Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 19-Mar-2024 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight
Clear
Clear
Low: 36°
Tuesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 64°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 33°
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 53°
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 32°
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 44°
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 41°
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 50°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 28°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 19-Mar-2024 1:06am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Clear
Clear

Lo 31 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 67 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 33 °F ↑
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 47 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 29 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 55 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Lo 34 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Light Rain then Mostly Sunny
Chance Light Rain then Mostly Sunny

Hi 53 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 28 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 18 ↑   20 48   41 33   31 67   61 33   34 51   50 29   33 59   55
03-17-24 30 ↑ 24.9°F 30 45 41.7 °F 43 20   20 48   45 34   35 63   63 32   31 60   54
03-16-24 40 36.6°F 39 60 ↓ 58.8 °F 61 30 ↑ 24.9°F 34 47 41.7 °F 46 20   24 50   50 36   36 65   60
03-15-24 36 ↑ 44.0°F 39 59 60.7 °F 60 38 36.6°F 36 61 58.8 °F 63 31 24.9°F 34 50 41.7 °F 48 22   27 53   53
03-14-24 48 ↑ 47.4°F 41 56 ↓ 54.3 °F 44 36 ↑ 44.0°F 28 57 60.7 °F 52 38 36.6°F 36 61 58.8 °F 58 30 24.9°F 33 47 41.7 °F 51
03-13-24 41 ↑ 51.7°F 39 72 71.6 °F 70 47 ↑ 47.4°F 49 60 54.3 °F 57 36 44.0°F 38 56 60.7 °F 56 34 36.6°F 37 63 58.8 °F 60
03-12-24 45 ↑ 44.3°F 44 72 70.9 °F 73 40 51.7°F 41 73 71.6 °F 74 47 47.4°F 51 58 54.3 °F 65 35 44.0°F 37 56 60.7 °F 48
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 5 3 2 2 1 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7 83.3   50.0 40.0   40.0 20.0   0.0 50.0   25.0     25.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 4.8   5.3 1.6   3.0 5.3   7.6 3.7   4.5 4.0   4.8 4.7   5.6 5.6   5.2 4.7   7.7
Net Error -1.5   -2.8 1.0   -1.2 -2.7   -3.3 2.2   1.0 -0.2   1.5 2.4   2.9 -2.2   0.5 1.6   -0.7
Std Dev 3.8   3.9 1.1   3.5 4.0   6.9 2.5   3.4 3.6   4.7 4.5   4.9 5.6   5.2 4.7   7.7

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 18 ↑   41 46   31 33 ↑   61 67   34 34   49 49   33 30   55 62   34
03-17-24 28 ↑ 21.5°F 44 43 41.7 °F 22 19 ↑   47 49   35 35   63 66   31 32   54 52   31
03-16-24 40 ↑ 33.8°F 63 60 ↓ 58.8 °F 34 30 ↑ 21.5°F 47 46 41.7 °F 24 19   50 50   36 37   60 63   31
