Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 18-Feb-2026 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 62°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 36°
Thursday

Rain Sleet
Rain Sleet
High: 53°
Thursday
night
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Low: 21°
Friday

Mostly Sunny
Cold!
Mostly Sunny
Cold!
High: 38°
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 21°
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 40°
Saturday
night
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Low: 17°
Sunday

Sunny
Cold!
Sunny
Cold!
High: 36°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 18-Feb-2026 12:05pm CST

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 65 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 33 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Light Snow
Chance Light Snow

Hi 43 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Light Snow Likely
Light Snow Likely

Lo 18 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 34 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Light Snow
Chance Light Snow

Lo 17 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Light Snow
Slight Chance Light Snow

Hi 39 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 15 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 35 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-26 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-18-26 42   39 65   60 32   32 42   48 17   21 36   35 18   18 37   40
02-17-26 46 53.3°F 45 77 70.9 °F 74 41   42 65   63 34   28 48   44 17   16 38   35
02-16-26 46 48.2°F 43 69 67.4 °F 72 47 53.3°F 45 77 70.9 °F 74 42   39 65   61 32   30 46   49
02-15-26 33 51.6°F 36 67 67.7 °F 68 44 48.2°F 41 69 67.4 °F 72 46 53.3°F 43 77 70.9 °F 72 45   41 63   63
02-14-26 37 37.6°F 46 58 60.9 °F 56 35 51.6°F 37 66 67.7 °F 66 42 48.2°F 42 65 67.4 °F 69 45 53.3°F 43 74 70.9 °F 72
02-13-26 28 50.4°F 25 62 67.0 °F 63 38 37.6°F 40 56 60.9 °F 50 34 51.6°F 35 64 67.7 °F 64 41 48.2°F 40 63 67.4 °F 65
02-12-26 31 29.8°F 35 58 63.0 °F 65 29 50.4°F 30 60 67.0 °F 63 37 37.6°F 41 59 60.9 °F 62 32 51.6°F 31 63 67.7 °F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 1
% Succ 33.3   0.0 33.3   33.3 20.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   75.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 8.7   11.4 3.6   3.2 9.8   10.6 4.3   4.9 7.9   9.1 3.5   1.9 11.7   13.0 4.1   2.4
Net Error -8.3   -6.8 -1.0   0.2 -9.6   -9.6 -1.2   -1.8 -7.9   -7.4 -0.5   0.0 -11.7   -13.0 -2.0   -1.7
Std Dev 8.9   8.2 2.4   2.0 7.5   7.2 3.3   3.5 6.9   7.9 3.3   1.7 11.7   13.0 4.1   2.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-26 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-18-26 42   61 65   36 32   54 42   19 17   33 36   17 18   38 37   17
02-17-26 46 46.1°F 75 77 70.9 °F 41 41   65 65   38 34   48 48   18 17   39 38   22
02-16-26 46 48.2°F 73 69 67.4 °F 45 47 46.1°F 76 77 70.9 °F 40 42   61 65   36 32   54 46   20
02-15-26 33 50.0°F 66 67 67.7 °F 42 44 48.2°F 71 69 67.4 °F 45 46 46.1°F 72 77 70.9 °F 42 45   57 63   27
02-14-26 37 35.1°F 53 58 60.9 °F 33 35 50.0°F 66 66 67.7 °F 45 42 48.2°F 74 65 67.4 °F 46 45 46.1°F 77 74 70.9 °F 43
02-13-26 28 46.9°F 64 62 67.0 °F 40 38 35.1°F 54 56 60.9 °F 35 34 50.0°F 67 64 67.7 °F 39 41 48.2°F 66 63 67.4 °F 44
02-12-26 31 27.5°F 64 58 63.0 °F 29 29 46.9°F 64 60 67.0 °F 39 37 35.1°F 48 59 60.9 °F 34 32 50.0°F 60 63 67.7 °F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.3   23.5 3.6   27.8 8.2   20.9 4.3   26.0 6.1   20.4 3.5   26.5 8.8   19.6 4.1   27.0
Net Error -5.5   23.5 -1.0   -27.8 -6.7   20.9 -1.2   -26.0 -5.1   20.4 -0.5   -26.5 -8.8   19.6 -2.0   -27.0
Std Dev 8.0   10.9 2.4   11.6 7.1   14.0 3.3   16.7 6.0   17.9 3.3   23.0 8.8   19.6 4.1   27.0

