Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 27-Feb-2024 05:00 am

Today

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 60°
Tonight

Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Low: 14°
Wednesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 41°
Wednesday
night
Clear
Cold!
Clear
Cold!
Low: 28°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 59°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 43°
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 71°
Friday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 37°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 73°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 27-Feb-2024 5:30am CST

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 40 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 56 °F ↓
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Light Snow then Partly Cloudy
Chance Light Snow then Partly Cloudy

Lo 14 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 42 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 28 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 59 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 37 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 66 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 42 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-27-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-27-24 42 ↑   41 55 ↓   62 15   18 41   42 27   28 58   59 37   42 66   71
02-26-24 38 ↑ 46.3°F 43 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 78 42   43 59   62 14   17 37   43 22   28 56   57
02-25-24 32 ↑ 45.0°F 36 70 ↓ 70.6 °F 71 36 46.3°F 38 78 81.3 °F 77 42   38 59   67 14   16 37   35
02-24-24 28 ↑ 39.8°F 27 67 66.6 °F 62 34 45.0°F 36 69 70.6 °F 71 39 46.3°F 40 77 81.3 °F 77 42   42 57   63
02-23-24 33 ↑ 31.8°F 32 60 63.0 °F 60 29 39.8°F 27 63 66.6 °F 62 33 45.0°F 35 68 70.6 °F 70 41 46.3°F 38 75 81.3 °F 80
02-22-24 40 ↑ 34.6°F 40 62 ↓ 65.9 °F 60 35 31.8°F 33 57 63.0 °F 62 28 39.8°F 26 64 66.6 °F 63 35 45.0°F 30 65 70.6 °F 65
02-21-24 33 ↑ 47.1°F 38 69 71.5 °F 69 41 ↑ 34.6°F 41 59 65.9 °F 59 34 31.8°F 29 56 63.0 °F 55 30 39.8°F 26 64 66.6 °F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   16.7     20.0 20.0   40.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 9.0   6.6 1.8   3.3 8.3   7.5 4.3   3.4 8.3   8.2 4.1   4.1 8.4   12.4 4.8   3.5
Net Error -6.8   -4.8 -1.7   -3.2 -4.5   -4.5 -4.3   -3.3 -7.2   -8.2 -4.1   -4.1 -8.4   -12.4 -4.8   -3.5
Std Dev 5.4   4.9 1.6   2.2 5.6   5.4 3.0   2.6 7.2   7.2 3.6   3.6 8.4   12.4 4.8   3.5

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-27-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-27-24 40 ↑   60 56 ↓   14 14   41 42   28 28   59 59   43 37   71 66   37
02-26-24 31 ↑ 40.5°F 78 80 ↓ 81.3 °F 43 42 ↑   62 55   18 13   43 40   28 26   57 57   34
02-25-24 29 45.0°F 71 67 ↓ 70.6 °F 38 39 ↑ 40.5°F 78 78 81.3 °F 37 41   67 62   16 14   36 35   21
02-24-24 28 ↑ 34.6°F 62 65 66.6 °F 37 34 ↑ 45.0°F 71 67 70.6 °F 40 40 40.5°F 77 77 81.3 °F 43 41   63 57   22
02-23-24 29 ↑ 27.8°F 57 59 63.0 °F 26 29 ↑ 34.6°F 61 65 66.6 °F 35 33 45.0°F 70 66 70.6 °F 38 41 40.5°F 80 76 81.3 °F 48
02-22-24 39 ↑ 34.6°F 62 62 ↓ 65.9 °F 32 35 27.8°F 56 59 63.0 °F 26 28 34.6°F 62 63 66.6 °F 30 35 45.0°F 65 68 70.6 °F 36
02-21-24 33 ↑ 42.2°F 68 69 71.5 °F 41 41 ↑ 34.6°F 59 59 65.9 °F 29 34 27.8°F 55 56 63.0 °F 25 30 34.6°F 63 64 66.6 °F 31
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.8   28.9 2.8   33.7 6.3   28.5 3.9   36.1 6.3   29.0 4.9   36.4 5.0   29.3 3.5   34.5
Net Error -6.0   28.9 -2.8   -33.7 -0.9   28.5 -3.9   -36.1 -3.2   29.0 -4.9   -36.4 -4.7   29.3 -3.5   -34.5
Std Dev 5.6   12.4 1.6   14.0 5.0   18.5 2.7   23.3 6.2   25.4 4.2   31.5 5.0   29.3 3.5   34.5

