Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 12-Nov-2019 05:00 am

Today

Mostly Sunny
Cold!
Mostly Sunny
Cold!
High: 40°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 30°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 51°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 21°
Thursday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 40°
Thursday
night
Clear
Cold!
Clear
Cold!
Low: 20°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 53°
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 33°
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 52°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 12-Nov-2019 4:29am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Clear
Clear

Lo 0 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 31 °F ↓
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 22 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Light Rain
Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 43 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 20 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 42 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 25 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 55 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 33 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-12-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-12-19 0   5 30 ↓   37 22   28 42   47 20   21 42   41 25   23 55   56
11-11-19 19 ↑ 7.0°F 15 23 ↓ 25.9 °F 20 6   4 32   35 23   26 45   43 24   19 44   40
11-10-19 35 ↑ 22.7°F 36 45 ↓ 49.3 °F 53 18 ↑ 7.0°F 23 26 25.9 °F 25 8   7 32   39 23   30 48   44
11-09-19 33 40.8°F 35 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 68 36 ↑ 22.7°F 39 44 49.3 °F 53 15 7.0°F 29 27 25.9 °F 32 7   14 30   40
11-08-19 19 36.5°F 23 51 ↓ 48.8 °F 51 31 40.8°F 34 68 74.9 °F 65 36 22.7°F 36 46 49.3 °F 45 17 7.0°F 28 26 25.9 °F 33
11-07-19 19 24.9°F 18 36 ↓ 38.5 °F 42 22 36.5°F 20 51 48.8 °F 47 33 40.8°F 27 64 74.9 °F 65 36 22.7°F 34 46 49.3 °F 45
11-06-19 37 ↑ 22.0°F 37 47 ↓ 45.7 °F 57 21 ↑ 24.9°F 24 37 38.5 °F 44 22 36.5°F 24 48 48.8 °F 49 31 40.8°F 32 61 74.9 °F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   0.0     20.0 40.0   40.0     0.0 50.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 11.8   10.4 3.5   5.6 10.5   11.3 3.2   4.4 10.9   15.4 4.0   5.1 11.0   13.7 5.8   8.1
Net Error 1.4   1.7 -2.4   1.3 -0.8   1.6 -2.3   -0.7 -0.2   2.3 -3.5   -2.0 4.5   7.8 -5.7   -3.4
Std Dev 6.1   5.3 2.4   3.0 6.8   8.0 3.1   4.0 9.6   13.7 3.8   4.5 11.0   13.7 5.8   8.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-12-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-12-19 0   40 31 ↓   30 22   51 43   21 20   40 42   20 25   53 55   33
11-11-19 19 5.6°F 22 22 ↓ 25.9 °F 5 3   35 33   25 23   37 45   18 23   41 43   22
11-10-19 35 ↑ 18.2°F 58 45 ↓ 49.3 °F 28 21 ↑ 5.6°F 30 24 25.9 °F 13 10   40 33   30 23   45 48   23
11-09-19 33 38.7°F 69 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 41 39 ↑ 18.2°F 51 44 49.3 °F 29 20 5.6°F 32 26 25.9 °F 14 9   41 31   27
11-08-19 19 34.4°F 51 50 ↓ 48.8 °F 35 34 38.7°F 66 67 74.9 °F 37 37 18.2°F 49 44 49.3 °F 28 18 5.6°F 31 26 25.9 °F 16
11-07-19 19 24.5°F 43 35 ↓ 38.5 °F 22 23 ↑ 34.4°F 48 49 48.8 °F 31 34 38.7°F 64 66 74.9 °F 35 36 18.2°F 44 46 49.3 °F 25
