Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 07-Oct-2022 08:00 am

Today

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 58°
Tonight

Clear
Clear
Low: 32°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 64°
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 43°
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 74°
Sunday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 43°
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 78°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 55°
Tuesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 84°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 07-Oct-2022 8:16am CDT

Today

Today: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 58 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Clear then Widespread Frost
Clear then Widespread Frost

Lo 31 °F ↑
Saturday

Saturday: Widespread Frost then Sunny
Widespread Frost then Sunny

Hi 67 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 44 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 77 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 46 °F
Columbus
Day
Columbus Day: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 77 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 53 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 82 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-07-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-07-22 42 ↑   42 56 ↓   57 30   32 67   64 44   38 76   73 44   43 75   77
10-06-22 53 ↑ 47.5°F 49 72 ↓ 73.0 °F 72 42 ↑   45 56   60 34   37 66   69 45   46 75   75
10-05-22 54 ↑ 53.5°F 53 77 78.3 °F 75 54 47.5°F 53 72 73.0 °F 74 40   48 58   62 36   39 66   71
10-04-22 55 ↑ 57.3°F 58 80 ↓ 82.5 °F 84 55 53.5°F 57 77 78.3 °F 78 54 47.5°F 53 70 73.0 °F 71 38   45 56   64
10-03-22 54 ↑ 63.6°F 56 83 ↓ 84.0 °F 83 55 ↑ 57.3°F 57 79 82.5 °F 83 54 53.5°F 54 78 78.3 °F 79 54 47.5°F 54 69 73.0 °F 75
10-02-22 52 ↑ 62.6°F 56 82 ↓ 82.2 °F 83 52 ↑ 63.6°F 54 84 84.0 °F 79 56 57.3°F 55 80 82.5 °F 79 55 53.5°F 54 77 78.3 °F 78
10-01-22 55 ↑ 60.8°F 57 80 ↓ 81.5 °F 84 51 ↑ 62.6°F 55 81 82.2 °F 82 53 63.6°F 52 83 84.0 °F 79 56 57.3°F 55 77 82.5 °F 81
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 5 4 1 1 4 4 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 3
% Succ 16.7   50.0 83.3   66.7 20.0   20.0 80.0   80.0 50.0   25.0 50.0   50.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   100.0
Ave Error 5.7   3.5 1.3   1.7 6.7   5.3 1.4   1.4 4.7   5.0 1.7   2.8 3.1   3.1 3.6   1.3
Net Error -3.7   -2.7 -1.3   -0.1 -3.5   -1.7 -1.4   -0.8 -1.2   -2.0 -1.7   -2.5 2.2   1.6 -3.6   0.1
Std Dev 4.3   3.1 0.9   1.1 5.2   4.1 1.3   1.1 4.2   4.3 1.6   2.5 3.1   3.1 3.6   1.3

