Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 23-Jun-2017 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Fair
Fair
High: 75°
Tonight

Clear
Clear
Low: 51°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 76°
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 49°
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 78°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 51°
Monday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 79°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 59°
Tuesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 81°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 23-Jun-2017 10:07am CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Isolated Rain Showers
Isolated Rain Showers

Hi 76 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 51 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 80 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 53 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 77 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 55 °F
Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 80 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 58 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 84 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-23-17 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-23-17 61 ↑   67 77   76 53   53 79   77 53   52 77   79 54   52 79   83
06-22-17 71 71.9°F 76 92 ↓ 94.5 °F 97 61   67 80   77 56   56 74   76 54   52 77   78
06-21-17 68 80.3°F 73 96 97.4 °F 93 71 71.9°F 72 92 94.5 °F 96 64   62 80   77 58   55 76   77
06-20-17 58 75.8°F 60 89 99.9 °F 85 67 80.3°F 62 93 97.4 °F 91 71 71.9°F 71 89 94.5 °F 95 64   68 81   78
06-19-17 56 ↑ 62.4°F 61 85 90.9 °F 84 58 75.8°F 60 88 99.9 °F 88 67 80.3°F 65 93 97.4 °F 88 69 71.9°F 70 89 94.5 °F 91
06-18-17 59 64.8°F 60 82 85.2 °F 77 57 62.4°F 56 84 90.9 °F 82 59 75.8°F 57 88 99.9 °F 89 66 80.3°F 64 93 97.4 °F 91
06-17-17 68 65.1°F 68 86 84.2 °F 89 60 64.8°F 63 79 85.2 °F 78 56 62.4°F 57 86 90.9 °F 84 61 75.8°F 64 89 99.9 °F 87
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 33.3   0.0 20.0   40.0     20.0 25.0   25.0     25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 7.7   6.1 4.3   7.0 8.4   8.5 6.4   7.2 9.4   10.1 6.7   6.9 10.7   10.0 6.9   7.6
Net Error -6.7   -3.7 -3.7   -4.5 -8.4   -8.4 -6.4   -6.6 -9.4   -10.1 -6.7   -6.7 -10.7   -10.0 -6.9   -7.6
Std Dev 6.2   5.2 3.6   4.8 7.9   8.5 5.1   5.6 9.1   9.9 5.8   6.8 10.7   10.0 6.9   7.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-23-17 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-23-17 61 ↑   75 76   55 51   78 80   52 53   79 77   54 55   80 80   59
06-22-17 71 94.5 °F 97 95 66.2°F 65 62   76 79   56 54   76 77   52 53   78 78   54
06-21-17 68 ↑ 97.4 °F 93 96 76.7°F 74 70 94.5 °F 97 93 66.2°F 65 62   80 81   58 58   75 74   55
06-20-17 58 ↑ 99.9 °F 86 93 75.8°F 63 67 97.4 °F 92 95 76.7°F 72 70 94.5 °F 95 92 66.2°F 68 63   78 79   59