11-06-19 37 18.4°F 59 45 ↓ 45.7 °F 30 20 ↑ 24.5°F 46 36 38.5 °F 26 23 34.4°F 52 50 48.8 °F 34 31 38.7°F 65 64 74.9 °F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 12.6   27.0 3.6   20.4 11.4   23.9 3.6   20.3 12.3   25.0 3.9   22.0 12.6   25.8 4.8   24.4
Net Error 3.7   27.0 -3.2   -20.4 3.1   23.9 -3.5   -20.3 4.3   25.0 -3.2   -22.0 7.5   25.8 -4.7   -24.4
Std Dev 6.9   14.1 2.5   10.5 9.0   15.7 3.2   15.4 10.7   21.7 3.9   19.7 12.6   25.8 4.8   24.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-11-19 22 ↓   21 3   3 33 ↓   35 23   25 45   37 23   18 43   40 26   22
11-10-19 45 ↓ 49.3 °F 55 21 ↑ 17.6°F 23 24 ↓   25 10   8 33   37 23   29 48   45 25   22
11-09-19 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 66 39 ↑ 35.8°F 40 44 ↓ 49.3 °F 51 20 17.6°F 28 26   31 9   14 31   40 21   27
11-08-19 50 ↓ 48.8 °F 53 34 33.6°F 35 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 67 37 35.8°F 38 44 49.3 °F 49 18 17.6°F 28 26   32 9   17
11-07-19 35 ↓ 38.5 °F 40 23 ↑ 24.4°F 20 49 ↓ 48.8 °F 47 34 33.6°F 31 66 74.9 °F 65 36 35.8°F 35 46 49.3 °F 44 18 17.6°F 25
11-06-19 46 ↓ 45.7 °F 57 20 ↑ 15.6°F 29 36 ↓ 38.5 °F 46 23 24.4°F 26 50 48.8 °F 51 31 33.6°F 34 64 74.9 °F 65 34 35.8°F 36
11-05-19 49 51.2 °F 48 36 ↑ 38.1°F 34 50 ↓ 45.7 °F 54 23 15.6°F 24 37 38.5 °F 41 21 24.4°F 21 46 48.8 °F 47 30 33.6°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 0 1 2 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7 33.3   16.7 20.0   40.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 50.0   50.0     33.3 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 3.2   5.8 2.5   5.5 4.0   5.4 2.6   5.0 4.2   3.7 1.7   3.8 5.7   5.7 1.9   5.4
Net Error -2.7   1.8 1.3   2.7 -2.2   1.6 2.0   4.0 -3.6   -1.4 -1.4   1.7 -5.7   -5.7 -1.7   -0.3
Std Dev 2.8   4.0 1.7   4.3 3.6   4.3 2.0   4.3 3.7   3.7 1.6   4.6 5.7   5.7 1.9   5.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-11-19 21   22 3   1 33 ↓   35 23   26 45   37 23   20 43   42 26   22
11-10-19 45 ↓ 49.3 °F 49 21 ↑ 17.6°F 19 24 ↓   21 10   3 33   36 23   30 48   45 25   22
11-09-19 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 68 39 ↑ 35.8°F 40 44 ↓ 49.3 °F 53 20 17.6°F 30 26   33 9   16 31   41 21   28
11-08-19 50 ↓ 48.8 °F 47 34 33.6°F 32 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 63 37 35.8°F 37 44 49.3 °F 51 18 17.6°F 29 26   31 9   15
11-07-19 35 ↓ 38.5 °F 37 23 ↑ 24.4°F 17 49 ↓ 48.8 °F 46 34 33.6°F 29 66 74.9 °F 63 36 35.8°F 35 46 49.3 °F 42 18 17.6°F 25
11-06-19 44 ↓ 45.7 °F 48 20 ↑ 15.6°F 20 36 ↓ 38.5 °F 39 23 24.4°F 18 50 48.8 °F 44 31 33.6°F 30 64 74.9 °F 68 34 35.8°F 35
11-05-19 49 51.2 °F 47 36 ↑ 38.1°F 35 50 ↓ 45.7 °F 53 23 15.6°F 25 37 38.5 °F 43 21 24.4°F 23 46 48.8 °F 47 30 33.6°F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 2 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 2 0 1 2 1
% Succ 33.3   50.0 33.3   33.3 20.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 50.0   50.0     33.3 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 3.5   2.8 2.5   3.7 4.0   5.2 2.6   6.8 4.2   5.7 1.7   4.3 5.7   5.3 1.9   4.6
Net Error -3.1   -2.1 1.3   -0.4 -2.2   -0.6 2.0   2.4 -3.6   -2.6 -1.4   1.4 -5.7   -5.3 -1.7   0.3
Std Dev 2.6   2.4 1.7   2.5 3.6   4.6 2.0   5.7 3.7   5.4 1.6   5.1 5.7   5.3 1.9   4.6

