Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 08-Feb-2023 05:00 am

Today

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 56°
Tonight

Mix
Mix
Low: 34°
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 45°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 23°
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 44°
Friday
night
Clear
Cold!
Clear
Cold!
Low: 21°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 53°
Saturday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 27°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 54°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 08-Feb-2023 4:29am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 24 °F ↑
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 52 °F ↓
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 31 °F ↑
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain

Hi 40 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Lo 19 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 38 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 23 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 50 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 29 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-08-23 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-08-23 26   25 51 ↓   59 31   36 40   42 21   23 38   44 23   21 51   54
02-07-23 29 ↑ 28.5°F 33 48 53.5 °F 54 27 ↑   24 50   57 30   29 41   41 21   27 39   41
02-06-23 31 ↑ 38.2°F 34 48 ↓ 49.5 °F 56 29 28.5°F 31 46 53.5 °F 53 25   24 47   54 29   30 42   43
02-05-23 27 ↑ 36.4°F 27 49 ↓ 58.3 °F 58 32 ↑ 38.2°F 35 49 49.5 °F 58 30 28.5°F 27 48 53.5 °F 53 28   26 49   54
02-04-23 21 ↑ 28.2°F 27 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 61 29 36.4°F 26 46 58.3 °F 55 31 38.2°F 34 49 49.5 °F 59 28 28.5°F 28 47 53.5 °F 53
02-03-23 3 ↑ 27.9°F 3 30 31.6 °F 37 22 ↑ 28.2°F 25 47 50.4 °F 60 29 36.4°F 25 47 58.3 °F 51 34 38.2°F 24 49 49.5 °F 48
02-02-23 17 5.5°F 17 32 ↓ 34.5 °F 39 4 ↑ 27.9°F 9 30 31.6 °F 38 21 28.2°F 24 47 50.4 °F 60 31 36.4°F 24 50 58.3 °F 51
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
% Succ 16.7   16.7 33.3   33.3 20.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 10.1   9.3 4.0   4.6 8.8   7.6 5.1   5.7 5.8   5.3 5.2   6.7 3.4   9.0 5.1   3.1
Net Error -6.1   -4.0 -4.0   4.5 -8.6   -6.6 -5.1   4.1 -5.1   -5.3 -5.2   2.8 -3.4   -9.0 -5.1   -3.1
Std Dev 8.5   8.6 3.1   4.0 6.9   5.8 5.1   4.6 5.5   5.0 4.5   6.6 3.4   9.0 5.1   3.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-07-23 29 ↑   55 48   25 27 ↑   57 50   32 30   41 41   24 21   42 39   20
02-06-23 27 ↑ 35.2°F 57 50 ↓ 49.5 °F 29 27 ↑   53 48   23 26   54 50   30 29   43 42   26
02-05-23 25 ↑ 34.3°F 60 48 ↓ 58.3 °F 36 31 ↑ 35.2°F 59 48 49.5 °F 28 29   53 47   27 27   44 49   31
02-04-23 20 ↑ 27.3°F 62 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 27 29 ↑ 34.3°F 54 48 58.3 °F 27 32 35.2°F 59 49 49.5 °F 26 29   51 47   24
02-03-23 3 ↑ 27.9°F 36 30 31.6 °F 24 22 ↑ 27.3°F 61 47 50.4 °F 25 29 34.3°F 51 47 58.3 °F 24 34 35.2°F 48 49 49.5 °F 28
02-02-23 17 ↑ 4.3°F 40 32 ↓ 34.5 °F 9 4 ↑ 27.9°F 41 30 31.6 °F 29 21 27.3°F 61 47 50.4 °F 26 31 34.3°F 56 50 58.3 °F 29