06-19-17 56 ↑ 90.9 °F 83 86 59.4°F 58 59 99.9 °F 88 90 75.8°F 64 66 97.4 °F 88 95 76.7°F 70 70 94.5 °F 91 89 66.2°F 63
06-18-17 59 85.2 °F 78 82 64.6°F 56 57 90.9 °F 81 84 59.4°F 57 56 99.9 °F 84 88 75.8°F 63 66 97.4 °F 91 93 76.7°F 65
06-17-17 68 84.2 °F 86 86 60.7°F 61 60 85.2 °F 76 79 64.6°F 56 56 90.9 °F 82 84 59.4°F 60 61 99.9 °F 87 89 75.8°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7     50.0     0.0     20.0     25.0     50.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 28.7   6.3 22.4   4.5 31.0   7.8 19.7   5.7 33.7   8.7 20.2   5.5 31.6   7.6 17.4   9.6
Net Error -28.7   -4.9 22.4   -4.4 -31.0   -6.8 19.7   -5.7 -33.7   -8.4 20.2   -4.3 -31.6   -7.6 17.4   -9.6
Std Dev 13.4   4.4 10.2   4.6 20.3   5.9 13.1   5.0 29.5   8.6 17.7   5.1 31.6   7.6 17.4   9.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-23-17 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-23-17 76   73 51   51 80   75 53   48 77   78 55   50 80   78 58   59
06-22-17 95 94.5 °F 92 62 64.3°F 64 79   76 54   56 77   78 53   53 78   75 54   54
06-21-17 96 97.4 °F 93 70 75.2°F 75 93 94.5 °F 99 62 64.3°F 66 81   77 58   57 74   71 52   53
06-20-17 93 99.9 °F 88 67 75.7°F 65 95 97.4 °F 90 70 75.2°F 71 92 94.5 °F 94 63 64.3°F 71 79   81 58   58
06-19-17 86 90.9 °F 84 59 58.8°F 61 90 99.9 °F 88 66 75.7°F 66 95 97.4 °F 89 70 75.2°F 72 89 94.5 °F 96 64 64.3°F 64
06-18-17 82 85.2 °F 77 57 64.0°F 57 84 90.9 °F 81 56 58.8°F 58 88 99.9 °F 86 66 75.7°F 65 93 97.4 °F 91 69 75.2°F 67
06-17-17 86 84.2 °F 83 60 60.6°F 59 79 85.2 °F 74 56 64.0°F 55 84 90.9 °F 82 61 58.8°F 58 89 99.9 °F 87 66 75.7°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 1 2 3 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   16.7 33.3   50.0 20.0   0.0     40.0     25.0 25.0   25.0     33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 3.1   5.9 4.0   3.7 5.4   9.0 5.6   5.1 5.9   7.9 4.6   5.4 6.9   6.9 5.4   6.7
Net Error -2.4   -5.9 -3.9   -2.9 -5.4   -7.2 -5.6   -4.4 -5.9   -7.9 -3.5   -2.0 -6.9   -5.9 -5.4   -6.7
Std Dev 2.5   3.9 3.3   4.1 4.5   6.2 4.3   4.1 5.4   7.8 4.3   4.7 6.9   6.9 5.4   6.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 06-23-17 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-23-17 76   75 51   51 80   76 53   49 77   78 55   51 80   79 58   59
06-22-17 95 94.5 °F 94 62 64.3°F 64 79   77 54   55 77   78 53   53 78   75 54   54
06-21-17 96 97.4 °F 95 70 75.2°F 77 93 94.5 °F 103 62 64.3°F 65 81   78 58   58 74   71 52   53
06-20-17 93 99.9 °F 92 67 75.7°F 67 95 97.4 °F 91 70 75.2°F 71 92 94.5 °F 95 63 64.3°F 71 79   82 58   59
06-19-17 86 90.9 °F 86 59 58.8°F 62 90 99.9 °F 90 66 75.7°F 66 95 97.4 °F 88 70 75.2°F 70 89 94.5 °F 94 64 64.3°F 64
06-18-17 82 85.2 °F 79 57 64.0°F 59 84 90.9 °F 81 56 58.8°F 58 88 99.9 °F 86 66 75.7°F 65 93 97.4 °F 91 69 75.2°F 67