03-15-24 36 ↑ 43.1°F 60 59 ↓ 60.7 °F 37 37 ↑ 33.8°F 63 62 58.8 °F 34 31 21.5°F 49 49 41.7 °F 27 20   53 52   38
03-14-24 48 ↑ 41.5°F 55 54 ↓ 54.3 °F 39 36 ↑ 43.1°F 57 58 60.7 °F 38 38 33.8°F 60 62 58.8 °F 33 32 21.5°F 52 52 41.7 °F 27
03-13-24 38 ↑ 50.2°F 71 71 71.6 °F 49 48 ↑ 41.5°F 57 57 54.3 °F 39 36 43.1°F 56 57 60.7 °F 38 38 33.8°F 60 61 58.8 °F 36
03-12-24 45 ↑ 40.6°F 75 69 70.9 °F 42 40 ↑ 50.2°F 74 72 71.6 °F 51 48 41.5°F 65 61 54.3 °F 37 35 43.1°F 48 56 60.7 °F 32
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 100.0   0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.2   22.9 1.2   22.5 7.1   21.6 2.7   20.2 6.8   22.5 5.2   20.1 7.6   20.5 5.7   22.1
Net Error 0.7   22.9 -0.3   -22.5 0.2   21.6 1.6   -20.2 3.3   22.5 3.4   -20.1 2.2   20.5 2.6   -22.1
Std Dev 3.6   10.7 0.7   9.8 4.9   14.6 1.9   13.0 6.1   19.7 4.6   17.6 7.6   20.5 5.7   22.1

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 46   40 33 ↑   30 67   62 34   31 49   52 30   32 62   51 33   39
03-17-24 43 41.7 °F 43 19 ↑ 21.6°F 22 49   47 35   34 66   63 32   32 52   50 29   31
03-16-24 60 ↓ 58.8 °F 63 30 ↑ 32.3°F 35 46 41.7 °F 46 19 21.6°F 24 50   48 37   36 63   59 31   30
03-15-24 59 ↓ 60.7 °F 59 37 ↑ 43.1°F 37 62 58.8 °F 60 31 32.3°F 34 49 41.7 °F 49 20 21.6°F 26 52   52 36   36
03-14-24 54 ↓ 54.3 °F 50 36 ↑ 37.0°F 37 58 60.7 °F 57 38 43.1°F 36 62 58.8 °F 60 32 32.3°F 32 52 41.7 °F 51 22 21.6°F 28
03-13-24 71 71.6 °F 70 48 ↑ 48.6°F 48 57 ↓ 54.3 °F 55 36 37.0°F 39 57 60.7 °F 56 38 43.1°F 39 61 58.8 °F 64 30 32.3°F 37
03-12-24 69 70.9 °F 75 40 ↑ 38.9°F 41 72 71.6 °F 73 48 48.6°F 51 61 54.3 °F 52 35 37.0°F 35 56 60.7 °F 53 34 43.1°F 35
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 3 3 3 1 3 3 2 0 1 3 2 0 0 1 0
% Succ 100.0   50.0 50.0   50.0 20.0   60.0 60.0   40.0     25.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 1.2   2.9 2.3   2.0 2.7   2.3 2.1   3.1 5.2   3.9 2.3   2.7 5.7   7.4 3.9   6.4
Net Error -0.3   0.3 -1.9   -0.3 1.6   0.8 -2.1   0.3 3.4   0.4 -2.3   -0.5 2.6   2.3 -3.7   1.0
Std Dev 0.7   1.7 2.0   2.2 1.9   1.9 1.9   2.8 4.6   3.8 2.0   2.5 5.7   7.4 3.9   6.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 46   41 33 ↑   30 67   62 34   31 49   53 30   32 62   51 33   39
03-17-24 43 41.7 °F 42 19 ↑ 21.6°F 20 49   46 35   34 66   63 32   32 52   50 29   31
03-16-24 60 ↓ 58.8 °F 60 30 ↑ 32.4°F 34 46 41.7 °F 48 19 21.6°F 25 50   48 37   36 63   59 31   30
03-15-24 59 ↓ 60.7 °F 59 37 ↑ 43.2°F 37 62 58.8 °F 62 31 32.4°F 37 49 41.7 °F 49 20 21.6°F 25 52   52 36   36
03-14-24 54 ↓ 54.3 °F 52 36 ↑ 37.0°F 36 58 60.7 °F 57 38 43.2°F 35 62 58.8 °F 62 32 32.4°F 31 52 41.7 °F 50 22 21.6°F 26
03-13-24 71 71.6 °F 71 48 ↑ 48.2°F 48 57 ↓ 54.3 °F 54 36 37.0°F 38 57 60.7 °F 55 38 43.2°F 38 61 58.8 °F 64 30 32.4°F 37
03-12-24 69 70.9 °F 72 40 ↑ 38.9°F 40 72 71.6 °F 72 48 48.2°F 50 61 54.3 °F 51 35 37.0°F 36 56 60.7 °F 53 34 43.2°F 35