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-11-19 21 ↓   23 1 ↑   1 32 ↓   34 23   26 44   37 22   20 41   41 25   23
11-10-19 46 ↓ 49.3 °F 48 19 ↑ 17.6°F 17 25 ↓   19 10   3 33   36 23   29 48   45 25   22
11-09-19 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 72 39 ↑ 35.8°F 42 44 ↓ 49.3 °F 55 20 17.6°F 30 26   33 9   16 31   43 21   28
11-08-19 50 ↓ 48.8 °F 49 33 33.6°F 34 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 65 36 35.8°F 38 44 49.3 °F 51 15 17.6°F 29 27   31 7   15
11-07-19 35 ↓ 38.5 °F 37 23 ↑ 24.4°F 18 49 ↓ 48.8 °F 46 34 33.6°F 30 66 74.9 °F 63 36 35.8°F 35 46 49.3 °F 43 18 17.6°F 25
11-06-19 46 ↓ 45.7 °F 39 20 ↑ 15.6°F 20 36 ↓ 38.5 °F 41 23 24.4°F 18 51 48.8 °F 44 33 33.6°F 30 64 74.9 °F 68 36 35.8°F 35
11-05-19 50 51.2 °F 47 36 ↑ 38.1°F 32 50 ↓ 45.7 °F 50 23 15.6°F 23 37 38.5 °F 42 21 24.4°F 22 46 48.8 °F 47 30 33.6°F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 3 2 1 0 3 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 1
% Succ 50.0   50.0 50.0   33.3 20.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   25.0     33.3 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 2.9   2.8 2.2   4.0 4.0   5.0 2.4   6.4 4.5   5.5 1.7   4.6 5.7   5.0 1.4   4.6
Net Error -2.4   -2.7 0.8   -0.4 -2.2   0.0 1.8   2.4 -3.4   -2.9 -1.6   1.2 -5.7   -5.0 -1.0   0.3
Std Dev 2.7   2.4 1.6   2.9 3.6   4.0 2.0   5.4 3.9   5.1 1.5   5.2 5.7   5.0 1.4   4.6

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-11-19 22 ↓   2 1   34 32 ↓   25 23   43 44   19 22   40 41   21 25   53
11-10-19 48 ↓ 49.3 °F 19 19 ↑ 17.6°F 23 23 ↓   5 6   35 32   28 23   44 45   23 24   42
11-09-19 73 ↓ 74.9 °F 42 35 ↑ 35.8°F 59 44 ↓ 49.3 °F 29 18 17.6°F 31 26   15 8   42 32   29 23   48
11-08-19 50 ↓ 48.8 °F 35 33 33.6°F 66 67 ↓ 74.9 °F 38 36 35.8°F 50 44 49.3 °F 29 15 17.6°F 32 27   14 7   40
11-07-19 36 ↓ 38.5 °F 21 20 24.4°F 49 50 48.8 °F 32 31 33.6°F 64 68 74.9 °F 38 36 35.8°F 46 46 49.3 °F 24 17 17.6°F 29
11-06-19 46 ↓ 45.7 °F 18 19 ↑ 15.6°F 40 36 ↓ 38.5 °F 17 22 24.4°F 44 51 48.8 °F 24 33 33.6°F 67 64 74.9 °F 34 36 35.8°F 47
11-05-19 51 51.2 °F 35 37 ↑ 38.1°F 52 47 ↓ 45.7 °F 25 21 15.6°F 43 37 38.5 °F 23 22 24.4°F 47 48 48.8 °F 28 31 33.6°F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 4 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 66.7   0.0 40.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 1.2   23.1 2.0   20.7 3.6   23.2 2.2   21.0 4.0   24.4 1.5   20.2 5.0   29.0 1.1   18.3
Net Error -0.7   -23.1 -0.4   20.7 -2.6   -23.2 0.2   21.0 -2.9   -24.4 -1.4   20.2 -5.0   -29.0 -1.0   18.3
Std Dev 0.9   11.7 1.6   11.8 3.3   16.2 1.8   14.7 3.5   21.2 1.4   17.7 5.0   29.0 1.1   18.3