06-17-17 86 84.2 °F 84 60 60.6°F 59 79 85.2 °F 74 56 64.0°F 54 84 90.9 °F 81 61 58.8°F 58 89 99.9 °F 88 66 75.7°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 2 3 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   33.3 33.3   50.0 20.0   0.0     40.0     25.0 25.0   25.0     33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 3.1   3.7 4.0   3.4 5.4   9.2 5.6   5.1 5.9   8.4 4.6   5.9 6.9   6.3 5.4   6.7
Net Error -2.4   -3.7 -3.9   -1.8 -5.4   -5.8 -5.6   -4.8 -5.9   -8.2 -3.5   -2.5 -6.9   -6.3 -5.4   -6.7
Std Dev 2.5   2.9 3.3   3.0 4.5   6.0 4.3   4.3 5.4   8.3 4.3   5.1 6.9   6.3 5.4   6.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-22-17 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-22-17 91   93 62   65 79   77 54   55 77   77 53   53 78   75 54   55
06-21-17 96 97.4 °F 97 71 75.2°F 74 90 ↓   99 61   64 80   77 56   57 74   71 54   53
06-20-17 93 99.9 °F 100 68 75.7°F 73 96 97.4 °F 95 71 75.2°F 74 92   97 64   67 80   80 58   58
06-19-17 86 90.9 °F 89 59 58.8°F 63 90 99.9 °F 90 66 75.7°F 66 95 97.4 °F 89 70 75.2°F 72 89   97 64   67
06-18-17 82 85.2 °F 83 57 64.0°F 60 84 90.9 °F 84 56 58.8°F 60 88 99.9 °F 85 66 75.7°F 61 93 97.4 °F 88 69 75.2°F 69
06-17-17 85 84.2 °F 85 60 60.6°F 61 79 85.2 °F 75 56 64.0°F 54 84 90.9 °F 81 61 58.8°F 58 89 99.9 °F 85 66 75.7°F 64
06-16-17 93 95.0 °F 94 68 67.6°F 73 88 ↓ 84.2 °F 91 60 60.6°F 63 80 85.2 °F 77 57 64.0°F 58 85 90.9 °F 84 63 58.8°F 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 3 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   83.3 50.0   33.3 20.0   0.0 20.0   40.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 3.2   1.1 3.4   3.0 5.6   7.2 5.1   4.9 6.6   10.4 6.0   6.2 7.1   10.4 6.7   8.7
Net Error -2.9   -0.8 -3.2   0.4 -4.1   -4.5 -5.1   -3.5 -6.6   -10.4 -4.9   -6.2 -7.1   -10.4 -3.9   -3.2
Std Dev 2.4   0.9 3.2   1.9 4.5   5.2 4.0   4.4 6.1   9.0 5.2   5.6 7.1   10.4 6.7   8.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-22-17 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-22-17 91 ↓   66 61 ↑   77 78   55 53   76 79   54 53   75 77   53 54   81
06-21-17 97 75.2°F 76 71 97.4 °F 97 90 ↓   66 61   77 80   57 56   75 74   54 54   82
06-20-17 95 ↓ 75.7°F 74 68 99.9 °F 92 96 75.2°F 74 71 97.4 °F 96 92   67 64   80 80   58 58   77
06-18-17 82 58.8°F 62 56 90.9 °F 85 85 75.7°F 61 58 99.9 °F 85 88 75.2°F 61 67 97.4 °F 88 93   69 69   89
06-17-17 85 ↓ 60.6°F 60 59 84.2 °F 74 80 58.8°F 54 57 90.9 °F 81 85 75.7°F 58 60 99.9 °F 85 89 75.2°F 64 65 97.4 °F 91
06-16-17 93 ↓ 67.6°F 72 68 95.0 °F 88 84 60.6°F 63 59 84.2 °F 77 80 58.8°F 58 57 90.9 °F 84 86 75.7°F 67 62 99.9 °F 86
06-15-17 94 69.5°F 77 66 102.6 °F 95 92 67.6°F 72 69 95.0 °F 88 91 60.6°F 64 61 84.2 °F 77 81 58.8°F 60 57 90.9 °F 85
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ     50.0     16.7     20.0     20.0     25.0     0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 23.1   3.0 30.3   6.5 19.8   5.5 30.7   8.1 18.4   9.0 31.9   9.6 15.4   7.0 34.7   8.7