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-07-22 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-07-22 41 ↑   58 58   32 31 ↑   64 67   38 44   73 77   43 46   77 77   50
10-06-22 52 46.1°F 71 72 ↓ 73.0 °F 46 43 ↑   60 57   37 34   69 67   46 45   75 75   42
10-05-22 54 50.9°F 77 76 78.3 °F 54 53 46.1°F 76 73 73.0 °F 48 43   62 58   39 36   71 66   46
10-04-22 >75 54.5°F 84 <55 82.5 °F 57 75 50.9°F 78 <55 78.3 °F 53 70 46.1°F 71 >35 73.0 °F 45 55   64 35   44
10-03-22 53 ↑ 58.9°F 82 84 84.0 °F 55 55 ↑ 54.5°F 81 80 82.5 °F 53 54 50.9°F 78 78 78.3 °F 53 54 46.1°F 75 69 73.0 °F 43
10-02-22 52 ↑ 59.9°F 84 82 82.2 °F 54 52 ↑ 58.9°F 81 84 84.0 °F 53 56 54.5°F 75 80 82.5 °F 53 54 50.9°F 77 75 78.3 °F 49
10-01-22 55 ↑ 57.2°F 83 83 81.5 °F 54 51 ↑ 59.9°F 82 84 82.2 °F 52 53 58.9°F 80 84 84.0 °F 55 56 54.5°F 82 78 82.5 °F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 66.7   0.0 20.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 13.3   25.6 14.6   26.9 9.5   25.5 16.5   28.2 8.6   23.4 19.0   28.0 4.2   27.5 3.9   28.6
Net Error -10.3   25.6 -14.1   -26.9 3.1   25.5 -15.8   -28.2 5.7   23.4 -19.0   -28.0 4.2   27.5 -3.9   -28.6
Std Dev 18.8   10.6 30.5   11.1 9.8   16.3 31.1   17.9 10.7   20.3 31.6   24.2 4.2   27.5 3.9   28.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-07-22 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-07-22 58   58 31 ↑   32 67   64 44   43 77   74 46   43 77   78 53   55
10-06-22 72 ↓ 73.0 °F 71 43 ↑ 43.1°F 46 57 ↓   60 34   37 67   69 45   46 75   75 45   42
10-05-22 76 49.5°F 75 53 78.3 °F 54 73 ↓ 73.0 °F 75 43 43.1°F 47 58   59 36   39 66   69 46   45
10-04-22 80 ↓ 82.5 °F 85 54 ↑ 52.7°F 58 76 ↓ 49.5°F 81 54 78.3 °F 56 70 73.0 °F 78 38 43.1°F 46 57   64 37   44
10-03-22 84 84.0 °F 79 55 ↑ 58.3°F 53 80 ↓ 82.5 °F 80 54 52.7°F 54 78 49.5°F 78 54 78.3 °F 52 69 73.0 °F 71 39 43.1°F 42
10-02-22 82 82.2 °F 84 52 ↑ 55.5°F 57 84 84.0 °F 83 56 58.3°F 55 80 82.5 °F 81 54 52.7°F 54 75 49.5°F 77 53 78.3 °F 50
10-01-22 83 81.5 °F 83 51 ↑ 56.9°F 54 84 82.2 °F 82 53 55.5°F 52 84 84.0 °F 80 56 58.3°F 55 78 82.5 °F 82 53 52.7°F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 3 2 1 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 1
% Succ 66.7   50.0 33.3   16.7 60.0   60.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0     66.7 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 5.3   6.4 6.6   7.0 6.2   7.4 6.1   6.9 8.5   9.8 8.3   8.5 11.3   10.0 9.9   10.9
Net Error 4.1   4.1 -6.1   -3.8 5.2   6.0 -5.6   -4.8 5.8   7.0 -7.6   -6.4 5.7   8.3 -9.7   -8.7
Std Dev 9.6   8.8 9.0   8.2 10.4   12.2 9.6   8.6 7.9   8.8 7.3   7.8 11.3   10.0 9.9   10.9

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-06-22 72 ↓   71 43 ↑   46 57 ↓   60 34   37 67   69 45   46 75   75 45   42
10-05-22 76 49.5°F 74 53 78.3 °F 52 73 ↓   73 43   47 58   59 36   39 66   69 46   45
10-04-22 81 ↓ 82.5 °F 82 54 ↑ 52.7°F 56 76 ↓ 49.5°F 79 54 78.3 °F 54 70   76 38   46 57   63 37   44
10-03-22 84 84.0 °F 82 55 ↑ 58.3°F 57 80 ↓ 82.5 °F 83 54 52.7°F 55 78 49.5°F 79 54 78.3 °F 52 69   72 39   41
10-02-22 82 82.2 °F 81 52 ↑ 55.5°F 55 84 84.0 °F 82 56 58.3°F 55 80 82.5 °F 81 54 52.7°F 54 75 49.5°F 77 53 78.3 °F 50
10-01-22 83 81.5 °F 81 54 ↑ 56.8°F 53 84 82.2 °F 80 53 55.5°F 54 84 84.0 °F 80 58 58.3°F 54 78 82.5 °F 81 53 52.7°F 55
09-30-22 82 ↓ 81.5 °F 79 55 ↑ 55.0°F 52 80 ↓ 81.5 °F 81 51 56.8°F 53 81 82.2 °F 81 53 55.5°F 53 82 84.0 °F 78 56 58.3°F 57
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 4 2 2 3 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
% Succ 83.3   66.7 33.3   33.3 60.0   60.0 20.0   20.0 50.0   50.0 50.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 5.0   5.2 6.0   6.4 6.5   6.9 7.2   7.0 8.1   9.1 7.1   8.6 10.7   11.7 9.3   10.6
Net Error 4.5   3.0 -5.6   -5.3 4.9   5.1 -6.7   -6.1 6.2   5.7 -6.5   -8.0 6.3   6.7 -9.1   -9.1
Std Dev 9.7   8.9 8.7   9.3 10.4   11.6 9.5   9.3 12.4   12.9 10.6   11.6 10.7   11.7 9.3   10.6

