7	50.0		33.3	80.0		40.0	40.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	1.4		3.7	2.6		3.1	2.5		3.9	3.8		4.0	4.3		5.3	4.3		5.5	3.0		5.3	3.4		2.4
Net Error	-0.2		-3.7	-1.8		-0.3	-1.9		-2.9	-3.8		-1.6	-3.7		-4.7	-2.3		-0.5	-2.1		-3.8	0.0		-1.7
Std Dev	1.1		2.1	2.5		1.9	2.0		2.8	3.4		2.8	4.0		5.0	3.8		4.9	3.0		5.3	3.4		2.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-12-24 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-12-24	88		87	60		65	88		88	61		64	85		83	64		64	89		87	65		67
09-11-24	91	90.7 °F	89	63	63.0°F	65	89		89	61		65	88		87	60		62	85		84	62		65
09-10-24	93	94.9 °F	89	62	63.0°F	68	91	90.7 °F	93	63	63.0°F	67	89		89	61		65	86		89	58		64
09-09-24	>85	89.8 °F	87	<65	67.1°F	66	<95	94.9 °F	90	<65	63.0°F	66	90	90.7 °F	90	<65	63.0°F	64	>85		90	<65		69
09-08-24	83	82.3 °F	81	60	61.9°F	57	91	89.8 °F	86	64	67.1°F	66	91	94.9 °F	90	65	63.0°F	64	92	90.7 °F	93	66	63.0°F	65
09-07-24	76	78.9 °F	77	54	56.1°F	53	82	82.3 °F	82	60	61.9°F	62	90	89.8 °F	87	63	67.1°F	64	89	94.9 °F	88	65	63.0°F	63
09-06-24	76	72.9 °F	77	49	46.6°F	52	75	78.9 °F	76	53	56.1°F	52	83	82.3 °F	82	62	61.9°F	60	91	89.8 °F	88	65	67.1°F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		3	3		2	3		1	2		2	3		2	2		3	2		1	1		2
% Succ	50.0		50.0	50.0		33.3	60.0		20.0	40.0		40.0	75.0		50.0	50.0		75.0	66.7		33.3	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	16.5		3.0	12.4		3.6	20.1		2.8	14.2		2.5	1.4		2.2	17.3		1.8	2.8		3.7	2.4		2.0
Net Error	-15.1		-1.6	-11.6		0.6	-19.5		-1.9	-14.2		0.4	-0.9		-2.2	-16.3		-0.7	-1.1		-2.1	1.0		-0.7
Std Dev	33.1		2.0	24.7		2.1	37.8		2.1	24.9		1.8	1.2		2.0	27.3		1.6	2.8		3.7	2.4		2.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-12-24 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-12-24	88		87	60		66	88		88	61		64	85		83	64		65	89		87	65		65
09-11-24	91	90.7 °F	90	63	63.0°F	67	89		91	61		66	88		87	61		64	84		83	63		67
09-10-24	91	94.9 °F	92	62	63.0°F	69	91	90.7 °F	92	62	63.0°F	67	89		89	59		66	88		90	61		65
09-09-24	90	89.8 °F	89	64	67.1°F	67	93	94.9 °F	90	63	63.0°F	69	92	90.7 °F	92	65	63.0°F	65	90		91	63		68
09-08-24	82	82.3 °F	80	60	61.9°F	56	90	89.8 °F	85	65	67.1°F	65	92	94.9 °F	89	64	63.0°F	66	93	90.7 °F	95	66	63.0°F	64
09-07-24	76	78.9 °F	78	53	56.1°F	53	82	82.3 °F	81	60	61.9°F	57	90	89.8 °F	89	63	67.1°F	64	89	94.9 °F	88	65	63.0°F	66
09-06-24	75	72.9 °F	74	49	46.6°F	51	75	78.9 °F	76	52	56.1°F	51	83	82.3 °F	82	62	61.9°F	60	91	89.8 °F	87	65	67.1°F	64
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		4	3		1	4		2	3		0	3		3	3		2	1		0	1		1
% Succ	50.0		66.7	50.0		16.7	80.0		40.0	60.0		0.0	75.0		75.0	75.0		50.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	1.6		1.5	1.9		3.9	1.3		3.0	1.8		4.4	1.3		2.1	1.8		2.5	3.1		4.7	2.4		2.4
Net Error	-0.8		-1.1	-1.1		0.9	-1.1		-2.5	-1.8		-0.4	-0.2		-1.4	-0.2		0.0	-0.8		-1.8	1.0		0.3
Std Dev	1.6		1.0	1.4		2.5	1.1		2.4	1.5		3.1	1.1		1.8	1.6		2.2	3.1		4.7	2.4		2.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-11-24 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-11-24	91		69	63		91	89		68	61		90	88		66	61		87	84		67	63		86
09-10-24	91	94.9 °F	67	62	63.0°F	91	91		67	62		89	89		66	59		89	88		64	61		82
09-09-24	90	89.8 °F	65	65	67.1°F	89	92	94.9 °F	67	63	63.0°F	91	91		64	64		89	90		67	62		87
09-08-24	83	82.3 °F	58	60	61.9°F	85	90	89.8 °F	65	65	67.1°F	88	92	94.9 °F	65	64	63.0°F	93	93		65	66		92