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-26 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-18-26 66   61 33   36 42   54 17   19 36   33 18   17 37   38 14   17
02-17-26 77 70.9 °F 74 41 41.2°F 41 65   64 34   39 48   48 17   18 38   38 18   22
02-16-26 69 67.4 °F 72 47 48.2°F 44 77 70.9 °F 71 42 41.2°F 40 65   61 32   36 46   53 19   20
02-15-26 67 67.7 °F 63 44 49.3°F 42 69 67.4 °F 71 46 48.2°F 45 77 70.9 °F 72 45 41.2°F 42 63   58 31   26
02-14-26 58 60.9 °F 53 35 35.1°F 34 66 67.7 °F 66 42 49.3°F 45 65 67.4 °F 75 45 48.2°F 45 74 70.9 °F 77 43 41.2°F 43
02-13-26 63 67.0 °F 62 38 46.7°F 40 56 60.9 °F 53 34 35.1°F 35 64 67.7 °F 67 41 49.3°F 40 63 67.4 °F 65 44 48.2°F 44
02-12-26 59 63.0 °F 65 29 26.5°F 30 60 67.0 °F 64 37 46.7°F 40 59 60.9 °F 48 32 35.1°F 34 63 67.7 °F 60 40 49.3°F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 0 2 0 0 1 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7 50.0   33.3 40.0   40.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   50.0     50.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 3.2   4.6 3.0   3.8 4.3   3.3 4.2   3.1 3.5   5.6 4.6   3.6 4.1   5.4 5.1   5.8
Net Error -0.7   -1.3 -2.2   -2.7 -1.2   -1.8 -3.9   -3.1 -0.5   -1.2 -2.7   -3.2 -2.0   -1.3 -3.9   -4.6
Std Dev 2.2   2.4 3.3   3.0 3.3   2.6 3.5   2.2 3.3   5.3 4.0   3.4 4.1   5.4 5.1   5.8

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-18-26 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-18-26 65   62 33   36 42   53 17   21 36   38 18   21 37   40 14   17
02-17-26 77 70.9 °F 73 41 41.2°F 40 65   63 34   37 48   50 17   18 38   38 18   23
02-16-26 69 67.4 °F 73 47 48.2°F 45 77 70.9 °F 72 42 41.2°F 39 65   62 32   33 46   49 19   19
02-15-26 67 67.7 °F 65 44 49.3°F 41 69 67.4 °F 73 46 48.2°F 44 77 70.9 °F 73 45 41.2°F 38 63   59 31   27
02-14-26 59 60.9 °F 56 36 35.1°F 35 65 67.7 °F 68 43 49.3°F 41 67 67.4 °F 71 46 48.2°F 43 77 70.9 °F 73 44 41.2°F 45
02-13-26 63 67.0 °F 65 38 46.8°F 42 56 60.9 °F 53 34 35.1°F 35 64 67.7 °F 67 41 49.3°F 42 63 67.4 °F 68 44 48.2°F 44
02-12-26 59 63.0 °F 62 30 26.4°F 28 59 67.0 °F 64 37 46.8°F 37 59 60.9 °F 50 32 35.1°F 33 63 67.7 °F 64 40 49.3°F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 3 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3 50.0   50.0 20.0   40.0 40.0   20.0 50.0   25.0     0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 3.1   3.1 3.3   3.2 4.7   3.6 4.0   4.9 3.0   4.3 4.4   4.5 5.1   2.1 5.4   5.4
Net Error -0.5   -0.5 -1.8   -2.7 -1.6   -0.8 -3.7   -4.9 0.0   -1.5 -2.5   -4.5 -1.0   -0.3 -3.6   -2.9
Std Dev 2.2   1.9 3.3   3.0 3.4   3.1 3.2   3.7 3.0   3.9 3.8   3.9 5.1   2.1 5.4   5.4