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-06-22 73 ↓   73 43 ↑   44 57 ↓   59 34   35 67   67 45   44 75   75 45   46
10-05-22 75 78.3 °F 79 <55 49.5°F 53 <75   75 <45   47 55   59 35   37 65   66 <55   44
10-04-22 81 82.5 °F 83 54 ↑ 52.7°F 55 77 78.3 °F 78 54 49.5°F 53 70   74 38   46 57   63 37   42
10-03-22 84 84.0 °F 83 55 ↑ 58.3°F 56 80 ↓ 82.5 °F 80 54 52.7°F 56 78 78.3 °F 78 54 49.5°F 55 69   72 39   42
10-02-22 82 82.2 °F 81 52 ↑ 55.5°F 53 84 84.0 °F 79 56 58.3°F 54 80 82.5 °F 80 54 52.7°F 53 75 78.3 °F 77 53 49.5°F 49
10-01-22 83 81.5 °F 80 54 ↑ 56.8°F 53 84 82.2 °F 80 53 55.5°F 54 84 84.0 °F 79 58 58.3°F 56 78 82.5 °F 81 53 52.7°F 58
09-30-22 82 ↓ 81.5 °F 79 55 ↑ 55.0°F 53 80 ↓ 81.5 °F 80 51 56.8°F 53 81 82.2 °F 80 53 55.5°F 51 82 84.0 °F 79 56 58.3°F 55
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 5 2 1 4 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 2 1 1
% Succ 83.3   83.3 33.3   16.7 80.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   25.0 50.0   25.0 33.3   66.7 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 1.2   1.2 10.1   2.7 1.4   2.3 3.3   3.3 1.0   2.5 2.2   3.2 3.3   2.6 2.0   3.0
Net Error -0.5   -0.8 -9.6   -0.8 -0.7   -2.3 -1.0   -0.6 -1.0   -2.5 0.8   -0.3 -3.3   -2.6 0.5   0.5
Std Dev 1.2   0.6 17.7   1.3 1.2   2.1 2.4   2.1 0.9   2.4 2.2   3.0 3.3   2.6 2.0   3.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-06-22 73 ↓   45 42 ↑   59 56 ↓   35 30   67 67   44 44   75 76   47 44   77
10-05-22 76 ↓ 78.3 °F 52 53 ↑ 49.5°F 75 72 ↓   48 42   58 56   38 34   65 66   44 45   72
10-04-22 83 ↓ 82.5 °F 56 54 ↑ 52.7°F 77 77 78.3 °F 52 54 49.5°F 73 72   45 40   62 58   42 36   69
10-03-22 86 ↓ 84.0 °F 56 56 ↑ 58.3°F 81 80 ↓ 82.5 °F 56 55 52.7°F 78 77 78.3 °F 55 54 49.5°F 72 70   42 38   63
10-02-22 82 82.2 °F 55 54 ↑ 55.5°F 80 83 84.0 °F 56 56 58.3°F 81 80 82.5 °F 54 54 52.7°F 77 78 78.3 °F 49 54 49.5°F 71
10-01-22 82 81.5 °F 54 52 ↑ 56.8°F 81 82 ↓ 82.2 °F 54 52 55.5°F 80 84 84.0 °F 55 56 58.3°F 80 80 82.5 °F 57 55 52.7°F 78
09-30-22 84 ↓ 81.5 °F 54 55 ↑ 55.0°F 80 80 ↓ 81.5 °F 53 51 56.8°F 80 81 82.2 °F 50 53 55.5°F 79 83 84.0 °F 55 56 58.3°F 79
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 3 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0 50.0   0.0 80.0   0.0     0.0 75.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.3   27.2 2.2   24.4 1.3   27.5 3.7   23.8 1.3   28.3 2.7   23.0 1.3   27.9 3.0   22.5
Net Error 0.5   -27.2 -0.6   24.4 -1.3   -27.5 -1.0   23.8 -1.3   -28.3 0.3   23.0 -1.3   -27.9 1.5   22.5