Net Error 23.1   2.3 -30.3   -6.5 19.8   -2.8 -30.7   -8.1 18.4   -7.3 -31.9   -9.6 15.4   -6.2 -34.7   -8.7
Std Dev 9.6   2.0 12.9   4.0 13.4   5.7 20.2   6.7 16.2   8.2 27.6   8.3 15.4   7.0 34.7   8.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-22-17 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-22-17 61 ↑   66 78   76 53   55 79   76 53   53 77   78 54   54 79   82
06-21-17 71 75.2°F 74 90 ↓ 97.4 °F 95 61   64 80   78 56   55 74   77 54   54 77   78
06-20-17 68 75.7°F 71 96 99.9 °F 89 71 75.2°F 73 92 97.4 °F 93 64   65 80   78 58   57 76   76
06-19-17 58 58.8°F 66 89 90.9 °F 91 67 75.7°F 67 93 99.9 °F 91 71 75.2°F 72 89 97.4 °F 96 64   66 81   72
06-18-17 56 64.0°F 61 85 85.2 °F 83 58 58.8°F 60 88 90.9 °F 87 67 75.7°F 62 93 99.9 °F 87 69 75.2°F 69 89 97.4 °F 87
06-17-17 59 60.6°F 58 80 84.2 °F 73 57 64.0°F 54 85 85.2 °F 81 60 58.8°F 57 89 90.9 °F 87 65 75.7°F 64 94 99.9 °F 90
06-16-17 68 67.6°F 76 84 95.0 °F 90 59 60.6°F 63 80 84.2 °F 78 57 64.0°F 58 86 85.2 °F 85 62 58.8°F 67 92 90.9 °F 87
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 1 2 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   16.7 33.3   16.7 40.0   20.0 20.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.8   4.5 4.8   5.3 4.5   4.9 3.9   5.5 5.3   6.2 4.5   4.6 6.7   8.7 5.1   8.1
Net Error -3.7   0.7 -4.8   -5.3 -4.5   -3.5 -3.9   -5.5 -4.7   -6.2 -4.1   -4.6 -4.6   -3.2 -4.4   -8.1
Std Dev 3.2   2.7 3.2   4.8 3.8   4.1 2.9   3.9 4.6   5.6 4.4   4.3 6.7   8.7 5.1   8.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 06-22-17 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-22-17 61   67 77   75 53   53 79   77 53   51 77   79 54   52 79   83
06-21-17 71 77.0°F 75 90 ↓ 97.4 °F 96 61   66 80   78 56   56 74   77 54   55 77   78
06-20-17 68 83.0°F 71 96 99.9 °F 93 71 77.0°F 74 92 97.4 °F 96 64   64 80   78 58   57 76   77
06-19-17 58 78.4°F 61 89 90.9 °F 88 67 83.0°F 66 93 99.9 °F 91 71 77.0°F 71 89 97.4 °F 97 64   66 81   72
06-18-17 56 66.5°F 61 85 85.2 °F 84 58 78.4°F 60 88 90.9 °F 87 67 83.0°F 62 93 99.9 °F 88 69 77.0°F 69 89 97.4 °F 87
06-17-17 59 68.6°F 60 80 84.2 °F 77 57 66.5°F 56 85 85.2 °F 83 60 78.4°F 57 89 90.9 °F 89 65 83.0°F 64 94 99.9 °F 91
06-16-17 68 69.0°F 68 84 95.0 °F 87 59 68.6°F 62 80 84.2 °F 78 57 66.5°F 57 86 85.2 °F 85 62 78.4°F 68 92 90.9 °F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 0 0 1 0
% Succ 16.7   33.3 33.3   33.3     0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   75.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 10.4   7.8 4.8   4.6 12.3   11.1 3.9   4.5 12.5   14.5 4.5   3.6 14.1   12.5 5.1   7.4
Net Error -10.4   -7.8 -4.8   -4.6 -12.3   -11.1 -3.9   -4.5 -12.5   -14.5 -4.1   -3.6 -14.1   -12.5 -4.4   -7.4
Std Dev 6.4   5.9 3.2   3.1 9.2   8.9 2.9   3.7 11.3   13.2 4.4   3.5 14.1   12.5 5.1   7.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.