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-17-26 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-17-26 77   71 41   40 65   64 33   37 44   50 18   18 37   37 20   23
02-16-26 70 67.4 °F 67 46 48.2°F 45 77   73 42   39 64   62 34   33 48   49 19   19
02-15-26 70 67.7 °F 67 44 49.3°F 39 69 67.4 °F 70 46 48.2°F 44 77   76 43   39 63   59 33   27
02-14-26 59 60.9 °F 60 35 35.1°F 36 65 67.7 °F 67 43 49.3°F 41 67 67.4 °F 71 46 48.2°F 43 77   73 44   45
02-13-26 63 67.0 °F 66 39 46.8°F 42 56 60.9 °F 54 34 35.1°F 36 65 67.7 °F 66 41 49.3°F 42 64 67.4 °F 68 44 48.2°F 44
02-12-26 59 63.0 °F 61 29 26.4°F 28 59 67.0 °F 63 37 46.8°F 37 56 60.9 °F 50 32 35.1°F 33 63 67.7 °F 63 42 49.3°F 41
02-11-26 53 52.4 °F 52 31 35.8°F 33 58 63.0 °F 59 29 26.4°F 30 60 67.0 °F 62 38 46.8°F 36 59 60.9 °F 64 34 35.1°F 29
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 6 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   100.0 16.7   33.3 20.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 2.6   0.9 3.8   3.9 4.4   3.6 4.4   5.4 3.8   5.3 5.6   6.4 3.3   2.8 4.2   6.2
Net Error -0.7   -0.9 -2.9   -3.1 -3.8   -2.6 -3.4   -3.6 -3.8   -3.5 -5.6   -6.4 -3.3   -0.3 -4.2   -6.2
Std Dev 1.4   0.6 2.9   3.5 3.2   3.1 3.4   4.2 3.7   4.7 5.1   5.5 3.3   2.8 4.2   6.2