02-01-23 10 21.0°F 41 35 ↓ 42.7 °F 17 17 ↑ 4.3°F 40 35 34.5 °F 10 5 27.9°F 40 32 31.6 °F 26 23 27.3°F 61 48 50.4 °F 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 12.2   24.3 4.3   20.8 10.3   25.2 3.5   21.1 9.4   21.6 3.9   22.0 2.9   22.7 3.7   25.7
Net Error -8.0   24.3 -4.2   -20.8 -5.2   25.2 -3.3   -21.1 -9.4   21.6 -3.7   -22.0 -2.9   22.7 -3.7   -25.7
Std Dev 7.7   13.5 3.7   10.3 7.7   16.6 3.9   14.2 8.7   18.7 3.8   19.0 2.9   22.7 3.7   25.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-07-23 48   55 27 ↑   25 50 ↓   58 30   30 41   41 21   27 39   42 23   20
02-06-23 50 ↓ 49.5 °F 58 27 ↑ 32.7°F 31 48 ↓   54 26   26 50   57 29   33 42   43 25   26
02-05-23 48 ↓ 58.3 °F 59 31 ↑ 34.3°F 36 48 ↓ 49.5 °F 59 29 32.7°F 29 47   53 27   28 49   44 32   31
02-04-23 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 62 29 ↑ 27.3°F 27 48 ↓ 58.3 °F 55 32 34.3°F 27 49 49.5 °F 60 29 32.7°F 26 47   51 27   24
02-03-23 30 31.6 °F 37 22 ↑ 27.9°F 26 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 62 29 27.3°F 26 47 58.3 °F 51 34 34.3°F 31 49 49.5 °F 53 29 32.7°F 30
02-02-23 32 ↓ 34.5 °F 38 4 ↑ 3.9°F 9 30 ↓ 31.6 °F 40 21 27.9°F 29 47 50.4 °F 60 31 27.3°F 27 50 58.3 °F 56 33 34.3°F 29
02-01-23 35 ↓ 42.7 °F 42 17 ↑ 20.0°F 15 35 ↓ 34.5 °F 39 5 3.9°F 9 32 31.6 °F 42 23 27.9°F 27 48 50.4 °F 58 30 27.3°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 2 4 3 0 2 2 2 0 1 2 1 0 1 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 33.3   66.7 60.0   0.0 40.0   40.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.3   5.1 3.3   2.6 3.5   7.5 3.1   3.7 3.9   9.5 3.2   2.8 3.7   4.5 2.6   3.4
Net Error -4.2   4.8 -2.7   -0.4 -3.3   6.1 -2.0   -1.2 -3.7   5.8 -1.3   -2.8 -3.7   2.9 -0.8   -3.4
Std Dev 3.7   4.1 2.5   1.9 3.9   5.5 2.1   3.0 3.8   8.2 2.7   3.1 3.7   4.5 2.6   3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-07-23 48   54 27 ↑   22 50 ↓   55 30   32 41   40 21   25 39   42 23   22
02-06-23 50 ↓ 49.5 °F 58 27 ↑ 32.7°F 32 48 ↓   53 26   26 50   56 29   31 42   43 25   32
02-05-23 50 ↓ 58.3 °F 58 31 ↑ 34.3°F 35 48 ↓ 49.5 °F 57 29 32.7°F 31 47   54 27   26 49   53 32   29
02-04-23 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 59 29 ↑ 27.3°F 26 48 ↓ 58.3 °F 54 32 34.3°F 28 49 49.5 °F 60 29 32.7°F 27 47   52 27   25
02-03-23 30 31.6 °F 33 22 ↑ 27.9°F 21 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 61 29 27.3°F 25 47 58.3 °F 52 34 34.3°F 30 49 49.5 °F 58 29 32.7°F 27
02-02-23 34 ↓ 34.5 °F 37 4 ↑ 3.9°F 9 31 31.6 °F 41 21 27.9°F 29 48 50.4 °F 61 31 27.3°F 26 50 58.3 °F 57 33 34.3°F 29
02-01-23 35 ↓ 42.7 °F 38 17 ↑ 20.0°F 14 35 ↓ 34.5 °F 39 5 3.9°F 9 32 31.6 °F 39 23 27.9°F 25 48 50.4 °F 58 30 27.3°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 2 3 3 0 2 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3 33.3   50.0 60.0   0.0 40.0   40.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.7   4.3 3.3   3.5 3.3   7.3 3.1   3.3 3.7   8.7 3.2   3.6 3.7   5.8 2.6   4.4
Net Error -3.5   2.7 -2.7   -1.5 -3.1   5.5 -2.0   -0.8 -3.5   5.6 -1.3   -3.6 -3.7   4.9 -0.8   -4.4
Std Dev 3.1   3.7 2.5   2.8 3.8   5.0 2.1   2.6 3.5   7.6 2.7   3.3 3.7   5.8 2.6   4.4