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-26-24 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-26-24 80 ↓   77 42 ↑   40 55 ↓   62 13   18 40   44 26   29 57   57 36   34
02-25-24 67 ↓ 70.6 °F 70 39 ↑ 45.0°F 38 78 ↓   77 41   37 62   60 14   22 35   43 20   25
02-24-24 65 66.6 °F 60 34 ↑ 34.0°F 35 67 ↓ 70.6 °F 68 40 45.0°F 39 77   77 41   45 57   62 15   24
02-23-24 59 63.0 °F 58 29 ↑ 26.6°F 27 65 66.6 °F 62 33 34.0°F 36 66 70.6 °F 70 41 45.0°F 39 76   76 42   38
02-22-24 62 ↓ 65.9 °F 61 35 34.5°F 32 59 ↓ 63.0 °F 57 28 26.6°F 25 63 66.6 °F 61 35 34.0°F 34 68 70.6 °F 72 41 45.0°F 34
02-21-24 69 71.5 °F 69 41 ↑ 42.3°F 41 59 ↓ 65.9 °F 59 34 34.5°F 29 56 63.0 °F 58 30 26.6°F 25 64 66.6 °F 62 37 34.0°F 34
02-20-24 68 ↓ 70.0 °F 68 33 ↑ 34.9°F 40 67 ↓ 71.5 °F 71 40 42.3°F 40 56 65.9 °F 55 35 34.5°F 28 58 63.0 °F 54 30 26.6°F 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 3 1 1 3 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   50.0 20.0   20.0 60.0   40.0     25.0 50.0   50.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 2.9   3.6 2.0   2.9 4.1   4.1 2.0   3.5 6.3   5.5 2.2   3.5 3.4   5.0 3.5   4.8
Net Error -2.9   -3.6 -1.1   -0.7 -4.1   -4.1 -1.5   -2.7 -6.3   -5.5 0.2   -3.5 -3.4   -4.1 0.8   -2.5
Std Dev 1.5   2.4 2.1   2.5 2.8   2.8 1.9   2.7 5.5   5.4 2.1   3.3 3.4   5.0 3.5   4.8

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 02-26-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-26-24 80 ↓   78 42 ↑   39 55 ↓   62 13   19 40   44 26   29 57   57 36   34
02-25-24 67 ↓ 70.6 °F 68 39 ↑ 45.0°F 37 78 ↓   76 41   37 62   60 14   22 35   42 20   25
02-24-24 65 66.6 °F 63 34 ↑ 34.0°F 34 67 ↓ 70.6 °F 69 40 45.0°F 38 77   77 41   45 57   63 15   24
02-23-24 60 63.0 °F 61 29 ↑ 26.6°F 28 65 66.6 °F 63 34 34.0°F 37 68 70.6 °F 71 41 45.0°F 39 76   77 42   38
02-22-24 62 ↓ 65.9 °F 62 35 34.5°F 32 59 ↓ 63.0 °F 59 28 26.6°F 27 63 66.6 °F 62 35 34.0°F 35 68 70.6 °F 72 41 45.0°F 34
02-21-24 69 71.5 °F 70 41 ↑ 42.3°F 41 59 ↓ 65.9 °F 58 34 34.5°F 31 56 63.0 °F 59 30 26.6°F 25 64 66.6 °F 62 37 34.0°F 34
02-20-24 69 ↓ 70.0 °F 70 33 ↑ 34.9°F 39 67 ↓ 71.5 °F 69 40 42.3°F 40 56 65.9 °F 55 35 34.5°F 28 58 63.0 °F 54 30 26.6°F 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 4 3 1 1 3 1 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   50.0 66.7   50.0 20.0   20.0 60.0   20.0     25.0 50.0   50.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 2.6   2.3 2.0   2.9 4.1   3.9 1.8   3.2 5.8   5.0 2.2   3.8 3.4   5.0 3.5   4.8
Net Error -2.6   -2.3 -1.1   -1.1 -4.1   -3.9 -1.3   -1.9 -5.8   -4.8 0.2   -3.3 -3.4   -4.1 0.8   -2.5
Std Dev 1.3   1.3 2.1   2.8 2.8   2.7 2.0   2.9 5.2   4.9 2.1   3.5 3.4   5.0 3.5   4.8

