SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 18-Sep-2020 12:33 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

112°F at El Centro Naf, CA

Low Temp

23°F at Angel Fire Airport, NM

Precipitation

8.96in at Troy Municipal Ap, AL

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Wednesday,
September 16, 2020

High Temp

86°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

42°F at Broken Bow Municipal Ap, NE

Precipitation

0.03in at Holdrege Brewster Field Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 18-Sep-2020 11:00 am

This
afternoon

Mostly Clear
High: 73°

Tonight

Mostly Clear
Low: 50°

Saturday

Mostly Sunny
High: 76°

Saturday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 55°

Sunday

Sunny
High: 77°

Sunday
night

Mostly Clear
Low: 56°

Monday

Sunny
High: 81°

Monday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 58°

Tuesday

Sunny
High: 84°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 18-Sep-2020 11:44am CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Partly Sunny

Partly Sunny

Hi 71 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 54 °F ↑

Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 79 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 58 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 82 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 58 °F

Monday

Monday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 84 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Clear

Clear

Lo 59 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 84 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-20 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-20	51		52	72		74	54 ↑		51	78		76	57		55	82		78	57		56	83		82
09-17-20	50 ↑	54.4°F	52	75	73.9 °F	79	51		53	75		76	54		54	81		77	57		54	83		78
09-16-20	58 ↑	57.1°F	61	84 ↓	80.4 °F	81	51	54.4°F	55	75	73.9 °F	78	52		53	76		77	54		53	79		77
09-15-20	56 ↑	63.9°F	61	84	81.6 °F	82	58 ↑	57.1°F	61	86	80.4 °F	81	54	54.4°F	53	78	73.9 °F	75	53		51	73		72
09-14-20			59	<85	80.8 °F	82	55	63.9°F	58	<85	81.6 °F	80	>55	57.1°F	60	85	80.4 °F	83	55	54.4°F	55	>75	73.9 °F	77
09-13-20	50	61.9°F	49	80	85.8 °F	78	<55	62.8°F	53	80	80.8 °F	81	55	63.9°F	55	<85	81.6 °F	80	>55	57.1°F	60	85	80.4 °F	82
09-12-20	53	52.1°F	51	73	76.8 °F	72	51	61.9°F	50	80	85.8 °F	78	54	62.8°F	53	81	80.8 °F	80	57	63.9°F	57	83	81.6 °F	83
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	1		3	1		1	2		3	1		1	1		3	1		1	1		2
% Succ	40.0		20.0	16.7		50.0	20.0		20.0	40.0		60.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		75.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	5.2		4.6	16.3		3.3	17.4		6.4	19.0		2.9	18.8		5.8	22.6		1.5	21.5		3.5	26.6		2.0
Net Error	-4.5		-3.1	-13.9		-0.9	-17.0		-4.6	-16.3		-0.9	-18.8		-4.3	-18.2		0.3	-21.1		-1.1	-22.6		2.0
Std Dev	4.0		3.2	29.2		3.0	15.1		5.0	32.1		2.2	18.7		5.4	21.7		1.3	21.5		3.5	26.6		2.0