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-07-23 48   52 26   22 51 ↓   55 31   32 40   40 21   25 38   42 23   22
02-06-23 52 ↓ 49.5 °F 52 29 ↑ 32.7°F 28 49   49 28   25 49   55 28   31 42   43 22   32
02-05-23 53 ↓ 58.3 °F 57 31 ↑ 34.3°F 35 48 ↓ 49.5 °F 57 29 32.7°F 31 46   54 25   26 47   53 29   29
02-04-23 50 ↓ 50.4 °F 53 29 ↑ 27.3°F 25 48 ↓ 58.3 °F 54 32 34.3°F 27 49 49.5 °F 60 30 32.7°F 27 48   52 28   25
02-03-23 30 31.6 °F 36 22 ↑ 27.9°F 28 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 63 29 27.3°F 26 47 58.3 °F 52 34 34.3°F 30 49 49.5 °F 58 29 32.7°F 27
02-02-23 34 ↓ 34.5 °F 28 4 ↑ 3.9°F 5 31 31.6 °F 38 21 27.9°F 25 48 50.4 °F 59 31 27.3°F 24 50 58.3 °F 52 33 34.3°F 30
02-01-23 36 ↓ 42.7 °F 42 17 ↑ 20.0°F 14 35 ↓ 34.5 °F 39 5 3.9°F 10 32 31.6 °F 39 23 27.9°F 25 48 50.4 °F 58 30 27.3°F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 2 3 3 0 2 2 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3 33.3   50.0 60.0   0.0 40.0   40.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 2.8   3.0 3.0   2.5 3.3   7.1 3.1   3.9 3.7   8.2 2.9   4.1 3.7   7.5 2.6   4.1
Net Error -2.0   0.2 -2.4   -1.9 -3.1   5.3 -2.0   -1.4 -3.5   5.1 -1.1   -4.1 -3.7   3.3 -0.8   -4.1
Std Dev 2.1   2.1 2.2   1.9 3.8   5.3 2.1   3.3 3.5   7.2 2.5   3.6 3.7   7.5 2.6   4.1

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-07-23 53 ↓   24 26   56 51 ↓   33 31   40 40   25 21   42 38   22 23   54
02-06-23 52 ↓ 49.5 °F 29 29 ↑ 32.7°F 52 49   23 28   55 49   30 28   43 42   32 22   42
02-05-23 57 ↓ 58.3 °F 36 31 ↑ 34.3°F 58 48 ↓ 49.5 °F 31 29 32.7°F 54 46   26 25   53 47   29 29   40
02-04-23 50 50.4 °F 25 >25 27.3°F 55 >45 58.3 °F 27 <35 34.3°F 59 >45 49.5 °F 26 >25 32.7°F 51 >45   24 >25   57
02-03-23 30 31.6 °F 26 22 ↑ 27.9°F 63 47 ↓ 50.4 °F 28 29 27.3°F 57 46 58.3 °F 32 31 34.3°F 56 49 49.5 °F 28 28 32.7°F 53
02-02-23 35 ↓ 34.5 °F 4 4 ↑ 3.9°F 36 31 31.6 °F 26 23 27.9°F 59 47 50.4 °F 24 29 27.3°F 53 50 58.3 °F 23 32 34.3°F 51
02-01-23 41 ↓ 42.7 °F 15 16 20.0°F 38 34 ↓ 34.5 °F 9 5 3.9°F 40 31 31.6 °F 24 23 27.9°F 60 48 50.4 °F 25 30 27.3°F 59
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 1 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 16.7   0.0 60.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.3   22.0 7.4   26.0 12.9   20.7 9.1   28.6 16.5   21.0 10.7   24.5 3.7   27.4 3.2   22.9
Net Error -0.3   -22.0 -7.4   26.0 -12.9   -20.7 -8.0   28.6 -16.5   -21.0 -9.8   24.5 -3.7   -27.4 -1.4   22.9
Std Dev 0.9   11.8 9.5   11.9 22.9   14.0 13.3   18.5 21.8   18.2 14.4   21.4 3.7   27.4 3.2   22.9