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 5 3 5 1 2 3 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 0
% Succ 100.0   83.3 50.0   83.3 20.0   40.0 60.0   40.0     0.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 1.2   1.2 2.3   2.0 2.7   2.8 2.1   3.8 5.2   4.9 2.3   2.8 5.7   7.1 4.0   5.7
Net Error -0.3   -0.3 -1.9   -1.1 1.6   1.2 -2.1   0.5 3.4   0.4 -2.3   -1.1 2.6   1.9 -3.7   0.3
Std Dev 0.7   0.8 2.1   2.1 1.9   2.4 2.0   3.1 4.6   4.4 2.0   2.4 5.7   7.1 4.0   5.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 46   43 33 ↑   31 67   62 34   32 49   51 30   31 62   50 33   39
03-17-24 43 41.7 °F 43 19 ↑ 21.6°F 21 49   46 35   33 66   63 32   33 52   50 29   33
03-15-24 59 ↓ 58.8 °F 58 37 ↑ 32.4°F 37 62 41.7 °F 61 31 21.6°F 35 49   47 20   24 52   50 36   36
03-14-24 54 ↓ 54.3 °F 52 36 ↑ 37.0°F 38 58 58.8 °F 59 38 32.4°F 36 62 41.7 °F 61 32 21.6°F 36 52   52 22   25
03-13-24 71 71.6 °F 73 48 ↑ 48.2°F 49 56 ↓ 54.3 °F 53 36 37.0°F 38 57 58.8 °F 56 38 32.4°F 38 61 41.7 °F 62 30 21.6°F 36
03-12-24 69 70.9 °F 68 41 ↑ 38.9°F 39 72 71.6 °F 71 47 48.2°F 49 60 54.3 °F 52 36 37.0°F 35 56 58.8 °F 53 34 32.4°F 38
03-11-24 76 74.8 °F 73 46 ↑ 47.1°F 44 74 70.9 °F 72 40 38.9°F 42 73 71.6 °F 73 43 48.2°F 50 54 54.3 °F 54 33 37.0°F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 4 3 4 3 4 3 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1
% Succ 100.0   66.7 50.0   66.7 60.0   80.0 60.0   40.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 0.9   1.8 1.9   1.7 5.3   4.5 3.7   4.4 7.3   6.5 5.6   6.0 7.5   8.8 4.7   7.0
Net Error 0.0   -0.8 0.3   0.5 4.9   3.7 2.8   4.4 6.4   3.9 2.5   5.0 5.4   4.7 2.0   7.0
Std Dev 0.7   1.0 1.6   1.7 7.9   7.6 3.8   5.1 9.1   8.5 5.4   6.7 7.5   8.8 4.7   7.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 46 ↓   31 31 ↑   61 67   32 33   52 47   31 29   50 55   39 34   45
03-17-24 43 ↓ 41.7 °F 19 20 21.6°F 46 48   33 33   63 67   33 33   51 51   33 29   58
03-16-24 60 ↓ 58.8 °F 60 30 ↑ 32.4°F 34 45 41.7 °F 48 20 21.6°F 25 48   48 34   36 63   59 32   30
03-15-24 59 ↓ 60.7 °F 37 40 43.2°F 59 60 ↓ 58.8 °F 32 30 32.4°F 48 47 41.7 °F 24 20 21.6°F 50 50   36 36   62
03-14-24 54 ↓ 54.3 °F 38 36 ↑ 37.0°F 60 59 60.7 °F 36 38 43.2°F 61 61 58.8 °F 36 31 32.4°F 52 50 41.7 °F 25 22 21.6°F 48
03-13-24 71 71.6 °F 48 48 ↑ 48.2°F 53 56 ↓ 54.3 °F 39 36 37.0°F 56 57 60.7 °F 39 38 43.2°F 62 61 58.8 °F 37 30 32.4°F 53
03-12-24 69 70.9 °F 40 41 ↑ 38.9°F 71 72 71.6 °F 48 47 48.2°F 52 60 54.3 °F 35 36 37.0°F 54 56 60.7 °F 38 34 43.2°F 59
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 1 3 1 4 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 100.0   16.7 50.0   16.7 80.0   0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 1.2   19.7 1.8   17.0 1.7   19.3 2.3   11.9 4.2   20.4 2.3   21.0 5.1   20.4 4.0   20.9