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-20 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-20	51		73	71		49	54 ↑		75	79		55	58		78	82		56	58		82	84		57
09-17-20			77	75	73.9 °F	52	<55		76	<75		54	<55		76	>75		54	55		79	80		55
09-16-20	58	52.2°F	82	82	80.4 °F	55	51 ↑	53.2°F	79	75	73.9 °F	53	53		77	75		53	55		77	81		53
09-15-20	55	62.2°F	80	84	81.6 °F	59	58	52.2°F	81	85	80.4 °F	53	52	53.2°F	75	77	73.9 °F	51	53		73	78		51
09-14-20	52	59.3°F	82	82	80.8 °F	57	56 ↑	62.2°F	80	84	81.6 °F	61	58	52.2°F	85	86	80.4 °F	55	57	53.2°F	77	79	73.9 °F	55
09-13-20	48 ↑	57.2°F	78	80	85.8 °F	53	53 ↑	59.3°F	81	81	80.8 °F	55	56	62.2°F	80	84	81.6 °F	60	57	52.2°F	82	85	80.4 °F	54
09-12-20	53 ↑	49.7°F	72	72 ↓	76.8 °F	50	49 ↑	57.2°F	77	80	85.8 °F	53	54	59.3°F	79	81	80.8 °F	57	57	62.2°F	82	83	81.6 °F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	3		0	0		0	2		0	1		0	1		0	0		0	1		0
% Succ			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0	40.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	6.6		22.7	2.8		25.6	5.7		22.8	2.8		25.5	4.6		23.0	2.8		23.4	4.6		24.5	3.7		21.6
Net Error	-2.9		22.7	-0.7		-25.6	-3.4		22.8	0.5		-25.5	-1.7		23.0	2.8		-23.4	1.1		24.5	3.7		-21.6
Std Dev	4.2		14.9	2.0		11.0	4.0		14.9	2.1		16.4	4.4		19.9	2.5		20.3	4.6		24.5	3.7		21.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-20 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-20	<75		73	<55		49	>75		75	>55		55	<85		78	>55		56	<85		81	>55		57
09-17-20	75	73.9 °F	76	<55	49.7°F	52	<75		75	<55		53	>75		75	55		54	80		77	55		58
09-16-20	<85	80.4 °F	79	50	50.2°F	54	75	73.9 °F	78	<55	49.7°F	52	75		75	55		53	80		76	>55		53
09-15-20	84	81.6 °F	79	58	59.7°F	59	85	80.4 °F	80	52	50.2°F	53	77	73.9 °F	75	53	49.7°F	51	78		73	55		52
09-14-20	82	80.8 °F	81	56 ↑	57.7°F	58	84	81.6 °F	81	58	59.7°F	62	86	80.4 °F	83	57	50.2°F	53	79	73.9 °F	75	54	49.7°F	51
09-13-20	80	85.8 °F	77	<55	56.5°F	53	80	80.8 °F	80	55	57.7°F	55	<85	81.6 °F	80	>55	59.7°F	59	85	80.4 °F	81	55	50.2°F	53
09-12-20	72 ↓	76.8 °F	72	49 ↑	48.0°F	52	80 ↓	85.8 °F	78	54	56.5°F	55	81	80.8 °F	80	57	57.7°F	58	83	81.6 °F	81	58	59.7°F	60
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		2	2		3	2		1	1		3	1		3	1		3	1		2
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		33.3	40.0		60.0	40.0		20.0	25.0		75.0	25.0		75.0	33.3		100.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	16.0		3.3	18.5		2.4	2.9		2.7	11.7		2.3	22.6		1.5	17.6		1.3	3.7		0.8	3.6		1.5
Net Error	-14.4		-2.6	-18.1		1.0	0.3		-1.1	-11.0		0.6	-18.2		0.3	-12.6		0.9	3.7		0.4	2.5		1.5
Std Dev	29.2		3.1	24.7		1.7	2.2		2.3	19.6		1.5	21.9		1.3	16.9		1.1	3.7		0.8	3.6		1.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-20 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-20	71		73	54 ↑		50	79		76	58		55	82		77	58		56	84		81	59		58
09-17-20	75	73.9 °F	76	52	49.7°F	51	74		76	53		54	79		76	56		54	81		79	56		58
09-16-20	<85	80.4 °F	79	50	50.2°F	52	75	73.9 °F	77	<55	49.7°F	52	75		76	55		53	80		76	>55		53
09-15-20	<85	81.6 °F	80	>55	59.7°F	60	85	80.4 °F	80	<55	50.2°F	53	75	73.9 °F	75	<55	49.7°F	51	>75		73	55		52
09-14-20	81	80.8 °F	81	56 ↑	57.7°F	57	84	81.6 °F	80	58	59.7°F	61	86	80.4 °F	82	57	50.2°F	53	79	73.9 °F	75	54	49.7°F	51
09-13-20	80	85.8 °F	80	<55	56.5°F	56	80	80.8 °F	81	55	57.7°F	58	<85	81.6 °F	80	>55	59.7°F	60	85	80.4 °F	81	55	50.2°F	54
09-12-20	72 ↓	76.8 °F	73	49 ↑	48.0°F	52	80 ↓	85.8 °F	78	54	56.5°F	55	81	80.8 °F	80	57	57.7°F	58	83	81.6 °F	81	58	59.7°F	60
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	3		5	2		3	1		3	2		4	1		3	1		3	1		2
% Succ	33.3		50.0	50.0		83.3	40.0		60.0	20.0		60.0	50.0		100.0	25.0		75.0	33.3		100.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	29.0		2.5	20.2		1.4	2.9		2.6	21.4		1.6	22.1		1.3	29.2		1.2	3.7		0.8	3.6		1.8
Net Error	-28.6		-1.7	-19.1		1.0	0.3		-1.3	-21.4		1.0	-18.7		0.1	-25.8		1.2	3.7		0.4	2.5		1.8
Std Dev	37.4		2.0	26.9		0.9	2.2		2.0	24.2		1.2	21.9		1.1	27.3		1.0	3.7		0.8	3.6		1.8