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-07-23 26   22 51 ↓   54 31   33 40   39 21   24 38   42 23   21 51   52
02-06-23 29 ↑ 32.7°F 29 49 49.5 °F 52 28   23 49   55 28   29 42   41 22   27 36   41
02-05-23 31 ↑ 34.3°F 34 48 ↓ 58.3 °F 58 29 32.7°F 29 46 49.5 °F 51 25   27 47   56 29   31 42   40
02-04-23 29 ↑ 27.3°F 26 49 ↓ 50.4 °F 55 32 ↑ 34.3°F 33 49 58.3 °F 57 30 32.7°F 29 48 49.5 °F 53 28   27 49   60
02-03-23 22 ↑ 27.9°F 23 47 ↓ 31.6 °F 61 29 27.3°F 25 46 50.4 °F 53 31 34.3°F 32 49 58.3 °F 56 28 32.7°F 28 47 49.5 °F 53
02-02-23 4 ↑ 3.9°F 3 31 34.5 °F 37 23 ↑ 27.9°F 26 47 31.6 °F 59 29 27.3°F 24 50 50.4 °F 53 32 34.3°F 23 47 58.3 °F 51
02-01-23 16 20.0°F 15 34 ↓ 42.7 °F 38 5 ↑ 3.9°F 9 31 34.5 °F 40 23 27.9°F 24 48 31.6 °F 60 30 27.3°F 25 48 50.4 °F 59
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 2 1 2 2 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   50.0 33.3   16.7 40.0   40.0     40.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.7 6.6   7.3 2.7   2.9 7.2   7.7 3.2   3.3 6.9   9.2 3.2   6.1 5.4   6.5
Net Error -2.5   -2.7 -1.5   5.7 -1.6   -0.8 -1.1   7.1 -2.3   -3.3 1.3   8.1 -1.4   -6.1 -5.4   1.6
Std Dev 2.2   2.0 5.9   10.4 1.9   2.0 5.1   6.7 2.7   2.9 6.6   8.5 3.2   6.1 5.4   6.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-07-23 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-07-23 26   25 51 ↓   57 31   34 40   42 21   25 38   44 23   21 51   52
02-06-23 29 ↑ 32.0°F 31 49 49.5 °F 52 28   24 49   56 28   29 42   40 22   27 36   41
02-05-23 31 ↑ 38.8°F 34 48 ↓ 58.3 °F 56 29 32.0°F 31 46 49.5 °F 53 25   24 47   54 29   30 42   43
02-04-23 29 ↑ 38.3°F 28 49 ↓ 50.4 °F 58 32 ↑ 38.8°F 35 49 58.3 °F 58 30 32.0°F 27 48 49.5 °F 53 28   26 49   54
02-03-23 22 ↑ 32.4°F 27 47 ↓ 31.6 °F 63 29 38.3°F 26 46 50.4 °F 55 31 38.8°F 34 49 58.3 °F 59 28 32.0°F 28 47 49.5 °F 53
02-02-23 4 ↑ 28.6°F 2 31 34.5 °F 37 23 ↑ 32.4°F 25 47 31.6 °F 60 29 38.3°F 25 50 50.4 °F 51 32 38.8°F 24 47 58.3 °F 48
02-01-23 16 7.4°F 15 34 ↓ 42.7 °F 38 5 ↑ 28.6°F 9 31 34.5 °F 40 23 32.4°F 24 48 31.6 °F 60 30 38.3°F 25 48 50.4 °F 59
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7 33.3   0.0     20.0     20.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   50.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 10.6   9.3 6.6   8.5 10.4   8.8 7.2   8.5 7.1   7.9 6.9   8.3 6.4   10.7 5.4   7.5
Net Error -7.8   -6.8 -1.5   6.2 -10.4   -8.8 -1.1   8.3 -7.1   -7.9 1.3   8.3 -6.4   -10.7 -5.4   0.6
Std Dev 7.9   9.0 5.9   10.9 7.6   7.1 5.1   7.1 6.7   7.0 6.6   7.6 6.4   10.7 5.4   7.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.