Net Error -0.3   -19.3 -1.1   17.0 1.0   -16.8 -2.3   11.9 2.4   -20.4 -2.3   21.0 1.9   -20.4 -3.7   20.9
Std Dev 0.7   11.4 1.2   11.3 1.3   14.2 2.0   9.0 3.7   17.7 2.0   18.5 5.1   20.4 4.0   20.9

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 31 ↑   31 67   61 33 ↑   31 47   52 29   31 55   45 34   42 53   50
03-17-24 20 21.6°F 19 48 41.7 °F 44 33   33 67   62 33   35 51   51 29   33 59   61
03-16-24 30 ↑ 32.4°F 32 45 58.8 °F 44 20 21.6°F 24 48 41.7 °F 49 34   36 63   62 32   32 60   52
03-15-24 40 43.2°F 38 60 ↓ 60.7 °F 60 30 ↑ 32.4°F 36 47 58.8 °F 47 20 21.6°F 23 50 41.7 °F 50 36   36 65   61
03-14-24 36 ↑ 37.0°F 36 59 54.3 °F 58 38 43.2°F 36 61 60.7 °F 62 31 32.4°F 32 50 58.8 °F 49 22 21.6°F 26 53 41.7 °F 51
03-13-24 48 ↑ 48.2°F 49 56 ↓ 71.6 °F 55 36 ↑ 37.0°F 39 57 54.3 °F 55 38 43.2°F 39 61 60.7 °F 58 30 32.4°F 33 47 58.8 °F 50
03-12-24 41 ↑ 38.9°F 42 72 70.9 °F 71 47 ↑ 48.2°F 48 60 71.6 °F 51 36 37.0°F 36 56 54.3 °F 53 34 43.2°F 37 63 60.7 °F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 2 2 3 2 1 2 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 60.0   40.0 20.0   40.0 75.0   75.0 50.0   25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 1.8   2.2 7.0   6.4 2.3   3.1 6.5   8.3 2.3   1.8 4.8   5.5 4.0   3.7 8.5   7.6
Net Error -1.1   -0.9 -3.0   -4.3 -2.3   0.1 -2.8   -4.6 -2.3   -1.1 0.4   -1.4 -3.7   -0.4 0.6   -1.4
Std Dev 1.2   1.9 6.0   6.7 2.0   2.7 5.5   6.4 2.0   1.5 4.5   5.0 4.0   3.7 8.5   7.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-18-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-18-24 31 ↑   32 67   62 33 ↑   32 47   53 29   31 55   45 34   42 53   50
03-17-24 20 37.1°F 21 48 41.7 °F 45 33   33 67   62 33   35 51   51 29   33 59   61
03-16-24 30 ↑ 28.0°F 32 45 58.8 °F 44 20 37.1°F 23 48 41.7 °F 49 34   35 63   62 32   32 60   52
03-15-24 40 43.1°F 38 60 ↓ 60.7 °F 61 30 ↑ 28.0°F 33 47 58.8 °F 47 20 37.1°F 24 50 41.7 °F 50 36   36 65   61
03-14-24 36 ↑ 45.5°F 38 59 54.3 °F 59 38 43.1°F 36 61 60.7 °F 62 31 28.0°F 33 50 58.8 °F 49 22 37.1°F 26 53 41.7 °F 51
03-13-24 48 ↑ 47.7°F 50 56 ↓ 71.6 °F 53 36 ↑ 45.5°F 37 57 54.3 °F 55 38 43.1°F 38 61 60.7 °F 58 30 28.0°F 33 47 58.8 °F 50
03-12-24 41 ↑ 58.0°F 40 72 70.9 °F 71 47 ↑ 47.7°F 48 60 71.6 °F 52 36 45.5°F 36 56 54.3 °F 53 34 43.1°F 37 63 60.7 °F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 2 2 2 1 1 2 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 33.3   33.3 40.0   20.0 20.0   40.0     0.0 50.0   25.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 8.2   8.8 7.0   7.0 6.9   7.0 6.5   8.1 8.7   8.2 4.8   5.5 8.7   7.4 8.5   7.6
Net Error -7.4   -6.7 -3.0   -4.2 -6.1   -4.9 -2.8   -4.4 -7.2   -5.7 0.4   -1.4 -7.4   -4.1 0.6   -1.4
Std Dev 6.8   6.0 6.0   7.2 6.7   5.5 5.5   6.2 8.6   7.5 4.5   5.0 8.7   7.4 8.5   7.6

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.