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-26-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-26-24 80 ↓   83 42 ↑   41 55 ↓   63 13   19 40   43 26   29 57   58 36   38
02-25-24 67 ↓ 70.6 °F 70 38 ↑ 45.0°F 38 81 ↓   80 42   38 59   58 14   19 37   42 22   28
02-24-24 66 66.6 °F 65 32 ↑ 34.0°F 34 70 ↓ 70.6 °F 70 36 45.0°F 38 78   78 42   40 59   65 14   22
02-23-24 62 63.0 °F 62 29 ↑ 26.6°F 28 67 66.6 °F 63 34 34.0°F 37 69 70.6 °F 72 39 45.0°F 39 77   79 42   37
02-22-24 62 ↓ 65.9 °F 65 35 34.5°F 34 59 ↓ 63.0 °F 60 28 26.6°F 28 63 66.6 °F 64 35 34.0°F 35 68 70.6 °F 71 41 45.0°F 36
02-21-24 66 71.5 °F 71 41 ↑ 42.3°F 42 59 ↓ 65.9 °F 59 35 34.5°F 31 57 63.0 °F 57 28 26.6°F 25 64 66.6 °F 60 35 34.0°F 32
02-20-24 69 ↓ 70.0 °F 70 33 ↑ 34.9°F 38 67 ↓ 71.5 °F 69 40 42.3°F 40 56 65.9 °F 56 35 34.5°F 28 58 63.0 °F 56 30 26.6°F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 6 4 4 2 1 3 1 1 1 3 2 0 1 1 2
% Succ 50.0   100.0 66.7   66.7 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 75.0   50.0     33.3 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 2.6   0.8 2.5   2.1 3.3   3.3 2.6   3.4 5.3   5.0 2.2   3.8 3.4   4.7 2.8   4.1
Net Error -2.6   -0.8 -1.6   -0.6 -3.1   -3.3 -1.9   -1.7 -5.3   -4.3 -0.8   -3.3 -3.4   -4.4 0.1   -3.2
Std Dev 2.0   0.5 2.3   2.5 2.7   2.4 3.5   2.9 4.9   4.7 2.7   3.5 3.4   4.7 2.8   4.1

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-26-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-26-24 82 ↓   42 42 ↑   63 55 ↓   18 15   43 41   29 27   58 58   38 37   73
02-25-24 67 ↓ 70.6 °F 38 38 ↑ 45.0°F 80 81 ↓   38 42   60 59   19 14   42 37   28 22   56
02-24-24 66 66.6 °F 35 32 ↑ 34.0°F 69 70 ↓ 70.6 °F 37 36 45.0°F 79 78   40 42   65 59   22 14   31
02-23-24 63 ↓ 63.0 °F 28 29 ↑ 26.6°F 62 67 66.6 °F 37 34 34.0°F 72 69 70.6 °F 39 39 45.0°F 79 77   38 42   66
02-22-24 62 ↓ 65.9 °F 35 35 34.5°F 60 59 ↓ 63.0 °F 28 28 26.6°F 63 63 66.6 °F 35 35 34.0°F 71 68 70.6 °F 36 41 45.0°F 80
02-21-24 66 71.5 °F 40 41 ↑ 42.3°F 59 59 ↓ 65.9 °F 30 35 34.5°F 57 57 63.0 °F 24 28 26.6°F 59 64 66.6 °F 32 35 34.0°F 72
02-20-24 71 ↓ 70.0 °F 39 33 ↑ 34.9°F 69 65 71.5 °F 40 41 42.3°F 57 58 65.9 °F 28 34 34.5°F 56 58 63.0 °F 28 32 26.6°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 4 0 2 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 40.0   0.0 80.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 2.4   32.1 2.5   30.3 3.7   33.1 2.4   29.1 4.8   35.0 2.2   31.2 3.4   34.7 3.5   37.1
Net Error -2.1   -32.1 -1.6   30.3 -3.5   -33.1 -1.7   29.1 -4.8   -35.0 -1.0   31.2 -3.4   -34.7 0.8   37.1
Std Dev 2.2   13.2 2.3   14.1 3.1   21.0 3.5   19.2 4.4   30.4 2.7   27.1 3.4   34.7 3.5   37.1