Std Dev 1.0   11.1 1.6   10.0 1.0   17.4 2.5   15.1 1.1   24.6 2.5   19.9 1.3   27.9 3.0   22.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-06-22 42 ↑   46 56 ↓   59 30   35 67   67 44   46 76   75 44   46 75   79
10-05-22 53 ↑ 49.5°F 54 72 ↓ 78.3 °F 74 42 ↑   48 56   60 34   38 66   69 45   46 75   75
10-04-22 54 ↑ 52.7°F 57 77 82.5 °F 76 54 49.5°F 51 72 78.3 °F 72 40   47 58   61 36   38 66   69
10-03-22 56 ↑ 58.3°F 57 80 ↓ 84.0 °F 83 55 52.7°F 58 77 82.5 °F 78 54 49.5°F 54 70 78.3 °F 76 38   44 56   63
10-02-22 54 ↑ 55.5°F 56 83 82.2 °F 83 56 ↑ 58.3°F 58 80 84.0 °F 82 54 52.7°F 54 78 82.5 °F 79 54 49.5°F 52 69 78.3 °F 74
10-01-22 52 ↑ 56.8°F 54 82 ↓ 81.5 °F 84 52 ↑ 55.5°F 54 84 82.2 °F 81 56 58.3°F 56 80 84.0 °F 81 55 52.7°F 54 77 82.5 °F 77
09-30-22 55 ↑ 55.0°F 56 80 ↓ 81.5 °F 84 51 ↑ 56.8°F 57 81 81.5 °F 82 53 55.5°F 52 83 82.2 °F 81 56 58.3°F 55 77 84.0 °F 79
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 3 2 0 4 2 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   50.0 50.0   33.3     80.0 40.0   60.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.2   2.4 3.1   2.9 3.7   1.8 3.6   2.9 2.7   2.9 4.4   2.5 3.0   2.4 7.3   4.9
Net Error -0.6   1.0 -2.7   -1.0 -1.0   1.0 -2.9   -2.7 0.3   0.0 -4.0   -2.5 1.5   0.2 -7.3   -4.9
Std Dev 1.6   1.8 2.5   2.3 2.5   2.0 2.7   2.5 2.5   2.6 4.3   2.2 3.0   2.4 7.3   4.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-06-22 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-06-22 42 ↑   46 56 ↓   60 30   36 67   68 44   46 76   75 44   46 75   79
10-05-22 53 ↑ 50.5°F 51 72 ↓ 78.3 °F 72 42 ↑   46 56   60 34   38 66   69 45   46 75   75
10-04-22 54 ↑ 56.7°F 55 77 82.5 °F 77 54 50.5°F 54 72 78.3 °F 76 40   48 58   61 36   38 66   69
10-03-22 56 ↑ 61.0°F 56 80 ↓ 84.0 °F 81 55 56.7°F 57 77 82.5 °F 78 54 50.5°F 53 70 78.3 °F 76 38   43 56   63
10-02-22 54 ↑ 66.4°F 56 83 82.2 °F 81 56 ↑ 61.0°F 55 80 84.0 °F 81 54 56.7°F 54 78 82.5 °F 78 54 50.5°F 52 69 78.3 °F 74
10-01-22 52 ↑ 66.8°F 54 82 ↓ 81.5 °F 81 52 ↑ 66.4°F 54 84 82.2 °F 79 56 61.0°F 56 80 84.0 °F 81 55 56.7°F 54 77 82.5 °F 77
09-30-22 55 ↑ 63.4°F 54 80 ↓ 81.5 °F 80 51 ↑ 66.8°F 53 81 81.5 °F 79 53 66.4°F 51 83 82.2 °F 80 56 61.0°F 54 77 84.0 °F 79
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 3 3 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0
% Succ     33.3 50.0   50.0 20.0   20.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 7.6   6.6 3.1   3.0 8.1   7.2 3.6   3.1 6.2   6.4 4.4   3.0 3.4   3.7 7.3   4.9
Net Error -6.8   -6.5 -2.7   -3.0 -6.7   -5.7 -2.9   -3.1 -4.4   -5.2 -4.0   -3.0 -1.1   -2.7 -7.3   -4.9
Std Dev 5.6   5.2 2.5   2.4 6.4   5.8 2.7   2.1 5.5   5.9 4.3   2.6 3.4   3.7 7.3   4.9

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.