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-20 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-17-20	75		75	<55		52	<75		74	<55		53	>75		78	55		57	80		78	55		56
09-16-20	<85	80.4 °F	81	50	50.2°F	54	75		78	<55		53	75		76	55		53	80		76	>55		53
09-15-20	84	81.6 °F	80	58	59.7°F	60	85	80.4 °F	82	52	50.2°F	54	77		78	53		53	78		78	55		55
09-14-20	81	80.8 °F	80	56	57.7°F	59	84	81.6 °F	80	58	59.7°F	59	86	80.4 °F	81	57	50.2°F	52	79		76	54		52
09-13-20	80	85.8 °F	82	<55	56.5°F	58	80	80.8 °F	83	55	57.7°F	60	<85	81.6 °F	81	>55	59.7°F	62	85	80.4 °F	84	55	50.2°F	55
09-12-20	72 ↓	76.8 °F	76	49 ↑	48.0°F	51	80 ↓	85.8 °F	79	54	56.5°F	55	81	80.8 °F	80	57	57.7°F	57	83	81.6 °F	81	58	59.7°F	59
09-11-20	>55	60.2 °F	63	50	54.3°F	51	<75	76.8 °F	73	50	48.0°F	51	>75	85.8 °F	77	<55	56.5°F	56	>75	80.8 °F	81	55	57.7°F	57
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		4	4		3	1		2	3		2	1		3	1		3	1		2	1		2
% Succ	16.7		66.7	66.7		50.0	20.0		40.0	60.0		40.0	25.0		75.0	25.0		75.0	33.3		66.7	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	25.6		1.7	10.9		2.2	18.1		3.2	2.1		2.3	43.3		2.7	30.9		1.3	28.9		1.5	3.1		2.1
Net Error	-24.8		-0.6	-10.6		1.1	-15.3		-1.7	-0.6		1.4	-40.4		-2.4	-27.5		0.7	-24.9		1.1	0.1		1.1
Std Dev	30.7		1.3	20.7		1.5	16.6		2.3	1.4		1.7	42.0		2.6	29.4		1.2	28.9		1.5	3.1		2.1