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-26-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-26-24 42 ↑   42 55 ↓   65 15   18 41   43 27   29 58   58 37   40 66   71
02-25-24 38 ↑ 45.0°F 38 81 ↓ 70.6 °F 81 42   43 59   63 14   20 37   46 22   28 56   56
02-24-24 32 ↑ 34.0°F 37 70 ↓ 66.6 °F 72 36 45.0°F 39 78 70.6 °F 76 42   43 59   67 14   16 37   36
02-23-24 29 ↑ 26.6°F 27 67 63.0 °F 62 34 34.0°F 37 69 66.6 °F 73 39 45.0°F 39 77 70.6 °F 79 42   42 57   69
02-22-24 35 34.5°F 34 59 ↓ 65.9 °F 60 28 26.6°F 28 63 63.0 °F 64 35 34.0°F 36 68 66.6 °F 70 41 45.0°F 38 75 70.6 °F 80
02-21-24 40 ↑ 42.3°F 40 59 ↓ 71.5 °F 60 35 34.5°F 32 57 65.9 °F 57 28 26.6°F 26 64 63.0 °F 59 35 34.0°F 32 65 66.6 °F 70
02-20-24 33 ↑ 34.9°F 38 65 70.0 °F 69 41 42.3°F 42 58 71.5 °F 59 34 34.5°F 29 58 65.9 °F 59 32 26.6°F 27 65 63.0 °F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 0 2 4 2 1 1 3 2 2 0 1 2 2 1
% Succ 50.0   33.3     33.3 80.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   50.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   66.7 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 2.7   2.7 7.0   5.9 2.4   2.6 6.4   6.8 2.2   3.5 4.2   5.7 3.5   3.1 2.7   4.3
Net Error -1.7   -0.6 -1.1   -0.6 -1.7   -0.9 -2.5   -1.7 -1.0   -2.5 0.2   0.2 0.8   -2.9 1.6   4.3
Std Dev 2.3   2.5 4.3   4.3 3.5   2.3 5.3   5.1 2.7   3.3 3.8   5.1 3.5   3.1 2.7   4.3

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 02-26-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-26-24 42 ↑   38 55 ↓   61 15   19 41   43 27   29 58   58 37   40 66   71
02-25-24 38 ↑ 55.9°F 38 81 ↓ 70.6 °F 80 42   44 59   63 14   20 37   46 22   28 56   56
02-24-24 32 ↑ 45.0°F 34 70 ↓ 66.6 °F 71 36 55.9°F 37 78 70.6 °F 76 42   42 59   67 14   16 37   36
02-23-24 28 ↑ 41.3°F 27 67 63.0 °F 62 34 45.0°F 36 69 66.6 °F 72 39 55.9°F 39 77 70.6 °F 79 42   42 57   69
02-22-24 35 ↑ 37.0°F 32 60 ↓ 65.9 °F 55 29 41.3°F 26 63 63.0 °F 63 33 45.0°F 36 68 66.6 °F 70 41 55.9°F 38 75 70.6 °F 80
02-21-24 40 ↑ 44.6°F 41 59 ↓ 71.5 °F 60 35 37.0°F 32 57 65.9 °F 60 28 41.3°F 26 64 63.0 °F 59 35 45.0°F 32 65 66.6 °F 70
02-20-24 33 ↑ 52.0°F 38 65 70.0 °F 69 41 44.6°F 40 58 71.5 °F 58 34 37.0°F 30 58 65.9 °F 60 32 41.3°F 26 65 63.0 °F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1
% Succ 16.7   0.0     33.3 20.0   0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 11.6   11.0 6.9   6.4 9.8   10.6 6.4   6.0 11.3   12.1 4.2   5.4 11.4   15.4 2.7   4.6
Net Error -11.6   -11.0 -0.9   -1.8 -9.8   -10.6 -2.5   -1.7 -11.3   -12.1 0.2   0.5 -11.4   -15.4 1.6   4.6
Std Dev 7.3   6.7 4.3   4.6 7.8   8.0 5.3   4.7 10.2   10.7 3.8   4.9 11.4   15.4 2.7   4.6

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.