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-11-19 1   5 32 ↓   36 23   26 44   44 22   19 41   40 25   22 53   53
11-10-19 19 ↑ 17.6°F 18 23 ↓ 49.3 °F 21 6   3 32   35 23   28 45   44 24   24 44   42
11-09-19 35 ↑ 35.8°F 39 44 ↓ 74.9 °F 56 18 ↑ 17.6°F 29 26 49.3 °F 30 8   14 32   42 23   29 48   48
11-08-19 33 33.6°F 34 67 ↓ 48.8 °F 67 36 ↑ 35.8°F 38 44 74.9 °F 50 15 17.6°F 29 27 49.3 °F 31 7   14 30   39
11-07-19 20 24.4°F 21 51 ↓ 38.5 °F 50 31 33.6°F 33 68 48.8 °F 64 36 35.8°F 38 46 74.9 °F 47 17 17.6°F 25 26 49.3 °F 29
11-06-19 19 ↑ 15.6°F 19 36 ↓ 45.7 °F 40 22 24.4°F 18 51 38.5 °F 43 33 33.6°F 24 64 48.8 °F 67 36 35.8°F 34 46 74.9 °F 47
11-05-19 37 ↑ 38.1°F 37 47 ↓ 51.2 °F 54 21 ↑ 15.6°F 27 37 45.7 °F 44 22 24.4°F 24 48 38.5 °F 47 31 33.6°F 28 61 48.8 °F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 3 0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 0
% Succ 66.7   50.0     0.0 40.0   20.0     20.0 50.0   25.0     0.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.0 17.0   14.2 2.2   6.4 18.9   13.1 1.5   5.9 19.0   18.2 1.1   4.9 21.5   21.8
Net Error -0.4   0.5 -6.7   -3.4 0.2   3.6 -6.2   -5.2 -1.4   0.9 -6.6   -4.9 -1.0   0.0 -13.3   -10.3
Std Dev 1.6   1.6 10.4   9.3 1.8   5.6 13.3   10.3 1.4   5.8 16.5   15.8 1.1   4.9 21.5   21.8

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-11-19 1   6 32 ↓   36 23   27 44   46 22   21 41   41 25   23 53   56
11-10-19 19 ↑ 10.9°F 17 23 ↓ 49.3 °F 20 6   2 32   35 23   27 45   43 24   20 44   40
11-09-19 35 ↑ 26.9°F 37 44 ↓ 74.9 °F 53 18 ↑ 10.9°F 23 26 49.3 °F 25 8   7 32   39 23   30 48   44
11-08-19 33 47.6°F 35 67 ↓ 48.8 °F 67 36 ↑ 26.9°F 39 44 74.9 °F 52 15 10.9°F 29 27 49.3 °F 32 7   14 30   39
11-07-19 20 38.8°F 23 51 ↓ 38.5 °F 50 31 47.6°F 32 68 48.8 °F 63 36 26.9°F 35 46 74.9 °F 44 17 10.9°F 28 26 49.3 °F 33
11-06-19 19 ↑ 25.8°F 17 36 ↓ 45.7 °F 40 22 38.8°F 18 51 38.5 °F 45 33 47.6°F 26 64 48.8 °F 65 36 26.9°F 33 46 74.9 °F 44
11-05-19 37 ↑ 26.0°F 38 47 ↓ 51.2 °F 57 21 ↑ 25.8°F 24 37 45.7 °F 43 22 38.8°F 23 48 38.5 °F 49 31 47.6°F 32 61 48.8 °F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0     0.0     20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 11.2   10.9 17.0   15.4 10.9   12.5 18.9   14.1 11.2   15.9 19.0   18.7 10.6   12.9 21.5   20.1
Net Error -2.2   -1.5 -6.7   -3.6 -4.4   -2.8 -6.2   -5.8 -4.6   -2.8 -6.6   -5.4 -0.5   2.5 -13.3   -11.3
Std Dev 6.2   5.4 10.4   9.9 7.6   8.0 13.3   10.8 10.3   13.8 16.5   16.2 10.6   12.9 21.5   20.1

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.