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-17-26 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-17-26 75   40 41   64 65   37 33   51 44   19 18   35 37   21 20   36
02-16-26 70 67.4 °F 45 46 48.2°F 73 77   43 42   64 64   28 34   44 48   16 19   38
02-15-26 70 67.7 °F 41 44 49.3°F 72 69 67.4 °F 45 46 48.2°F 73 77   41 43   62 63   29 33   47
02-14-26 59 60.9 °F 35 35 35.1°F 66 65 67.7 °F 41 43 49.3°F 72 67 67.4 °F 43 46 48.2°F 73 77   45 44   58
02-13-26 64 67.0 °F 44 39 46.8°F 56 56 60.9 °F 36 34 35.1°F 67 65 67.7 °F 44 41 49.3°F 72 64 67.4 °F 45 44 48.2°F 75
02-12-26 59 63.0 °F 30 29 26.4°F 64 59 67.0 °F 38 37 46.8°F 48 56 60.9 °F 35 32 35.1°F 65 63 67.7 °F 41 42 49.3°F 67
02-11-26 53 52.4 °F 33 31 35.8°F 63 58 63.0 °F 28 29 26.4°F 62 60 67.0 °F 37 38 46.8°F 59 59 60.9 °F 29 34 35.1°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 16.7   0.0 20.0   0.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 2.4   25.1 3.8   25.4 4.4   27.6 4.4   23.2 3.8   26.0 5.6   22.4 3.3   27.0 4.2   23.5
Net Error -0.6   -25.1 -2.9   25.4 -3.8   -27.6 -3.4   23.2 -3.8   -26.0 -5.6   22.4 -3.3   -27.0 -4.2   23.5
Std Dev 1.2   10.8 2.9   13.5 3.2   17.7 3.4   15.2 3.7   22.5 5.1   19.4 3.3   27.0 4.2   23.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-17-26 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-17-26 42   37 65   62 32   37 44   51 18   19 37   35 20   21 39   36
02-16-26 46 48.2°F 45 77 67.4 °F 71 42   42 64   65 34   28 48   45 19   16 39   39
02-15-26 46 49.3°F 40 69 67.7 °F 70 47 48.2°F 45 77 67.4 °F 75 42   41 63   62 33   29 47   47
02-14-26 33 35.1°F 36 67 60.9 °F 66 44 49.3°F 41 69 67.7 °F 72 46 48.2°F 43 77 67.4 °F 73 44   45 65   59
02-13-26 39 46.8°F 45 56 67.0 °F 56 34 35.1°F 36 65 60.9 °F 68 41 49.3°F 44 64 67.7 °F 72 44 48.2°F 45 72 67.4 °F 76
02-12-26 29 26.4°F 29 59 63.0 °F 64 37 46.8°F 38 56 67.0 °F 48 32 35.1°F 34 63 60.9 °F 65 42 49.3°F 41 66 67.7 °F 67
02-11-26 31 35.8°F 34 58 52.4 °F 63 29 26.4°F 29 60 63.0 °F 62 38 46.8°F 38 59 67.0 °F 59 34 35.1°F 30 63 60.9 °F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 2
% Succ     50.0 16.7   16.7 40.0   20.0 20.0   20.0     25.0     0.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 3.8   3.3 6.3   5.6 4.0   4.8 5.8   7.8 5.6   5.1 5.9   5.5 4.2   5.5 2.8   3.4
Net Error -2.9   -2.1 1.3   1.9 -3.0   -3.4 0.2   -0.2 -5.6   -5.1 0.0   1.5 -4.2   -5.5 1.7   2.3
Std Dev 2.5   3.0 4.1   4.0 3.2   3.9 4.6   5.2 5.1   4.4 5.4   4.8 4.2   5.5 2.8   3.4

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-17-26 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-17-26 42   39 65   61 32   32 42   48 17   21 36   35 18   18 37   40
02-16-26 46 59.6°F 45 77 67.4 °F 74 41   42 64   63 34   28 48   44 19   16 39   35
02-15-26 46 48.6°F 41 69 67.7 °F 71 47 59.6°F 44 77 67.4 °F 74 42   39 65   61 32   30 46   49
02-14-26 33 52.3°F 33 67 60.9 °F 65 44 48.6°F 41 69 67.7 °F 72 46 59.6°F 43 77 67.4 °F 72 45   41 63   63
02-13-26 39 41.3°F 47 56 67.0 °F 56 34 52.3°F 38 65 60.9 °F 66 41 48.6°F 42 64 67.7 °F 69 44 59.6°F 43 72 67.4 °F 72
02-12-26 29 52.1°F 26 59 63.0 °F 64 37 41.3°F 40 56 67.0 °F 50 32 52.3°F 35 63 60.9 °F 64 42 48.6°F 40 66 67.7 °F 65
02-11-26 31 35.2°F 32 58 52.4 °F 63 29 52.1°F 28 60 63.0 °F 62 38 41.3°F 40 59 67.0 °F 62 34 52.3°F 30 63 60.9 °F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   16.7     20.0 20.0   20.0     25.0     25.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 10.9   12.8 6.3   6.1 12.6   12.6 5.8   6.8 11.2   10.5 5.9   3.5 13.5   15.8 2.8   3.5
Net Error -10.9   -10.9 1.3   2.4 -12.6   -12.6 0.2   -0.4 -11.2   -10.5 0.0   1.0 -13.5   -15.8 1.7   1.7
Std Dev 9.0   8.8 4.1   4.1 9.1   8.4 4.6   4.5 9.8   9.6 5.4   3.1 13.5   15.8 2.8   3.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.