09-07-24	76	78.9 °F	53	53	56.1°F	81	83	82.3 °F	57	61	61.9°F	89	90	89.8 °F	64	64	67.1°F	88	91	94.9 °F	66	65	63.0°F	91
09-06-24	75	72.9 °F	50	49	46.6°F	76	75	78.9 °F	52	51	56.1°F	82	82	82.3 °F	60	61	61.9°F	87	89	89.8 °F	64	64	67.1°F	89
09-05-24	85	82.5 °F	58	57	55.8°F	78	77	72.9 °F	53	49	46.6°F	76	76	78.9 °F	53	54	56.1°F	81	85	82.3 °F	63	62	61.9°F	88
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	3		0	2		0	2		0	2		0	2		0	1		0	2		0
% Succ	33.3		0.0	50.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	50.0		0.0	50.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	2.1		25.1	2.0		24.9	2.4		25.0	2.1		26.3	1.6		26.0	1.8		25.2	2.5		24.7	1.7		25.3
Net Error	-0.2		-25.1	-0.7		24.9	-0.4		-25.0	-1.1		26.3	-1.5		-26.0	-1.3		25.2	-0.7		-24.7	-0.3		25.3
Std Dev	1.5		10.3	1.0		10.5	1.9		15.8	1.7		16.8	1.5		22.6	1.6		22.0	2.5		24.7	1.7		25.3

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-11-24 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-11-24	63		70	89		90	61		69	88		90	61		68	84		90	63		66	88		88
09-10-24	62	63.0°F	69	91	94.9 °F	92	62		67	89		89	59		66	88		89	61		68	85		86
09-09-24	65	67.1°F	66	92	89.8 °F	89	63	63.0°F	68	91	94.9 °F	93	64		65	90		90	62		65	86		86
09-08-24	60	61.9°F	59	90	82.3 °F	82	65	67.1°F	63	92	89.8 °F	88	64	63.0°F	67	93	94.9 °F	94	66		65	91		92
09-07-24	53	56.1°F	53	83	78.9 °F	80	61	61.9°F	56	90	82.3 °F	88	64	67.1°F	65	91	89.8 °F	87	65	63.0°F	66	93	94.9 °F	91
09-06-24	49	46.6°F	52	75	72.9 °F	76	51	56.1°F	53	82	78.9 °F	80	61	61.9°F	57	89	82.3 °F	85	64	67.1°F	62	89	89.8 °F	87
09-05-24	57	55.8°F	60	77	82.5 °F	79	49	46.6°F	53	76	72.9 °F	76	54	56.1°F	54	85	78.9 °F	84	62	61.9°F	65	92	82.3 °F	89
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		1	0		3	2		0	0		3	2		0	2		1	2		0	2		0
% Succ	50.0		16.7			50.0	40.0		0.0			60.0	50.0		0.0	50.0		25.0	66.7		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	2.0		3.8	4.3		2.0	2.1		4.9	4.0		2.7	1.8		3.3	4.0		2.9	1.7		3.7	4.1		4.5
Net Error	-0.7		1.4	1.1		-0.6	-1.1		-0.3	2.4		1.2	-1.3		-1.3	3.0		1.0	-0.3		0.3	2.3		0.0
Std Dev	1.0		2.2	2.5		1.3	1.7		3.2	3.1		2.2	1.6		2.9	3.6		2.7	1.7		3.7	4.1		4.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-11-24 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-11-24	63		64	89		86	61		64	88		87	61		65	84		86	63		65	88		87
09-10-24	62	70.7°F	64	91	94.9 °F	87	62		66	89		88	59		65	88		87	61		65	85		81
09-09-24	65	73.6°F	64	92	89.8 °F	88	63	70.7°F	68	91	94.9 °F	92	64		64	90		90	62		63	86		87
09-08-24	58	75.6°F	59	90	82.3 °F	87	65	73.6°F	67	92	89.8 °F	91	64	70.7°F	66	93	94.9 °F	91	66		65	91		92
09-07-24	53	68.4°F	56	83	78.9 °F	83	61	75.6°F	62	90	82.3 °F	88	64	73.6°F	65	91	89.8 °F	86	65	70.7°F	66	93	94.9 °F	92
09-06-24	49	62.2°F	49	75	72.9 °F	75	51	68.4°F	51	82	78.9 °F	79	61	75.6°F	56	89	82.3 °F	85	64	73.6°F	62	89	89.8 °F	88
09-05-24	57	54.8°F	61	77	82.5 °F	79	49	62.2°F	54	76	72.9 °F	77	54	68.4°F	54	85	78.9 °F	84	62	75.6°F	65	92	82.3 °F	89
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	0		1	0		0	0		2	0		0	2		0	0		0	2		1
% Succ			0.0			16.7			0.0			40.0			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	11.0		10.8	4.3		4.0	12.3		9.7	4.0		2.8	11.3		11.8	4.0		3.9	9.6		9.0	4.1		3.8
Net Error	-10.2		-8.7	1.1		-0.4	-12.3		-9.7	2.4		1.6	-11.3		-11.8	3.0		0.0	-9.6		-9.0	2.3		0.7
Std Dev	5.8		5.4	2.5		2.6	8.3		7.2	3.1		2.3	10.1		10.8	3.6		3.4	9.6		9.0	4.1		3.8

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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