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-20 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-17-20	74		52	51 ↑		75	72		53	54		76	78		55	57		77	82		54	57		80
09-16-20			54	50	50.2°F	78	75		54	50		76	75		53	<55		75	80		52	55		79
09-15-20	84 ↓	81.6 °F	61	58 ↑	59.7°F	83	84 ↓	80.4 °F	55	51	50.2°F	78	75		53	52		78	76		55	54		79
09-14-20	81	80.8 °F	59	56 ↑	57.7°F	80	84	81.6 °F	60	58	59.7°F	81	86	80.4 °F	53	54	50.2°F	76	78		52	53		77
09-13-20			60	<55	56.5°F	84	80	80.8 °F	61	55	57.7°F	81	<85	81.6 °F	62	>55	59.7°F	84	85	80.4 °F	55	>55	50.2°F	79
09-12-20	74 ↓	76.8 °F	52	50	48.0°F	79	79	85.8 °F	55	54	56.5°F	80	81	80.8 °F	57	56	57.7°F	81	84	81.6 °F	60	58	59.7°F	79
09-11-20	60	60.2 °F	52	53	54.3°F	73	73	76.8 °F	52	51	48.0°F	77	80	85.8 °F	56	54	56.5°F	80	81	80.8 °F	57	57	57.7°F	77
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	5		0	1		0	2		0	1		0	1		0	1		0	2		0
% Succ	50.0		0.0	83.3		0.0	20.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	1.4		18.9	10.6		25.1	3.5		24.5	2.1		25.0	23.3		25.2	16.9		24.2	2.4		23.6	17.5		22.5
Net Error	-0.1		-18.9	-9.9		25.1	-1.1		-24.5	-0.6		25.0	-20.4		-25.2	-15.0		24.2	2.4		-23.6	-17.5		22.5
Std Dev	1.3		13.4	20.7		10.7	2.6		15.7	1.5		16.0	22.0		21.8	16.1		21.0	2.4		23.6	17.5		22.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-20 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-17-20	49 ↑		51	72		75	54 ↑		53	78		78	57		58	82		80	57		57	83		83
09-16-20	50 ↑	50.2°F	53	75	80.4 °F	76	51		53	75		76	54		55	81		76	57		54	83		78
09-15-20	58 ↑	59.7°F	61	84 ↓	81.6 °F	84	51	50.2°F	54	75	80.4 °F	78	52		53	76		78	54		55	79		79
09-14-20	56 ↑	57.7°F	60	84	80.8 °F	81	58 ↑	59.7°F	60	86	81.6 °F	81	54	50.2°F	52	78	80.4 °F	75	53		51	73		73
09-13-20	54	56.5°F	61	80	85.8 °F	85	56	57.7°F	62	84	80.8 °F	82	59	59.7°F	61	86	81.6 °F	83	57	50.2°F	54	76	80.4 °F	76
09-12-20	50	48.0°F	53	>75	76.8 °F	79	<55	56.5°F	56	80	85.8 °F	80	55	57.7°F	58	<85	80.8 °F	82	>55	59.7°F	62	85	81.6 °F	84
09-11-20	<55	54.3°F	48	<75	60.2 °F	72	50	48.0°F	50	>75	76.8 °F	77	<55	56.5°F	53	80	85.8 °F	79	55	57.7°F	57	<85	80.8 °F	82
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		1	0		2	4		3	0		3	1		3	0		2	0		1	0		1
% Succ	66.7		16.7			33.3	80.0		60.0			60.0	25.0		75.0			50.0			33.3			33.3
Ave Error	10.4		3.7	25.6		3.6	12.5		2.2	19.1		2.0	15.9		1.7	23.4		3.7	23.1		2.3	29.5		2.7
Net Error	-9.7		1.6	-23.8		1.9	-11.4		2.0	-16.1		-1.5	-14.0		0.0	-21.2		-2.4	-18.5		1.8	-27.3		-0.3
Std Dev	9.1		2.0	29.2		2.5	11.7		2.0	16.7		1.5	15.1		1.5	22.8		3.3	23.1		2.3	29.5		2.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-20 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-17-20	>45		50	<75		74	<55		52	>75		78	55		56	<85		78	55		55	<85		81
09-16-20	50	55.5°F	53	75	80.4 °F	78	50		54	75		76	<55		53	80		75	55		53	<85		79
09-15-20	58 ↑	63.6°F	59	84 ↓	81.6 °F	82	51	55.5°F	54	75	80.4 °F	78	52		53	76		78	54		55	79		79
09-14-20	56 ↑	64.3°F	62	84	80.8 °F	82	58 ↑	63.6°F	62	86	81.6 °F	82	54	55.5°F	54	78	80.4 °F	75	53		51	73		73
09-13-20	<55	67.5°F	60	80	85.8 °F	82	55	64.3°F	59	<85	80.8 °F	81	>55	63.6°F	61	85	81.6 °F	83	>55	55.5°F	54	75	80.4 °F	76
09-12-20	50	67.5°F	49	>75	76.8 °F	78	<55	67.5°F	55	80	85.8 °F	80	55	64.3°F	57	<85	80.8 °F	82	>55	63.6°F	62	85	81.6 °F	83
09-11-20	<55	55.5°F	51	<75	60.2 °F	72	50	67.5°F	50	>75	76.8 °F	78	<55	67.5°F	53	80	85.8 °F	79	55	64.3°F	57	<85	80.8 °F	83
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	0		3	0		2	0		3	1		1	0		2	0		2	0		1
% Succ			0.0			50.0			40.0			60.0	25.0		25.0			50.0			66.7			33.3
Ave Error	26.7		6.7	25.6		3.5	20.9		7.7	34.6		2.0	35.5		6.5	23.1		3.7	42.8		3.5	29.9		2.7
Net Error	-26.7		-6.7	-23.8		1.4	-20.9		-7.7	-32.9		-1.3	-35.5		-6.5	-21.4		-2.4	-42.8		-3.5	-27.6		-0.3
Std Dev	24.8		6.1	29.2		2.3	17.4		6.3	35.5		1.7	35.1		6.1	22.5		3.3	42.8		3.5	29.9		2.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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